Matches › 2021/22

Hibernian 2–2 St. Mirren

Saturday 18 September 2021, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 6 · Half-time 0–1 · Attendance 13,501

Hibernian McGinn 56', Boyle 61' (pen)

St. Mirren Brophy 42', Shaughnessy 88'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	St. Mirren
Goals	2	2
xG	2.10	0.82
Non-penalty xG	1.31	0.82
Expected Points	2.31	0.48

Hibernian 70%Draw 21%St. Mirren 9%

Most likely score 2–1, 14%. Final score 2–2, 6%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianSt. Mirren

2.10 +0.28xG0.82 −0.22

1.31Non-penalty xG0.82

1.32 −0.85xG on target1.20 +0.17

17 +2Shots12 +2

2 −3.4Shots on target4 +1.4

3 +1.0Big chances2 +1.0

60% +5Possession40% −6

474 +69Passes322 +13

78% +2Pass accuracy72% +6

67% +10Field tilt33% −11

44 +5Final-third entries38 +13

13 −2Box entries7 −3

15.1 +1Passes per defensive action19.4 +7

8 +2.4Corners6 +1.4

11 −3Tackles22 +8

5 −4.8Interceptions8 −0.6

18 +1Clearances19 +2

2 −0.8Saves0 −4.0

7 −4Fouls11 −1

1 −1.0Offsides7 +3.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

St. Mirren

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianSt. Mirren

1.19 12 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.72 10 shots, 2 goals

0.12 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.10 2 shots, 0 goals

0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–12–1

Level: 53 min (56%) · Hibernian 1.15, St. Mirren 0.20 xG
Hibernian ahead: 27 min (29%) · Hibernian 0.31, St. Mirren 0.60 xG
St. Mirren ahead: 14 min (15%) · Hibernian 0.64, St. Mirren 0.02 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

46' Allan for Cadden · 1 assist
82' Gogic for Doyle-Hayes

St. Mirren substitutes

62' Main for Reid
62' Erhahon for Ronan
82' McAllister for Millar

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Macey	GK	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.06	9	0
McGinn	CB	90	1		0.22	0.16	0	0.35	10	5
Porteous	CB	90			0.04	0.01	0	0.11	12	10
Hanlon	CB	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.10	5	5
Cadden	RWB	46			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	0	0
Magennis	CM	90			0.16	0.20	6	0.02	4	3
Doyle-Hayes	CM	82			0.00	0.02	0	0.03	5	1
Doig	LWB	90			0.00	0.10	1	0.15	8	5
Newell	AM	90			0.19	0.04	1	−0.03	3	2
Boyle	ST	90	1		0.90	0.01	0	−0.03	4	1
Nisbet	ST	90			0.55	0.08	0	0.02	1	5
Allan	MF	44		1	0.02	0.22	5	0.38	9	0
Gogic	DF	8			0.02	0.01	0	0.12	1	0

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Alnwick	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Fraser	CB	90			0.05	0.02	0	−0.09	6	10
McCarthy	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	1	12
Shaughnessy	CB	90	1		0.51	0.01	1	0.06	4	11
Millar	DM	82			0.00	0.12	2	0.27	5	6
Ronan	RWB	62		1	0.00	0.01	2	0.00	4	0
Reid	CM	62			0.00	0.00	0	−0.02	0	2
Power	CM	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.05	4	8
Tanser	LWB	90		1	0.00	0.36	3	0.29	8	5
McGrath	ST	90			0.00	0.12	3	−0.02	4	2
Brophy	ST	90	1		0.13	0.01	0	0.02	4	1
Main	FW	28			0.00	0.00	1	0.00	1	0
Erhahon	MF	28			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	2
McAllister	MF	8			0.12	0.00	0	0.07	2	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

St. Mirren

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Hanlon	Macey	12
McGinn	Magennis	12
Porteous	McGinn	11
Porteous	Hanlon	11
McGinn	Doyle-Hayes	10

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
McCarthy	Fraser	7
Fraser	Tanser	7
Fraser	McCarthy	7
McGrath	Fraser	7
Fraser	Millar	7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 5 matches

St. Mirren

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

St. Mirren

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Title	1%	1%	0
Top six	96%	94%	−2
St. Mirren
Top six	13%	13%	0
11th	15%	14%	−1
Bottom	10%	9%	−1

From the forecast before the match (18 September 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	St. Mirren
Expected goals	1.64	0.74
Win	58%	16%
Expected Points	2.00	0.74
Clean sheet	48%	20%

Hibernian 58%Draw 26%St. Mirren 16%

Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Both sides score 43%.

