Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Hearts 0–2 Rangers

Sunday 12 December 2021, 12:00 · Tynecastle Park · Round 18 · Half-time 0–2 · Attendance 18,593

Hearts Ginnelly sent off 80'

Rangers Morelos 9', Aribo 13'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HeartsRangers
Goals02
xG1.001.86
Expected Points0.771.98

Hearts 18%Draw 24%Rangers 58%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Final score 0–2, 10%.

Rangers goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+4%6%2%5%7%3%2%6%6%4%1%2%2%1%10%10%12%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTGinnelly (Hearts), second yellow card 80'Woodburn on for Mackay-Steven, 74'Gnanduillet on for Devlin, 86'Wright on for Morelos, 72'Lundstram on for Sakala, 82'Morelos 9'Aribo 13'Rangers 1.86Hearts 1.0000.511.520153045607590HTGinnelly (Hearts), second yellow card 80'Woodburn on for Mackay-Steven, 74'Gnanduillet on for Devlin, 86'Wright on for Morelos, 72'Lundstram on for Sakala, 82'Morelos 9'Aribo 13'1.861.00HeartsRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsRangers

1.00 −0.37xG1.86 −0.13
1.87 +0.39xG on target1.43 −0.79
16 +4Shots12 −8
8 +3.6Shots on target6 −0.9
3 +1.5Big chances4 +1.8
30 +8Touches in the opposition box22 −14
53% 0Possession47% −18
477 +47Passes428 −119
86% +11Pass accuracy85% +1
54% +1Field tilt46% −32
53 +11Final-third entries34 −25
17 +5Box entries13 −6
14.2 +1Passes per defensive action19.2 +7
10 +4.7Corners4 −5.0
13 −2Tackles16 +3
4 −4.8Interceptions14 +8.0
8 −11Clearances23 +9
4 −0.4Saves8 +6.4
15 +3Fouls10 −1
4 +2.0Offsides6 +4.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hearts

Boyce 65', 0.20 xGMcKay 18', 0.14 xGBoyce 85', 0.14 xGDevlin 5', 0.11 xGBoyce 42', 0.09 xGBoyce 3', 0.07 xGBoyce 32', 0.05 xGWoodburn 85', 0.04 xGMackay-Steven 48', 0.03 xGMcKay 58', 0.03 xGKingsley 71', 0.03 xGMoore 86', 0.03 xGHaring 34', 0.02 xGGinnelly 35', 0.02 xGSouttar 56', 0.01 xGHaring 90+1', 0.01 xG14%0.14 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.14 xG, 0 goals49%0.49 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.49 xG, 0 goals26%0.26 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals6%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals6%0.06 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Arfield 63', 0.36 xGArfield 59', 0.29 xGKent 90+5', 0.18 xGSakala 11', 0.17 xGMorelos 63', 0.15 xGMorelos 63', 0.12 xGSakala 61', 0.06 xGMorelos 12', 0.05 xGSakala 46', 0.05 xGBassey 90+1', 0.01 xGMorelos 9', 0.28 xG, goalAribo 13', 0.14 xG, goal9%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.17 xG, 0 goals45%0.83 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.83 xG, 1 goal36%0.67 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.67 xG, 1 goal10%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.18 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsRangers

0.94 14 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.36 8 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.27 2 shots, 0 goals
0.06 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.23 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
9 min (9%) · Hearts 0.18, Rangers 0.28 xG
Rangers ahead
86 min (91%) · Hearts 0.82, Rangers 1.58 xG

Line-ups

115419351430181110GordonMooreSouttarHalkettKingsleyHaringDevlinGinnellyMcKayMackay-StevenBoyceYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardSent off, second yellow86'74'Hearts 4-2-3-1Robbie Neilson126331181730371420McGregorTavernierGoldsonBasseyBarisicKamaraAriboSakalaArfieldKentMorelosYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow cardGoal82'72'Rangers 4-2-3-1Giovanni van Bronckhorst

Hearts substitutes

  • 74' Woodburn for Mackay-Steven
  • 86' Gnanduillet for Devlin

Rangers substitutes

  • 72' Wright for Morelos
  • 82' Lundstram for Sakala

Players

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Gordon GK900.000.0000.0101
MooreRB900.030.040−0.0352
SouttarCB900.010.1420.37172
Halkett CB900.000.0200.0874
KingsleyLB900.030.0200.07126
Haring DM900.030.0500.0893
Devlin DM860.110.3220.1664
Ginnelly RW800.020.0420.0320
McKayAM900.170.1720.3180
Mackay-StevenLW740.030.0910.0653
BoyceST900.540.0300.0021
WoodburnMF160.040.000−0.0102
GnanduilletFW40.000.000−0.0200

