Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Johnstone 0–0 Aberdeen

Wednesday 27 January 2021, 18:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 26 · Half-time 0–0

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Goals00
xG0.361.10
Expected Points0.681.98

St. Johnstone 11%Draw 35%Aberdeen 54%

Most likely score 0–1, 26%. Final score 0–0, 23%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+14%5%1%8%11%5%2%1%2%1%23%26%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTWotherspoon on for O'Halloran, 65'May on for Kane, 72'Middleton on for Conway, 81'Campbell on for Hoban, 7'McLennan on for Wright, 84'Aberdeen 1.10St. Johnstone 0.3600.511.50153045607590HTWotherspoon on for O'Halloran, 65'May on for Kane, 72'Middleton on for Conway, 81'Campbell on for Hoban, 7'McLennan on for Wright, 84'1.100.36St. JohnstoneAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.36 −0.91xG1.10 −0.23
0.21 −0.63xG on target0.15 −1.25
8 −5Shots16 +4
2 −1.1Shots on target3 −0.8
0 −1.5Big chances1 −0.6
9 −12Touches in the opposition box17 −4
40% −6Possession60% +9
303 −66Passes446 +42
58% −8Pass accuracy70% −3
44% −10Field tilt56% +5
27 −10Final-third entries36 0
3 −7Box entries5 −6
10.9 −4Passes per defensive action10.1 −4
2 −2.3Corners6 +1.3
15 −1Tackles13 +1
18 +6Interceptions9 −2
22 +3Clearances9 −11
3 +1.4Saves2 0.0
22 +10Fouls15 +1
4 +2.0Offsides2 +0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

O'Halloran 36', 0.08 xGWotherspoon 82', 0.06 xGConway 56', 0.05 xGDavidson 86', 0.04 xGMiddleton 90+2', 0.04 xGDavidson 47', 0.03 xGKane 56', 0.03 xGRooney 30', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals39%0.14 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals25%0.09 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals36%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Cosgrove 52', 0.30 xGFerguson 83', 0.11 xGCosgrove 23', 0.08 xGHedges 32', 0.08 xGFerguson 27', 0.07 xGTaylor 90', 0.07 xGTaylor 9', 0.06 xGHedges 63', 0.06 xGMcCrorie 27', 0.05 xGHedges 74', 0.05 xGWright 30', 0.03 xGKennedy 40', 0.03 xGHedges 45+3', 0.03 xGHayes 52', 0.03 xGKennedy 63', 0.03 xGKennedy 34', 0.02 xG6%0.07 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals39%0.43 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.43 xG, 0 goals34%0.37 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.37 xG, 0 goals15%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals5%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.29 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.66 9 shots, 0 goals
0.07 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.44 7 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
95 min (100%) · St. Johnstone 0.36, Aberdeen 1.10 xG

Line-ups

15641981331179ClarkKerrGordonMcCartRooneyDavidsonBrysonTanserO'HalloranConwayKaneYellow card65'81'72'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson1314417194033251116LewisHobanTaylorConsidineHayesFergusonMcCrorieKennedyWrightHedgesCosgroveYellow card7'84'Aberdeen 3-4-2-1Derek McInnes

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 65' Wotherspoon for O'Halloran
  • 72' May for Kane
  • 81' Middleton for Conway

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 7' Campbell for Hoban
  • 84' McLennan for Wright

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0111
KerrCB900.000.0100.06515
Gordon CB900.000.0100.0106
McCartCB900.000.0100.0448
RooneyRWB900.020.0100.0255
DavidsonCM900.080.0100.0226
BrysonCM900.000.0500.0557
TanserLWB900.000.0100.0444
O'HalloranAM650.080.0000.0111
ConwayAM810.050.1620.1413
KaneST720.030.0000.0101
WotherspoonMF250.060.052−0.0123
MayFW180.000.021−0.0100
MiddletonFW90.040.0000.0001

