Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Dundee United 0–0 Aberdeen

Saturday 17 October 2020, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 11 · Half-time 0–0

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Goals00
xG0.481.21
Expected Points0.721.95

Dundee United 13%Draw 33%Aberdeen 54%

Most likely score 0–1, 22%. Final score 0–0, 17%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+13%5%1%9%15%8%3%1%2%1%17%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTMcNulty on for Clark, 56'L. Smith on for Reynolds, 63'Chalmers on for Pawlett and Powers on for Butcher, 78'Edmondson on for Wright, 62'McGinn on for McLennan, 74'Aberdeen 1.21Dundee United 0.4800.511.50153045607590HTMcNulty on for Clark, 56'L. Smith on for Reynolds, 63'Chalmers on for Pawlett and Powers on for Butcher, 78'Edmondson on for Wright, 62'McGinn on for McLennan, 74'1.210.48Dundee UnitedAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

0.48 −0.60xG1.21 −0.16
0.27 −0.64xG on target0.69 −0.78
6 −5Shots18 +7
3 +0.4Shots on target7 +3.0
1 −0.4Big chances1 −0.9
6 −3.5Touches in the opposition box28 +6.0
40% −10Possession60% +8
336 −37Passes474 +37
62% −7Pass accuracy77% +2
20% −23Field tilt80% +26
17 −18Final-third entries56 +20
3 −5.8Box entries15 +6.0
17.7 +4Passes per defensive action9.7 −5
2 −3.9Corners10 +5.9
11 −5Tackles8 −4
8 −2.8Interceptions5 −4.2
40 +16Clearances14 −5
6 +2.4Saves3 +2.1
9 −5Fouls18 +4
1 −0.6Offsides0 −1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Chalmers 81', 0.32 xGShankland 42', 0.04 xGEdwards 71', 0.04 xGEdwards 36', 0.03 xGConnolly 71', 0.03 xGShankland 90+3', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals6%0.03 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals6%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals83%0.39 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.39 xG, 0 goals4%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Wright 8', 0.36 xGMcCrorie 29', 0.09 xGWright 43', 0.08 xGHoban 9', 0.07 xGMcGinn 75', 0.07 xGMcCrorie 86', 0.07 xGHoban 21', 0.06 xGMcGinn 90+2', 0.06 xGHoban 30', 0.05 xGHedges 72', 0.05 xGHedges 82', 0.05 xGMcLennan 48', 0.04 xGWatkins 90', 0.04 xGHayes 2', 0.03 xGFerguson 8', 0.03 xGHedges 14', 0.03 xGFerguson 52', 0.03 xGWright 45+2', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals72%0.87 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 0.87 xG, 0 goals8%0.10 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals18%0.22 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

0.06 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.73 10 shots, 0 goals
0.32 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.08 1 shot, 0 goals
0.10 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.41 7 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
95 min (100%) · Dundee United 0.48, Aberdeen 1.21 xG

Line-ups

151262081823171024SiegristConnollyEdwardsReynoldsBoltonPawlettButcherHarkesRobsonClarkShanklandYellow card63'78'78'56'Dundee United 3-5-2Micky Mellon1314418401917251150LewisHobanTaylorConsidineMcLennanMcCrorieFergusonHayesWrightHedgesWatkinsYellow cardYellow card74'62'Aberdeen 3-4-1-2Derek McInnes

Dundee United substitutes

  • 56' McNulty for Clark
  • 63' L. Smith for Reynolds
  • 78' Powers for Butcher
  • 78' Chalmers for Pawlett

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 62' Edmondson for Wright
  • 74' McGinn for McLennan

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0011
ConnollyCB900.030.000−0.0178
EdwardsCB900.070.0000.02212
ReynoldsCB630.000.0000.0444
BoltonRWB900.000.0500.0435
PawlettCM780.000.0420.0116
Butcher CM780.000.0100.0334
HarkesCM900.000.0200.0034
RobsonLWB900.000.000−0.0107
ClarkST560.000.011−0.0211
ShanklandST900.060.010−0.0305
McNultyFW340.000.0010.0111
L. SmithDF270.000.0000.0114
PowersDF120.000.0110.0342
ChalmersFW120.320.0000.0103

