Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Johnstone v Dundee FC

Saturday 7 November 2026, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 13

Forecast

St. JohnstoneDundee FC
Expected goals1.421.16
Win42%30%
Expected Points1.551.18
Clean sheet31%24%

St. Johnstone 42%Draw 28%Dundee FC 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee FC goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  2. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  3. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  4. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  5. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07
  6. L1–229 AugHearts (A)xG 1.28–2.20

Dundee FC

  1. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  2. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  3. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  4. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  5. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33
  6. W2–022 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.43–1.19

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneDundee FC
Position5th4th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠34–⁠1–⁠3
Points11 (1.38 per game)13 (1.62 per game)
Expected Points per game1.171.19
Goals10–⁠1011–⁠8
xG per game1.33–⁠1.591.26–⁠1.57
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.49–⁠1.411.75, 1.58–⁠1.31
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.16–⁠1.771.50, 0.94–⁠1.84
ManagerSimo Valakari (39)Steven Pressley (46)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackSt. Johnstone1.07, 12thDundee FC1.12, 9thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.56, 11thDundee FC1.54, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone attack: 1.07Dundee FC attack: 1.121.121.07Dundee FCSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctSt. Johnstone defence: 1.56Dundee FC defence: 1.541.561.54

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−21%+11%−32%+13%
Counter-attacks−55%−18%−17%−59%
Set pieces−29%+3%+19%−13%
Penalties+80%−40%−40%+20%
Headers−18%+40%+25%+14%
Left side−6%+13%+3%+20%
Centre−20%−7%−24%−32%
Right side−63%+16%−31%+18%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdDundee FC concededLeft side−6%+18%Centre−20%−32%Right side−63%+20%Open play−21%+13%Counter-attacks−55%−59%Set pieces−29%−13%Headers−18%+14%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+3%+16%Centre−24%−7%Right side−31%+13%Open play−32%+11%Counter-attacks−17%−18%Set pieces+19%+3%Headers+25%+40%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneDundee FC

1.33xG1.26
1.59xG against1.57
48%Possession38%
9.9Shots12.6
14.0Shots against18.9
3.4Shots on target4.5
2.4Big chances2.5
18.4Touches in the opposition box19.1
441Passes336
80%Pass accuracy73%
3.2Corners5.1
49%Field tilt25%
39.7Final-third entries26.9
10.9Box entries9.5
18.3Passes per defensive action19.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.591.52
Ahead210.831.90
Behind231.251.44

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.361.48
Ahead331.241.63
Behind161.001.68

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.121–1
16–300.200.202–1
31–450.290.321–2
46–600.330.312–4
61–750.130.211–1
76–900.200.423–1

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.161–0
16–300.290.182–1
31–450.130.342–2
46–600.210.143–1
61–750.190.340–1
76–900.370.413–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 8Smith 5Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 2Diabate 7Foulds 1Alić 6Foulds 2McAlear 7Stanton 1Holt 8Stanton 4Campbell 2Smith 1Paton 2Cotterill 2Gullan 2Paton 3Steven 3Gullan 2Fowler 7Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 4 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 8D. Wright 7Halliday 1Astley 8O. Bevan 8Odutayo 5Samuels 3J. Bevan 6Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 2Hamilton 8Reilly 4Forrest 3Moorhouse 1Fink 4Murray 2Forrest 1Westley 7Hay 14-4-2 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 September 2026Dundee FC1–1St. JohnstonexG 2.07–1.08
18 May 2025St. Johnstone0–2Dundee FCxG 0.53–1.48
1 March 2025Dundee FC1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.59–0.59
5 January 2025St. Johnstone1–3Dundee FCxG 2.00–1.49
26 October 2024Dundee FC1–2St. JohnstonexG 1.43–2.17
30 March 2024St. Johnstone1–2Dundee FCxG 1.28–1.03

12 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 2, Dundee FC won 5, and 5 were drawn. Goals 13–17 and xG 1.23–1.31 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler7557510.560.05
Alić6540100.030.16
Stanton6545010.090.05
Diabate7593100.070.02

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
J. Bevan6521110.140.06
D. Wright7637110.020.10
O. Bevan8720200.070.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.