Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Falkirk v St. Johnstone

Saturday 21 November 2026, 15:00 · The Falkirk Stadium · Round 14

Forecast

FalkirkSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.551.04
Win49%25%
Expected Points1.721.01
Clean sheet35%21%

Falkirk 49%Draw 27%St. Johnstone 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

St. Johnstone goalsFalkirk goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%9%5%2%5%5%3%2%2%1%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Falkirk

  1. L1–210 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.97–1.41
  2. D1–119 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.29–0.94
  3. W2–115 SepHearts (H)xG 2.14–1.79
  4. D1–15 SepDundee United (A)xG 1.27–2.66
  5. L1–22 SepRangers (H)xG 1.00–1.57
  6. L1–229 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.57–3.45

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  2. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  3. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  4. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  5. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07
  6. L1–229 AugHearts (A)xG 1.28–2.20

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

FalkirkSt. Johnstone
Position11th5th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠3–⁠43–⁠2–⁠3
Points6 (0.75 per game)11 (1.38 per game)
Expected Points per game0.991.17
Goals7–⁠1110–⁠10
xG per game1.17–⁠1.831.33–⁠1.59
Home: points, xG per game0.75, 1.42–⁠1.581.75, 1.49–⁠1.41
Away: points, xG per game0.75, 0.92–⁠2.081.00, 1.16–⁠1.77
ManagerJohn McGlynn (46)Simo Valakari (39)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackFalkirk1.18, 7thSt. Johnstone1.07, 12thDefence (lower is better)Falkirk1.44, 8thSt. Johnstone1.56, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctFalkirk attack: 1.18St. Johnstone attack: 1.071.181.07St. JohnstoneFalkirkDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctFalkirk defence: 1.44St. Johnstone defence: 1.561.561.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

FalkirkSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−2%+36%−21%+11%
Counter-attacks−86%−20%−55%−18%
Set pieces−50%+40%−29%+3%
Penalties−40%−100%+80%−40%
Headers−64%−37%−18%+40%
Left side−49%+14%−6%+13%
Centre−24%+24%−20%−7%
Right side+1%+51%−63%+16%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Falkirk attacking

Falkirk createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−49%+16%Centre−24%−7%Right side+1%+13%Open play−2%+11%Counter-attacks−86%−18%Set pieces−50%+3%Headers−64%+40%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdFalkirk concededLeft side−6%+51%Centre−20%+24%Right side−63%+14%Open play−21%+36%Counter-attacks−55%−20%Set pieces−29%+40%Headers−18%−37%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

FalkirkSt. Johnstone

1.17xG1.33
1.83xG against1.59
48%Possession48%
11.6Shots9.9
15.9Shots against14.0
3.1Shots on target3.4
1.5Big chances2.4
24.1Touches in the opposition box18.4
415Passes441
77%Pass accuracy80%
4.5Corners3.2
49%Field tilt49%
38.5Final-third entries39.7
9.8Box entries10.9
12.6Passes per defensive action18.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Falkirk

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.451.49
Ahead221.252.13
Behind260.652.12

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.591.52
Ahead210.831.90
Behind231.251.44

xG by period

Falkirk

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.152–3
16–300.090.430–2
31–450.260.362–0
46–600.130.211–1
61–750.230.342–0
76–900.280.330–5

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.121–1
16–300.200.202–1
31–450.290.321–2
46–600.330.312–4
61–750.130.211–1
76–900.200.423–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Falkirk

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 8Strain 8Neilson 6Meļņiks 2Henderson 8McCann 7Tanser 1Barbrook 7McMillan 1Spencer 6Krauhaus 1Sibbald 1Ross 5Fodrey 1Doherty 1Krauhaus 6Yeats 2Eames 4Ross 2Fodrey 1Murrell 5Parkinson 2MacIver 14-2-3-1 in every start

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 8Smith 5Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 2Diabate 7Foulds 1Alić 6Foulds 2McAlear 7Stanton 1Holt 8Stanton 4Campbell 2Smith 1Paton 2Cotterill 2Gullan 2Paton 3Steven 3Gullan 2Fowler 7Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 4 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 September 2026St. Johnstone1–1FalkirkxG 0.94–1.29

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Falkirk won 0, St. Johnstone won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 1–1 and xG 1.29–0.94 per game.

Key players

Falkirk

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Strain8720030.070.17
Barbrook7591000.110.10
Ross7570100.110.10
Spencer6528000.070.10

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler7557510.560.05
Alić6540100.030.16
Stanton6545010.090.05
Diabate7593100.070.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.