Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Dundee United 2–1 St. Mirren

Saturday 19 September 2020, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 8 · Half-time 1–0

Dundee United Shankland 33', Sporle 52'

St. Mirren Connolly 64' · Tait sent off 60'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
Goals21
xG1.821.16
Expected Points1.840.90

Dundee United 53%Draw 26%St. Mirren 21%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Final score 2–1, 13%.

St. Mirren goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+3%5%3%8%7%2%8%8%2%5%7%4%1%2%2%1%13%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTTait (St. Mirren), red card 60'Pawlett on for Chalmers, 81'Glass on for Clark, 83'Connolly on for McGrath and Durmus on for McAllister, 56'MacPherson on for Obika, 66'Morias on for Erhahon, 85'Shankland 33'Sporle 52'Connolly 64'Dundee United 1.82St. Mirren 1.1600.511.520153045607590HTTait (St. Mirren), red card 60'Pawlett on for Chalmers, 81'Glass on for Clark, 83'Connolly on for McGrath and Durmus on for McAllister, 56'MacPherson on for Obika, 66'Morias on for Erhahon, 85'Shankland 33'Sporle 52'Connolly 64'1.821.16Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

1.82 +0.80xG1.16 +0.10
2.39 +1.71xG on target0.54 −0.38
17 +5.3Shots16 +6.3
8 +5.9Shots on target4 +0.6
3 +1.9Big chances1 −0.1
58% +9Possession42% +2
408 +20Passes292 −21
73% 0Pass accuracy62% 0
59% +18Field tilt41% +5
50 +15Final-third entries33 +4
12 +2.7Box entries6 −0.4
10.3 −3Passes per defensive action15.2 0
8 +1.9Corners4 0.0
24 +8Tackles12 −1
7 −2.7Interceptions4 −7.7
35 +13Clearances24 0
3 −1.1Saves6 +1.3
11 −3Fouls13 +1
3 +1.6Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Sporle 47', 0.46 xGHarkes 52', 0.38 xGClark 45+1', 0.27 xGRobson 53', 0.10 xGClark 51', 0.07 xGShankland 22', 0.05 xGShankland 52', 0.05 xGShankland 58', 0.05 xGChalmers 77', 0.05 xGSporle 82', 0.05 xGGlass 90+4', 0.05 xGChalmers 64', 0.04 xGHarkes 76', 0.04 xGChalmers 45', 0.03 xGEdwards 54', 0.03 xGSporle 52', 0.07 xG, goalShankland 33', 0.04 xG, goal25%0.46 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.46 xG, 0 goals47%0.86 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.86 xG, 1 goal16%0.30 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.30 xG, 1 goal9%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Erwin 17', 0.41 xGDurmus 75', 0.10 xGObika 41', 0.09 xGErwin 30', 0.07 xGMcAllister 36', 0.06 xGMcAllister 5', 0.05 xGTait 40', 0.05 xGMcCarthy 30', 0.04 xGDurmus 63', 0.04 xGMcCarthy 74', 0.04 xGFoley 7', 0.03 xGTait 13', 0.03 xGObika 31', 0.03 xGMcGrath 54', 0.03 xGMacPherson 80', 0.03 xGConnolly 64', 0.07 xG, goal15%0.18 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals52%0.61 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.61 xG, 0 goals6%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 1 goal22%0.26 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals4%0.05 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

1.74 15 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.81 10 shots, 1 goal
0.08 2 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.36 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
33 min (35%) · Dundee United 0.10, St. Mirren 0.66 xG
Dundee United ahead
62 min (65%) · Dundee United 1.73, St. Mirren 0.51 xG

Line-ups

1201261715182331024SiegristBoltonEdwardsReynoldsRobsonChalmersButcherHarkesSporleClarkShanklandYellow cardGoalGoal81'83'Dundee United 4-4-2Micky Mellon292254225101617923ZlamalFraserMcCarthyShaughnessyTaitErhahonMcAllisterFoleyMcGrathObikaErwinSent offYellow card85'56'56'66'St. Mirren 4-1-4-1Jim Goodwin

Dundee United substitutes

  • 81' Pawlett for Chalmers · yellow card 90'
  • 83' Glass for Clark · yellow card 86'

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 56' Connolly for McGrath · goal 64'
  • 56' Durmus for McAllister
  • 66' MacPherson for Obika
  • 85' Morias for Erhahon

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0100.0651
BoltonRB900.000.0100.0248
EdwardsCB900.030.0000.08714
ReynoldsCB900.000.010−0.01712
RobsonLB900.100.0000.03311
ChalmersRM810.120.1830.34121
Butcher CM900.000.0200.0774
HarkesCM900.410.1020.2762
SporleLM9010.580.0120.18113
ClarkST830.340.0830.0730
ShanklandST9010.190.1530.0932
Pawlett MF90.000.0100.0132
Glass MF70.050.0000.0100

