Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Hibernian v St. Johnstone

Saturday 19 December 2026, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 19

Forecast

HibernianSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.740.92
Win56%19%
Expected Points1.930.82
Clean sheet40%18%

Hibernian 56%Draw 25%St. Johnstone 19%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

St. Johnstone goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+8%6%3%5%2%4%1%6%6%3%3%2%1%12%12%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L0–110 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.68
  2. D1–119 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.40–0.70
  3. L0–115 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–2.21
  4. L1–26 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.61–2.32
  5. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86
  6. W2–130 AugDundee FC (A)xG 2.33–1.03

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–011 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.10–1.23
  2. D1–119 SepFalkirk (H)xG 0.94–1.29
  3. L0–19 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.69–1.80
  4. W2–16 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.32–1.61
  5. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07
  6. L1–229 AugHearts (A)xG 1.28–2.20

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianSt. Johnstone
Position10th5th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠53–⁠2–⁠3
Points7 (0.88 per game)11 (1.38 per game)
Expected Points per game1.331.17
Goals8–⁠1210–⁠10
xG per game1.58–⁠1.651.33–⁠1.59
Home: points, xG per game0.25, 1.56–⁠1.491.75, 1.49–⁠1.41
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.60–⁠1.811.00, 1.16–⁠1.77
ManagerMarink Reedijk (1)Simo Valakari (39)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackHibernian1.32, 4thSt. Johnstone1.07, 12thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.27, 4thSt. Johnstone1.56, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian attack: 1.32St. Johnstone attack: 1.071.321.07St. JohnstoneHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian defence: 1.27St. Johnstone defence: 1.561.561.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%+6%−21%+11%
Counter-attacks−13%−1%−55%−18%
Set pieces+8%−6%−29%+3%
Penalties+80%+20%+80%−40%
Headers−35%+7%−18%+40%
Left side−11%−2%−6%+13%
Centre−25%+24%−20%−7%
Right side+20%−26%−63%+16%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−11%+16%Centre−25%−7%Right side+20%+13%Open play−15%+11%Counter-attacks−13%−18%Set pieces+8%+3%Headers−35%+40%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft side−6%−26%Centre−20%+24%Right side−63%−2%Open play−21%+6%Counter-attacks−55%−1%Set pieces−29%−6%Headers−18%+7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianSt. Johnstone

1.58xG1.33
1.65xG against1.59
51%Possession48%
16.4Shots9.9
13.4Shots against14.0
4.4Shots on target3.4
2.0Big chances2.4
31.6Touches in the opposition box18.4
443Passes441
81%Pass accuracy80%
6.9Corners3.2
55%Field tilt49%
44.7Final-third entries39.7
15.0Box entries10.9
14.7Passes per defensive action18.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level341.101.77
Ahead171.552.02
Behind392.031.38

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.591.52
Ahead210.831.90
Behind231.251.44

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.091–1
16–300.180.232–2
31–450.270.430–5
46–600.300.312–0
61–750.310.182–1
76–900.360.411–3

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.121–1
16–300.200.202–1
31–450.290.321–2
46–600.330.312–4
61–750.130.211–1
76–900.200.423–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 8Kerr 8Passlack 2O'Hora 2Hanley 4Iredale 2Obita 4Ivezić 1Megwa 1Passlack 5Wright 1Megwa 1Mulligan 8Chaiwa 5Devaney 2Wright 1Mayor 5Wright 1Iredale 1Boyle 3Elding 2Šuto 1Lowe 4Šuto 2Boyle 1Klidje 3McGrath 2Wright 13-4-3 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSteward 8Smith 5Todd 3Mitchell 6Finlayson 2Diabate 7Foulds 1Alić 6Foulds 2McAlear 7Stanton 1Holt 8Stanton 4Campbell 2Smith 1Paton 2Cotterill 2Gullan 2Paton 3Steven 3Gullan 2Fowler 7Gullan 14-2-3-1 in 4 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 September 2026St. Johnstone2–1HibernianxG 2.32–1.61
29 March 2025Hibernian3–0St. JohnstonexG 2.12–0.02
2 January 2025St. Johnstone1–1HibernianxG 0.96–2.27
14 September 2024Hibernian2–0St. JohnstonexG 1.61–0.25
27 April 2024St. Johnstone1–3HibernianxG 0.82–1.76
6 April 2024Hibernian1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.95–0.62

19 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 9, St. Johnstone won 6, and 4 were drawn. Goals 26–15 and xG 1.46–0.64 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Passlack7644010.060.24
Mulligan8705010.140.09
Mayor5463100.060.17
Kerr8720000.130.03

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fowler7557510.560.05
Alić6540100.030.16
Stanton6545010.090.05
Diabate7593100.070.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.