Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee FC 0–5 Ross County

Wednesday 27 October 2021, 19:45 · Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park · Round 11 · Half-time 0–4 · Attendance 4,883

Ross County Clarke 18', Callachan 27', Hungbo 34', Charles-Cook 40', 71'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCRoss County
Goals05
xG0.481.57
Expected Points0.452.31

Dundee FC 7%Draw 24%Ross County 69%

Most likely score 0–1, 24%. Final score 0–5, <1%.

Ross County goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+6%7%2%3%15%11%4%3%2%24%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTMullen on for McMullan, 38'Sheridan on for McGowan and McCowan on for Cummings, 57'Spittal on for Hungbo, 65'B. Paton on for Randall and Burroughs on for Charles-Cook, 76'Clarke 18'Callachan 27'Hungbo 34'Charles-Cook 40'Charles-Cook 71'Ross County 1.57Dundee FC 0.4800.511.520153045607590HTMullen on for McMullan, 38'Sheridan on for McGowan and McCowan on for Cummings, 57'Spittal on for Hungbo, 65'B. Paton on for Randall and Burroughs on for Charles-Cook, 76'Clarke 18'Callachan 27'Hungbo 34'Charles-Cook 40'Charles-Cook 71'1.570.48Dundee FCRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCRoss County

0.48 −0.35xG1.57 +0.55
0.34 −0.53xG on target3.15 +2.27
7 −4Shots14 +3
3 −1.0Shots on target7 +3.2
0 −0.9Big chances2 +0.9
15 −1Touches in the opposition box34 +15
49% +7Possession51% +8
349 +44Passes366 +45
70% +6Pass accuracy72% +5
34% −4Field tilt66% +26
29 +2Final-third entries27 −1
5 −3.7Box entries18 +9.7
19.7 +5Passes per defensive action12.7 −7
6 +1.4Corners6 +2.5
7 −7Tackles13 0
6 −3.2Interceptions9 −0.7
20 +1Clearances27 +3
2 −1.7Saves3 −0.2
11 −2Fouls13 +1
2 +0.1Offsides0 −2.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Mullen 57', 0.23 xGMcMullan 15', 0.11 xGCummings 52', 0.05 xGGriffiths 77', 0.04 xGAdam 15', 0.02 xGCummings 20', 0.02 xGMcMullan 13', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals69%0.34 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals10%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals14%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals6%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

White 86', 0.10 xGWhite 45', 0.05 xGCallachan 45', 0.05 xGCharles-Cook 22', 0.04 xGH. Paton 37', 0.04 xGHungbo 56', 0.03 xGWhite 63', 0.03 xGCharles-Cook 31', 0.02 xGCallachan 40', 0.02 xGCharles-Cook 40', 0.76 xG, goalCharles-Cook 71', 0.19 xG, goalCallachan 27', 0.14 xG, goalClarke 18', 0.07 xG, goalHungbo 34', 0.04 xG, goal48%0.76 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.76 xG, 1 goal22%0.34 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.34 xG, 1 goal21%0.33 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.33 xG, 2 goals7%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 1 goal

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCRoss County

0.24 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.54 13 shots, 4 goals
0.24 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.04 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
18 min (20%) · Dundee FC 0.14, Ross County 0.07 xG
Ross County ahead
72 min (80%) · Dundee FC 0.34, Ross County 1.51 xG

Line-ups

12145318102662935LegzdinsKerrAshcroftSweeneyMarshallMcMullanMcGowanAdamMcGheeGriffithsCummingsYellow card38'57'57'Dundee FC 4-4-2James McPake312051628623221726Maynard-BrewerClarkeBaldwinIacovittiRandallCallachanH. PatonHungboTillsonCharles-CookWhiteGoalGoalYellow cardGoalGoalGoalYellow card76'65'76'Ross County 4-2-3-1Malky Mackay

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 38' Mullen for McMullan
  • 57' McCowan for Cummings
  • 57' Sheridan for McGowan · yellow card 84'

Ross County substitutes

  • 65' Spittal for Hungbo
  • 76' B. Paton for Randall
  • 76' Burroughs for Charles-Cook

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LegzdinsGK900.000.0310.0120
KerrRB900.000.0200.0774
AshcroftCB900.000.0000.0219
Sweeney CB900.000.0100.0768
MarshallLB900.000.0200.0755
McMullanRM380.120.0100.0002
McGowanCM570.000.0100.0211
AdamCM900.020.0320.0661
McGheeLM900.000.000−0.0203
GriffithsST900.040.0110.1100
CummingsST570.070.0300.0421
MullenFW520.230.0100.0210
McCowanMF330.000.1000.2120
Sheridan FW330.000.0000.0002

