Matches › 2020/21

Dundee United 1–2 Livingston

Friday 2 October 2020, 19:45 · Tannadice Park · Round 10 · Half-time 1–0

Dundee United Clark 18'

Livingston Guthrie 53', Forrest 90'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Dundee United	Livingston
Goals	1	2
xG	0.06	3.09
Expected Points	0.03	2.94

Dundee United <1%Draw 3%Livingston 97%

Most likely score 0–3, 26%. Final score 1–2, 1%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedLivingston

0.06 −1.14xG3.09 +1.83

0.26 −0.72xG on target3.39 +2.43

1 −11Shots16 +6

1 −1.8Shots on target6 +3.3

0 −1.6Big chances6 +4.8

3 −13Touches in the opposition box21 0

44% −6Possession56% +8

334 −43Passes408 +66

50% −22Pass accuracy61% 0

28% −17Field tilt72% +21

29 −7Final-third entries40 +6

1 −8.7Box entries11 +1.0

15.2 +2Passes per defensive action12.8 0

3 −3.2Corners11 +5.6

12 −4Tackles6 −11

12 +1.3Interceptions14 +5.2

25 +1Clearances26 +6

4 +0.4Saves0 −2.0

15 +1Fouls11 −5

0 −1.8Offsides5 +3.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Dundee United

Livingston

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedLivingston

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.70 9 shots, 1 goal

0.06 1 shot, 1 goalSet pieces1.39 7 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–01–1

Level: 55 min (60%) · Dundee United 0.06, Livingston 1.37 xG
Dundee United ahead: 35 min (38%) · Dundee United 0.00, Livingston 1.72 xG
Livingston ahead: 1 min (1%) · Dundee United 0.00, Livingston 0.00 xG

Line-ups

Dundee United substitutes

75' Pawlett for Chalmers
75' Appere for Sporle

Livingston substitutes

76' Poplatnik for Tiffoney · 1 assist
90' McMillan for Forrest

Players

Dundee United

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	xT	Prog	Def
Mehmet	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0.04	4	0
Bolton	RB	90		0.00	0.00	0.03	6	4
Edwards	CB	90		0.00	0.01	0.06	6	8
Connolly	CB	90		0.00	0.01	0.03	4	6
Robson	LB	90		0.00	0.00	0.04	3	5
Chalmers	RM	75		0.00	0.02	0.02	2	8
Butcher	CM	90		0.00	0.01	0.05	3	6
Harkes	CM	90		0.00	0.01	0.02	3	5
Sporle	LM	75		0.00	0.00	0.01	1	5
Clark	ST	90	1	0.06	0.01	−0.01	1	3
Shankland	ST	90		0.00	0.06	0.05	4	1
Pawlett	MF	15		0.00	0.00	0.00	1	0
Appere	FW	15		0.00	0.00	0.01	3	1

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
McCrorie	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.08	7	0
Devlin	RB	90			0.48	0.01	0	0.00	3	5
Ambrose	CB	90			0.53	0.06	1	0.09	9	13
Guthrie	CB	90	1		0.44	0.02	0	0.07	4	9
Serrano	LB	90			0.04	0.03	0	0.06	5	5
Bartley	DM	90		1	0.00	0.21	1	0.19	3	4
Holt	DM	90			0.03	0.35	2	0.27	11	4
Robinson	RW	90			0.45	0.01	0	−0.01	0	0
Pittman	AM	90			0.07	0.17	3	0.07	2	4
Forrest	LW	90	1		0.58	0.50	4	0.12	2	1
Tiffoney	ST	76			0.47	0.22	1	0.23	2	1
Poplatnik	FW	14		1	0.00	0.70	1	0.17	1	0
McMillan	DF	0			0.00	0.00	0	–	–	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Livingston

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

From	To	Passes
Bolton	Shankland	10
Sporle	Robson	8
Robson	Sporle	7
Clark	Sporle	4
Harkes	Sporle	4

Livingston

From	To	Passes
Ambrose	McCrorie	14
Holt	Serrano	11
Devlin	Ambrose	9
Serrano	Forrest	9
Serrano	Holt	8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

