Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Rangers 2–0 Livingston

Sunday 25 October 2020, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 12 · Half-time 2–0

Rangers Aribo 9', Defoe 16'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersLivingston
Goals20
xG1.390.87
Expected Points1.760.87

Rangers 46%Draw 37%Livingston 17%

Most likely score 1–1, 29%. Final score 2–0, 7%.

Livingston goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+4%11%2%9%4%7%19%3%2%6%1%29%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTRoofe on for Defoe, 64'Itten on for Kent and Arfield on for Aribo, 75'Jones on for Hagi, 84'Mullin on for Ambrose, 46'Forrest on for Sibbald, 67'Poplatnik on for Emmanuel-Thomas, 85'Aribo 9'Defoe 16'Rangers 1.39Livingston 0.8700.511.50153045607590HTRoofe on for Defoe, 64'Itten on for Kent and Arfield on for Aribo, 75'Jones on for Hagi, 84'Mullin on for Ambrose, 46'Forrest on for Sibbald, 67'Poplatnik on for Emmanuel-Thomas, 85'Aribo 9'Defoe 16'1.390.87RangersLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersLivingston

1.39 −0.97xG0.87 −0.58
2.17 −0.03xG on target1.00 −0.18
11 −8Shots4 −7
7 +0.3Shots on target1 −1.9
2 −1.2Big chances1 −0.6
26 +2Touches in the opposition box7 −18
70% +3Possession30% −20
643 +27Passes277 −82
84% −2Pass accuracy64% +1
79% −2Field tilt21% −33
54 −7Final-third entries16 −21
15 −4Box entries3 −8
11.9 +2Passes per defensive action25.3 +14
5 −2.4Corners3 −3.0
12 −3Tackles17 +2
13 +4.4Interceptions17 +6.8
14 +4Clearances21 +1
1 −0.1Saves6 +4.2
9 −2Fouls14 −1
1 −0.5Offsides1 −0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Defoe 9', 0.08 xGKent 48', 0.08 xGItten 86', 0.08 xGGoldson 90+1', 0.06 xGJack 25', 0.05 xGJones 90+1', 0.05 xGJack 38', 0.04 xGHagi 52', 0.03 xGHelander 70', 0.03 xGAribo 9', 0.59 xG, goalDefoe 16', 0.30 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals78%1.08 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 1.08 xG, 2 goals14%0.19 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals6%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Emmanuel-Thomas 22', 0.73 xGPittman 61', 0.07 xGForrest 71', 0.05 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 51', 0.03 xG83%0.73 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.73 xG, 0 goals8%0.07 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals6%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersLivingston

1.14 7 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.85 3 shots, 0 goals
0.08 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.17 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
9 min (10%) · Rangers 0.67, Livingston 0.00 xG
Rangers ahead
82 min (90%) · Rangers 0.72, Livingston 0.87 xG

Line-ups

12653108177149McGregorTavernierGoldsonHelanderBasseyDavisJackAriboHagiKentDefoeYellow cardGoalGoal75'84'75'64'Rangers 4-2-3-1Steven Gerrard32252732610128918StryjekAmbroseGuthrieBrownDevlinBartleySibbaldSerranoPittmanEmmanuel-ThomasHoltYellow card46'67'85'Livingston 3-4-3Gary Holt

Rangers substitutes

  • 64' Roofe for Defoe
  • 75' Arfield for Aribo
  • 75' Itten for Kent
  • 84' Jones for Hagi

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Mullin for Ambrose
  • 67' Forrest for Sibbald
  • 85' Poplatnik for Emmanuel-Thomas

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0010.0231
TavernierRB9010.000.3930.37113
GoldsonCB900.060.0520.09107
HelanderCB900.030.0100.0524
BasseyLB900.000.0700.1044
DavisDM900.000.2900.1278
Jack DM900.090.0600.14163
AriboRW7510.590.0300.0224
HagiAM8410.030.6640.2061
KentLW750.080.0510.0114
DefoeST6410.380.0200.0110
RoofeFW260.000.0000.0010
ArfieldMF150.000.0000.0110
IttenFW150.080.1400.0400
JonesMF60.050.040−0.0100

