Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Livingston 0–0 Rangers

Sunday 16 August 2020, 16:30 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 4 · Half-time 0–0

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonRangers
Goals00
xG0.071.11
Expected Points0.412.24

Livingston 2%Draw 35%Rangers 63%

Most likely score 0–1, 34%. Final score 0–0, 32%.

Rangers goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+19%7%2%2%3%1%32%34%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTCrawford on for Bartley and Poplatnik on for Hamilton, 57'Robinson on for Forrest, 67'Kouider-Aissa on for Poplatnik, 76'Barker on for Arfield and Roofe on for Hagi, 58'Itten on for Morelos, 71'Rangers 1.11Livingston 0.0700.511.50153045607590HTCrawford on for Bartley and Poplatnik on for Hamilton, 57'Robinson on for Forrest, 67'Kouider-Aissa on for Poplatnik, 76'Barker on for Arfield and Roofe on for Hagi, 58'Itten on for Morelos, 71'1.110.07LivingstonRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonRangers

0.07 −1.26xG1.11 −0.77
0.03 −1.30xG on target0.41 −1.42
2 −11Shots23 +4
1 −2.7Shots on target3 −4.0
0 −1.0Big chances0 −2.0
22% −31Possession78% +8
204 −120Passes729 +41
45% −15Pass accuracy84% −4
7% −55Field tilt93% +12
14 −27Final-third entries76 +12
2 −8Box entries22 +6
18.8 +9.7Passes per defensive action9.7 +0.3
0 −5.3Corners9 +0.3
25 +13Tackles7 −11
25 +16.0Interceptions6 −1.7
49 +33.0Clearances6 −2.7
3 +1.3Saves1 −0.3
10 −7Fouls7 −4
0 −0.7Offsides1 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Robinson 90', 0.06 xGSibbald 83', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals86%0.06 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals14%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Morelos 70', 0.11 xGBarker 86', 0.08 xGHagi 22', 0.07 xGMorelos 33', 0.07 xGMorelos 62', 0.06 xGGoldson 68', 0.06 xGBarisic 85', 0.06 xGKent 90+2', 0.06 xGTavernier 90+6', 0.06 xGHelander 45+2', 0.05 xGKent 53', 0.04 xGMorelos 54', 0.04 xGBarker 82', 0.04 xGTavernier 90+4', 0.04 xGJack 11', 0.03 xGKent 13', 0.03 xGGoldson 13', 0.03 xGHagi 14', 0.03 xGMorelos 30', 0.03 xGArfield 36', 0.03 xGKent 85', 0.03 xGGoldson 87', 0.03 xGKent 90+5', 0.03 xG10%0.11 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals35%0.39 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.39 xG, 0 goals22%0.24 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals28%0.31 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals5%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonRangers

0.07 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.70 14 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.07 1 shot, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.35 8 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
98 min (100%) · Livingston 0.07, Rangers 1.11 xG

Line-ups

322527216118181038StryjekDevlinFitzwaterGuthrieMcMillanBartleyForrestPittmanHoltSibbaldHamilton57'67'57'Livingston 4-2-3-1Gary Holt33265311883772014McLaughlinTavernierGoldsonHelanderBarisicKamaraJackArfieldHagiMorelosKentYellow card58'58'71'Rangers 4-3-3Steven Gerrard

Livingston substitutes

  • 57' Poplatnik for Hamilton · off 76'
  • 57' Crawford for Bartley
  • 67' Robinson for Forrest
  • 76' Kouider-Aissa for Poplatnik

Rangers substitutes

  • 58' Barker for Arfield
  • 58' Roofe for Hagi
  • 71' Itten for Morelos

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0002
DevlinRB900.000.0000.01212
FitzwaterCB900.000.0010.01122
GuthrieCB900.000.0000.04422
McMillanLB900.000.0100.03315
BartleyDM570.000.0000.0228
ForrestDM670.000.0000.0112
PittmanRW900.000.0110.0326
HoltAM900.000.0000.0105
SibbaldLW900.010.0100.0423
HamiltonST570.000.0000.0021
PoplatnikFW190.000.0000.0002
CrawfordMF330.000.0000.0113
RobinsonFW230.060.0000.0004
Kouider-AissaFW140.000.0000.0001

