Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Aberdeen v St. Johnstone

Saturday 27 February 2027, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 29

Forecast

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.461.06
Win46%27%
Expected Points1.651.08
Clean sheet35%23%

Aberdeen 46%Draw 27%St. Johnstone 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

St. Johnstone goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+9%8%5%2%7%2%9%9%5%2%4%4%2%2%2%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L0–111 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.23–1.10
  2. D1–119 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.70–1.40
  3. W4–015 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.90–0.85
  4. D0–05 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–1.11
  5. L0–32 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.68–2.67
  6. L0–130 AugRangers (H)xG 0.35–2.10

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  2. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  3. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  4. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  5. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07
  6. L1–229 AugHearts (A)xG 1.28–2.20

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Position8th5th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠2–⁠43–⁠2–⁠3
Points8 (1.00 per game)11 (1.38 per game)
Expected Points per game0.981.17
Goals7–⁠910–⁠10
xG per game1.04–⁠1.611.33–⁠1.59
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.33–⁠1.541.75, 1.49–⁠1.41
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.75–⁠1.691.00, 1.16–⁠1.77
ManagerStephen Robinson (17)Simo Valakari (39)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackAberdeen1.11, 10thSt. Johnstone1.07, 12thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.47, 9thSt. Johnstone1.56, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctAberdeen attack: 1.11St. Johnstone attack: 1.071.111.07St. JohnstoneAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctAberdeen defence: 1.47St. Johnstone defence: 1.561.561.47

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−50%−14%−21%+11%
Counter-attacks−64%+24%−55%−18%
Set pieces+30%−7%−29%+3%
Penalties−40%+80%+80%−40%
Headers+56%−23%−18%+40%
Left side−61%+11%−6%+13%
Centre−32%−41%−20%−7%
Right side−7%+28%−63%+16%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−61%+16%Centre−32%−7%Right side−7%+13%Open play−50%+11%Counter-attacks−64%−18%Set pieces+30%+3%Headers+56%+40%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededLeft side−6%+28%Centre−20%−41%Right side−63%+11%Open play−21%−14%Counter-attacks−55%+24%Set pieces−29%−7%Headers−18%−23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

1.04xG1.33
1.61xG against1.59
48%Possession48%
11.5Shots9.9
15.9Shots against14.0
2.9Shots on target3.4
1.5Big chances2.4
22.0Touches in the opposition box18.4
399Passes441
78%Pass accuracy80%
6.1Corners3.2
42%Field tilt49%
38.6Final-third entries39.7
12.5Box entries10.9
14.0Passes per defensive action18.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level390.971.61
Ahead120.841.56
Behind391.171.64

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.591.52
Ahead210.831.90
Behind231.251.44

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.220–3
16–300.120.221–0
31–450.120.401–3
46–600.120.161–1
61–750.160.350–2
76–900.490.264–0

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.121–1
16–300.200.202–1
31–450.290.321–2
46–600.330.312–4
61–750.130.211–1
76–900.200.423–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMüller 8Cadden 7Lyons 1Mayo 6Milne 2Knoester 4Guinness… 1Guinness-WalkerOlusanya 1Molloy 4Happe 4Guinness… 7Guinness-WalkerCadden 1Ronan 5Olusanya 2Armstrong 2Aremu 7Briedl 2Marshall 3Yogane 1Yogane 3Mouloua 2Olusanya 2Nisbet 85-3-2 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 8Smith 5Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 2Diabate 7Foulds 1Alić 6Foulds 2McAlear 7Stanton 1Holt 8Stanton 4Campbell 2Smith 1Paton 2Cotterill 2Gullan 2Paton 3Steven 3Gullan 2Fowler 7Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 4 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
11 October 2026Aberdeen0–1St. JohnstonexG 1.23–1.10
15 March 2025St. Johnstone0–0AberdeenxG 0.64–0.58
7 December 2024Aberdeen1–1St. JohnstonexG 0.70–1.35
5 August 2024St. Johnstone1–2AberdeenxG 0.81–1.79
4 May 2024Aberdeen1–0St. JohnstonexG 3.34–0.99
28 February 2024Aberdeen0–2St. JohnstonexG 2.17–1.69

19 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 9, St. Johnstone won 4, and 6 were drawn. Goals 15–10 and xG 1.20–0.79 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet8632410.340.04
Mayo6471010.240.01
Olusanya5501000.110.05
Guinness-Walker8675000.010.11

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler7557510.560.05
Alić6540100.030.16
Stanton6545010.090.05
Diabate7593100.070.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.