Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Motherwell 4–0 Ross County

Saturday 24 October 2020, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 12 · Half-time 1–0

Motherwell Watt 37', O'Hara 54' (pen), Lang 64', Cole 72'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellRoss County
Goals40
xG3.111.47
Non-penalty xG2.321.47
Expected Points2.460.38

Motherwell 77%Draw 16%Ross County 8%

Most likely score 3–1, 13%. Final score 4–0, 4%.

Ross County goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+1%3%2%4%9%8%3%5%4%4%9%8%3%1%3%3%1%13%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTChapman on for Carson, 28'Lang on for Long, 62'Hastie on for Cole and Crawford on for Polworth, 76'Kelly on for Paton, McKay on for Gardyne, and Hylton on for Grivosti, 62'Tillson on for Vigurs, 75'Watt 37'O'Hara 54' (pen)Lang 64'Cole 72'Motherwell 3.11Ross County 1.47012340153045607590HTChapman on for Carson, 28'Lang on for Long, 62'Hastie on for Cole and Crawford on for Polworth, 76'Kelly on for Paton, McKay on for Gardyne, and Hylton on for Grivosti, 62'Tillson on for Vigurs, 75'Watt 37'O'Hara 54' (pen)Lang 64'Cole 72'3.111.47MotherwellRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellRoss County

3.11 +2.24xG1.47 +0.43
2.32Non-penalty xG1.47
3.69 +2.93xG on target0.26 −0.37
14 +2.4Shots11 +1.1
5 +2.7Shots on target5 +2.5
4 +3.2Big chances2 +0.7
28 +7Touches in the opposition box24 +10
48% −1Possession52% +6
393 +17Passes403 +17
76% +2Pass accuracy77% +6
36% −6Field tilt64% +19
27 −8Final-third entries46 +9
13 +3.1Box entries14 +6.7
13.4 −1Passes per defensive action10.9 −4
4 −2.6Corners6 +2.6
9 −5Tackles18 +5
10 −1Interceptions12 +2
13 −8Clearances10 −17
3 +0.7Saves1 −2.1
12 −2Fouls14 −1
1 −1.1Offsides1 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Watt 70', 0.13 xGGallagher 49', 0.08 xGCole 44', 0.07 xGPolworth 46', 0.07 xGWatt 63', 0.06 xGCampbell 6', 0.05 xGWatt 9', 0.05 xGMaguire 19', 0.03 xGCampbell 76', 0.03 xGPolworth 15', 0.02 xGLang 64', 0.77 xG, goalWatt 37', 0.62 xG, goalCole 72', 0.34 xG, goal60%1.39 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.39 xG, 2 goals34%0.79 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.79 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals4%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals2%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Stewart 59', 0.51 xGCharles-Cook 45+3', 0.48 xGStewart 58', 0.10 xGStewart 57', 0.08 xGHylton 74', 0.07 xGGardyne 45+2', 0.06 xGStewart 82', 0.05 xGCharles-Cook 26', 0.04 xGStewart 27', 0.03 xGVigurs 43', 0.03 xGHylton 68', 0.03 xG32%0.48 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.48 xG, 0 goals55%0.81 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.81 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals8%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellRoss County

1.39 9 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.24 8 shots, 0 goals
0.93 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.23 3 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
37 min (40%) · Motherwell 0.77, Ross County 0.07 xG
Motherwell ahead
56 min (60%) · Motherwell 2.34, Ross County 1.40 xG

Line-ups

133731561519443299CarsonO'DonnellO'HaraGallagherMcGinleyCampbellMaguirePolworthColeWattLongGoalYellow cardGoalGoalYellow card28'76'76'62'Motherwell 4-3-3Stephen Robinson211725121643191124277DoohanCharles-CookDonaldsonGrivostiIacovittiReidLakinVigursPatonStewartGardyneYellow card62'75'62'62'Ross County 5-3-2Stuart Kettlewell

Motherwell substitutes

  • 28' Chapman for Carson
  • 62' Lang for Long · goal 64'
  • 76' Hastie for Cole
  • 76' Crawford for Polworth

Ross County substitutes

  • 62' Kelly for Paton
  • 62' McKay for Gardyne
  • 62' Hylton for Grivosti
  • 75' Tillson for Vigurs

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK280.000.0000.0010
O'DonnellRB900.000.0500.1196
O'HaraCB9010.790.0000.0205
GallagherCB9010.080.5020.2156
McGinleyLB9010.000.3720.2035
CampbellCM900.080.020−0.0123
Maguire CM900.030.030−0.1633
PolworthCM760.090.4250.2590
ColeRW7610.410.0310.0221
WattST90110.860.0310.0944
Long LW620.000.0000.0000
ChapmanGK620.000.0000.0110
LangMF2810.770.0010.0013
HastieMF140.000.000−0.0100
CrawfordMF140.000.0000.0001