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ZlamalGK900.000.0000.0441
FraserRB900.000.0100.02210
McCarthyCB900.090.031−0.0255
ShaughnessyCB900.000.0210.0218
Tait LB600.080.0200.0534
ErhahonDM850.000.0300.0566
McAllister RM560.110.0620.1030
FoleyCM900.030.0210.0555
McGrathCM560.030.0920.0410
ObikaLM660.120.0210.0301
ErwinST900.470.020−0.0100
ConnollyFW3410.070.0820.1130
DurmusFW340.140.000−0.0412
MacPhersonMF240.030.0500.0010
MoriasFW50.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Bolton and Chalmers: 5 passesEdwards and Harkes: 5 passesReynolds and Chalmers: 5 passesRobson and Harkes: 5 passesHarkes and Shankland: 5 passesSporle and Clark: 5 passesEdwards and Butcher: 6 passesButcher and Sporle: 6 passesReynolds and Butcher: 7 passesButcher and Clark: 7 passesBolton and Butcher: 8 passesRobson and Butcher: 8 passesHarkes and Sporle: 8 passesBolton and Edwards: 9 passesReynolds and Harkes: 9 passesReynolds and Sporle: 9 passesChalmers and Shankland: 9 passesChalmers and Clark: 9 passesHarkes and Butcher: 9 passesSiegrist and Reynolds: 10 passesRobson and Sporle: 10 passesChalmers and Harkes: 10 passesHarkes and Clark: 10 passesShankland and Clark: 10 passesEdwards and Reynolds: 22 passesReynolds and Robson: 23 passesSiegrist: 18 completed passesBolton: 22 completed passesEdwards: 28 completed passesReynolds: 45 completed passesRobson: 29 completed passesChalmers: 18 completed passesHarkes: 35 completed passesButcher: 32 completed passesSporle: 22 completed passesShankland: 15 completed passesClark: 22 completed passes1201261715231832410SiegristBoltonEdwardsReynoldsRobsonChalmersHarkesButcherSporleShanklandClarkStarters until 81' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Mirren

Zlamal and Erwin: 4 passesShaughnessy and McGrath: 4 passesTait and Foley: 4 passesErhahon and Foley: 4 passesMcGrath and Obika: 4 passesFraser and McCarthy: 5 passesFraser and McAllister: 5 passesShaughnessy and McCarthy: 5 passesMcCarthy and Tait: 5 passesMcCarthy and Erwin: 5 passesErhahon and McAllister: 5 passesMcAllister and Foley: 5 passesFraser and Erwin: 6 passesMcCarthy and Foley: 6 passesFraser and Foley: 7 passesTait and McGrath: 7 passesTait and Erhahon: 8 passesZlamal: 11 completed passesFraser: 19 completed passesShaughnessy: 10 completed passesMcCarthy: 23 completed passesTait: 18 completed passesErhahon: 17 completed passesMcAllister: 5 completed passesMcGrath: 13 completed passesFoley: 19 completed passesObika: 9 completed passesErwin: 6 completed passes292245225101716923ZlamalFraserShaughnessyMcCarthyTaitErhahonMcAllisterMcGrathFoleyObikaErwinStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
ReynoldsRobson13
EdwardsReynolds12
RobsonReynolds11
ReynoldsEdwards10
HarkesClark8

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FraserFoley7
ZlamalErwin7
McCarthyFoley6
FraserErwin6
McCarthyErwin6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

7+2.63−5.116+2.615+8.913+6.44−2.36−2.012+5.911+5.114+5.42−3.62−2.17+2.95+0.95−1.04−1.64+1.32−0.33+0.67+3.12−1.12+0.60−1.34+2.13+0.63+2.00−0.30−0.41+0.90−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

St. Mirren

3−3.06−2.616+0.77−0.99+3.71−6.33−5.06−1.35−3.92−6.16+1.42−4.02−2.74−0.414+7.74−0.611+8.33−0.10−4.030.02−0.32+1.11−0.31−1.04+1.92+1.900.01+0.60−0.10−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.050.010.030.030.030.020.010.050.090.040.040.070.030.020.010.100.110.030.090.10−0.020.020.110.16LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.010.020.020.020.020.010.030.030.020.040.010.030.030.010.030.02−0.12−0.010.100.09LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.01AttackDundee United0.84 → 0.92St. Mirren0.76 → 0.81Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.16 → 1.22St. Mirren1.31 → 1.36

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six37%48%+11
11th8%5%−3
Bottom6%3%−3
St. Mirren
Top six18%12%−6
11th17%19%+2
Bottom16%20%+4

