Matches › 2020/21

Dundee United 0–1 Celtic

Saturday 22 August 2020, 17:30 · Tannadice Park · Round 5 · Half-time 0–0

Celtic Ajeti 83'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Dundee United	Celtic
Goals	0	1
xG	0.29	3.00
Expected Points	0.07	2.88

Dundee United 1%Draw 5%Celtic 94%

Most likely score 0–3, 22%. Final score 0–1, 8%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedCeltic

0.29 −0.94xG3.00 +0.38

0.02 −0.99xG on target2.45 −0.98

7 −6Shots23 +2

1 −2.0Shots on target9 +0.5

0 −1.5Big chances3 −1.0

36% −14Possession64% −12

271 −123Passes492 −152

68% −2Pass accuracy83% −4

17% −34Field tilt83% −1

23 −15Final-third entries57 −30

3 −8Box entries22 +6

13.6 −1.3Passes per defensive action10.1 +1.5

6 −0.2Corners10 +3.5

19 +1.8Tackles15 +7.0

17 +9.0Interceptions11 +7.0

21 −1Clearances12 −4

9 +6.5Saves1 +0.5

18 +5Fouls10 −2

1 −0.5Offsides0 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Dundee United

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedCeltic

0.14 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.63 17 shots, 1 goal

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks1.10 2 shots, 0 goals

0.15 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.26 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–1

Level: 83 min (90%) · Dundee United 0.29, Celtic 2.44 xG
Celtic ahead: 9 min (10%) · Dundee United 0.00, Celtic 0.56 xG

Line-ups

Dundee United substitutes

60' Freeman for Neilson · yellow card 90'
65' Sporle for Chalmers
74' Appere for Clark
74' McMullan for Bolton

Celtic substitutes

62' Forrest for Elyounoussi
73' Ajeti for Ntcham · goal 83'
74' Ajer for Taylor
86' Klimala for Edouard

Players

Dundee United

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Siegrist	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	0
Neilson	RB	60	0.07	0.00	0	0.02	1	3
Connolly	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	2
Reynolds	CB	90	0.06	0.00	0	0.03	3	8
Robson	LB	90	0.04	0.00	0	0.03	3	11
Butcher	DM	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.04	3	12
Bolton	RM	74	0.05	0.00	1	0.05	3	2
Harkes	CM	90	0.00	0.02	2	0.06	4	5
Pawlett	CM	90	0.00	0.09	2	0.02	1	4
Chalmers	LM	65	0.02	0.00	0	0.00	1	2
Clark	ST	74	0.05	0.01	1	−0.01	1	6
Freeman	DF	30	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	4	3
Sporle	DF	25	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	3	1
Appere	FW	16	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
McMullan	FW	16	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Barkas	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Frimpong	RB	90		0.00	0.22	1	0.22	15	3
Jullien	CB	90		0.05	0.14	0	0.15	5	6
Bitton	CB	90		0.10	0.13	1	0.33	14	8
Taylor	LB	74		0.00	0.30	3	0.32	14	3
Brown	DM	90		0.00	0.07	2	0.05	5	4
McGregor	DM	90		0.04	0.08	4	0.04	3	6
Christie	RW	90		0.46	0.22	2	0.17	6	4
Ntcham	AM	73		0.06	0.03	1	−0.01	4	1
Elyounoussi	LW	62		1.31	0.10	2	0.02	7	3
Edouard	ST	86		0.29	0.08	1	−0.08	4	0
Forrest	FW	28		0.60	0.16	0	0.06	1	1
Ajeti	FW	17	1	0.10	0.02	1	−0.01	1	0
Ajer	DF	16		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
Klimala	FW	4		0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

From	To	Passes
Siegrist	Reynolds	7
Robson	Butcher	7
Pawlett	Chalmers	6
Reynolds	Robson	6
Robson	Pawlett	5

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Bitton	Taylor	16
Barkas	Bitton	13
Bitton	Frimpong	13
Frimpong	Brown	13
Jullien	Bitton	12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

Against its average of 4 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Dundee United
Top six	59%	55%	−4
11th	4%	4%	0
Bottom	1%	2%	+1
Celtic
Title	58%	62%	+4
Rangers
Title	40%	37%	−3
Hibernian
Top six	88%	89%	+1
11th	1%	1%	0

From the forecast before the match (22 August 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Dundee United	Celtic
Expected goals	0.38	1.62
Win	8%	68%
Expected Points	0.48	2.28
Clean sheet	20%	68%

Dundee United 8%Draw 24%Celtic 68%

Most likely score 0–1, 21%. Both sides score 26%.

From the forecast as it stood on 22 August 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Dundee United win	Draw	Celtic win
Dundee United
Top six	59%	76%	64%	55%
11th	4%	2%	3%	4%
Bottom	1%	<1%	1%	2%
Celtic
Title	58%	47%	52%	62%
Rangers
Title	40%	50%	45%	37%
Hibernian
Top six	88%	85%	87%	89%
11th	1%	1%	<1%	1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Dundee United	Celtic
Position	4th	6th
Played	4	2
Won, drawn, lost	2–⁠1–⁠1	1–⁠1–⁠0
Points	7 (1.75 per game)	4 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.55	1.95
Goals	4–⁠3	6–⁠2
xG per game	1.23–⁠0.96	2.62–⁠0.77
Home: points, xG per game	0.50, 1.33–⁠0.64	3.00, 4.51–⁠0.47
Away: points, xG per game	3.00, 1.11–⁠1.27	1.00, 0.74–⁠1.06
Manager	Micky Mellon (4)	Neil Lennon (2)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Dundee United		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−10%	+2%	+61%	−23%
Counter-attacks	+219%	−67%	+32%	−33%
Set pieces	−12%	−35%	+7%	−20%
Penalties	+33%	−67%	−33%	+67%
Headers	−30%	average	−10%	−6%
Left side	+54%	−6%	−1%	−23%
Centre	−34%	−16%	+45%	−25%
Right side	−11%	−6%	+79%	−15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdCeltic concededLeft side+54%−15%Centre−34%−25%Right side−11%−23%Open play−10%−23%Counter-attacks+219%−33%Set pieces−12%−20%Headers−30%−6%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee United concededLeft side−1%−6%Centre+45%−16%Right side+79%−6%Open play+61%+2%Counter-attacks+32%−67%Set pieces+7%−35%Headers−10%average

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedCeltic

1.23xG2.62

0.96xG against0.77

50%Possession76%

12.5Shots21.0

11.8Shots against6.5

3.0Shots on target8.5

1.5Big chances4.0

394Passes644

71%Pass accuracy87%

6.2Corners6.5

50%Field tilt84%

38.3Final-third entries86.5

10.8Box entries15.5

14.9Passes per defensive action8.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	56	1.24	1.08
Ahead	24	0.66	0.71
Behind	9	2.70	0.80

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	48	1.61	0.37
Ahead	42	3.82	1.23
Behind	0	–	–

xG by period

Dundee United

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.27	0.07	1–0
16–30	0.08	0.07	0–1
31–45	0.21	0.14	1–0
46–60	0.23	0.18	1–1
61–75	0.06	0.39	0–1
76–90	0.38	0.11	1–0

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.13	0.12	1–0
16–30	0.46	0.48	1–1
31–45	0.49	0.05	1–1
46–60	0.71	0.00	2–0
61–75	0.54	0.10	0–0
76–90	0.29	0.01	1–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

Formations: 3-5-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1)

Celtic

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.