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McLaughlinGK900.000.0000.0310
TavernierRB900.100.4950.37110
GoldsonCB900.120.0910.24103
HelanderCB900.050.0100.0978
BarisicLB900.060.0500.1071
KamaraCM900.000.1020.17120
JackCM900.030.1520.38164
ArfieldCM580.030.031−0.0511
HagiRW580.100.031−0.0510
Morelos ST710.300.1720.0541
KentLW900.180.1320.14111
BarkerMF320.120.010−0.0710
RoofeFW320.000.2710.0900
IttenFW190.000.0720.0800

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Devlin and Forrest: 3 passesDevlin and Hamilton: 3 passesFitzwater and Bartley: 3 passesGuthrie and Sibbald: 3 passesMcMillan and Sibbald: 3 passesPittman and Holt: 3 passesStryjek and Devlin: 4 passesMcMillan and Forrest: 4 passesSibbald and Forrest: 4 passesDevlin and Sibbald: 5 passesDevlin and Pittman: 8 passesStryjek: 5 completed passesDevlin: 15 completed passesFitzwater: 5 completed passesGuthrie: 9 completed passesMcMillan: 10 completed passesPittman: 7 completed passesBartley: 3 completed passesSibbald: 9 completed passesHolt: 3 completed passesForrest: 5 completed passesHamilton: 4 completed passes322527218610181138StryjekDevlinFitzwaterGuthrieMcMillanPittmanBartleySibbaldHoltForrestHamiltonStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

McLaughlin and Helander: 7 passesMcLaughlin and Jack: 7 passesTavernier and Kent: 7 passesArfield and Hagi: 7 passesJack and Morelos: 7 passesHagi and Morelos: 7 passesTavernier and Morelos: 9 passesArfield and Jack: 9 passesKamara and Morelos: 9 passesTavernier and Arfield: 11 passesBarisic and Jack: 11 passesBarisic and Kent: 12 passesTavernier and Goldson: 13 passesKamara and Hagi: 14 passesHelander and Goldson: 15 passesHelander and Kamara: 16 passesHelander and Jack: 16 passesJack and Kent: 16 passesBarisic and Kamara: 18 passesJack and Hagi: 19 passesKamara and Kent: 21 passesTavernier and Jack: 24 passesGoldson and Jack: 26 passesKamara and Jack: 51 passesMcLaughlin: 16 completed passesTavernier: 38 completed passesHelander: 36 completed passesGoldson: 41 completed passesBarisic: 27 completed passesArfield: 23 completed passesKamara: 70 completed passesJack: 95 completed passesHagi: 25 completed passesMorelos: 18 completed passesKent: 35 completed passes33256313718872014McLaughlinTavernierHelanderGoldsonBarisicArfieldKamaraJackHagiMorelosKentStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
PittmanDevlin6
DevlinSibbald4
GuthrieSibbald3
SibbaldForrest3
StryjekDevlin3

Rangers

FromToPasses
JackKamara31
KamaraJack29
GoldsonJack22
GoldsonHelander21
JackTavernier20

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

9+5.76+0.334+22.713+11.750.06−1.714+10.011+5.017+11.07+0.32−4.013+9.010+6.34+0.34−1.34+1.07+1.74+1.02−0.33−1.01−2.30−2.70−2.00−1.71−2.30−2.70−2.00−1.31+1.03+2.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Rangers

1−6.30−4.75+2.34−1.34+3.05−5.012+8.05+3.38+3.73−3.74+2.710+6.05+1.35−1.02−1.06+4.05−3.02−1.71−1.71+0.32−0.33+1.32+0.32+2.02+1.32+1.31−1.31−6.72−6.70−7.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.010.010.020.010.010.010.010.020.010.01−0.010.030.020.030.03LessMore

