Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Mirren 1–1 Ross County

Saturday 22 August 2020, 15:00 · Simple Digital Arena · Round 5 · Half-time 1–0

St. Mirren Obika 14' · Shaughnessy sent off 62'

Ross County Sheron 70' (og)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenRoss County
Goals11
xG1.312.21
Expected Points0.762.00

St. Mirren 18%Draw 23%Ross County 59%

Most likely score 1–2, 13%. Final score 1–1, 10%.

Ross County goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+1%5%7%5%2%2%4%1%2%6%6%3%2%3%2%1%10%13%9%10%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTShaughnessy (St. Mirren), red card 62'MacPherson on for McAllister, 65'Dennis on for Obika, 85'Watson on for Donaldson, 24'Tremarco on for Reid and Charles-Cook on for Paton, 46'Kelly on for Vigurs, 71'Mullin on for Randall, 82'Obika 14'Sheron 70' (og)Ross County 2.21St. Mirren 1.3101230153045607590HTShaughnessy (St. Mirren), red card 62'MacPherson on for McAllister, 65'Dennis on for Obika, 85'Watson on for Donaldson, 24'Tremarco on for Reid and Charles-Cook on for Paton, 46'Kelly on for Vigurs, 71'Mullin on for Randall, 82'Obika 14'Sheron 70' (og)2.211.31St. MirrenRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenRoss County

1.31 +0.17xG2.21 +0.64
1.35 +0.25xG on target0.09 −1.10
12 +2.7Shots18 +6.8
6 +2.3Shots on target2 −2.0
2 +0.7Big chances3 +0.8
37% −2Possession63% +12
301 +9Passes491 +75
59% 0Pass accuracy73% +1
29% −4Field tilt71% +18
19 −7Final-third entries57 +23
7 −0.3Box entries8 −0.2
12.6 −3Passes per defensive action10.8 0
3 −0.7Corners4 +0.5
8 −7Tackles13 −1
11 0.0Interceptions11 +1.5
26 −4Clearances16 −9
1 −5.0Saves5 +2.5
11 −1Fouls12 −6
3 +1.0Offsides1 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Morias 43', 0.40 xGObika 52', 0.11 xGMorias 25', 0.08 xGMcGrath 55', 0.07 xGMcAllister 17', 0.05 xGSheron 31', 0.05 xGMcAllister 54', 0.05 xGMorias 54', 0.05 xGMorias 57', 0.05 xGMorias 60', 0.04 xGFoley 81', 0.02 xGObika 14', 0.34 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals76%1.00 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 1.00 xG, 1 goal6%0.08 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals13%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals5%0.07 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Charles-Cook 57', 0.59 xGMcKay 26', 0.51 xGStewart 33', 0.29 xGMcKay 90+2', 0.13 xGStewart 47', 0.09 xGGardyne 70', 0.09 xGDraper 90', 0.09 xGWatson 40', 0.08 xGWatson 40', 0.05 xGPaton 10', 0.04 xGIacovitti 74', 0.04 xGVigurs 9', 0.03 xGReid 33', 0.03 xGGardyne 47', 0.03 xGGardyne 56', 0.03 xGCharles-Cook 67', 0.03 xGKelly 74', 0.03 xGKelly 87', 0.03 xG56%1.23 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.23 xG, 0 goals31%0.69 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.69 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals10%0.23 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals2%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenRoss County

0.66 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.74 14 shots, 0 goals
0.08 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.57 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.46 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
36 min (39%) · St. Mirren 0.36, Ross County 0.38 xG
St. Mirren ahead
56 min (61%) · St. Mirren 0.95, Ross County 1.83 xG

Line-ups

1225421661710199AlnwickFraserMcCarthyShaughnessyTaitFoleySheronMcGrathMcAllisterMoriasObikaSent offOwn goalGoal65'85'St. Mirren 4-3-1-2Jim Goodwin12251643611724279LaidlawRandallDonaldsonIacovittiReidDraperVigursGardynePatonStewartMcKayYellow cardYellow card82'24'46'71'46'Ross County 4-2-3-1Stuart Kettlewell

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 65' MacPherson for McAllister
  • 85' Dennis for Obika

Ross County substitutes

  • 24' Watson for Donaldson
  • 46' Tremarco for Reid
  • 46' Charles-Cook for Paton
  • 71' Kelly for Vigurs
  • 82' Mullin for Randall