Against its average of 9 matches

Livingston

Against its average of 9 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

Livingston

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Dundee United
Top six	45%	33%	−12
11th	6%	7%	+1
Bottom	3%	5%	+2
Livingston
Top six	37%	49%	+12
11th	8%	5%	−3
Bottom	4%	2%	−2
Hamilton Academical
11th	21%	21%	0
Bottom	40%	42%	+2

From the forecast before the match (2 October 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Dundee United	Livingston
Expected goals	1.14	1.16
Win	35%	35%
Expected Points	1.34	1.36
Clean sheet	31%	32%

Dundee United 35%Draw 30%Livingston 35%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

From the forecast as it stood on 2 October 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Dundee United win	Draw	Livingston win
Dundee United
Top six	45%	59%	44%	33%
11th	6%	3%	6%	7%
Bottom	3%	1%	3%	5%
Livingston
Top six	37%	27%	35%	49%
11th	8%	10%	9%	5%
Bottom	4%	6%	4%	2%
Hamilton Academical
11th	21%	22%	21%	21%
Bottom	40%	38%	40%	42%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

Livingston

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Dundee United	Livingston
Position	7th	8th
Played	9	9
Won, drawn, lost	3–⁠2–⁠4	2–⁠2–⁠5
Points	11 (1.22 per game)	8 (0.89 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.27	1.29
Goals	7–⁠14	10–⁠14
xG per game	1.20–⁠1.49	1.26–⁠1.39
Home: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.20–⁠1.36	1.40, 1.15–⁠1.44
Away: points, xG per game	1.40, 1.20–⁠1.59	0.25, 1.39–⁠1.32
Manager	Micky Mellon (9)	Gary Holt (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Dundee United		Livingston
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−1%	+34%	−8%	−14%
Counter-attacks	+37%	+357%	−100%	−73%
Set pieces	−21%	−19%	−27%	+48%
Penalties	−39%	−100%	+82%	+22%
Headers	−35%	+3%	−21%	+50%
Left side	+33%	+26%	−33%	−23%
Centre	−36%	+9%	+15%	+31%
Right side	+6%	+55%	−50%	−19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdLivingston concededLeft side+33%−19%Centre−36%+31%Right side+6%−23%Open play−1%−14%Counter-attacks+37%−73%Set pieces−21%+48%Headers−35%+50%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee United concededLeft side−33%+55%Centre+15%+9%Right side−50%+26%Open play−8%+34%Counter-attacks−100%+357%Set pieces−27%−19%Headers−21%+3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedLivingston

1.20xG1.26

1.49xG against1.39

50%Possession48%

12.3Shots10.4

15.3Shots against12.0

2.8Shots on target2.7

1.6Big chances1.2

16.0Touches in the opposition box21.0

377Passes342

72%Pass accuracy62%

6.2Corners5.4

45%Field tilt51%

35.9Final-third entries34.4

9.7Box entries10.0

13.0Passes per defensive action12.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	45	1.02	1.43
Ahead	25	1.32	0.98
Behind	20	1.45	2.23

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	44	1.02	1.23
Ahead	16	1.16	0.87
Behind	31	1.64	1.86

xG by period

Dundee United

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.21	0.13	2–1
16–30	0.10	0.15	0–2
31–45	0.21	0.40	2–2
46–60	0.33	0.22	2–1
61–75	0.05	0.39	0–4
76–90	0.29	0.20	1–4

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.23	0.10	2–1
16–30	0.23	0.28	1–4
31–45	0.17	0.26	2–3
46–60	0.16	0.24	1–4
61–75	0.26	0.25	3–0
76–90	0.21	0.26	1–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

Formations: 4-4-2 (3), 3-5-2 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-5-1 (1)

Livingston

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-4-2-1 (3), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Dundee United

Player	Starts	Min	G	xG per 90	xA per 90
Clark	7	575	2	0.47	0.03
Pawlett	7	605	1	0.16	0.22
Chalmers	6	527	0	0.15	0.10
Harkes	9	797	0	0.13	0.07

Livingston

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Forrest	7	603	2	0	0.22	0.25
Pittman	9	810	1	0	0.27	0.04
Devlin	8	676	0	0	0.05	0.19
Holt	5	460	1	1	0.21	0.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.