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
DoohanGK900.000.0000.0340
Charles-CookRWB900.520.1810.35141
DonaldsonCB900.000.0100.0646
GrivostiCB620.000.0100.0747
IacovittiCB900.000.0100.0997
ReidLWB900.000.0710.1072
LakinCM900.000.0100.0525
Vigurs CM750.030.1100.1024
PatonCM620.000.213−0.0202
StewartST900.770.041−0.1941
GardyneST620.060.1420.0631
KellyMF280.000.0510.0214
McKayFW280.000.0000.0000
HyltonFW280.100.0100.0110
TillsonMF150.000.0200.0211

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

O'Donnell and Gallagher: 3 passesPolworth and Maguire: 3 passesCarson and Gallagher: 4 passesO'Donnell and McGinley: 4 passesO'Donnell and Cole: 4 passesO'Hara and Maguire: 4 passesMcGinley and Polworth: 4 passesPolworth and Cole: 4 passesO'Donnell and Campbell: 5 passesGallagher and Polworth: 5 passesGallagher and Maguire: 6 passesO'Hara and Gallagher: 7 passesO'Donnell and O'Hara: 9 passesO'Donnell and Maguire: 9 passesCarson: 4 completed passesO'Donnell: 21 completed passesO'Hara: 12 completed passesGallagher: 15 completed passesMcGinley: 7 completed passesPolworth: 12 completed passesCampbell: 6 completed passesMaguire: 12 completed passesCole: 3 completed passesWatt: 2 completed passesLong: 1 completed passes133731519615443299CarsonO'DonnellO'HaraGallagherMcGinleyPolworthCampbellMaguireColeWattLongStarters until 28' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Ross County

Donaldson and Stewart: 4 passesReid and Lakin: 4 passesVigurs and Lakin: 4 passesVigurs and Stewart: 4 passesLakin and Gardyne: 4 passesDoohan and Iacovitti: 5 passesIacovitti and Reid: 5 passesIacovitti and Gardyne: 5 passesDoohan and Grivosti: 6 passesCharles-Cook and Gardyne: 6 passesIacovitti and Vigurs: 6 passesPaton and Stewart: 6 passesLakin and Stewart: 6 passesCharles-Cook and Stewart: 7 passesVigurs and Gardyne: 7 passesGardyne and Stewart: 7 passesCharles-Cook and Vigurs: 8 passesReid and Vigurs: 8 passesCharles-Cook and Paton: 10 passesGrivosti and Vigurs: 10 passesDonaldson and Vigurs: 10 passesCharles-Cook and Donaldson: 11 passesGrivosti and Donaldson: 12 passesGrivosti and Iacovitti: 18 passesDoohan: 8 completed passesCharles-Cook: 21 completed passesGrivosti: 31 completed passesDonaldson: 23 completed passesIacovitti: 28 completed passesReid: 12 completed passesPaton: 17 completed passesVigurs: 32 completed passesLakin: 11 completed passesGardyne: 14 completed passesStewart: 17 completed passes211712251643241119727DoohanCharles-CookGrivostiDonaldsonIacovittiReidPatonVigursLakinGardyneStewartStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
O'DonnellO'Hara11
MaguireO'Donnell10
O'HaraO'Donnell10
CampbellO'Donnell9
O'HaraGallagher9

Ross County

FromToPasses
IacovittiGrivosti10
DonaldsonCharles-Cook10
IacovittiReid9
Charles-CookDonaldson8
GrivostiIacovitti8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

2−1.05−0.415+2.47−0.45−1.77−1.48+0.87+1.04−2.24−2.35−1.44+0.65−0.17+2.21−3.25+2.11−1.33+0.64+1.42+0.61+0.31−0.72+0.70−1.30−0.81−0.10−0.72+1.03−4.10−3.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 9 matches

Ross County

1−4.51−6.29−1.23−3.54−3.77+0.77+0.410−0.46−2.78+2.51−3.84+0.340.09+3.05−0.27+3.95+2.16+2.25+0.41−0.70−1.00−1.02+0.42+0.40−0.70−0.40−0.30−0.41+0.28−8.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.010.020.010.020.010.040.010.010.050.010.030.020.05−0.010.020.070.050.02−0.01−0.16−0.02−0.010.150.180.15LessMore

Ross County

0.010.010.010.030.020.020.020.070.030.030.070.040.020.050.060.080.02−0.040.090.09−0.160.020.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackMotherwell0.98 → 1.07Ross County0.92 → 0.90Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.28 → 1.26Ross County1.47 → 1.57

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six28%37%+9
11th10%6%−4
Bottom6%3%−3
Ross County
Top six14%9%−5
11th17%21%+4
Bottom9%12%+3

From the forecast before the match (24 October 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellRoss County
Expected goals1.221.05
Win40%31%
Expected Points1.481.22
Clean sheet35%29%

Motherwell 40%Draw 30%Ross County 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 46%.

