Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Hibernian v Dundee United

Saturday 21 November 2026, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 14

Forecast

HibernianDundee United
Expected goals1.621.07
Win49%25%
Expected Points1.741.00
Clean sheet34%20%

Hibernian 49%Draw 26%Dundee United 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee United goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+7%7%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%1%2%2%1%10%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L0–110 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.68
  2. D1–119 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.40–0.70
  3. L0–115 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–2.21
  4. L1–26 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.61–2.32
  5. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86
  6. W2–130 AugDundee FC (A)xG 2.33–1.03

Dundee United

  1. W1–010 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.68–0.77
  2. W3–019 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.60–0.99
  3. D1–15 SepFalkirk (H)xG 2.66–1.27
  4. L0–32 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.16–2.39
  5. W4–029 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 3.42–1.13
  6. L0–222 AugDundee FC (H)xG 1.19–1.43

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianDundee United
Position10th6th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠53–⁠2–⁠3
Points7 (0.88 per game)11 (1.38 per game)
Expected Points per game1.331.49
Goals8–⁠1210–⁠11
xG per game1.58–⁠1.651.62–⁠1.46
Home: points, xG per game0.25, 1.56–⁠1.491.25, 1.79–⁠1.23
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.60–⁠1.811.50, 1.44–⁠1.68
ManagerMarink Reedijk (1)Jim Goodwin (96)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackHibernian1.32, 4thDundee United1.25, 6thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.27, 4thDundee United1.43, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian attack: 1.32Dundee United attack: 1.251.321.25Dundee UnitedHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian defence: 1.27Dundee United defence: 1.431.431.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%+6%−24%+17%
Counter-attacks−13%−1%+57%−71%
Set pieces+8%−6%+64%−23%
Penalties+80%+20%−40%−40%
Headers−35%+7%+1%−39%
Left side−11%−2%−18%+12%
Centre−25%+24%+3%−2%
Right side+20%−26%+43%−21%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee United concededLeft side−11%−21%Centre−25%−2%Right side+20%+12%Open play−15%+17%Counter-attacks−13%−71%Set pieces+8%−23%Headers−35%−39%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHibernian concededLeft side−18%−26%Centre+3%+24%Right side+43%−2%Open play−24%+6%Counter-attacks+57%−1%Set pieces+64%−6%Headers+1%+7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianDundee United

1.58xG1.62
1.65xG against1.46
51%Possession50%
16.4Shots16.1
13.4Shots against15.4
4.4Shots on target5.4
2.0Big chances2.4
31.6Touches in the opposition box30.0
443Passes398
81%Pass accuracy78%
6.9Corners6.2
55%Field tilt46%
44.7Final-third entries39.0
15.0Box entries14.0
14.7Passes per defensive action12.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level341.101.77
Ahead171.552.02
Behind392.031.38

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level241.931.19
Ahead291.741.14
Behind361.301.89

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.091–1
16–300.180.232–2
31–450.270.430–5
46–600.300.312–0
61–750.310.182–1
76–900.360.411–3

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.383–3
16–300.160.160–1
31–450.490.235–1
46–600.210.300–3
61–750.250.220–3
76–900.280.172–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 8Kerr 8Passlack 2O'Hora 2Hanley 4Iredale 2Obita 4Ivezić 1Megwa 1Passlack 5Wright 1Megwa 1Mulligan 8Chaiwa 5Devaney 2Wright 1Mayor 5Wright 1Iredale 1Boyle 3Elding 2Šuto 1Lowe 4Šuto 2Boyle 1Klidje 3McGrath 2Wright 13-4-3 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWWalton 8Rawlins 7Yoro 1Esselink 8Forbes 8Ferry 5Ciubotaru 3Camará 4Sevelj 3Iqbal 2Tait 6Agyei 4Cameron 3Yoro 2Randall 4Merghem 4Metsoko 3Sapsford 3Rose 2Bennie 6Randall 1Sapsford 14-3-3 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
10 October 2026Dundee United1–0HibernianxG 1.68–0.77
4 February 2026Hibernian3–2Dundee UnitedxG 2.57–1.73
20 December 2025Dundee United1–1HibernianxG 0.82–1.26
13 September 2025Hibernian3–3Dundee UnitedxG 3.05–1.87
3 May 2025Hibernian3–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.73–1.35
26 February 2025Dundee United1–3HibernianxG 0.71–1.53

17 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 6, Dundee United won 5, and 6 were drawn. Goals 27–24 and xG 1.43–1.10 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Passlack7644010.060.24
Mulligan8705010.140.09
Mayor5463100.060.17
Kerr8720000.130.03

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Randall5506220.360.35
Bennie6457110.450.09
Tait6610000.090.15
Forbes8720100.120.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.