Sunday 16 August 2020, 16:30 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 4 · Half-time 0–0
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Livingston
Rangers
Goals
0
0
xG
0.07
1.11
Expected Points
0.41
2.24
Livingston 2%Draw 35%Rangers 63%
Most likely score 0–1, 34%. Final score 0–0, 32%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
LivingstonRangers
0.07 −1.26xG1.11 −0.77
0.03 −1.30xG on target0.41 −1.42
2 −11Shots23 +4
1 −2.7Shots on target3 −4.0
0 −1.0Big chances0 −2.0
22% −31Possession78% +8
204 −120Passes729 +41
45% −15Pass accuracy84% −4
7% −55Field tilt93% +12
14 −27Final-third entries76 +12
2 −8Box entries22 +6
18.8 +9.7Passes per defensive action9.7 +0.3
0 −5.3Corners9 +0.3
25 +13Tackles7 −11
25 +16.0Interceptions6 −1.7
49 +33.0Clearances6 −2.7
3 +1.3Saves1 −0.3
10 −7Fouls7 −4
0 −0.7Offsides1 0.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Livingston
Rangers
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
0–0
0'HTFT
Level
98 min (100%) · Livingston 0.07, Rangers 1.11 xG
Line-ups
Livingston substitutes
57'Poplatnik for Hamilton · off 76'
57'Crawford for Bartley
67'Robinson for Forrest
76'Kouider-Aissa for Poplatnik
Rangers substitutes
58'Barker for Arfield
58'Roofe for Hagi
71'Itten for Morelos
Players
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Stryjek
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Devlin
RB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
2
12
Fitzwater
CB
90
0.00
0.00
1
0.01
1
22
Guthrie
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
4
22
McMillan
LB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
3
15
Bartley
DM
57
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
8
Forrest
DM
67
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
2
Pittman
RW
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.03
2
6
Holt
AM
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
5
Sibbald
LW
90
0.01
0.01
0
0.04
2
3
Hamilton
ST
57
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
2
1
Poplatnik
FW
19
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Crawford
MF
33
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
3
Robinson
FW
23
0.06
0.00
0
0.00
0
4
Kouider-Aissa
FW
14
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Rangers
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
McLaughlin
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
1
0
Tavernier
RB
90
0.10
0.49
5
0.37
11
0
Goldson
CB
90
0.12
0.09
1
0.24
10
3
Helander
CB
90
0.05
0.01
0
0.09
7
8
Barisic
LB
90
0.06
0.05
0
0.10
7
1
Kamara
CM
90
0.00
0.10
2
0.17
12
0
Jack
CM
90
0.03
0.15
2
0.38
16
4
Arfield
CM
58
0.03
0.03
1
−0.05
1
1
Hagi
RW
58
0.10
0.03
1
−0.05
1
0
Morelos
ST
71
0.30
0.17
2
0.05
4
1
Kent
LW
90
0.18
0.13
2
0.14
11
1
Barker
MF
32
0.12
0.01
0
−0.07
1
0
Roofe
FW
32
0.00
0.27
1
0.09
0
0
Itten
FW
19
0.00
0.07
2
0.08
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Livingston
Rangers
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Livingston
From
To
Passes
Pittman
Devlin
6
Devlin
Sibbald
4
Guthrie
Sibbald
3
Sibbald
Forrest
3
Stryjek
Devlin
3
Rangers
From
To
Passes
Jack
Kamara
31
Kamara
Jack
29
Goldson
Jack
22
Goldson
Helander
21
Jack
Tavernier
20
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Livingston
Against its average of 3 matches
Rangers
Against its average of 3 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Livingston
Rangers
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Livingston
Top six
15%
21%
+6
11th
19%
16%
−3
Bottom
17%
13%
−4
Rangers
Title
48%
40%
−8
Celtic
Title
51%
58%
+7
From the forecast before the match (16 August 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Livingston
Rangers
Expected goals
0.46
2.29
Win
6%
79%
Expected Points
0.32
2.52
Clean sheet
10%
63%
Livingston 6%Draw 16%Rangers 79%
Most likely score 0–2, 17%. Both sides score 33%.
From the forecast as it stood on 16 August 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Livingston win
Draw
Rangers win
Livingston
Top six
15%
28%
21%
13%
11th
19%
13%
16%
21%
Bottom
17%
8%
13%
18%
Rangers
Title
48%
36%
40%
50%
Celtic
Title
51%
62%
58%
48%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Livingston
Rangers
Position
10th
2nd
Played
3
3
Won, drawn, lost
0–1–2
3–0–0
Points
1 (0.33 per game)
9 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.19
2.51
Goals
3–7
7–0
xG per game
1.33–1.79
1.88–0.34
Home: points, xG per game
0.00, 1.42–3.83
3.00, 2.19–0.43
Away: points, xG per game
0.50, 1.29–0.77
3.00, 1.25–0.15
Manager
Gary Holt (3)
Steven Gerrard (3)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Livingston
Rangers
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−15%
−4%
+39%
−37%
Counter-attacks
−50%
−50%
−50%
+57%
Set pieces
−11%
+74%
+22%
−35%
Penalties
+108%
+29%
−50%
−50%
Headers
−23%
+32%
+36%
−23%
Left side
−14%
−27%
−4%
−30%
Centre
−7%
+54%
+49%
−33%
Right side
−26%
−2%
+36%
−44%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
LivingstonRangers
1.33xG1.88
1.79xG against0.34
53%Possession70%
13.0Shots19.3
10.7Shots against4.0
3.7Shots on target7.0
1.0Big chances2.0
324Passes688
60%Pass accuracy89%
5.3Corners8.7
62%Field tilt82%
41.3Final-third entries64.3
10.0Box entries15.7
9.1Passes per defensive action9.4
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
36
0.71
1.34
Ahead
0
–
–
Behind
54
1.73
2.09
Rangers
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
22
1.55
0.21
Ahead
68
1.98
0.38
Behind
0
–
–
xG by period
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.39
0.08
1–1
16–30
0.08
0.42
0–2
31–45
0.10
0.59
0–3
46–60
0.35
0.09
1–0
61–75
0.29
0.12
1–0
76–90
0.12
0.49
0–1
Rangers
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.20
0.04
0–0
16–30
0.28
0.02
3–0
31–45
0.09
0.00
1–0
46–60
0.56
0.12
1–0
61–75
0.40
0.02
2–0
76–90
0.36
0.14
0–0
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
Livingston
Rangers
Formations: 4-3-3 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1)
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.