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Maynard-BrewerGK900.000.0000.0101
ClarkeRB90110.070.0710.19115
BaldwinCB900.000.0100.0862
IacovittiCB9010.000.0010.01314
RandallLB7610.000.3930.1655
CallachanDM9010.210.0510.0541
H. Paton DM900.040.1630.1368
HungboRW6510.060.0900.0661
TillsonAM900.000.010−0.01210
Charles-Cook LW7621.000.021−0.0220
WhiteST9010.190.011−0.0310
SpittalMF250.000.0500.1031
B. PatonDF140.000.0000.0131
BurroughsDF140.000.2210.0811

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

Marshall and McMullan: 3 passesAdam and McMullan: 3 passesMcGhee and McGowan: 3 passesSweeney and Marshall: 4 passesMcGhee and Cummings: 4 passesMarshall and McGowan: 5 passesKerr and Ashcroft: 6 passesSweeney and Ashcroft: 6 passesMarshall and Adam: 6 passesKerr and Cummings: 8 passesLegzdins: 5 completed passesKerr: 11 completed passesSweeney: 8 completed passesAshcroft: 11 completed passesMarshall: 12 completed passesAdam: 8 completed passesMcGhee: 5 completed passesMcGowan: 9 completed passesCummings: 11 completed passesGriffiths: 6 completed passesMcMullan: 5 completed passes12514326610352918LegzdinsKerrSweeneyAshcroftMarshallAdamMcGheeMcGowanCummingsGriffithsMcMullanStarters until 38' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Ross County

Maynard-Brewer and Iacovitti: 4 passesH. Paton and Callachan: 4 passesTillson and Charles-Cook: 4 passesCallachan and Charles-Cook: 4 passesMaynard-Brewer and Clarke: 5 passesClarke and Callachan: 5 passesBaldwin and Iacovitti: 5 passesRandall and White: 5 passesH. Paton and Tillson: 5 passesBaldwin and Tillson: 6 passesBaldwin and Hungbo: 6 passesHungbo and Charles-Cook: 6 passesRandall and Callachan: 7 passesClarke and Baldwin: 8 passesClarke and White: 8 passesIacovitti and Tillson: 8 passesRandall and Charles-Cook: 8 passesTillson and Hungbo: 8 passesClarke and Hungbo: 12 passesRandall and H. Paton: 12 passesClarke and Tillson: 14 passesH. Paton and Hungbo: 14 passesH. Paton and Charles-Cook: 14 passesMaynard-Brewer: 8 completed passesClarke: 34 completed passesBaldwin: 19 completed passesIacovitti: 13 completed passesRandall: 25 completed passesH. Paton: 24 completed passesTillson: 27 completed passesHungbo: 22 completed passesCallachan: 15 completed passesCharles-Cook: 18 completed passesWhite: 7 completed passes312051626222381726Maynard-BrewerClarkeBaldwinIacovittiRandallH. PatonTillsonHungboCallachanCharles-CookWhiteStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
MarshallAdam19
AdamMarshall14
MarshallSweeney9
KerrCummings8
SweeneyMarshall8

Ross County

FromToPasses
ClarkeTillson13
H. PatonCharles-Cook10
RandallH. Paton10
ClarkeWhite8
TillsonIacovitti8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

10+4.112−2.59+2.39+2.26+0.53−2.26−2.88+2.06+0.24+1.20−4.04−2.39+5.24−0.23−0.71−1.84+1.22−1.43+0.72+0.60−1.40−1.40−1.30−1.20−0.40−1.00−0.31+0.12−4.81−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Ross County

6+0.711+6.013−1.86−1.63−4.27−1.89+1.57+0.880.09+2.43−2.45+0.73−1.08+4.34−2.39+4.93+0.42−0.43+0.41−2.55+3.05+3.00−0.51−0.40−1.52+1.200.00−0.31+0.91+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.010.020.020.030.050.020.030.060.020.040.070.06−0.02−0.010.030.090.10LessMore

Ross County

0.010.010.050.010.010.040.030.020.040.030.020.010.020.020.01−0.020.010.060.10−0.010.040.090.070.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackDundee FC0.88 → 0.85Ross County0.96 → 1.02Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.49 → 1.58Ross County1.59 → 1.57

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
Top six3%1%−2
11th31%27%−4
Bottom33%49%+16
Ross County
Top six1%1%0
11th27%33%+6
Bottom54%39%−15

From the forecast before the match (27 October 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCRoss County
Expected goals1.361.16
Win41%31%
Expected Points1.501.22
Clean sheet31%26%