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregor GK900.000.0000.0000
Tavernier RB900.000.0520.09713
GoldsonCB9010.000.2210.0656
BasseyCB900.010.0000.0249
Barisic LB900.000.0000.0006
KamaraDM900.000.0410.0120
Aribo DM9010.140.0000.0015
SakalaRW8210.280.1210.3692
ArfieldAM900.650.0210.1057
Kent LW900.180.1020.16113
MorelosST7210.590.322−0.0334
WrightFW180.000.0100.0220
LundstramMF80.000.0100.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Souttar and Boyce: 6 passesDevlin and McKay: 6 passesHaring and Mackay-Steven: 6 passesMoore and Haring: 7 passesSouttar and Ginnelly: 7 passesKingsley and McKay: 7 passesHaring and McKay: 8 passesGordon and Halkett: 9 passesGordon and Souttar: 10 passesMoore and Ginnelly: 10 passesKingsley and Haring: 10 passesDevlin and Haring: 10 passesHalkett and Devlin: 11 passesKingsley and Mackay-Steven: 11 passesSouttar and Kingsley: 12 passesMoore and Devlin: 13 passesHalkett and Haring: 13 passesKingsley and Devlin: 17 passesSouttar and Haring: 20 passesMcKay and Mackay-Steven: 20 passesMoore and Souttar: 23 passesHalkett and Kingsley: 23 passesSouttar and Devlin: 23 passesHalkett and Souttar: 32 passesGordon: 19 completed passesMoore: 35 completed passesHalkett: 53 completed passesSouttar: 67 completed passesKingsley: 45 completed passesDevlin: 47 completed passesHaring: 41 completed passesGinnelly: 11 completed passesMcKay: 25 completed passesMackay-Steven: 24 completed passesBoyce: 7 completed passes115194314530181110GordonMooreHalkettSouttarKingsleyDevlinHaringGinnellyMcKayMackay-StevenBoyceStarters until 74' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Rangers

McGregor and Tavernier: 5 passesSakala and Kent: 5 passesBassey and Barisic: 6 passesBarisic and Kamara: 6 passesAribo and Kent: 6 passesGoldson and Kamara: 7 passesSakala and Arfield: 7 passesSakala and Morelos: 7 passesBassey and Kamara: 8 passesArfield and Morelos: 8 passesTavernier and Morelos: 9 passesBarisic and Kent: 9 passesKamara and Kent: 10 passesKent and Morelos: 10 passesMcGregor and Bassey: 12 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 13 passesTavernier and Kamara: 13 passesTavernier and Arfield: 13 passesTavernier and Sakala: 17 passesBassey and Goldson: 22 passesTavernier and Goldson: 24 passesMcGregor: 22 completed passesTavernier: 46 completed passesBassey: 32 completed passesGoldson: 39 completed passesBarisic: 14 completed passesKamara: 32 completed passesAribo: 10 completed passesSakala: 18 completed passesArfield: 21 completed passesKent: 23 completed passesMorelos: 20 completed passes123631181730371420McGregorTavernierBasseyGoldsonBarisicKamaraAriboSakalaArfieldKentMorelosStarters until 72' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

FromToPasses
SouttarHalkett24
HalkettKingsley20
HaringSouttar17
SouttarMoore15
HalkettSouttar14

Rangers

FromToPasses
GoldsonTavernier19
BasseyGoldson14
McGregorGoldson13
GoldsonBassey12
TavernierSakala12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

0−4.10−5.310−1.27+1.51−4.20−5.63−4.26+0.36−1.24−1.92−3.85−0.33−3.25+0.31−3.43−0.26+2.25+1.811+7.12−0.82+0.22+0.21−0.86+3.72+1.70−0.50−0.80−0.50−1.12−5.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 17 matches

Rangers

5+0.19+5.418+10.35−0.19+3.410+4.211+5.97+2.46+0.63−5.16−0.43−0.85+0.93−2.43−3.05+0.33+0.12−0.31−2.15+0.72−0.90−2.50−1.51−0.30−3.00−0.90−0.40−1.00−0.70−1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

0.010.010.100.020.020.030.010.040.030.020.030.040.070.070.040.02−0.030.03−0.030.050.06−0.050.030.040.150.150.16LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.030.040.020.030.010.020.030.010.020.050.040.010.010.040.090.12−0.010.03−0.010.01−0.11−0.010.010.28LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackHearts1.25 → 1.24Rangers1.94 → 1.93Defence (lower is better)Hearts1.16 → 1.16Rangers0.70 → 0.70

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hearts
Top six99%98%−1
Rangers
Title61%66%+5
Celtic
Title39%34%−5
St. Mirren
Top six6%6%0
11th19%18%−1
Bottom15%15%0

From the forecast before the match (12 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HeartsRangers
Expected goals0.841.79
Win17%59%
Expected Points0.742.02
Clean sheet17%43%