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0100
HobanCB900.170.0500.11117
TaylorCB900.000.0100.0964
ConsidineCB900.000.0300.07102
McLennanRWB740.040.0620.15112
McCrorie CM900.160.0100.0253
FergusonCM900.060.1010.1053
Hayes LWB900.030.1320.1493
WrightAM620.460.1730.1432
HedgesST900.130.4640.1840
WatkinsST900.040.010−0.0212
EdmondsonFW280.000.0100.0112
McGinnMF160.130.0410.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Edwards and Butcher: 3 passesEdwards and Pawlett: 3 passesReynolds and Harkes: 3 passesReynolds and Shankland: 3 passesBolton and Clark: 3 passesHarkes and Pawlett: 3 passesClark and Shankland: 3 passesConnolly and Harkes: 4 passesConnolly and Pawlett: 4 passesConnolly and Shankland: 4 passesEdwards and Reynolds: 4 passesBolton and Harkes: 4 passesRobson and Shankland: 4 passesConnolly and Bolton: 5 passesReynolds and Robson: 5 passesReynolds and Butcher: 5 passesBolton and Pawlett: 5 passesHarkes and Shankland: 5 passesReynolds and Pawlett: 6 passesBolton and Shankland: 6 passesRobson and Harkes: 6 passesButcher and Pawlett: 6 passesConnolly and Edwards: 7 passesHarkes and Clark: 7 passesSiegrist and Connolly: 8 passesConnolly and Butcher: 8 passesSiegrist: 9 completed passesConnolly: 21 completed passesEdwards: 15 completed passesReynolds: 17 completed passesBolton: 14 completed passesRobson: 10 completed passesHarkes: 18 completed passesButcher: 17 completed passesPawlett: 14 completed passesClark: 11 completed passesShankland: 12 completed passes151262017231881024SiegristConnollyEdwardsReynoldsBoltonRobsonHarkesButcherPawlettClarkShanklandStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Hoban and Hedges: 6 passesConsidine and Wright: 6 passesMcLennan and McCrorie: 6 passesMcLennan and Hedges: 6 passesMcCrorie and Hayes: 6 passesHayes and Wright: 6 passesWright and Hedges: 6 passesHoban and McCrorie: 7 passesTaylor and Ferguson: 7 passesConsidine and McCrorie: 7 passesConsidine and Hedges: 10 passesMcLennan and Ferguson: 10 passesMcCrorie and Ferguson: 10 passesFerguson and Hedges: 11 passesFerguson and Hayes: 13 passesHoban and Taylor: 14 passesTaylor and Considine: 15 passesConsidine and Ferguson: 15 passesConsidine and Hayes: 15 passesHoban and Ferguson: 17 passesHoban and McLennan: 20 passesLewis: 11 completed passesHoban: 44 completed passesTaylor: 35 completed passesConsidine: 41 completed passesMcLennan: 26 completed passesMcCrorie: 24 completed passesFerguson: 47 completed passesHayes: 23 completed passesWright: 21 completed passesHedges: 23 completed passesWatkins: 8 completed passes1314418401917251150LewisHobanTaylorConsidineMcLennanMcCrorieFergusonHayesWrightHedgesWatkinsStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
ReynoldsPawlett7
HarkesRobson7
ShanklandHarkes7
ConnollySiegrist6
EdwardsReynolds5

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
HobanMcLennan14
HobanFerguson13
TaylorConsidine11
TaylorHoban11
ConsidineHayes11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

4−1.79+1.630+16.47+0.16−1.28+1.29+1.23−3.86−1.72−8.47+2.15+0.93−1.03−1.54−1.85+0.22−1.02−0.61−1.44−0.43+0.61−0.60−0.91−1.02−0.30−1.00−0.20−0.30−0.40−0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Aberdeen

5+0.84−1.07−4.41−4.04−1.66−0.63−2.44−1.24−0.17+4.18+3.09+1.63−1.14+0.85+2.93−1.43−1.14+2.21−0.64+3.03+0.94+0.41+0.61+0.63+2.51+0.50−0.52−4.83−4.92−5.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.020.020.020.020.010.020.02−0.03−0.030.010.02−0.01−0.05−0.010.030.020.03LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.030.040.010.040.030.060.030.010.010.020.110.100.030.060.080.030.11−0.010.010.05−0.030.010.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackDundee United0.97 → 0.95Aberdeen1.17 → 1.14Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.35 → 1.32Aberdeen0.95 → 0.93

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six26%27%+1
11th10%9%−1
Bottom6%5%−1
Aberdeen
Top six98%97%−1
Motherwell
Top six30%31%+1
11th10%10%0
Bottom7%6%−1
St. Johnstone
Top six24%24%0
11th10%10%0
Bottom7%7%0

From the forecast before the match (17 October 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Expected goals0.841.43
Win21%50%
Expected Points0.921.80
Clean sheet24%43%

