Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Rangers 1–1 Hearts

Saturday 16 October 2021, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 9 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 49,650

Rangers Lundstram 40'

Hearts Halkett 90'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersHearts
Goals11
xG3.340.49
Expected Points2.830.11

Rangers 92%Draw 6%Hearts 2%

Most likely score 3–0, 15%. Final score 1–1, 3%.

Hearts goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+1%5%3%7%1%9%2%7%1%8%4%5%3%12%15%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTBacuna on for Wright, 61'Davis on for Aribo and Roofe on for Hagi, 75'Ginnelly on for Woodburn, 61'Gnanduillet on for Cochrane, 77'Mackay-Steven on for McKay, 82'Lundstram 40'Halkett 90'Rangers 3.34Hearts 0.49012340153045607590HTBacuna on for Wright, 61'Davis on for Aribo and Roofe on for Hagi, 75'Ginnelly on for Woodburn, 61'Gnanduillet on for Cochrane, 77'Mackay-Steven on for McKay, 82'Lundstram 40'Halkett 90'3.340.49RangersHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersHearts

3.34 +1.72xG0.49 −1.05
3.04 +1.33xG on target1.78 +0.10
27 +9Shots5 −7
10 +4.6Shots on target4 −0.1
4 +2.2Big chances2 +0.4
31 −3Touches in the opposition box15 −8
54% −12Possession46% −8
535 +2Passes458 +24
85% +1Pass accuracy81% +5
71% −8Field tilt29% −26
59 +1Final-third entries39 −8
17 −3Box entries8 −5
17.4 +4Passes per defensive action14.6 +2
6 −2.9Corners4 −1.5
10 −2Tackles11 −5
7 +1.9Interceptions12 +2.6
15 −2Clearances21 +3
3 +1.4Saves8 +3.8
11 0Fouls12 +1
2 +0.5Offsides2 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Morelos 84', 0.58 xGBalogun 30', 0.42 xGBalogun 30', 0.34 xGRoofe 80', 0.27 xGWright 47', 0.19 xGMorelos 74', 0.19 xGAribo 47', 0.12 xGMorelos 66', 0.12 xGAribo 47', 0.11 xGHagi 52', 0.11 xGWright 5', 0.10 xGBalogun 30', 0.10 xGHagi 31', 0.10 xGMorelos 5', 0.08 xGMorelos 14', 0.08 xGHagi 7', 0.06 xGGoldson 81', 0.05 xGLundstram 26', 0.04 xGHagi 53', 0.04 xGMorelos 58', 0.04 xGBacuna 64', 0.04 xGMorelos 81', 0.04 xGGoldson 17', 0.02 xGAribo 18', 0.02 xGLundstram 21', 0.02 xGBacuna 81', 0.02 xGLundstram 40', 0.06 xG, goal23%0.76 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.76 xG, 0 goals53%1.76 xGCentral box: 11 shots, 1.76 xG, 0 goals13%0.44 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.44 xG, 0 goals11%0.36 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.36 xG, 1 goal1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

McKay 71', 0.13 xGMackay-Steven 85', 0.08 xGGnanduillet 84', 0.06 xGDevlin 72', 0.03 xGHalkett 90', 0.20 xG, goal41%0.20 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.20 xG, 1 goal41%0.20 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals18%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersHearts

2.39 21 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.21 3 shots, 0 goals
0.95 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.28 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
41 min (45%) · Rangers 1.43, Hearts 0.00 xG
Rangers ahead
50 min (55%) · Rangers 1.91, Hearts 0.49 xG

Line-ups

12626314187172320McGregorTavernierGoldsonBalogunBarisicLundstramKamaraHagiAriboWrightMorelosYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card75'75'61'Rangers 4-2-3-1Steven Gerrard1419326141718910GordonSouttarHalkettKingsleySmithBaningimeDevlinCochraneMcKayWoodburnBoyceGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card77'82'61'Hearts 3-4-2-1Robbie Neilson

Rangers substitutes

  • 61' Bacuna for Wright · yellow card 86'
  • 75' Davis for Aribo
  • 75' Roofe for Hagi

Hearts substitutes

  • 61' Ginnelly for Woodburn
  • 77' Gnanduillet for Cochrane
  • 82' Mackay-Steven for McKay

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0112
TavernierRB900.000.1920.25123
Goldson CB900.070.0200.0992
Balogun CB900.860.0010.1618
BarisicLB900.000.1330.15113
LundstramDM9010.110.0600.1191
KamaraDM900.000.1410.19113
HagiRW750.310.1510.1072
Aribo AM750.250.6840.2052
WrightLW610.290.0910.1141
MorelosST901.120.075−0.0102
Bacuna MF290.060.2220.0841
DavisMF150.000.010−0.0302
RoofeFW150.270.4710.1520