From the forecast before the match (19 September 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.250.86
Win45%25%
Expected Points1.641.05
Clean sheet42%29%

Dundee United 45%Draw 30%St. Mirren 25%

Most likely score 1–0, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

St. Mirren goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+10%4%1%6%2%9%8%4%1%4%3%1%1%1%13%14%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 19 September 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawSt. Mirren win
Dundee United
Top six37%48%33%26%
11th8%5%8%13%
Bottom6%3%6%10%
St. Mirren
Top six18%12%19%28%
11th17%19%16%13%
Bottom16%20%15%9%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L0–412 SepRangers (A)xG 0.91–3.02
  2. L0–429 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 1.04–1.15
  3. L0–122 AugCeltic (H)xG 0.29–3.00
  4. W2–115 AugRoss County (A)xG 1.34–1.42
  5. L0–111 AugHibernian (H)xG 0.83–0.90
  6. W1–08 AugMotherwell (A)xG 0.89–1.13

St. Mirren

  1. L1–216 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.12–2.18
  2. L0–312 SepHibernian (H)xG 1.24–1.09
  3. L0–129 AugSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.29–2.84
  4. D1–122 AugRoss County (H)xG 1.31–2.21
  5. W1–015 AugHamilton Academical (A)xG 1.97–0.83
  6. L0–39 AugRangers (A)xG 0.42–2.65

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
Position8th7th
Played77
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠42–⁠1–⁠4
Points7 (1.00 per game)7 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.111.02
Goals4–⁠124–⁠10
xG per game1.02–⁠1.571.06–⁠1.76
Home: points, xG per game0.33, 0.99–⁠1.431.00, 1.18–⁠1.51
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.04–⁠1.681.00, 0.89–⁠2.11
ManagerMicky Mellon (7)Jim Goodwin (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.01AttackDundee United0.84, 7thSt. Mirren0.76, 10thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.16, 8thSt. Mirren1.31, 11th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.0SepDundee United attack: 0.84St. Mirren attack: 0.760.840.76St. MirrenDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.0SepDundee United defence: 1.16St. Mirren defence: 1.311.311.16

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−34%+53%−35%+49%
Counter-attacks+38%+363%+30%−100%
Set pieces−9%−52%+37%+25%
Penalties−12%−100%−100%−12%
Headers−20%−27%−42%+96%
Left side+17%+44%−36%−4%
Centre−46%−1%+16%+21%
Right side−25%+80%−42%+109%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+17%+109%Centre−46%+21%Right side−25%−4%Open play−34%+49%Counter-attacks+38%−100%Set pieces−9%+25%Headers−20%+96%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee United concededLeft side−36%+80%Centre+16%−1%Right side−42%+44%Open play−35%+53%Counter-attacks+30%+363%Set pieces+37%−52%Headers−42%−27%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

1.02xG1.06
1.57xG against1.76
49%Possession40%
11.7Shots9.7
15.7Shots against17.6
2.1Shots on target3.4
1.1Big chances1.1
388Passes313
73%Pass accuracy62%
6.1Corners4.0
41%Field tilt36%
34.6Final-third entries28.6
9.3Box entries6.4
13.7Passes per defensive action15.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.911.47
Ahead140.660.71
Behind261.452.23

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level301.202.13
Ahead291.041.44
Behind310.931.70

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.141–1
16–300.070.090–2
31–450.220.451–2
46–600.200.261–1
61–750.050.390–2
76–900.300.251–4

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.252–1
16–300.250.232–3
31–450.220.330–1
46–600.130.370–1
61–750.010.420–4
76–900.240.160–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTSiegrist 7Neilson 4Edwards 2Freeman 1Connolly 6Reynolds 7Bolton 5Butcher 1L. Smith 1Harkes 6Powers 1Butcher 6Robson 1Pawlett 7Robson 3Chalmers 3Bolton 1Clark 5Chalmers 1Appere 3Robson 2Harkes 13-5-2 in 3 of 7 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMSTSTAlnwick 5Zlamal 2Fraser 7McCarthy 6Foley 2Shaughnessy 5Tait 1Tait 6Durmus 1McGrath 5MacPherson 3Sheron 5Erhahon 2McAllister 1Foley 5McAllister 3McGrath 2Morias 1Morias 3Erwin 1Dennis 1Obika 6Durmus 2Connolly 14-3-1-2 in 2 of 7 starts

Formations: 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Pawlett7573100.170.23
Bolton6481010.090.10
Harkes7617000.090.08
Connolly6540000.120.01

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Obika6537200.280.11
Tait7630110.080.16
McGrath7622010.060.10
Fraser7590000.000.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.