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0451
AmbroseCB460.000.0000.0112
Guthrie CB900.000.0100.0048
BrownCB900.000.0300.06510
DevlinRWB900.000.1010.0967
BartleyCM900.000.0000.0013
SibbaldCM670.000.011−0.0103
SerranoLWB900.000.0000.0215
PittmanRW900.070.0000.0125
Emmanuel-ThomasST850.750.010−0.0112
HoltLW900.000.020−0.0303
MullinMF440.000.0110.0323
ForrestFW230.050.0000.0115
PoplatnikFW50.000.010−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Tavernier and Aribo: 6 passesBassey and Hagi: 6 passesBassey and Davis: 7 passesDavis and Kent: 7 passesAribo and Hagi: 7 passesBassey and Jack: 8 passesTavernier and Hagi: 9 passesGoldson and Hagi: 9 passesJack and Kent: 9 passesDavis and Hagi: 10 passesMcGregor and Helander: 11 passesTavernier and Jack: 11 passesHelander and Bassey: 12 passesBassey and Aribo: 13 passesTavernier and Davis: 14 passesJack and Hagi: 15 passesBassey and Kent: 16 passesHelander and Davis: 17 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 19 passesHelander and Jack: 19 passesJack and Aribo: 20 passesGoldson and Davis: 21 passesGoldson and Jack: 24 passesJack and Davis: 28 passesHelander and Goldson: 31 passesTavernier and Goldson: 37 passesMcGregor: 25 completed passesTavernier: 42 completed passesHelander: 52 completed passesGoldson: 77 completed passesBassey: 37 completed passesJack: 74 completed passesDavis: 60 completed passesAribo: 24 completed passesHagi: 31 completed passesKent: 23 completed passesDefoe: 6 completed passes12563810177149McGregorTavernierHelanderGoldsonBasseyJackDavisAriboHagiKentDefoeStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Livingston

Stryjek and Ambrose: 3 passesStryjek and Guthrie: 3 passesStryjek and Emmanuel-Thomas: 3 passesAmbrose and Sibbald: 3 passesBrown and Emmanuel-Thomas: 3 passesBrown and Holt: 3 passesGuthrie and Devlin: 3 passesGuthrie and Holt: 3 passesDevlin and Emmanuel-Thomas: 3 passesSerrano and Sibbald: 3 passesSibbald and Holt: 3 passesStryjek and Devlin: 4 passesAmbrose and Bartley: 4 passesStryjek and Brown: 5 passesBrown and Guthrie: 5 passesDevlin and Pittman: 5 passesSerrano and Holt: 5 passesAmbrose and Guthrie: 6 passesAmbrose and Devlin: 6 passesBrown and Serrano: 9 passesStryjek: 8 completed passesAmbrose: 16 completed passesBrown: 12 completed passesGuthrie: 12 completed passesDevlin: 14 completed passesSerrano: 11 completed passesBartley: 5 completed passesSibbald: 10 completed passesPittman: 6 completed passesEmmanuel-Thomas: 4 completed passesHolt: 11 completed passes32253272126108918StryjekAmbroseBrownGuthrieDevlinSerranoBartleySibbaldPittmanEmmanuel-ThomasHoltStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
GoldsonTavernier26
GoldsonHelander25
JackDavis22
DavisJack18
McGregorGoldson17

Livingston

FromToPasses
SerranoBrown7
DevlinPittman5
GuthrieAmbrose4
BartleyHolt4
DevlinEmmanuel-Thomas4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

3−1.01−2.27+1.38+2.52−1.95−3.17+1.04+1.03−3.39+2.35−1.66+0.83−0.95+0.410+4.53−1.85+0.42−0.73−0.64−1.11−2.51−1.50−1.23+1.43+0.50−1.40−0.40−1.00−0.93+1.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Livingston

6+1.110+4.89−3.09+4.57+2.89+1.68+0.27+0.16−2.410+4.97+2.03−1.26+1.46+0.53−0.60−4.63−0.11−2.43−1.51−2.42−0.90−1.21−0.42−0.82+0.60−0.71+0.30−0.51+0.23−6.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.020.010.020.060.030.020.010.040.090.040.030.050.120.100.020.020.050.020.160.070.010.01−0.07−0.110.090.24LessMore

Livingston

0.020.020.020.030.010.01−0.010.010.01−0.010.010.03−0.020.01−0.020.010.10LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackRangers1.94 → 1.96Livingston1.14 → 1.17Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.51 → 0.57Livingston1.32 → 1.29

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title62%65%+3
Livingston
Top six40%37%−3
11th5%5%0
Bottom2%2%0
Celtic
Title38%35%−3
Kilmarnock
Top six47%47%0
11th4%4%0

From the forecast before the match (25 October 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersLivingston
Expected goals2.250.51
Win77%7%
Expected Points2.470.36
Clean sheet60%11%

Rangers 77%Draw 17%Livingston 7%

Most likely score 2–0, 16%. Both sides score 36%.