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AlnwickGK900.000.0000.0570
FraserRB900.000.0210.0674
McCarthyCB900.000.0000.0237
Shaughnessy CB620.000.0000.0124
TaitLB900.000.1210.2147
FoleyCM900.020.1500.06313
SheronCM900.050.0100.0216
McGrathCM900.070.021−0.0118
McAllisterAM650.090.0120.0640
MoriasST900.620.0100.0122
ObikaST8510.450.2210.1921
MacPhersonMF250.000.0000.0101
DennisFW50.000.0000.0000

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0001
RandallRB820.000.0610.1083
DonaldsonCB240.000.0000.0121
IacovittiCB900.040.0110.1078
Reid LB460.030.0000.0226
DraperDM900.090.2310.3045
Vigurs DM710.030.0320.0784
GardyneRW900.160.4930.54135
PatonAM460.040.0810.0110
StewartLW900.380.0320.0152
McKayST900.640.010−0.0402
WatsonDF660.130.000−0.0523
TremarcoDF440.000.1000.1542
Charles-CookFW440.620.1720.1730
KellyMF190.060.0910.0821
MullinMF80.000.0000.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Alnwick and Fraser: 3 passesMcCarthy and Sheron: 3 passesMcAllister and Foley: 3 passesMcAllister and Morias: 3 passesFoley and Sheron: 3 passesFoley and McGrath: 3 passesMcGrath and Obika: 3 passesMorias and Obika: 3 passesShaughnessy and Foley: 4 passesShaughnessy and McGrath: 4 passesSheron and McGrath: 4 passesAlnwick and Tait: 5 passesFraser and Obika: 5 passesShaughnessy and Tait: 5 passesMcAllister and Sheron: 6 passesAlnwick and McCarthy: 8 passesFraser and McCarthy: 8 passesTait and McGrath: 10 passesFraser and McAllister: 11 passesFraser and Foley: 12 passesAlnwick: 10 completed passesFraser: 28 completed passesShaughnessy: 11 completed passesMcCarthy: 14 completed passesTait: 18 completed passesMcAllister: 10 completed passesFoley: 16 completed passesSheron: 13 completed passesMcGrath: 15 completed passesMorias: 4 completed passesObika: 7 completed passes1224521016617199AlnwickFraserShaughnessyMcCarthyTaitMcAllisterFoleySheronMcGrathMoriasObikaStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Ross County

Randall and Donaldson: 3 passesRandall and Vigurs: 3 passesRandall and McKay: 3 passesDonaldson and Vigurs: 3 passesIacovitti and Vigurs: 3 passesVigurs and Stewart: 3 passesRandall and Draper: 4 passesDraper and Vigurs: 4 passesReid and Vigurs: 5 passesVigurs and Gardyne: 5 passesVigurs and McKay: 5 passesReid and Stewart: 6 passesGardyne and Paton: 6 passesRandall and Paton: 7 passesRandall and Gardyne: 8 passesLaidlaw: 0 completed passesRandall: 14 completed passesDonaldson: 4 completed passesIacovitti: 3 completed passesReid: 8 completed passesDraper: 9 completed passesVigurs: 15 completed passesGardyne: 9 completed passesPaton: 6 completed passesStewart: 6 completed passesMcKay: 5 completed passes12251643611724279LaidlawRandallDonaldsonIacovittiReidDraperVigursGardynePatonStewartMcKayStarters until 24' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
McGrathTait8
FraserFoley8
FraserMcAllister7
McCarthyAlnwick6
FraserObika6

Ross County

FromToPasses
RandallGardyne10
VigursGardyne10
GardyneRandall9
TremarcoGardyne9
TremarcoCharles-Cook8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

4−4.34−3.721+1.011+1.34−2.36+1.013+1.79+1.04−0.37+2.040.07+2.76−0.710+6.33−0.73+0.36+4.01−3.36+4.72+1.03+2.34+2.71−2.01+1.000.00−0.300.00−2.04−5.34−5.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Ross County

10+6.03−3.05−2.513+5.06+0.56−0.59+0.88−1.86−0.82−3.850.07+3.58+2.06−0.23+0.88+5.24+0.23−3.80−2.02+1.20−1.22−0.22+0.20−1.20−0.50−0.50−0.80−0.88−6.54−7.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.020.020.020.020.010.010.020.01−0.010.020.050.010.030.030.050.10−0.010.01−0.02−0.010.010.11−0.010.18LessMore

Ross County

0.020.010.020.020.040.020.010.070.030.020.100.010.050.070.050.010.06−0.02−0.02−0.100.150.210.190.200.26LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.00.51.01.52.0League average 1.01AttackSt. Mirren0.81 → 0.75Ross County0.93 → 0.88Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.29 → 1.26Ross County1.20 → 1.13

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six27%27%0
11th15%14%−1
Bottom8%8%0
Ross County
Top six42%41%−1
11th7%7%0
Bottom3%3%0

From the forecast before the match (22 August 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenRoss County
Expected goals1.051.19
Win31%39%
Expected Points1.241.46
Clean sheet30%35%

St. Mirren 31%Draw 30%Ross County 39%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 46%.

