Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Johnstone 0–1 Aberdeen

Thursday 20 August 2020, 19:30 · McDiarmid Park · Round 2 · Half-time 0–0

Aberdeen Hedges 82'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Goals01
xG0.420.29
Expected Points1.341.07

St. Johnstone 25%Draw 59%Aberdeen 16%

Most likely score 0–0, 52%. Final score 0–1, 13%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+13%2%19%7%4%1%52%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50153045607590HTConway on for Hendry, 69'Olaofe on for Wotherspoon, 76'Robertson on for McNamara and Rooney on for Gordon, 85'Kennedy on for Campbell and McLennan on for Hernández, 46'Bryson on for Ojo, 69'Hedges on for McGinn, 79'Logan on for Wright, 83'Hedges 82'St. Johnstone 0.42Aberdeen 0.2900.250.50153045607590HTConway on for Hendry, 69'Olaofe on for Wotherspoon, 76'Robertson on for McNamara and Rooney on for Gordon, 85'Kennedy on for Campbell and McLennan on for Hernández, 46'Bryson on for Ojo, 69'Hedges on for McGinn, 79'Logan on for Wright, 83'Hedges 82'0.420.29St. JohnstoneAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.42 −0.40xG0.29 +0.14
0.13 −0.81xG on target0.46 +0.46
11 +1.0Shots6 +2.0
1 −2.7Shots on target3 +3.0
0 −1.0Big chances0 0.0
46% +7Possession54% +14
378 +50Passes465 +69
69% +2Pass accuracy74% −1
68% +28Field tilt32% +3
45 +13Final-third entries21 −5
8 +2.3Box entries7 +5.0
13.6 −13Passes per defensive action15.7 +4
5 +3.0Corners1 −1.0
14 −3Tackles9 −9
12 +3.0Interceptions6 −8.0
13 −6Clearances24 +13
2 −0.7Saves1 −1.0
17 +8.0Fouls13 −5.0
3 +1.0Offsides0 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Hendry 54', 0.06 xGWotherspoon 5', 0.05 xGO'Halloran 62', 0.05 xGMcNamara 15', 0.04 xGHendry 51', 0.04 xGTanser 54', 0.04 xGO'Halloran 56', 0.04 xGMcCart 17', 0.03 xGCraig 63', 0.03 xGConway 85', 0.03 xGConway 90', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals7%0.03 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals36%0.15 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals38%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals19%0.08 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Ojo 38', 0.07 xGMcGinn 8', 0.06 xGHoban 69', 0.06 xGMcGinn 64', 0.03 xGOjo 10', 0.02 xGHedges 82', 0.04 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals68%0.19 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals14%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 1 goal11%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals7%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.25 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.20 4 shots, 1 goal
0.18 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.09 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
82 min (91%) · St. Johnstone 0.37, Aberdeen 0.29 xG
Aberdeen ahead
8 min (9%) · St. Johnstone 0.05, Aberdeen 0.00 xG

Line-ups

125641518263101122ParishKerrGordonMcCartMcNamaraMcCannCraigTanserWotherspoonO'HalloranHendryYellow card85'85'76'69'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson1401432225824171910LewisMcCrorieTaylorHobanHernándezWrightOjoCampbellHayesFergusonMcGinnYellow cardYellow card46'83'69'46'79'Aberdeen 3-5-1-1Derek McInnes

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 69' Conway for Hendry
  • 76' Olaofe for Wotherspoon
  • 85' Robertson for McNamara
  • 85' Rooney for Gordon

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' McLennan for Hernández
  • 46' Kennedy for Campbell
  • 69' Bryson for Ojo · 1 assist
  • 79' Hedges for McGinn · goal 82', yellow card 88'
  • 83' Logan for Wright

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ParishGK900.000.0100.0550
KerrCB900.000.0210.0645
GordonCB850.000.0000.0226
McCartCB900.030.0500.1574
McNamaraRWB850.040.0110.0445
McCannCM900.000.052−0.0347
Craig CM900.030.030−0.0133
TanserLWB900.040.0100.0453
WotherspoonAM760.050.0430.0553
O'HalloranAM900.090.0200.0332
HendryST690.100.0510.1042
ConwayMF210.050.0100.0310
OlaofeFW140.000.000−0.0100
RobertsonFW50.000.000––0
RooneyDF50.000.0000.0110

