Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenSt. Johnstone
1.34 +0.10xG0.88 −0.30
0.56Non-penalty xG0.88
1.73 +0.44xG on target0.65 −0.24
9 −2Shots12 0
3 −0.7Shots on target3 +0.1
2 +0.5Big chances1 −0.3
12 −7Touches in the opposition box14 −5
55% +4Possession45% 0
427 +12Passes352 −13
69% −5Pass accuracy64% −2
49% −2Field tilt51% −1
31 −6Final-third entries27 −9
5 −4.6Box entries3 −6.2
10.9 −3Passes per defensive action11.2 −5
5 +0.3Corners4 −0.3
11 −1Tackles20 +4
5 −6Interceptions13 +1
29 +9Clearances20 0
2 0.0Saves1 −0.6
20 +6Fouls15 +3
0 −1.6Offsides0 −2.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
St. Johnstone
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
38'45'54'
0–00–11–12–1
0'HTFT
Level
49 min (52%) · Aberdeen 0.36, St. Johnstone 0.51 xG
Aberdeen ahead
39 min (41%) · Aberdeen 0.05, St. Johnstone 0.37 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
7 min (7%) · Aberdeen 0.93, St. Johnstone 0.00 xG
Line-ups
Aberdeen substitutes
72'Edmondson for Main
89'Ojo for Cosgrove
St. Johnstone substitutes
5'Booth for Tanser
67'Hendry for Kane · yellow card 81', second yellow 90'
86'Melamed for Craig
Players
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Lewis
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
5
0
Hoban
CB
90
0.04
0.00
0
0.02
2
10
Taylor
CB
90
1
0.26
0.01
0
0.09
8
11
Considine
CB
90
0.07
0.01
0
0.09
10
7
Kennedy
RWB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.02
7
1
Ferguson
CM
90
0.06
0.04
1
−0.02
0
3
Campbell
CM
90
0.00
0.01
0
−0.02
2
4
Hayes
LWB
90
0.00
0.11
4
0.30
8
5
Hedges
AM
90
0.03
0.07
0
0.23
7
2
Main
ST
72
0.03
0.00
0
−0.17
0
3
Cosgrove
ST
89
1
0.86
0.02
0
−0.12
3
1
Edmondson
FW
18
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Ojo
MF
1
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Clark
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Rooney
CB
90
0.04
0.01
1
0.03
3
10
Gordon
CB
90
1
0.29
0.06
1
0.18
0
8
McCart
CB
90
0.00
0.06
1
0.27
9
10
McNamara
RWB
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.02
2
4
McCann
CM
90
0.10
0.02
0
0.01
1
5
Craig
CM
86
1
0.00
0.16
2
0.05
4
4
Wotherspoon
CM
90
0.07
0.02
0
0.05
6
9
Tanser
LWB
5
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
May
ST
90
0.24
0.02
0
0.01
0
2
Kane
ST
67
0.00
0.01
1
0.01
0
1
Booth
DF
85
0.05
0.02
0
0.00
1
2
Hendry
FW
23
0.10
0.02
0
0.00
1
1
Melamed
FW
4
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Taylor
Considine
12
Hayes
Considine
8
Considine
Cosgrove
8
Hayes
Hedges
8
Hedges
Ferguson
7
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Booth
McCart
9
McCart
Booth
9
Wotherspoon
McCann
8
Booth
Wotherspoon
8
Craig
Rooney
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 18 matches
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 19 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
St. Johnstone
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Johnstone
Top six
27%
19%
−8
11th
4%
6%
+2
Bottom
1%
2%
+1
St. Mirren
Top six
31%
33%
+2
11th
6%
6%
0
Bottom
2%
2%
0
Livingston
Top six
50%
52%
+2
From the forecast before the match (26 December 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
St. Johnstone
Expected goals
1.14
0.91
Win
40%
28%
Expected Points
1.52
1.17
Clean sheet
40%
32%
Aberdeen 40%Draw 31%St. Johnstone 28%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 41%.
From the forecast as it stood on 26 December 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
St. Johnstone win
St. Johnstone
Top six
27%
19%
26%
40%
11th
4%
6%
4%
2%
Bottom
1%
2%
1%
<1%
St. Mirren
Top six
31%
33%
32%
28%
11th
6%
6%
6%
7%
Bottom
2%
2%
2%
2%
Livingston
Top six
50%
52%
51%
47%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
St. Johnstone
Position
4th
9th
Played
18
19
Won, drawn, lost
10–5–3
4–5–10
Points
35 (1.94 per game)
17 (0.89 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.53
1.45
Goals
25–17
17–28
xG per game
1.24–1.01
1.18–0.97
Home: points, xG per game
2.11, 1.35–1.19
0.80, 1.07–0.81
Away: points, xG per game
1.78, 1.13–0.83
1.00, 1.31–1.15
Manager
Derek McInnes (18)
Callum Davidson (19)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
St. Johnstone
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−17%
−30%
−10%
−23%
Counter-attacks
−48%
−45%
+84%
−86%
Set pieces
−10%
−35%
−7%
−18%
Penalties
+73%
+44%
−45%
−45%
Headers
−10%
−40%
+7%
−12%
Left side
−23%
−33%
+6%
−16%
Centre
−18%
−40%
−16%
−22%
Right side
−6%
−15%
average
−36%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+6%−15%Centre−16%−40%Right sideaverage−33%Open play−10%−30%Counter-attacks+84%−45%Set pieces−7%−35%Headers+7%−40%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenSt. Johnstone
1.24xG1.18
1.01xG against0.97
51%Possession45%
10.9Shots11.6
9.9Shots against9.9
3.7Shots on target2.9
1.5Big chances1.3
19.0Touches in the opposition box19.3
415Passes365
74%Pass accuracy66%
4.7Corners4.3
51%Field tilt52%
36.5Final-third entries35.6
9.6Box entries9.2
14.0Passes per defensive action16.3
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
44
1.42
0.82
Ahead
31
1.18
1.21
Behind
14
0.83
1.18
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
56
1.08
1.02
Ahead
10
1.73
1.01
Behind
24
1.19
0.83
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.32
0.13
4–3
16–30
0.12
0.10
4–3
31–45
0.20
0.16
5–2
46–60
0.18
0.20
5–5
61–75
0.16
0.18
2–2
76–90
0.26
0.24
5–2
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.16
0.10
2–2
16–30
0.09
0.14
1–3
31–45
0.22
0.14
4–9
46–60
0.18
0.22
2–3
61–75
0.25
0.12
3–2
76–90
0.29
0.25
5–9
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts