Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Johnstone v St. Mirren

Wednesday 2 December 2026, 19:45 · McDiarmid Park · Round 16

Forecast

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.331.13
Win41%31%
Expected Points1.511.21
Clean sheet32%26%

St. Johnstone 41%Draw 28%St. Mirren 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.

St. Mirren goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%9%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  2. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  3. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  4. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  5. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07
  6. L1–229 AugHearts (A)xG 1.28–2.20

St. Mirren

  1. L0–510 OctHearts (A)xG 0.68–3.43
  2. L0–319 SepDundee United (H)xG 0.99–1.60
  3. L0–19 SepRangers (A)xG 1.26–2.49
  4. L1–25 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.95–3.19
  5. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41
  6. D3–330 AugMotherwell (H)xG 2.92–2.45

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Position5th7th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠33–⁠1–⁠4
Points11 (1.38 per game)10 (1.25 per game)
Expected Points per game1.171.19
Goals10–⁠108–⁠14
xG per game1.33–⁠1.591.47–⁠1.91
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.49–⁠1.411.00, 1.86–⁠2.10
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.16–⁠1.771.50, 1.09–⁠1.72
ManagerSimo Valakari (39)Craig McLeish (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackSt. Johnstone1.07, 12thSt. Mirren1.10, 11thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.56, 11thSt. Mirren1.44, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone attack: 1.07St. Mirren attack: 1.101.101.07St. MirrenSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone defence: 1.56St. Mirren defence: 1.441.561.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−21%+11%−21%+1%
Counter-attacks−55%−18%+85%+43%
Set pieces−29%+3%−33%+1%
Penalties+80%−40%+20%+140%
Headers−18%+40%−50%−14%
Left side−6%+13%−13%+3%
Centre−20%−7%−7%−34%
Right side−63%+16%−11%+73%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−6%+73%Centre−20%−34%Right side−63%+3%Open play−21%+1%Counter-attacks−55%+43%Set pieces−29%+1%Headers−18%−14%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−13%+16%Centre−7%−7%Right side−11%+13%Open play−21%+11%Counter-attacks+85%−18%Set pieces−33%+3%Headers−50%+40%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

1.33xG1.47
1.59xG against1.91
48%Possession48%
9.9Shots13.5
14.0Shots against15.2
3.4Shots on target3.5
2.4Big chances2.2
18.4Touches in the opposition box26.0
441Passes436
80%Pass accuracy80%
3.2Corners4.2
49%Field tilt47%
39.7Final-third entries39.2
10.9Box entries14.2
18.3Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.591.52
Ahead210.831.90
Behind231.251.44

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level311.702.25
Ahead321.401.23
Behind271.312.33

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.121–1
16–300.200.202–1
31–450.290.321–2
46–600.330.312–4
61–750.130.211–1
76–900.200.423–1

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.412–3
16–300.200.231–2
31–450.250.333–2
46–600.170.460–3
61–750.380.201–1
76–900.380.291–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 8Smith 5Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 2Diabate 7Foulds 1Alić 6Foulds 2McAlear 7Stanton 1Holt 8Stanton 4Campbell 2Smith 1Paton 2Cotterill 2Gullan 2Paton 3Steven 3Gullan 2Fowler 7Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 4 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 8Ramsay 6Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 7Jackson 1Fraser 1Fieldson 7John 7Sule 1Carr 8Nsio 5Taylor 2Phillips 1Mochrie 4Ramos 2Kabia 1Phillips 2Taylor 2Nsio 1Kabia 4Mochrie 1Taylor 1Agrafiotis 4Sule 2Mochrie 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 August 2026St. Mirren1–0St. JohnstonexG 1.58–1.17
1 February 2025St. Mirren0–1St. JohnstonexG 0.38–0.51
14 December 2024St. Johnstone2–3St. MirrenxG 0.79–2.08
30 October 2024St. Mirren3–1St. JohnstonexG 0.93–0.73
24 February 2024St. Mirren2–0St. JohnstonexG 0.94–0.70
6 December 2023St. Johnstone1–0St. MirrenxG 1.98–1.93

17 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 5, St. Mirren won 8, and 4 were drawn. Goals 16–22 and xG 1.04–1.17 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler7557510.560.05
Alić6540100.030.16
Stanton6545010.090.05
Diabate7593100.070.02

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kabia6460000.100.15
Ramsay6475000.140.11
Mochrie7474000.070.11
John7630100.070.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.