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0330
HobanCB70.000.0000.0000
TaylorCB900.130.0000.0217
Considine CB900.000.0000.0469
HayesRWB900.030.0300.0343
FergusonCM900.190.0200.0752
McCrorieCM900.050.1710.1432
KennedyLWB900.080.5240.29124
WrightAM840.030.2830.1821
HedgesAM900.220.0310.1233
CosgroveST900.380.011−0.0100
CampbellMF830.000.010−0.0112
McLennanMF60.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Clark and Gordon: 3 passesKerr and McCart: 3 passesKerr and Davidson: 3 passesMcCart and Conway: 3 passesTanser and Davidson: 3 passesBryson and Davidson: 3 passesDavidson and Conway: 3 passesO'Halloran and Kane: 3 passesClark and Rooney: 4 passesClark and Tanser: 4 passesKerr and Kane: 4 passesGordon and McCart: 4 passesKerr and Bryson: 5 passesTanser and Bryson: 6 passesTanser and Conway: 6 passesClark and McCart: 7 passesMcCart and Tanser: 9 passesRooney and Bryson: 10 passesKerr and Rooney: 11 passesMcCart and Bryson: 11 passesClark: 10 completed passesKerr: 17 completed passesGordon: 8 completed passesMcCart: 26 completed passesRooney: 13 completed passesTanser: 13 completed passesBryson: 24 completed passesDavidson: 16 completed passesO'Halloran: 3 completed passesConway: 9 completed passesKane: 4 completed passes15641931381179ClarkKerrGordonMcCartRooneyTanserBrysonDavidsonO'HalloranConwayKaneStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
KerrRooney10
McCartBryson8
BrysonRooney7
McCartTanser6
TanserMcCart5

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
CampbellConsidine12
TaylorConsidine9
HedgesKennedy9
FergusonWright9
FergusonHedges9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

7+2.99+4.920+8.14−0.62−3.56−3.313+5.311+4.610+1.57−1.28+1.913+6.96+0.38+1.54−2.39+4.26+1.85+2.34+0.44−1.04+1.55+3.10−1.51−0.80−3.11−0.41+0.70−0.40−0.50−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Aberdeen

1−4.03−3.24−2.86+1.42−4.81−5.47+0.75−2.511+4.04−1.38+3.22−2.24−1.713+6.22−1.74+0.53+0.76+1.512+7.40−1.72+0.40−0.82−0.12−1.30−0.80−0.41+0.10−0.61+0.44−7.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.040.050.040.03−0.010.030.020.01−0.01−0.01−0.01−0.02−0.010.17LessMore

Aberdeen

0.030.010.010.010.020.020.010.020.010.040.050.010.040.030.040.03−0.040.080.010.030.110.140.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackSt. Johnstone1.08 → 1.05Aberdeen1.21 → 1.18Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.11 → 1.09Aberdeen1.03 → 1.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six13%11%−2
11th5%6%+1
Bottom1%1%0
Dundee United
Top six30%30%0
11th3%3%0
St. Mirren
Top six32%32%0
11th5%5%0

From the forecast before the match (27 January 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Expected goals1.041.11
Win33%37%
Expected Points1.291.41
Clean sheet33%36%

St. Johnstone 33%Draw 31%Aberdeen 37%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+7%3%7%3%6%7%4%1%2%2%1%12%12%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 January 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawAberdeen win
St. Johnstone
Top six13%23%11%7%
11th5%2%6%8%
Bottom1%<1%1%2%
Dundee United
Top six30%26%30%32%
11th3%4%3%3%
St. Mirren
Top six32%30%32%34%
11th5%5%5%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–016 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.06–0.30
  2. D2–212 JanDundee United (A)xG 2.25–0.82
  3. D1–12 JanRoss County (A)xG 1.57–0.81
  4. D0–030 DecHamilton Academical (H)xG 2.22–0.84
  5. L1–226 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.88–1.34
  6. L0–323 DecRangers (H)xG 0.66–1.84

