Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Rangers v Aberdeen

Tuesday 24 November 2026, 20:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 12

Forecast

RangersAberdeen
Expected goals2.430.72
Win75%9%
Expected Points2.410.43
Clean sheet49%9%

Rangers 75%Draw 17%Aberdeen 9%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

Aberdeen goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+5%3%1%8%3%3%7%3%6%4%2%3%2%2%1%10%13%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Rangers

  1. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  2. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  3. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  4. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  5. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00
  6. W1–030 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.10–0.35

Aberdeen

  1. L0–111 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.23–1.10
  2. D1–119 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.70–1.40
  3. W4–015 SepMotherwell (A)xG 0.90–0.85
  4. D0–05 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–1.11
  5. L0–32 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.68–2.67
  6. L0–130 AugRangers (H)xG 0.35–2.10

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersAberdeen
Position2nd8th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠1–⁠12–⁠2–⁠4
Points19 (2.38 per game)8 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game2.060.98
Goals11–⁠57–⁠9
xG per game2.17–⁠1.021.04–⁠1.61
Home: points, xG per game2.25, 2.60–⁠1.201.00, 1.33–⁠1.54
Away: points, xG per game2.50, 1.73–⁠0.841.00, 0.75–⁠1.69
ManagerDerek McInnes (8)Stephen Robinson (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackRangers1.92, 2ndAberdeen1.11, 10thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.97, 2ndAberdeen1.47, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers attack: 1.92Aberdeen attack: 1.111.921.11AberdeenRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctRangers defence: 0.97Aberdeen defence: 1.471.470.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+42%−46%−50%−14%
Counter-attacks+20%+14%−64%+24%
Set pieces+42%−33%+30%−7%
Penalties+20%−40%−40%+80%
Headers+40%−50%+56%−23%
Left side+17%−14%−61%+11%
Centre+66%−31%−32%−41%
Right side+20%−59%−7%+28%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdAberdeen concededLeft side+17%+28%Centre+66%−41%Right side+20%+11%Open play+42%−14%Counter-attacks+20%+24%Set pieces+42%−7%Headers+40%−23%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRangers concededLeft side−61%−59%Centre−32%−31%Right side−7%−14%Open play−50%−46%Counter-attacks−64%+14%Set pieces+30%−33%Headers+56%−50%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersAberdeen

2.17xG1.04
1.02xG against1.61
55%Possession48%
20.1Shots11.5
9.5Shots against15.9
6.2Shots on target2.9
2.9Big chances1.5
38.1Touches in the opposition box22.0
449Passes399
80%Pass accuracy78%
7.4Corners6.1
60%Field tilt42%
47.5Final-third entries38.6
18.6Box entries12.5
11.4Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level442.191.33
Ahead351.960.69
Behind112.750.87

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level390.971.61
Ahead120.841.56
Behind391.171.64

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.203–1
16–300.480.061–0
31–450.410.272–2
46–600.350.151–0
61–750.260.191–0
76–900.330.153–2

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.220–3
16–300.120.221–0
31–450.120.401–3
46–600.120.161–1
61–750.160.350–2
76–900.490.264–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 8Sterling 6Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 8Godfrey 1Makhanya 6Rommens 1Penrice 6Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 6Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 5Diomande 1Curtis 3Kim 2Naderi 1Kim 3Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 7Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 34-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMüller 8Cadden 7Lyons 1Mayo 6Milne 2Knoester 4Guinness… 1Guinness-WalkerOlusanya 1Molloy 4Happe 4Guinness… 7Guinness-WalkerCadden 1Ronan 5Olusanya 2Armstrong 2Aremu 7Briedl 2Marshall 3Yogane 1Yogane 3Mouloua 2Olusanya 2Nisbet 85-3-2 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 August 2026Aberdeen0–1RangersxG 0.35–2.10
21 March 2026Rangers4–1AberdeenxG 1.61–0.68
11 January 2026Aberdeen0–2RangersxG 0.32–1.94
6 January 2026Rangers2–0AberdeenxG 1.81–1.05
11 May 2025Rangers4–0AberdeenxG 2.60–0.57
13 April 2025Aberdeen2–2RangersxG 2.44–1.18

22 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 15, Aberdeen won 3, and 4 were drawn. Goals 46–19 and xG 2.06–0.93 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi4456410.770.18
Gassama7556020.340.17
Raskin6505000.220.12
Sterling6496000.010.28

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet8632410.340.04
Mayo6471010.240.01
Olusanya5501000.110.05
Guinness-Walker8675000.010.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.