Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

St. Mirren 0–0 Ross County

Wednesday 1 December 2021, 19:45 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 16 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 3,806

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenRoss County
Goals00
xG1.890.93
Expected Points2.020.73

St. Mirren 59%Draw 24%Ross County 16%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Final score 0–0, 5%.

Ross County goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+5%5%2%5%1%6%1%6%7%3%3%3%1%1%10%12%10%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTMain on for Brophy, 63'Kiltie on for Ronan, 72'Millar on for Tanser, 79'Watson on for Iacovitti, 34'White on for Samuel and Tillson on for Callachan, 80'St. Mirren 1.89Ross County 0.9300.511.520153045607590HTMain on for Brophy, 63'Kiltie on for Ronan, 72'Millar on for Tanser, 79'Watson on for Iacovitti, 34'White on for Samuel and Tillson on for Callachan, 80'1.890.93St. MirrenRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenRoss County

1.89 +0.87xG0.93 −0.14
1.46 +0.52xG on target1.40 +0.31
27 +15Shots12 +2
11 +6.8Shots on target7 +2.9
2 +1.1Big chances1 −0.4
42 +24Touches in the opposition box15 −5
57% +8Possession43% 0
333 −29Passes269 −57
67% −1Pass accuracy58% −10
65% +19Field tilt35% −6
37 +5Final-third entries31 +4
21 +11.3Box entries7 −2.1
11.6 −2Passes per defensive action10.1 −9
13 +7.7Corners3 −0.7
9 −5Tackles10 −3
9 −0.5Interceptions9 −0.7
15 −2Clearances45 +20
7 +3.7Saves9 +5.6
11 −2Fouls16 +4
4 +0.9Offsides3 +0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Dennis 64', 0.25 xGDennis 56', 0.20 xGBrophy 33', 0.18 xGDennis 52', 0.15 xGMillar 90+6', 0.12 xGTanser 71', 0.10 xGMain 64', 0.09 xGMain 82', 0.09 xGDennis 33', 0.07 xGRonan 40', 0.06 xGMcAllister 66', 0.06 xGMcGrath 88', 0.06 xGMain 90+1', 0.06 xGTait 76', 0.05 xGBrophy 27', 0.04 xGDunne 50', 0.04 xGBrophy 54', 0.04 xGRonan 63', 0.04 xGTanser 11', 0.03 xGMain 64', 0.03 xGKiltie 76', 0.03 xGBrophy 13', 0.02 xGDennis 49', 0.02 xGTanser 77', 0.02 xGMcAllister 83', 0.02 xGRonan 24', 0.01 xGRonan 64', 0.01 xG18%0.34 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals55%1.03 xGCentral box: 12 shots, 1.03 xG, 0 goals15%0.29 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals11%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Samuel 9', 0.24 xGCancola 88', 0.16 xGPaton 90+5', 0.16 xGSpittal 88', 0.07 xGCallachan 10', 0.06 xGSamuel 20', 0.05 xGPaton 33', 0.05 xGHungbo 22', 0.04 xGSpittal 85', 0.04 xGPaton 28', 0.03 xGSpittal 5', 0.02 xGSpittal 14', 0.02 xG17%0.16 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.16 xG, 0 goals23%0.22 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals13%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals44%0.41 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.41 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenRoss County

0.91 14 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.79 9 shots, 0 goals
0.09 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.89 12 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.14 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
96 min (100%) · St. Mirren 1.89, Ross County 0.93 xG

Line-ups

1218221743637209AlnwickTaitDunneFraserMcAllisterRonanPowerTanserMcGrathDennisBrophyYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card72'79'63'St. Mirren 3-4-1-2Jim Goodwin312516364238710Maynard-BrewerRandallBaldwinIacovittiVokinsPatonCancolaHungboCallachanSpittalSamuelYellow cardYellow cardYellow card34'80'80'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 63' Main for Brophy
  • 72' Kiltie for Ronan
  • 79' Millar for Tanser

Ross County substitutes

  • 34' Watson for Iacovitti · yellow card 39'
  • 80' Tillson for Callachan
  • 80' White for Samuel

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AlnwickGK900.000.0000.09112
Tait CB900.050.0200.0234
Dunne CB900.040.0000.0225
Fraser CB900.000.0100.0578
McAllisterRWB900.080.1740.2671
Ronan CM720.120.3750.3993
Power CM900.000.0210.0345
TanserLWB790.150.3540.3683
McGrathAM900.060.0410.0023
DennisST900.680.344−0.0921
BrophyST630.280.0000.0211
MainFW270.270.0210.0530
KiltieFW180.030.0200.0420
MillarDF110.120.0200.0721