Aberdeen

  1. W2–023 JanMotherwell (H)xG 3.10–0.47
  2. L1–416 JanRoss County (A)xG 2.28–0.95
  3. L1–210 JanRangers (H)xG 0.63–2.03
  4. D0–02 JanDundee United (H)xG 0.85–0.46
  5. W2–126 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.34–0.88
  6. D0–023 DecMotherwell (A)xG 1.16–0.22

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Position9th3rd
Played2423
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠8–⁠1112–⁠6–⁠5
Points23 (0.96 per game)42 (1.83 per game)
Expected Points per game1.551.59
Goals22–⁠3331–⁠24
xG per game1.27–⁠0.941.33–⁠1.00
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.16–⁠0.772.00, 1.39–⁠1.12
Away: points, xG per game0.92, 1.37–⁠1.111.60, 1.24–⁠0.85
ManagerCallum Davidson (24)Derek McInnes (23)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackSt. Johnstone1.08, 6thAberdeen1.21, 4thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.11, 6thAberdeen1.03, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanSt. Johnstone attack: 1.08Aberdeen attack: 1.211.211.08AberdeenSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanSt. Johnstone defence: 1.11Aberdeen defence: 1.031.111.03

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−1%−25%−11%−28%
Counter-attacks+96%−78%+67%−12%
Set pieces−1%−22%+2%−37%
Penalties−30%−30%+70%+46%
Headers+10%−23%−12%−42%
Left side+18%−17%−9%−28%
Centre−15%−25%−4%−40%
Right side+18%−40%−1%−15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededLeft side+18%−15%Centre−15%−40%Right side+18%−28%Open play−1%−28%Counter-attacks+96%−12%Set pieces−1%−37%Headers+10%−42%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−9%−40%Centre−4%−25%Right side−1%−17%Open play−11%−25%Counter-attacks+67%−78%Set pieces+2%−22%Headers−12%−23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

1.27xG1.33
0.94xG against1.00
46%Possession51%
12.8Shots11.7
9.5Shots against10.1
3.1Shots on target3.8
1.5Big chances1.6
21.4Touches in the opposition box20.8
369Passes404
66%Pass accuracy73%
4.3Corners4.7
54%Field tilt51%
37.3Final-third entries36.5
10.0Box entries10.5
15.1Passes per defensive action13.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level581.180.97
Ahead111.551.13
Behind211.360.76

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.320.90
Ahead291.351.12
Behind181.311.04

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.132–3
16–300.160.133–4
31–450.190.176–10
46–600.200.203–5
61–750.280.103–2
76–900.290.215–9

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.330.125–4
16–300.100.174–4
31–450.260.167–4
46–600.200.176–6
61–750.170.153–2
76–900.270.236–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 16Parish 8Kerr 16Rooney 7Craig 2Gordon 23McCart 23McNamara 20Rooney 2Kerr 1McCann 18Bryson 5McNamara 2Davidson 10Craig 7Wotherspoon 4Tanser 18Booth 6Conway 12McCann 2Melamed 2Wotherspoon 15O'Halloran 9May 3May 10Hendry 7Kane 53-4-2-1 in 14 of 24 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (14), 3-4-3 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLewis 23Hoban 19McCrorie 3Hayes 2Taylor 21McKenna 4Considine 20Kennedy 6Hedges 6McLennan 3Ferguson 17Wright 1Kennedy 1McCrorie 12Ojo 5Campbell 4Hayes 16Kennedy 4Leigh 2Hedges 9Wright 8Ferguson 2Cosgrove 8Watkins 7Hedges 4Main 8Wright 4Kennedy 43-4-1-2 in 8 of 23 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (8), 3-4-2-1 (5), 3-4-3 (4), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 December 2020Aberdeen2–1St. JohnstonexG 1.34–0.88
20 August 2020St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.42–0.29

2 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 0, Aberdeen won 2, and 0 were drawn. Goals 1–3 and xG 0.65–0.82 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May131,264530.470.16
Kane7706400.530.08
Conway141,152320.270.23
Hendry8691000.320.03

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Main8709200.390.09
Watkins9732210.330.07
Ferguson201,761820.320.06
Wright131,037210.230.14

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.