From the forecast as it stood on 18 September 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	St. Mirren win
Hibernian
Title	1%	1%	1%	<1%
Top six	96%	98%	94%	93%
St. Mirren
Top six	13%	10%	13%	22%
11th	15%	16%	14%	11%
Bottom	10%	11%	9%	5%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

St. Mirren

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	St. Mirren
Position	2nd	10th
Played	5	5
Won, drawn, lost	3–⁠2–⁠0	0–⁠3–⁠2
Points	11 (2.20 per game)	3 (0.60 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.00	1.30
Goals	10–⁠4	3–⁠10
xG per game	1.82–⁠0.91	1.04–⁠1.70
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 1.33–⁠0.55	0.67, 1.06–⁠0.83
Away: points, xG per game	1.67, 2.15–⁠1.15	0.50, 1.02–⁠3.02
Manager	Jack Ross (43)	Jim Goodwin (43)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		St. Mirren
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+38%	−38%	−49%	+53%
Counter-attacks	+74%	+81%	+78%	+138%
Set pieces	−20%	+13%	+29%	−22%
Penalties	+149%	−84%	+32%	−89%
Headers	−18%	+22%	+4%	−17%
Left side	+43%	−16%	−20%	+34%
Centre	+19%	−29%	−13%	+37%
Right side	+24%	−2%	−48%	+51%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+43%+51%Centre+19%+37%Right side+24%+34%Open play+38%+53%Counter-attacks+74%+138%Set pieces−20%−22%Headers−18%−17%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdHibernian concededLeft side−20%−2%Centre−13%−29%Right side−48%−16%Open play−49%−38%Counter-attacks+78%+81%Set pieces+29%+13%Headers+4%+22%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianSt. Mirren

1.82xG1.04

0.91xG against1.70

55%Possession46%

15.2Shots10.4

10.2Shots against16.6

5.4Shots on target2.6

2.0Big chances1.0

18.0Touches in the opposition box17.5

405Passes309

76%Pass accuracy66%

5.6Corners4.6

58%Field tilt43%

39.2Final-third entries25.2

14.6Box entries10.4

14.5Passes per defensive action12.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	48	1.62	1.25
Ahead	30	1.39	0.70
Behind	12	3.66	0.11

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	51	1.39	1.03
Ahead	9	0.72	1.72
Behind	29	0.53	2.88

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.12	0.22	0–2
16–30	0.31	0.12	3–1
31–45	0.31	0.09	2–0
46–60	0.38	0.12	3–0
61–75	0.35	0.25	1–0
76–90	0.35	0.12	1–1

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.06	0.20	1–0
16–30	0.17	0.25	0–4
31–45	0.23	0.44	0–2
46–60	0.25	0.15	1–1
61–75	0.13	0.48	0–2
76–90	0.19	0.18	1–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

St. Mirren

Formations: 3-1-4-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
2 February 2021	St. Mirren	1–2	Hibernian	xG 0.65–1.60
23 December 2020	Hibernian	1–0	St. Mirren	xG 0.86–0.85
12 September 2020	St. Mirren	0–3	Hibernian	xG 1.24–1.09

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 3, St. Mirren won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 6–1 and xG 1.18–0.91 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Boyle	40	3,583	16	6	0.39	0.18
Nisbet	31	2,816	15	2	0.48	0.08
Doidge	30	2,829	9	2	0.38	0.06
Murphy	18	1,494	1	1	0.15	0.16

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Dennis	6	634	3	1	0.40	0.09
McGrath	39	3,290	11	1	0.28	0.15
Tanser	5	450	0	1	0.11	0.22
Erwin	17	1,538	3	0	0.22	0.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.