Ross County goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+6%2%7%2%8%8%4%1%3%3%2%1%1%11%10%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 24 October 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawRoss County win
Motherwell
Top six28%37%26%20%
11th10%6%10%14%
Bottom6%3%5%9%
Ross County
Top six14%9%14%22%
11th17%21%18%12%
Bottom9%12%9%5%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L1–527 SepRangers (H)xG 0.38–2.59
  2. W3–020 SepAberdeen (A)xG 1.75–0.70
  3. W1–012 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.26–1.02
  4. L0–330 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.22–2.06
  5. L0–122 AugHamilton Academical (H)xG 0.73–2.22
  6. D0–015 AugHibernian (A)xG 0.89–1.45

Ross County

  1. D0–017 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.63–2.70
  2. L0–24 OctRangers (A)xG 0.46–2.00
  3. L0–327 SepAberdeen (H)xG 0.46–3.26
  4. W1–019 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.23–0.85
  5. L0–512 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.81–3.32
  6. L0–129 AugLivingston (A)xG 0.38–1.31

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellRoss County
Position10th7th
Played911
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠2–⁠53–⁠3–⁠5
Points8 (0.89 per game)12 (1.09 per game)
Expected Points per game0.890.96
Goals7–⁠137–⁠16
xG per game0.87–⁠1.591.04–⁠1.78
Home: points, xG per game0.80, 0.60–⁠1.750.83, 1.11–⁠2.27
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.21–⁠1.391.40, 0.96–⁠1.18
ManagerStephen Robinson (1)Stuart Kettlewell (11)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackMotherwell0.98, 9thRoss County0.92, 11thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.28, 6thRoss County1.47, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctMotherwell attack: 0.98Ross County attack: 0.920.980.92Ross CountyMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctMotherwell defence: 1.28Ross County defence: 1.471.471.28

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−42%−11%−26%+30%
Counter-attacks−100%+70%−100%−54%
Set pieces−35%+26%−15%−1%
Penalties+17%+133%−5%+139%
Headers+1%+19%+6%+11%
Left side−18%−15%−25%+24%
Centre−59%+19%−38%+18%
Right side−37%−6%−4%+13%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdRoss County concededLeft side−18%+13%Centre−59%+18%Right side−37%+24%Open play−42%+30%Counter-attacks−100%−54%Set pieces−35%−1%Headers+1%+11%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdMotherwell concededLeft side−25%−6%Centre−38%+19%Right side−4%−15%Open play−26%−11%Counter-attacks−100%+70%Set pieces−15%+26%Headers+6%+19%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellRoss County

0.87xG1.04
1.59xG against1.78
49%Possession46%
11.6Shots9.9
12.0Shots against14.5
2.3Shots on target2.5
0.8Big chances1.3
21.0Touches in the opposition box14.3
376Passes386
74%Pass accuracy72%
6.6Corners3.4
41%Field tilt46%
34.8Final-third entries36.8
9.9Box entries7.3
14.2Passes per defensive action14.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level410.881.75
Ahead230.631.43
Behind261.081.49

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.121.68
Ahead170.371.67
Behind281.301.99

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.334–2
16–300.150.171–2
31–450.090.261–2
46–600.120.090–1
61–750.240.340–3
76–900.080.411–3

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.391–2
16–300.160.172–2
31–450.140.221–2
46–600.140.270–3
61–750.180.381–4
76–900.240.342–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTCarson 9O'Donnell 5Grimshaw 2Gallagher 2Gallagher 7Mugabi 6Lamie 5Lamie 4Grimshaw 2McGinley 2Seedorf 3Campbell 2O'Hara 1O'Hara 7Campbell 4Polworth 4Turnbull 2Lang 2Mugabi 2Grimshaw 2Long 5White 3Watt 4Lang 2Campbell 24-4-2 in 3 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTLaidlaw 10Doohan 1Randall 8Donaldson 1Watson 1Donaldson 10Watson 1Iacovitti 10Morris 1Reid 9Stewart 1Watson 1Vigurs 4Draper 4Paton 1Gardyne 3Stewart 2Erwin 2Paton 6Tillson 5Charles-Cook 1Vigurs 6Gardyne 2Draper 1Stewart 5Gardyne 4Paton 1McKay 6Stewart 3Shaw 24-1-4-1 in 4 of 11 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (4), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
3 August 2020Ross County1–0MotherwellxG 1.33–1.96

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Motherwell won 0, Ross County won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 0–1 and xG 1.96–1.33 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Long5464110.180.03
O'Hara9766100.130.02
O'Donnell6496000.020.08
Gallagher9810000.020.07

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McKay6471100.370.15
Stewart11986210.380.07
Gardyne9772000.080.22
Paton9706000.070.14

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.