Livingston goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+7%3%8%2%8%2%6%2%7%3%3%2%2%14%16%12%

From the forecast as it stood on 25 October 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawLivingston win
Rangers
Title62%65%55%46%
Livingston
Top six40%37%45%60%
11th5%5%4%2%
Bottom2%2%2%1%
Celtic
Title38%35%45%53%
Kilmarnock
Top six47%47%47%40%
11th4%4%4%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. W2–017 OctCeltic (A)xG 1.50–0.55
  2. W2–04 OctRoss County (H)xG 2.00–0.46
  3. W5–127 SepMotherwell (A)xG 2.59–0.38
  4. D2–220 SepHibernian (A)xG 3.01–0.60
  5. W4–012 SepDundee United (H)xG 3.02–0.91
  6. W2–029 AugHamilton Academical (A)xG 4.14–0.17

Livingston

  1. L1–317 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.53–2.27
  2. W2–12 OctDundee United (A)xG 3.09–0.06
  3. W2–026 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.54–1.11
  4. L2–319 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.35–1.58
  5. L1–212 SepHamilton Academical (H)xG 2.43–0.78
  6. W1–029 AugRoss County (H)xG 1.31–0.38

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersLivingston
Position1st9th
Played1111
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠2–⁠03–⁠2–⁠6
Points29 (2.64 per game)11 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game2.591.40
Goals26–⁠313–⁠18
xG per game2.36–⁠0.391.45–⁠1.35
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.47–⁠0.471.17, 1.22–⁠1.58
Away: points, xG per game2.33, 2.27–⁠0.320.80, 1.73–⁠1.07
ManagerSteven Gerrard (11)Gary Holt (11)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackRangers1.94, 1stLivingston1.14, 5thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.51, 1stLivingston1.32, 9th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctRangers attack: 1.94Livingston attack: 1.141.941.14LivingstonRangersDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctRangers defence: 0.51Livingston defence: 1.321.320.51

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+100%−69%+8%−16%
Counter-attacks+38%−66%−100%−83%
Set pieces+37%−65%+3%+26%
Penalties+26%−100%+26%+26%
Headers+56%−46%+8%+19%
Left side+65%−71%−27%−30%
Centre+70%−65%+35%+14%
Right side+107%−68%−25%−17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdLivingston concededLeft side+65%−17%Centre+70%+14%Right side+107%−30%Open play+100%−16%Counter-attacks+38%−83%Set pieces+37%+26%Headers+56%+19%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRangers concededLeft side−27%−68%Centre+35%−65%Right side−25%−71%Open play+8%−69%Counter-attacks−100%−66%Set pieces+3%−65%Headers+8%−46%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersLivingston

2.36xG1.45
0.39xG against1.35
67%Possession50%
19.5Shots11.4
4.6Shots against10.9
6.7Shots on target2.9
3.2Big chances1.6
23.7Touches in the opposition box25.0
616Passes359
85%Pass accuracy63%
7.4Corners6.0
81%Field tilt54%
60.7Final-third entries36.7
19.0Box entries10.6
10.1Passes per defensive action11.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level302.540.22
Ahead582.270.48
Behind22.350.00

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.191.21
Ahead141.091.27
Behind331.931.56

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.400.064–0
16–300.360.046–1
31–450.320.074–0
46–600.500.044–0
61–750.380.064–1
76–900.400.124–1

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.093–1
16–300.230.311–6
31–450.200.282–4
46–600.210.242–5
61–750.280.213–0
76–900.280.222–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcLaughlin 8McGregor 3Tavernier 11Goldson 11Helander 7Balogun 4Barisic 10Bassey 1Kamara 8Aribo 3Jack 8Barker 2Hagi 1Davis 6Arfield 5Hagi 4Kent 3Barker 2Morelos 8Roofe 3Kent 8Hagi 2Itten 14-3-3 in 6 of 11 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (6), 4-2-3-1 (5)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMcCrorie 10Stryjek 1Devlin 10Robinson 1Ambrose 6Fitzwater 2Guthrie 10Brown 2Taylor-Sinclair 2Serrano 6Ambrose 2McMillan 2Bartley 10Holt 5Sibbald 5Forrest 2Robinson 5Fitzwater 3Pittman 2Pittman 8Holt 1Robinson 1Forrest 7Sibbald 2Robinson 1Tiffoney 3Dykes 3Lokotsch 24-2-3-1 in 5 of 11 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-4-2-1 (3), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
16 August 2020Livingston0–0RangersxG 0.07–1.11

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Rangers won 0, Livingston won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 0–0 and xG 1.11–0.07 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Morelos8674310.520.19
Tavernier11986540.410.25
Kent11917410.360.22
Hagi7607150.350.18

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest9765300.250.27
Pittman11990200.270.06
Devlin10856000.100.16
Holt7640110.160.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.