Dundee FC 41%Draw 28%Ross County 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Ross County goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+9%9%5%2%7%3%7%9%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 October 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawRoss County win
Dundee FC
Top six3%5%2%1%
11th31%34%33%27%
Bottom33%22%33%49%
Ross County
Top six1%<1%<1%1%
11th27%21%27%33%
Bottom54%66%55%39%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. D1–123 OctHearts (A)xG 0.52–1.49
  2. W2–116 OctAberdeen (H)xG 0.56–0.96
  3. L1–32 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.41–1.90
  4. L0–125 SepRangers (H)xG 1.63–1.65
  5. L0–119 SepDundee United (A)xG 0.84–0.72
  6. D0–011 SepLivingston (H)xG 1.08–0.44

Ross County

  1. L2–323 OctLivingston (H)xG 2.11–0.57
  2. L2–316 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.15–1.10
  3. L0–12 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.90–1.26
  4. L1–225 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.79–0.85
  5. D2–218 SepHearts (H)xG 1.44–1.21
  6. L0–311 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.45–2.71

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCRoss County
Position11th12th
Played1010
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠4–⁠50–⁠3–⁠7
Points7 (0.70 per game)3 (0.30 per game)
Expected Points per game0.970.98
Goals8–⁠1810–⁠22
xG per game0.83–⁠1.721.02–⁠1.63
Home: points, xG per game1.20, 1.03–⁠1.470.40, 1.29–⁠1.39
Away: points, xG per game0.20, 0.63–⁠1.970.20, 0.75–⁠1.88
ManagerJames McPake (10)Malky Mackay (10)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackDundee FC0.88, 12thRoss County0.96, 9thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.49, 11thRoss County1.59, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC attack: 0.88Ross County attack: 0.960.960.88Ross CountyDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC defence: 1.49Ross County defence: 1.591.591.49

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−35%+54%−18%+53%
Counter-attacks−30%+44%−91%+23%
Set pieces−18%−11%−43%+22%
Penalties−40%+80%+80%−40%
Headers−5%−21%−39%+73%
Left side−36%+43%−24%+57%
Centre−50%+36%−44%+28%
Right side+14%+33%+4%+64%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdRoss County concededLeft side−36%+64%Centre−50%+28%Right side+14%+57%Open play−35%+53%Counter-attacks−30%+23%Set pieces−18%+22%Headers−5%+73%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdDundee FC concededLeft side−24%+33%Centre−44%+36%Right side+4%+43%Open play−18%+54%Counter-attacks−91%+44%Set pieces−43%−11%Headers−39%−21%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCRoss County

0.83xG1.02
1.72xG against1.63
42%Possession43%
10.8Shots10.6
16.0Shots against15.7
4.0Shots on target3.8
0.9Big chances1.1
16.2Touches in the opposition box19.2
305Passes321
63%Pass accuracy67%
4.6Corners3.5
39%Field tilt40%
27.1Final-third entries28.3
8.7Box entries8.3
15.0Passes per defensive action19.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.761.42
Ahead70.141.90
Behind381.032.03

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level420.761.44
Ahead101.492.09
Behind381.181.74

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.121–1
16–300.050.410–3
31–450.070.351–5
46–600.240.292–4
61–750.120.262–2
76–900.150.292–3

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.172–4
16–300.160.230–3
31–450.210.295–6
46–600.070.210–1
61–750.260.322–3
76–900.210.421–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWLegzdins 10Kerr 7Elliot 3Ashcroft 8Fontaine 4Sweeney 7McGhee 1Marshall 8McGhee 1Anderson 1McGhee 8McGowan 1Byrne 8Robertson 1Anderson 6Adam 6McMullan 6McCowan 2Ashcroft 2Griffiths 4McMullan 2Cummings 2McCowan 3McGowan 3Griffiths 14-3-3 in 6 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (6), 3-5-2 (2), 4-5-1 (2)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMaynard-Brewer 5Laidlaw 5Clarke 3Randall 3Burroughs 2Baldwin 4Clarke 3Donaldson 1Iacovitti 9H. Paton 1Burroughs 1B. Paton 5Charles-Cook 2Burroughs 2Tillson 7Callachan 3Cancola 2Spittal 5H. Paton 2Charles-Cook 1Charles-Cook 2Baldwin 2H. Paton 1Callachan 5H. Paton 2Spittal 1Charles-Cook 5Spittal 3Callachan 1White 8A. Samuel 24-2-3-1 in 3 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Cummings3491300.490.10
McMullan9782030.040.23
McGowan4462100.110.05
Anderson7551000.090.05

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Callachan9804110.280.05
Spittal10813300.150.16
White8751110.270.04
Charles-Cook10797210.090.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.