Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Hibernian v Dundee FC

Tuesday 24 November 2026, 19:45 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 12

Forecast

HibernianDundee FC
Expected goals1.740.96
Win55%20%
Expected Points1.900.85
Clean sheet38%18%

Hibernian 55%Draw 25%Dundee FC 20%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 51%.

Dundee FC goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+7%6%3%1%5%2%5%2%6%6%3%3%2%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L0–110 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.68
  2. D1–119 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.40–0.70
  3. L0–115 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–2.21
  4. L1–26 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.61–2.32
  5. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86
  6. W2–130 AugDundee FC (A)xG 2.33–1.03

Dundee FC

  1. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  2. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  3. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  4. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  5. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33
  6. W2–022 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.43–1.19

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianDundee FC
Position10th4th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠54–⁠1–⁠3
Points7 (0.88 per game)13 (1.62 per game)
Expected Points per game1.331.19
Goals8–⁠1211–⁠8
xG per game1.58–⁠1.651.26–⁠1.57
Home: points, xG per game0.25, 1.56–⁠1.491.75, 1.58–⁠1.31
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.60–⁠1.811.50, 0.94–⁠1.84
ManagerMarink Reedijk (1)Steven Pressley (46)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackHibernian1.32, 4thDundee FC1.12, 9thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.27, 4thDundee FC1.54, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian attack: 1.32Dundee FC attack: 1.121.321.12Dundee FCHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian defence: 1.27Dundee FC defence: 1.541.541.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%+6%−32%+13%
Counter-attacks−13%−1%−17%−59%
Set pieces+8%−6%+19%−13%
Penalties+80%+20%−40%+20%
Headers−35%+7%+25%+14%
Left side−11%−2%+3%+20%
Centre−25%+24%−24%−32%
Right side+20%−26%−31%+18%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee FC concededLeft side−11%+18%Centre−25%−32%Right side+20%+20%Open play−15%+13%Counter-attacks−13%−59%Set pieces+8%−13%Headers−35%+14%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHibernian concededLeft side+3%−26%Centre−24%+24%Right side−31%−2%Open play−32%+6%Counter-attacks−17%−1%Set pieces+19%−6%Headers+25%+7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianDundee FC

1.58xG1.26
1.65xG against1.57
51%Possession38%
16.4Shots12.6
13.4Shots against18.9
4.4Shots on target4.5
2.0Big chances2.5
31.6Touches in the opposition box19.1
443Passes336
81%Pass accuracy73%
6.9Corners5.1
55%Field tilt25%
44.7Final-third entries26.9
15.0Box entries9.5
14.7Passes per defensive action19.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level341.101.77
Ahead171.552.02
Behind392.031.38

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.361.48
Ahead331.241.63
Behind161.001.68

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.091–1
16–300.180.232–2
31–450.270.430–5
46–600.300.312–0
61–750.310.182–1
76–900.360.411–3

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.161–0
16–300.290.182–1
31–450.130.342–2
46–600.210.143–1
61–750.190.340–1
76–900.370.413–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 8Kerr 8Passlack 2O'Hora 2Hanley 4Iredale 2Obita 4Ivezić 1Megwa 1Passlack 5Wright 1Megwa 1Mulligan 8Chaiwa 5Devaney 2Wright 1Mayor 5Wright 1Iredale 1Boyle 3Elding 2Šuto 1Lowe 4Šuto 2Boyle 1Klidje 3McGrath 2Wright 13-4-3 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 8D. Wright 7Halliday 1Astley 8O. Bevan 8Odutayo 5Samuels 3J. Bevan 6Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 2Hamilton 8Reilly 4Forrest 3Moorhouse 1Fink 4Murray 2Forrest 1Westley 7Hay 14-4-2 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 August 2026Dundee FC1–2HibernianxG 1.03–2.33
28 February 2026Dundee FC3–3HibernianxG 0.92–1.74
22 November 2025Hibernian2–0Dundee FCxG 2.26–0.56
3 August 2025Dundee FC1–2HibernianxG 0.13–1.42
13 April 2025Hibernian4–0Dundee FCxG 2.00–0.14
23 November 2024Dundee FC4–1HibernianxG 2.22–0.76

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 7, Dundee FC won 2, and 5 were drawn. Goals 24–18 and xG 1.57–0.80 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Passlack7644010.060.24
Mulligan8705010.140.09
Mayor5463100.060.17
Kerr8720000.130.03

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
J. Bevan6521110.140.06
D. Wright7637110.020.10
O. Bevan8720200.070.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.