Rangers

0.020.010.020.030.030.040.020.160.050.060.030.040.080.050.060.090.160.05−0.010.08−0.01−0.07−0.060.050.160.220.22LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.11AttackLivingston0.96 → 0.90Rangers1.66 → 1.36Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.49 → 1.32Rangers0.50 → 0.42

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six15%21%+6
11th19%16%−3
Bottom17%13%−4
Rangers
Title48%40%−8
Celtic
Title51%58%+7

From the forecast before the match (16 August 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonRangers
Expected goals0.462.29
Win6%79%
Expected Points0.322.52
Clean sheet10%63%

Livingston 6%Draw 16%Rangers 79%

Most likely score 0–2, 17%. Both sides score 33%.

Rangers goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+7%7%3%2%3%7%8%6%3%2%2%2%1%14%17%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 16 August 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawRangers win
Livingston
Top six15%28%21%13%
11th19%13%16%21%
Bottom17%8%13%18%
Rangers
Title48%36%40%50%
Celtic
Title51%62%58%48%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. D2–212 AugMotherwell (A)xG 2.03–0.50
  2. L1–48 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.42–3.83
  3. L0–11 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.55–1.04

Rangers

  1. W3–012 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.73–0.44
  2. W3–09 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.65–0.42
  3. W1–01 AugAberdeen (A)xG 1.25–0.15

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonRangers
Position10th2nd
Played33
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠1–⁠23–⁠0–⁠0
Points1 (0.33 per game)9 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.192.51
Goals3–⁠77–⁠0
xG per game1.33–⁠1.791.88–⁠0.34
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 1.42–⁠3.833.00, 2.19–⁠0.43
Away: points, xG per game0.50, 1.29–⁠0.773.00, 1.25–⁠0.15
ManagerGary Holt (3)Steven Gerrard (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.11AttackLivingston0.96, 7thRangers1.66, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.49, 11thRangers0.50, 2nd

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.51 Aug15 AugLivingston attack: 0.96Rangers attack: 1.661.660.96RangersLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.51 Aug15 AugLivingston defence: 1.49Rangers defence: 0.501.490.50

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%−4%+39%−37%
Counter-attacks−50%−50%−50%+57%
Set pieces−11%+74%+22%−35%
Penalties+108%+29%−50%−50%
Headers−23%+32%+36%−23%
Left side−14%−27%−4%−30%
Centre−7%+54%+49%−33%
Right side−26%−2%+36%−44%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRangers concededLeft side−14%−44%Centre−7%−33%Right side−26%−30%Open play−15%−37%Counter-attacks−50%+57%Set pieces−11%−35%Headers−23%−23%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdLivingston concededLeft side−4%−2%Centre+49%+54%Right side+36%−27%Open play+39%−4%Counter-attacks−50%−50%Set pieces+22%+74%Headers+36%+32%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonRangers

1.33xG1.88
1.79xG against0.34
53%Possession70%
13.0Shots19.3
10.7Shots against4.0
3.7Shots on target7.0
1.0Big chances2.0
324Passes688
60%Pass accuracy89%
5.3Corners8.7
62%Field tilt82%
41.3Final-third entries64.3
10.0Box entries15.7
9.1Passes per defensive action9.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level360.711.34
Ahead0––
Behind541.732.09

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level221.550.21
Ahead681.980.38
Behind0––

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.390.081–1
16–300.080.420–2
31–450.100.590–3
46–600.350.091–0
61–750.290.121–0
76–900.120.490–1

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.040–0
16–300.280.023–0
31–450.090.001–0
46–600.560.121–0
61–750.400.022–0
76–900.360.140–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTMcCrorie 3Fitzwater 3Guthrie 3Taylor-Sinclair 2Brown 1Devlin 2Robinson 1Bartley 3Sibbald 3Ambrose 2Brown 1Pittman 3Forrest 2Robinson 1Dykes 33-4-2-1 in every start

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcLaughlin 2McGregor 1Tavernier 3Goldson 3Balogun 3Barisic 3Aribo 3Jack 3Kamara 3Hagi 3Morelos 3Kent 34-3-3 in 2 of 3 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.