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Maynard-BrewerGK900.000.0000.0112
RandallRB900.000.0100.0248
BaldwinCB900.000.0900.03118
IacovittiCB340.000.0000.0222
Vokins LB900.000.0000.0232
Paton DM900.230.0310.1085
Cancola DM900.160.031−0.0318
HungboRW900.040.0810.1490
CallachanAM800.060.0300.0458
SpittalLW900.150.1210.2634
SamuelST800.290.0100.0423
Watson DF560.000.0000.02310
TillsonMF100.000.0110.0113
WhiteFW100.000.0000.0102

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Fraser and McAllister: 4 passesTait and Power: 4 passesAlnwick and Tait: 5 passesAlnwick and Tanser: 5 passesDunne and Tait: 5 passesMcAllister and Power: 5 passesTanser and McGrath: 5 passesTanser and Dennis: 5 passesFraser and Power: 6 passesTait and McAllister: 6 passesMcAllister and Ronan: 6 passesMcAllister and McGrath: 6 passesRonan and Tanser: 6 passesAlnwick and Dunne: 7 passesAlnwick and Fraser: 7 passesFraser and Tanser: 7 passesRonan and Power: 7 passesFraser and Ronan: 9 passesRonan and McGrath: 13 passesAlnwick: 18 completed passesDunne: 13 completed passesFraser: 21 completed passesTait: 15 completed passesMcAllister: 22 completed passesRonan: 27 completed passesPower: 18 completed passesTanser: 16 completed passesMcGrath: 19 completed passesDennis: 6 completed passesBrophy: 3 completed passes1182221743637209AlnwickDunneFraserTaitMcAllisterRonanPowerTanserMcGrathDennisBrophyStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Ross County

Randall and Baldwin: 3 passesRandall and Hungbo: 3 passesBaldwin and Spittal: 3 passesVokins and Callachan: 3 passesPaton and Hungbo: 3 passesHungbo and Callachan: 3 passesHungbo and Spittal: 3 passesCallachan and Spittal: 3 passesIacovitti and Spittal: 4 passesPaton and Spittal: 4 passesPaton and Samuel: 4 passesRandall and Paton: 5 passesPaton and Callachan: 5 passesRandall and Cancola: 7 passesMaynard-Brewer: 3 completed passesRandall: 12 completed passesBaldwin: 5 completed passesIacovitti: 5 completed passesVokins: 4 completed passesCancola: 7 completed passesPaton: 11 completed passesHungbo: 7 completed passesCallachan: 9 completed passesSpittal: 10 completed passesSamuel: 3 completed passes312516346238710Maynard-BrewerRandallBaldwinIacovittiVokinsCancolaPatonHungboCallachanSpittalSamuelStarters until 34' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
McGrathRonan8
RonanMcGrath7
FraserAlnwick7
DunneAlnwick7
McAllisterMcGrath6

Ross County

FromToPasses
RandallHungbo7
PatonSpittal6
CallachanSpittal5
SpittalVokins5
CallachanHungbo5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

4−0.112−2.17+1.24−1.34−3.110+3.16+0.27−0.16−1.34−2.77+1.34−0.57+1.09+2.13−1.41−2.03+0.52−1.96+2.21−1.32+0.50−1.10−2.00−2.30−1.10−0.40−0.91+0.90−0.41−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Ross County

6+0.58+2.633+18.29+1.94−2.99+1.09+1.89+2.77−1.55−2.67+1.83−1.41−2.78+3.63−3.15+0.43+0.15+2.97+4.430.02−0.13+0.71+0.54+2.81−0.50−0.90−0.11+0.60−0.21+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.040.030.010.010.020.020.010.040.020.010.020.040.04−0.010.020.040.020.080.110.010.010.020.020.040.100.130.43LessMore

Ross County

0.010.030.030.010.010.010.020.020.010.080.040.010.050.010.080.050.040.03−0.050.010.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackSt. Mirren1.02 → 1.00Ross County1.05 → 1.02Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.33 → 1.31Ross County1.52 → 1.50

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six14%11%−3
11th15%17%+2
Bottom9%10%+1
Ross County
Top six4%3%−1
11th24%24%0
Bottom34%34%0
Dundee FC
11th23%22%−1
Bottom36%36%0
Motherwell
Top six56%58%+2
Bottom1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (1 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenRoss County
Expected goals1.401.11
Win43%29%
Expected Points1.571.15
Clean sheet33%25%

St. Mirren 43%Draw 28%Ross County 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

Ross County goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+9%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawRoss County win
St. Mirren
Top six14%19%11%7%
11th15%10%17%20%
Bottom9%4%10%15%
Ross County
Top six4%2%3%7%
11th24%26%24%22%
Bottom34%41%34%22%
Dundee FC
11th23%25%22%21%
Bottom36%34%36%40%
Motherwell
Top six56%54%58%55%
Bottom1%1%1%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L0–227 NovHearts (A)xG 1.16–2.16
  2. D1–120 NovLivingston (H)xG 0.91–0.76
  3. D0–06 NovSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.76–0.18
  4. L0–130 OctDundee FC (H)xG 0.79–0.66
  5. D2–227 OctMotherwell (A)xG 2.27–1.25
  6. L1–224 OctRangers (H)xG 0.06–2.62