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0100.0530
SouttarCB900.000.0110.07613
HalkettCB9010.200.0100.05415
Kingsley CB900.000.0300.1156
SmithRWB900.000.0800.1592
Baningime CM900.000.020−0.0315
Devlin CM900.030.0100.0415
Cochrane LWB770.000.0100.0462
McKayAM820.130.0200.1262
WoodburnAM610.000.0100.0212
BoyceST900.000.010−0.0400
GinnellyFW290.000.000−0.0111
GnanduilletFW130.060.010−0.0802
Mackay-StevenFW80.080.0110.0320

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Tavernier and Kamara: 7 passesTavernier and Morelos: 7 passesBalogun and Barisic: 7 passesKamara and Wright: 7 passesKamara and Morelos: 7 passesTavernier and Hagi: 8 passesBalogun and Lundstram: 8 passesBarisic and Morelos: 8 passesKamara and Hagi: 8 passesLundstram and Wright: 8 passesGoldson and Lundstram: 9 passesBarisic and Wright: 9 passesKamara and Aribo: 9 passesLundstram and Morelos: 9 passesBarisic and Kamara: 10 passesHagi and Wright: 10 passesBalogun and Goldson: 11 passesAribo and Hagi: 11 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 12 passesTavernier and Lundstram: 12 passesBarisic and Lundstram: 13 passesLundstram and Hagi: 13 passesTavernier and Aribo: 14 passesHagi and Morelos: 16 passesKamara and Lundstram: 17 passesTavernier and Goldson: 18 passesMcGregor: 13 completed passesTavernier: 42 completed passesBalogun: 21 completed passesGoldson: 37 completed passesBarisic: 33 completed passesKamara: 39 completed passesLundstram: 49 completed passesAribo: 26 completed passesHagi: 34 completed passesWright: 24 completed passesMorelos: 23 completed passes12266311841772320McGregorTavernierBalogunGoldsonBarisicKamaraLundstramAriboHagiWrightMorelosStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Hearts

Devlin and McKay: 4 passesMcKay and Boyce: 4 passesGordon and Halkett: 5 passesGordon and Cochrane: 5 passesHalkett and Smith: 5 passesHalkett and Baningime: 5 passesBaningime and Woodburn: 5 passesGordon and Souttar: 6 passesSouttar and Kingsley: 6 passesSouttar and Devlin: 6 passesKingsley and Baningime: 6 passesKingsley and Woodburn: 6 passesSmith and Devlin: 6 passesHalkett and Devlin: 7 passesCochrane and Baningime: 8 passesDevlin and Woodburn: 8 passesSmith and Baningime: 9 passesKingsley and Devlin: 10 passesDevlin and Baningime: 10 passesSouttar and Baningime: 11 passesSmith and McKay: 11 passesCochrane and Woodburn: 11 passesSouttar and Halkett: 13 passesSouttar and Smith: 16 passesHalkett and Kingsley: 17 passesKingsley and Cochrane: 24 passesGordon: 13 completed passesSouttar: 34 completed passesHalkett: 30 completed passesKingsley: 40 completed passesSmith: 25 completed passesCochrane: 28 completed passesDevlin: 29 completed passesBaningime: 29 completed passesMcKay: 11 completed passesWoodburn: 16 completed passesBoyce: 5 completed passes1419321714618910GordonSouttarHalkettKingsleySmithCochraneDevlinBaningimeMcKayWoodburnBoyceStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
TavernierLundstram14
KamaraLundstram14
GoldsonTavernier14
TavernierAribo12
GoldsonMcGregor11

Hearts

FromToPasses
KingsleyCochrane18
CochraneKingsley15
SmithSouttar13
HalkettSouttar13
HalkettKingsley12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

8+3.24−0.910+1.16−0.23−2.84−1.13−1.510+4.28+0.97+1.15+1.17+3.27+2.95−1.04−0.23+0.53+0.27+4.44−0.22−0.92−0.21−0.21+0.12−0.12+0.90−0.40−1.20−0.610.00−7.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Hearts

7+2.950.023+13.67+1.58+2.24−1.47+0.87−1.15−0.67+0.45−1.25−0.54−1.54−2.210+5.47+1.94+0.65+1.12−1.55+1.12−1.02+0.62+0.50−2.52−0.90−0.40−0.61+0.61+0.81+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.010.010.010.020.010.030.020.060.040.040.020.050.060.030.040.080.040.070.080.030.030.140.180.200.24LessMore

Hearts

0.010.020.040.040.010.020.030.020.040.010.020.040.010.010.060.070.07−0.010.03−0.01−0.07−0.020.11LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackRangers1.78 → 1.83Hearts1.24 → 1.25Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.69 → 0.70Hearts1.00 → 1.07