Dundee United 21%Draw 28%Aberdeen 50%

Most likely score 0–1, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+5%2%8%9%4%2%4%5%4%2%1%1%1%11%14%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 17 October 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawAberdeen win
Dundee United
Top six26%40%27%21%
11th10%7%9%12%
Bottom6%2%5%8%
Aberdeen
Top six98%95%97%99%
Motherwell
Top six30%26%31%31%
11th10%10%10%10%
Bottom7%7%6%6%
St. Johnstone
Top six24%21%24%25%
11th10%10%10%9%
Bottom7%7%7%6%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L1–22 OctLivingston (H)xG 0.06–3.09
  2. D1–126 SepHamilton Academical (A)xG 1.81–1.22
  3. W2–119 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.82–1.16
  4. L0–412 SepRangers (A)xG 0.91–3.02
  5. L0–429 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 1.04–1.15
  6. L0–122 AugCeltic (H)xG 0.29–3.00

Aberdeen

  1. W2–12 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.92–0.48
  2. W3–027 SepRoss County (A)xG 3.26–0.46
  3. L0–320 SepMotherwell (H)xG 0.70–1.75
  4. W1–012 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.76–0.49
  5. W1–030 AugHibernian (A)xG 1.73–0.46
  6. W2–123 AugLivingston (H)xG 2.15–1.62

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Position7th4th
Played108
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠56–⁠0–⁠2
Points11 (1.10 per game)18 (2.25 per game)
Expected Points per game1.141.65
Goals8–⁠1610–⁠6
xG per game1.08–⁠1.651.37–⁠0.87
Home: points, xG per game0.80, 0.97–⁠1.711.80, 1.14–⁠1.12
Away: points, xG per game1.40, 1.20–⁠1.593.00, 1.76–⁠0.45
ManagerMicky Mellon (10)Derek McInnes (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackDundee United0.97, 6thAberdeen1.17, 4thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.35, 9thAberdeen0.95, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctDundee United attack: 0.97Aberdeen attack: 1.171.170.97AberdeenDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctDundee United defence: 1.35Aberdeen defence: 0.951.350.95

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−9%+45%−2%−35%
Counter-attacks+21%+304%−100%−65%
Set pieces−30%+8%−42%−32%
Penalties−47%−100%+164%−34%
Headers−43%+26%−22%−34%
Left side+25%+32%−37%−40%
Centre−43%+32%−27%−24%
Right side−2%+64%+21%−49%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdAberdeen concededLeft side+25%−49%Centre−43%−24%Right side−2%−40%Open play−9%−35%Counter-attacks+21%−65%Set pieces−30%−32%Headers−43%−34%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee United concededLeft side−37%+64%Centre−27%+32%Right side+21%+32%Open play−2%+45%Counter-attacks−100%+304%Set pieces−42%+8%Headers−22%+26%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

1.08xG1.37
1.65xG against0.87
50%Possession52%
11.2Shots10.8
15.4Shots against9.9
2.6Shots on target4.0
1.4Big chances1.9
9.5Touches in the opposition box22.0
373Passes437
70%Pass accuracy75%
5.9Corners4.1
43%Field tilt53%
35.2Final-third entries35.7
8.8Box entries9.0
13.2Passes per defensive action14.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.911.53
Ahead261.141.44
Behind181.452.23

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.550.73
Ahead281.801.00
Behind220.480.95

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.132–1
16–300.100.181–2
31–450.190.412–2
46–600.300.272–2
61–750.050.390–4
76–900.260.271–5

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.180–2
16–300.110.141–2
31–450.240.092–0
46–600.270.113–1
61–750.230.191–1
76–900.280.153–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSiegrist 9Mehmet 1Neilson 4Bolton 3Edwards 1Connolly 7Edwards 4Reynolds 9Robson 6Butcher 2Harkes 1Bolton 5Chalmers 3Butcher 1Harkes 8Butcher 4Powers 1Pawlett 7Robson 3Chalmers 3Sporle 3Clark 8Chalmers 1Shankland 4Butcher 3Appere 34-4-2 in 4 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (4), 3-5-2 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-5-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLewis 8Hoban 5McCrorie 3Hayes 1Taylor 6McKenna 4Considine 5Hedges 2Kennedy 2Hernández 2Ferguson 6Wright 1Kennedy 1McCrorie 4Ojo 2Hedges 1Hayes 7Considine 1Wright 3Ferguson 2Watkins 1Watkins 5Hedges 2Anderson 1McGinn 3Wright 3Ojo 13-4-1-2 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark8665300.420.03
Pawlett7620100.160.22
Chalmers7602000.130.09
Harkes10887000.120.07

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watkins6496210.440.07
Ferguson8720500.450.04
Wright7510110.160.11
Hedges6532110.140.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.