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0220
McCrorie CB900.000.0200.0754
TaylorCB900.000.0000.01316
HobanCB900.060.0200.09711
HernándezRWB460.000.0000.0010
WrightCM830.000.0820.0820
OjoCM690.090.020−0.0222
CampbellCM460.000.0000.0012
HayesLWB900.000.0510.1273
Ferguson AM900.000.010−0.0404
McGinnST790.090.111−0.0200
McLennanFW440.000.010−0.0111
KennedyFW440.000.010−0.0110
BrysonMF2110.000.0010.0010
Hedges FW1110.040.0000.0212
LoganDF70.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Parish and Gordon: 5 passesTanser and Craig: 5 passesTanser and McCann: 5 passesMcCann and Hendry: 5 passesGordon and McCann: 6 passesMcCart and Tanser: 6 passesMcCart and O'Halloran: 6 passesMcNamara and McCann: 6 passesMcNamara and Hendry: 6 passesKerr and Gordon: 7 passesGordon and Craig: 7 passesWotherspoon and O'Halloran: 7 passesParish and McCart: 8 passesMcCart and Craig: 10 passesWotherspoon and Hendry: 10 passesMcNamara and Wotherspoon: 11 passesMcCann and Wotherspoon: 11 passesGordon and McCart: 13 passesKerr and McNamara: 16 passesParish: 11 completed passesKerr: 22 completed passesGordon: 23 completed passesMcCart: 27 completed passesMcNamara: 24 completed passesTanser: 11 completed passesCraig: 20 completed passesMcCann: 28 completed passesWotherspoon: 19 completed passesO'Halloran: 12 completed passesHendry: 14 completed passes125641532618101122ParishKerrGordonMcCartMcNamaraTanserCraigMcCannWotherspoonO'HalloranHendryStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Aberdeen

Lewis and Ojo: 4 passesTaylor and Ferguson: 4 passesHernández and Ferguson: 4 passesHernández and Wright: 4 passesOjo and Ferguson: 4 passesFerguson and Wright: 4 passesLewis and Taylor: 5 passesHoban and Ojo: 5 passesMcCrorie and Wright: 5 passesHayes and McGinn: 5 passesOjo and Campbell: 5 passesMcCrorie and Hernández: 6 passesHayes and Ferguson: 6 passesLewis and Hoban: 7 passesHernández and Ojo: 7 passesHayes and Campbell: 7 passesHayes and Ojo: 8 passesHoban and Campbell: 9 passesMcCrorie and Ojo: 10 passesTaylor and McCrorie: 11 passesHoban and Taylor: 12 passesHoban and Hayes: 15 passesLewis: 11 completed passesHoban: 28 completed passesTaylor: 21 completed passesMcCrorie: 24 completed passesHernández: 15 completed passesHayes: 25 completed passesOjo: 19 completed passesCampbell: 15 completed passesFerguson: 11 completed passesWright: 9 completed passesMcGinn: 7 completed passes1314402217824192510LewisHobanTaylorMcCrorieHernándezHayesOjoCampbellFergusonWrightMcGinnStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
McNamaraKerr10
GordonMcCart10
KerrMcNamara9
CraigMcCart8
McCartO'Halloran7

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
HobanTaylor14
McCrorieTaylor14
TaylorHoban14
HayesHoban12
TaylorMcCrorie11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

3−3.00−3.39−4.72−3.36−1.75−2.38+1.38−0.77+3.33+0.39+1.35−2.38+2.37+4.37+4.02−0.74+1.02−0.76+3.74+3.73+1.34+3.31−2.34+3.700.00−0.31+1.00−1.32−5.76−6.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Aberdeen