Hearts 17%Draw 24%Rangers 59%

Most likely score 0–1, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

Rangers goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+8%7%3%1%5%6%3%3%5%4%2%1%1%1%12%12%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 12 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHearts winDrawRangers win
Hearts
Top six99%>99%99%98%
Rangers
Title61%50%55%66%
Celtic
Title39%49%45%34%
St. Mirren
Top six6%8%5%6%
11th19%18%21%18%
Bottom15%14%15%15%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hearts

  1. W1–05 DecLivingston (A)xG 1.84–1.25
  2. L0–12 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.67–2.86
  3. W2–027 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.16–1.16
  4. L0–220 NovMotherwell (A)xG 0.30–2.16
  5. W5–26 NovDundee United (H)xG 2.14–0.85
  6. L1–230 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.95–1.11

Rangers

  1. W3–04 DecDundee FC (H)xG 2.81–0.44
  2. W1–01 DecHibernian (A)xG 1.78–0.22
  3. W3–128 NovLivingston (A)xG 1.70–0.94
  4. W4–27 NovRoss County (H)xG 1.23–0.48
  5. W6–131 OctMotherwell (A)xG 3.09–0.55
  6. D2–227 OctAberdeen (H)xG 2.34–1.02

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HeartsRangers
Position3rd1st
Played1716
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠6–⁠312–⁠3–⁠1
Points30 (1.76 per game)39 (2.44 per game)
Expected Points per game1.522.23
Goals26–⁠1536–⁠14
xG per game1.37–⁠1.261.99–⁠0.65
Home: points, xG per game2.25, 1.77–⁠0.862.25, 2.08–⁠0.56
Away: points, xG per game1.33, 1.01–⁠1.612.62, 1.91–⁠0.75
ManagerRobbie Neilson (17)Giovanni van Bronckhorst (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackHearts1.25, 3rdRangers1.94, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Hearts1.16, 6thRangers0.70, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecHearts attack: 1.25Rangers attack: 1.941.941.25RangersHeartsDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecHearts defence: 1.16Rangers defence: 0.701.160.70

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HeartsRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−1%+11%+67%−48%
Counter-attacks+36%−59%−14%−100%
Set pieces−11%+27%+56%−50%
Penalties+148%−100%+76%−12%
Headers−25%−13%+66%−45%
Left side+45%−18%+31%−46%
Centre−42%+14%+48%−53%
Right side+35%+43%+112%−50%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdRangers concededLeft side+45%−50%Centre−42%−53%Right side+35%−46%Open play−1%−48%Counter-attacks+36%−100%Set pieces−11%−50%Headers−25%−45%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHearts concededLeft side+31%+43%Centre+48%+14%Right side+112%−18%Open play+67%+11%Counter-attacks−14%−59%Set pieces+56%+27%Headers+66%−13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsRangers

1.37xG1.99
1.26xG against0.65
53%Possession65%
12.4Shots19.7
13.9Shots against6.1
4.4Shots on target6.9
1.5Big chances2.2
22.1Touches in the opposition box36.0
430Passes547
75%Pass accuracy84%
5.3Corners9.0
52%Field tilt78%
41.7Final-third entries58.8
11.8Box entries19.0
13.6Passes per defensive action12.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.511.22
Ahead311.490.94
Behind140.682.07

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level331.760.73
Ahead422.070.73
Behind152.280.29

xG by period

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.193–2
16–300.160.215–1
31–450.330.195–4
46–600.330.203–2
61–750.200.175–4
76–900.220.315–2

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.134–5
16–300.280.106–2
31–450.340.106–1
46–600.360.086–1
61–750.190.114–2
76–900.580.1310–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWGordon 17Souttar 15Moore 4Smith 1Halkett 16Kingsley 12Cochrane 3Smith 14McKay 1McEneff 1Baningime 15Woodburn 1McEneff 1Devlin 11Haring 5Halliday 1Cochrane 10Halliday 5Kingsley 2McKay 8Ginnelly 5Woodburn 3Boyce 12Ginnelly 3Gnanduillet 2Woodburn 7Mackay-Steven 7McKay 23-4-3 in 11 of 17 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (11), 3-4-2-1 (4), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcGregor 9McLaughlin 6McCrorie 1Tavernier 14Balogun 1Patterson 1Goldson 15Balogun 10Bassey 3Helander 3Barisic 9Bassey 7Aribo 13Lundstram 7Davis 9Arfield 3Hagi 1Kamara 14Bacuna 1Hagi 9Roofe 4Aribo 3Morelos 13Sakala 3Kent 8Wright 3Sakala 24-3-3 in 11 of 16 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (11), 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-3-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
16 October 2021Rangers1–1HeartsxG 3.34–0.49

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Hearts won 0, Rangers won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 1–1 and xG 0.49–3.34 per game.

Key players

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyce121,068710.650.05
McKay11975020.140.36
Mackay-Steven8669230.360.09
Gnanduillet3455100.340.10

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Roofe6646600.870.16
Sakala5508500.590.22
Morelos131,073530.610.13
Tavernier141,2603100.180.35

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.