Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee United v St. Johnstone

Saturday 28 November 2026, 15:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 15

Forecast

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.651.03
Win51%23%
Expected Points1.800.95
Clean sheet36%19%

Dundee United 51%Draw 26%St. Johnstone 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 53%.

St. Johnstone goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+7%6%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%2%2%1%11%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Dundee United

  1. W1–010 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.68–0.77
  2. W3–019 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.60–0.99
  3. D1–15 SepFalkirk (H)xG 2.66–1.27
  4. L0–32 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.16–2.39
  5. W4–029 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 3.42–1.13
  6. L0–222 AugDundee FC (H)xG 1.19–1.43

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  2. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  3. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  4. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  5. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07
  6. L1–229 AugHearts (A)xG 1.28–2.20

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Position6th5th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠33–⁠2–⁠3
Points11 (1.38 per game)11 (1.38 per game)
Expected Points per game1.491.17
Goals10–⁠1110–⁠10
xG per game1.62–⁠1.461.33–⁠1.59
Home: points, xG per game1.25, 1.79–⁠1.231.75, 1.49–⁠1.41
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.44–⁠1.681.00, 1.16–⁠1.77
ManagerJim Goodwin (96)Simo Valakari (39)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.25, 6thSt. Johnstone1.07, 12thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.43, 6thSt. Johnstone1.56, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United attack: 1.25St. Johnstone attack: 1.071.251.07St. JohnstoneDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee United defence: 1.43St. Johnstone defence: 1.561.561.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−24%+17%−21%+11%
Counter-attacks+57%−71%−55%−18%
Set pieces+64%−23%−29%+3%
Penalties−40%−40%+80%−40%
Headers+1%−39%−18%+40%
Left side−18%+12%−6%+13%
Centre+3%−2%−20%−7%
Right side+43%−21%−63%+16%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−18%+16%Centre+3%−7%Right side+43%+13%Open play−24%+11%Counter-attacks+57%−18%Set pieces+64%+3%Headers+1%+40%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdDundee United concededLeft side−6%−21%Centre−20%−2%Right side−63%+12%Open play−21%+17%Counter-attacks−55%−71%Set pieces−29%−23%Headers−18%−39%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

1.62xG1.33
1.46xG against1.59
50%Possession48%
16.1Shots9.9
15.4Shots against14.0
5.4Shots on target3.4
2.4Big chances2.4
30.0Touches in the opposition box18.4
398Passes441
78%Pass accuracy80%
6.2Corners3.2
46%Field tilt49%
39.0Final-third entries39.7
14.0Box entries10.9
12.2Passes per defensive action18.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level241.931.19
Ahead291.741.14
Behind361.301.89

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.591.52
Ahead210.831.90
Behind231.251.44

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.383–3
16–300.160.160–1
31–450.490.235–1
46–600.210.300–3
61–750.250.220–3
76–900.280.172–0

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.121–1
16–300.200.202–1
31–450.290.321–2
46–600.330.312–4
61–750.130.211–1
76–900.200.423–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWWalton 8Rawlins 7Yoro 1Esselink 8Forbes 8Ferry 5Ciubotaru 3Camará 4Sevelj 3Iqbal 2Tait 6Agyei 4Cameron 3Yoro 2Randall 4Merghem 4Metsoko 3Sapsford 3Rose 2Bennie 6Randall 1Sapsford 14-3-3 in every start

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 8Smith 5Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 2Diabate 7Foulds 1Alić 6Foulds 2McAlear 7Stanton 1Holt 8Stanton 4Campbell 2Smith 1Paton 2Cotterill 2Gullan 2Paton 3Steven 3Gullan 2Fowler 7Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 4 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
12 April 2025Dundee United1–0St. JohnstonexG 1.17–0.95
26 December 2024St. Johnstone1–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.58–1.27
24 August 2024Dundee United2–0St. JohnstonexG 0.41–1.58
6 May 2023St. Johnstone1–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.12–1.26
18 February 2023Dundee United1–2St. JohnstonexG 1.17–0.95
2 January 2023St. Johnstone0–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.63–0.54

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 5, St. Johnstone won 4, and 4 were drawn. Goals 12–10 and xG 1.09–0.90 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Randall5506220.360.35
Bennie6457110.450.09
Tait6610000.090.15
Forbes8720100.120.04

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler7557510.560.05
Alić6540100.030.16
Stanton6545010.090.05
Diabate7593100.070.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.