Ross County goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%3%8%3%6%7%4%2%2%2%1%11%12%10%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 22 August 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawRoss County win
St. Mirren
Top six27%38%27%19%
11th15%10%14%19%
Bottom8%4%8%11%
Ross County
Top six42%31%41%53%
11th7%11%7%5%
Bottom3%5%3%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. W1–015 AugHamilton Academical (A)xG 1.97–0.83
  2. L0–39 AugRangers (A)xG 0.42–2.65
  3. W1–01 AugLivingston (H)xG 1.04–0.55

Ross County

  1. L1–215 AugDundee United (H)xG 1.42–1.34
  2. D2–212 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 2.02–1.06
  3. W1–08 AugHamilton Academical (A)xG 1.50–0.45
  4. W1–03 AugMotherwell (H)xG 1.33–1.96

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenRoss County
Position5th3rd
Played34
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠0–⁠12–⁠1–⁠1
Points6 (2.00 per game)7 (1.75 per game)
Expected Points per game1.401.65
Goals2–⁠35–⁠4
xG per game1.14–⁠1.341.57–⁠1.20
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 1.04–⁠0.551.33, 1.59–⁠1.45
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.20–⁠1.743.00, 1.50–⁠0.45
ManagerJim Goodwin (3)Stuart Kettlewell (4)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.01AttackSt. Mirren0.81, 11thRoss County0.93, 4thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.29, 11thRoss County1.20, 8th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.01 Aug20 AugSt. Mirren attack: 0.81Ross County attack: 0.930.930.81Ross CountySt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.01 Aug20 AugSt. Mirren defence: 1.29Ross County defence: 1.201.291.20

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−3%+23%−4%+1%
Counter-attacks+144%−50%−67%+27%
Set pieces+9%−8%+36%−19%
Penalties−50%−50%+108%+21%
Headers−1%−10%+7%+22%
Left side−10%−14%−15%+9%
Centre+21%+30%−4%−23%
Right side−14%+12%+39%+17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRoss County concededLeft side−10%+17%Centre+21%−23%Right side−14%+9%Open play−3%+1%Counter-attacks+144%+27%Set pieces+9%−19%Headers−1%+22%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−15%+12%Centre−4%+30%Right side+39%−14%Open play−4%+23%Counter-attacks−67%−50%Set pieces+36%−8%Headers+7%−10%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenRoss County

1.14xG1.57
1.34xG against1.20
39%Possession52%
9.3Shots11.2
17.3Shots against12.2
3.7Shots on target4.0
1.3Big chances2.2
292Passes416
59%Pass accuracy72%
3.7Corners3.5
33%Field tilt53%
26.3Final-third entries34.2
7.3Box entries8.2
16.0Passes per defensive action10.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level242.001.20
Ahead440.970.65
Behind220.562.83

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level502.030.73
Ahead340.402.01
Behind64.180.65

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.260–0
16–300.550.122–1
31–450.090.050–0
46–600.150.290–0
61–750.000.410–2
76–900.280.210–0

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.400.061–0
16–300.240.112–0
31–450.120.180–1
46–600.070.210–1
61–750.280.370–1
76–900.460.272–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTAlnwick 3Fraser 3McCarthy 2Foley 1Shaughnessy 3Tait 3Foley 2Sheron 1MacPherson 2McGrath 1McAllister 1MacPherson 1Sheron 1McGrath 2McAllister 1Durmus 2Obika 1Obika 2Morias 14-2-3-1 in 2 of 3 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLaidlaw 4Randall 4Donaldson 4Iacovitti 4Reid 4Draper 2Tillson 2Paton 1Vigurs 3Erwin 2Gardyne 1Mullin 1Paton 2Vigurs 1Charles-Cook 1Stewart 3Gardyne 1McKay 3Stewart 14-2-3-1 in 2 of 4 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.