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title65%59%−6
Hearts
Title4%4%0
Top six96%97%+1
Celtic
Title30%34%+4

From the forecast before the match (16 October 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersHearts
Expected goals1.770.70
Win62%14%
Expected Points2.110.65
Clean sheet50%17%

Rangers 62%Draw 24%Hearts 14%

Most likely score 1–0, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

Hearts goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%4%9%3%8%5%2%3%2%1%14%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 16 October 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawHearts win
Rangers
Title65%69%59%53%
Hearts
Title4%2%4%9%
Top six96%95%97%98%
Celtic
Title30%28%34%36%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. W2–13 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.68–0.23
  2. W1–025 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.65–1.63
  3. D1–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 2.65–0.27
  4. W2–111 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.22–0.65
  5. W1–029 AugCeltic (H)xG 0.74–1.44
  6. W4–222 AugRoss County (A)xG 2.40–1.44

Hearts

  1. W2–02 OctMotherwell (H)xG 2.16–1.12
  2. W3–025 SepLivingston (H)xG 2.43–0.12
  3. D2–218 SepRoss County (A)xG 1.21–1.44
  4. D0–012 SepHibernian (H)xG 1.23–1.09
  5. W2–028 AugDundee United (A)xG 2.25–0.40
  6. D1–122 AugAberdeen (H)xG 1.17–0.54

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersHearts
Position1st2nd
Played88
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠1–⁠15–⁠3–⁠0
Points19 (2.38 per game)18 (2.25 per game)
Expected Points per game1.941.85
Goals14–⁠614–⁠5
xG per game1.62–⁠0.781.54–⁠0.87
Home: points, xG per game2.50, 1.73–⁠0.502.20, 1.68–⁠0.87
Away: points, xG per game2.25, 1.52–⁠1.062.33, 1.31–⁠0.86
ManagerSteven Gerrard (46)Robbie Neilson (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackRangers1.78, 2ndHearts1.24, 4thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.69, 1stHearts1.00, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers attack: 1.78Hearts attack: 1.241.781.24HeartsRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers defence: 0.69Hearts defence: 1.001.000.69

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+43%−45%−11%−17%
Counter-attacks−73%−100%−66%−29%
Set pieces+36%−46%+18%−37%
Penalties−20%+60%+300%−100%
Headers+30%−55%−38%−36%
Left side+7%−38%+19%−20%
Centre+17%−60%−14%−45%
Right side+104%−31%−15%+25%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHearts concededLeft side+7%+25%Centre+17%−45%Right side+104%−20%Open play+43%−17%Counter-attacks−73%−29%Set pieces+36%−37%Headers+30%−36%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdRangers concededLeft side+19%−31%Centre−14%−60%Right side−15%−38%Open play−11%−45%Counter-attacks−66%−100%Set pieces+18%−46%Headers−38%−55%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersHearts

1.62xG1.54
0.78xG against0.87
66%Possession54%
17.8Shots12.1
7.2Shots against11.1
5.4Shots on target4.1
1.8Big chances1.6
33.8Touches in the opposition box23.5
533Passes434
83%Pass accuracy76%
8.9Corners5.5
78%Field tilt55%
58.4Final-third entries46.5
19.6Box entries12.6
13.7Passes per defensive action12.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.330.80
Ahead421.750.95
Behind112.170.01

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.980.78
Ahead421.091.00
Behind31.070.26

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.280.093–1
16–300.210.122–0
31–450.160.070–1
46–600.410.153–1
61–750.150.191–2
76–900.420.165–1

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.250.083–1
16–300.200.043–0
31–450.410.262–1
46–600.360.101–1
61–750.200.103–1
76–900.110.302–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcLaughlin 4McGregor 3McCrorie 1Tavernier 6Balogun 1Patterson 1Goldson 7Balogun 5Helander 3Simpson 1Barisic 4Bassey 4Aribo 7Lundstram 3Davis 6Kamara 8Hagi 4Roofe 3Aribo 1Morelos 6Sakala 2Kent 5Wright 2Roofe 14-3-3 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (6), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1)

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWGordon 8Souttar 6Moore 3Halkett 8Kingsley 4Cochrane 3Smith 7McKay 1Baningime 8Woodburn 1Haring 4Devlin 2Halliday 1Cochrane 4Halliday 3Kingsley 1Ginnelly 3Woodburn 2McKay 2Boyce 8Mackay-Steven 5Woodburn 2Gnanduillet 13-4-3 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (5), 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Aribo8676210.180.34
Tavernier6540130.190.26
Morelos6506220.330.08
Kamara8669010.050.10

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyce8692610.720.06
Smith7606110.040.09
Cochrane7630100.050.06
Souttar6540100.050.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.