0−3.05+1.015+4.010+6.08+6.06+3.05−3.09+2.06+3.07−2.02−6.02−1.03−1.05−4.04+2.02−2.08−2.01−1.02+2.00−1.00−1.000.000.010.00−1.000.05−8.00−8.03−8.00−9.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.030.010.010.010.030.030.020.020.010.020.010.050.05−0.01−0.01−0.060.070.080.09LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.030.010.010.010.010.040.01−0.010.04−0.010.010.040.010.020.01−0.020.03−0.010.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.04AttackSt. Johnstone0.90 → 0.83Aberdeen1.00 → 0.92Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.26 → 1.17Aberdeen0.89 → 0.82

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six34%25%−9
11th11%15%+4
Bottom6%9%+3
Aberdeen
Title1%2%+1
Top six70%79%+9
11th3%2%−1
Bottom1%1%0
Celtic
Title59%57%−2

From the forecast before the match (20 August 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Expected goals0.851.20
Win25%44%
Expected Points1.071.62
Clean sheet30%43%

St. Johnstone 25%Draw 31%Aberdeen 44%

Most likely score 0–1, 15%. Both sides score 41%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%10%8%3%1%5%6%3%1%1%2%1%14%15%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 August 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawAberdeen win
St. Johnstone
Top six34%46%35%25%
11th11%7%10%15%
Bottom6%3%5%9%
Aberdeen
Title1%<1%1%2%
Top six70%57%68%79%
11th3%5%3%2%
Bottom1%3%1%1%
Celtic
Title59%60%61%57%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. W2–115 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 1.65–0.86
  2. L0–312 AugRangers (A)xG 0.44–1.73
  3. D1–11 AugDundee United (A)xG 0.38–1.84

Aberdeen

  1. L0–11 AugRangers (H)xG 0.15–1.25

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Position7th11th
Played31
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠1–⁠10–⁠0–⁠1
Points4 (1.33 per game)0 (0.00 per game)
Expected Points per game0.880.40
Goals3–⁠50–⁠1
xG per game0.82–⁠1.480.15–⁠1.25
Home: points, xG per game–⁠0.00, 0.15–⁠1.25
Away: points, xG per game1.33, 0.82–⁠1.48–⁠
ManagerCallum Davidson (3)Derek McInnes (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.04AttackSt. Johnstone0.90, 9thAberdeen1.00, 4thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.26, 8thAberdeen0.89, 3rd

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−5%+2%−15%+6%
Counter-attacks+9%+31%−17%−17%
Set pieces−34%+11%−13%−6%
Penalties−50%+33%−17%−17%
Headers−19%+11%−14%−7%
Left sideaverage+8%−15%+7%
Centre−6%+9%−14%average
Right side−34%−8%−14%average

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededLeft sideaverageaverageCentre−6%averageRight side−34%+7%Open play−5%+6%Counter-attacks+9%−17%Set pieces−34%−6%Headers−19%−7%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−15%−8%Centre−14%+9%Right side−14%+8%Open play−15%+2%Counter-attacks−17%+31%Set pieces−13%+11%Headers−14%+11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.82xG0.15
1.48xG against1.25
39%Possession40%
10.0Shots4.0
14.0Shots against15.0
3.7Shots on target0.0
1.0Big chances0.0
328Passes396
67%Pass accuracy75%
2.0Corners2.0
40%Field tilt29%
32.0Final-third entries26.0
5.7Box entries2.0
26.7Passes per defensive action11.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level430.721.63
Ahead0––
Behind470.911.32

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level210.132.10
Ahead0––
Behind690.160.99

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.060.310–1
16–300.030.100–1
31–450.000.130–1
46–600.100.551–1
61–750.160.170–1
76–900.470.222–0

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.000.110–0
16–300.060.460–1
31–450.000.110–0
46–600.000.030–0
61–750.040.090–0
76–900.060.460–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMCMCMAMSTSTParish 3Kerr 1McNamara 1Rooney 1Gordon 3McCart 2Kerr 1Booth 2Tanser 1McNamara 1Kerr 1Craig 1McCann 2McNamara 1Craig 2Conway 1O'Halloran 1Conway 1Hendry 3O'Halloran 1Wotherspoon 24-1-2-1-2 in 1 of 3 starts

Formations: 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMAMSTLewis 1Hernández 1Taylor 1McKenna 1Considine 1Hayes 1Ferguson 1Ojo 1Kennedy 1Bryson 1Anderson 14-4-1-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.