Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Johnstone v Hibernian

Saturday 20 March 2027, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 31

Forecast

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Expected goals1.181.36
Win32%40%
Expected Points1.231.49
Clean sheet26%31%

St. Johnstone 32%Draw 28%Hibernian 40%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Hibernian goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%1%9%9%4%1%5%7%5%2%2%3%2%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  2. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  3. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  4. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  5. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07
  6. L1–229 AugHearts (A)xG 1.28–2.20

Hibernian

  1. L0–110 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.68
  2. D1–119 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.40–0.70
  3. L0–115 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–2.21
  4. L1–26 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.61–2.32
  5. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86
  6. W2–130 AugDundee FC (A)xG 2.33–1.03

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Position5th10th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠32–⁠1–⁠5
Points11 (1.38 per game)7 (0.88 per game)
Expected Points per game1.171.33
Goals10–⁠108–⁠12
xG per game1.33–⁠1.591.58–⁠1.65
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.49–⁠1.410.25, 1.56–⁠1.49
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.16–⁠1.771.50, 1.60–⁠1.81
ManagerSimo Valakari (39)Marink Reedijk (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackSt. Johnstone1.07, 12thHibernian1.32, 4thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.56, 11thHibernian1.27, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone attack: 1.07Hibernian attack: 1.321.321.07HibernianSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone defence: 1.56Hibernian defence: 1.271.561.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−21%+11%−15%+6%
Counter-attacks−55%−18%−13%−1%
Set pieces−29%+3%+8%−6%
Penalties+80%−40%+80%+20%
Headers−18%+40%−35%+7%
Left side−6%+13%−11%−2%
Centre−20%−7%−25%+24%
Right side−63%+16%+20%−26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft side−6%−26%Centre−20%+24%Right side−63%−2%Open play−21%+6%Counter-attacks−55%−1%Set pieces−29%−6%Headers−18%+7%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−11%+16%Centre−25%−7%Right side+20%+13%Open play−15%+11%Counter-attacks−13%−18%Set pieces+8%+3%Headers−35%+40%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneHibernian

1.33xG1.58
1.59xG against1.65
48%Possession51%
9.9Shots16.4
14.0Shots against13.4
3.4Shots on target4.4
2.4Big chances2.0
18.4Touches in the opposition box31.6
441Passes443
80%Pass accuracy81%
3.2Corners6.9
49%Field tilt55%
39.7Final-third entries44.7
10.9Box entries15.0
18.3Passes per defensive action14.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.591.52
Ahead210.831.90
Behind231.251.44

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level341.101.77
Ahead171.552.02
Behind392.031.38

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.121–1
16–300.200.202–1
31–450.290.321–2
46–600.330.312–4
61–750.130.211–1
76–900.200.423–1

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.091–1
16–300.180.232–2
31–450.270.430–5
46–600.300.312–0
61–750.310.182–1
76–900.360.411–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 8Smith 5Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 2Diabate 7Foulds 1Alić 6Foulds 2McAlear 7Stanton 1Holt 8Stanton 4Campbell 2Smith 1Paton 2Cotterill 2Gullan 2Paton 3Steven 3Gullan 2Fowler 7Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 4 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 8Kerr 8Passlack 2O'Hora 2Hanley 4Iredale 2Obita 4Ivezić 1Megwa 1Passlack 5Wright 1Megwa 1Mulligan 8Chaiwa 5Devaney 2Wright 1Mayor 5Wright 1Iredale 1Boyle 3Elding 2Šuto 1Lowe 4Šuto 2Boyle 1Klidje 3McGrath 2Wright 13-4-3 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 September 2026St. Johnstone2–1HibernianxG 2.32–1.61
29 March 2025Hibernian3–0St. JohnstonexG 2.12–0.02
2 January 2025St. Johnstone1–1HibernianxG 0.96–2.27
14 September 2024Hibernian2–0St. JohnstonexG 1.61–0.25
27 April 2024St. Johnstone1–3HibernianxG 0.82–1.76
6 April 2024Hibernian1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.95–0.62

19 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 6, Hibernian won 9, and 4 were drawn. Goals 15–26 and xG 0.64–1.46 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler7557510.560.05
Alić6540100.030.16
Stanton6545010.090.05
Diabate7593100.070.02

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Passlack7644010.060.24
Mulligan8705010.140.09
Mayor5463100.060.17
Kerr8720000.130.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.