Ross County

  1. D1–127 NovDundee United (H)xG 1.53–0.47
  2. W1–024 NovHibernian (H)xG 1.21–0.52
  3. L2–47 NovRangers (A)xG 0.48–1.23
  4. W5–027 OctDundee FC (A)xG 1.57–0.48
  5. L2–323 OctLivingston (H)xG 2.11–0.57
  6. L2–316 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.15–1.10

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenRoss County
Position7th12th
Played1514
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠7–⁠52–⁠4–⁠8
Points16 (1.07 per game)10 (0.71 per game)
Expected Points per game1.241.23
Goals16–⁠2419–⁠27
xG per game1.02–⁠1.441.07–⁠1.36
Home: points, xG per game0.86, 0.92–⁠1.090.86, 1.31–⁠1.14
Away: points, xG per game1.25, 1.11–⁠1.740.57, 0.83–⁠1.58
ManagerJim Goodwin (53)Malky Mackay (14)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackSt. Mirren1.02, 8thRoss County1.05, 7thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.33, 9thRoss County1.52, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovSt. Mirren attack: 1.02Ross County attack: 1.051.051.02Ross CountySt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovSt. Mirren defence: 1.33Ross County defence: 1.521.521.33

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−34%+31%−11%+29%
Counter-attacks+18%+45%−83%+15%
Set pieces+28%−18%−23%−1%
Penalties−11%+34%+43%−52%
Headers+28%−8%−46%+35%
Left side−15%+29%−27%+37%
Centre−8%+10%−29%+3%
Right side−29%+24%+17%+39%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRoss County concededLeft side−15%+39%Centre−8%+3%Right side−29%+37%Open play−34%+29%Counter-attacks+18%+15%Set pieces+28%−1%Headers+28%+35%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−27%+24%Centre−29%+10%Right side+17%+29%Open play−11%+31%Counter-attacks−83%+45%Set pieces−23%−18%Headers−46%−8%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenRoss County

1.02xG1.07
1.44xG against1.36
49%Possession43%
12.3Shots10.3
14.1Shots against14.1
4.2Shots on target4.1
0.9Big chances1.4
17.5Touches in the opposition box19.6
362Passes326
68%Pass accuracy68%
5.3Corners3.7
46%Field tilt41%
32.3Final-third entries27.4
9.7Box entries9.1
13.2Passes per defensive action18.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.081.06
Ahead191.001.76
Behind260.951.86

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level410.741.21
Ahead151.801.27
Behind341.161.57

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.144–1
16–300.120.191–5
31–450.140.373–6
46–600.220.302–4
61–750.140.303–6
76–900.320.143–2

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.153–4
16–300.140.192–5
31–450.260.227–6
46–600.050.210–4
61–750.230.264–3
76–900.290.333–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTAlnwick 15Fraser 15McAllister 1Shaughnessy 14McCarthy 11Dunne 4Tait 4Ronan 3Millar 3Power 13McGrath 3Reid 2Erhahon 6Flynn 5Tanser 15McGrath 4Ronan 4Millar 3Main 8Brophy 13McGrath 5Ronan 43-4-1-2 in 5 of 15 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (5), 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-1-4-2 (4), 4-4-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMaynard-Brewer 9Laidlaw 5Clarke 7Randall 3Burroughs 2Baldwin 8Clarke 3Donaldson 1Iacovitti 13Paton 1Burroughs 1B. Paton 5Randall 4Charles-Cook 2Tillson 9Callachan 5Spittal 5Paton 5Cancola 3Hungbo 4Charles-Cook 2Baldwin 2Callachan 6Tillson 3Paton 3Charles-Cook 9Spittal 3Callachan 1White 11A. Samuel 2Burroughs 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 14 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
16 October 2021Ross County2–3St. MirrenxG 1.15–1.10
21 April 2021Ross County1–3St. MirrenxG 0.65–2.23
27 February 2021St. Mirren1–0Ross CountyxG 1.41–1.91
26 December 2020Ross County0–2St. MirrenxG 0.54–1.79
22 August 2020St. Mirren1–1Ross CountyxG 1.31–2.21

5 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 4, Ross County won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 10–4 and xG 1.57–1.29 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Tait5554010.220.13
Tanser151,233130.070.26
McGrath131,154210.120.18
Brophy131,171500.280.01

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hungbo5520210.190.17
Spittal11991400.170.18
White111,030220.240.03
Callachan121,068210.230.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.