Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Falkirk 3–6 Rangers

Sunday 12 April 2026, 12:00 · Falkirk Stadium · Round 33 · Half-time 2–1 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 7,750

Falkirk Broggio 6', Yeats 26', Miller 70' (pen)

Rangers Chukwuani 42', Chermiti 47', 74', Raskin 52', Miovski 58', 88'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

FalkirkRangers
Goals36
xG1.703.94
Non-penalty xG0.913.94
Expected Points0.212.68

Falkirk 4%Draw 10%Rangers 86%

Most likely score 2–4, 13%. Final score 3–6, 2%.

Rangers goalsFalkirk goals0123456+0123456+1%2%1%1%4%8%9%7%4%1%6%10%6%1%3%3%2%2%11%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

02460153045607590HTParkinson on for Broggio, 70'Wilson on for Yeats, 71'Cartwright on for Miller, 81'Ross on for Tait, 82'Miovski on for Moore, 46'Aarons on for Meghoma, 71'Barron on for Aasgaard, 77'Antman on for Chukwuani and Diomande on for Gassama, 85'Broggio 6'Yeats 26'Miller 70' (pen)Chukwuani 42'Chermiti 47'Raskin 52'Miovski 58'Chermiti 74'Miovski 88'Rangers 3.94Falkirk 1.7002460153045607590HTParkinson on for Broggio, 70'Wilson on for Yeats, 71'Cartwright on for Miller, 81'Ross on for Tait, 82'Miovski on for Moore, 46'Aarons on for Meghoma, 71'Barron on for Aasgaard, 77'Antman on for Chukwuani and Diomande on for Gassama, 85'Broggio 6'Yeats 26'Miller 70' (pen)Chukwuani 42'Chermiti 47'Raskin 52'Miovski 58'Chermiti 74'Miovski 88'3.941.70FalkirkRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

FalkirkRangers

1.70 +0.37xG3.94 +2.03
0.91Non-penalty xG3.94
2.23 +0.97xG on target4.29 +2.16
7 −5Shots20 +3
3 −1.0Shots on target9 +2.8
2 −0.1Big chances6 +2.7
14 −6Touches in the opposition box38 +8
52% +1Possession48% −11
380 −23Passes354 −128
76% −1Pass accuracy75% −8
56% +8Field tilt44% −22
35 −2Final-third entries30 −20
9 −2Box entries14 −2
7.6 −5Passes per defensive action13.6 +2
2 −2.8Corners1 −5.9
25 +6Tackles23 +6
14 +4.9Interceptions5 −2.6
15 −15Clearances14 −12
3 −0.1Saves0 −2.9
16 +4Fouls13 +1
0 −2.1Offsides1 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Falkirk

Miller 73', 0.12 xGAdams 37', 0.05 xGStewart 20', 0.03 xGYeats 51', 0.02 xGBroggio 6', 0.64 xG, goalYeats 26', 0.05 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals70%0.64 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.64 xG, 1 goal9%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals21%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.19 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Chermiti 17', 0.48 xGChermiti 49', 0.11 xGRaskin 45+2', 0.10 xGRaskin 8', 0.08 xGGassama 15', 0.08 xGChermiti 54', 0.08 xGGassama 74', 0.08 xGTavernier 8', 0.05 xGMoore 35', 0.05 xGMeghoma 8', 0.03 xGAasgaard 24', 0.03 xGAasgaard 42', 0.03 xGGassama 38', 0.02 xGDjiga 42', 0.01 xGMiovski 88', 0.82 xG, goalMiovski 58', 0.74 xG, goalChermiti 47', 0.58 xG, goalChukwuani 42', 0.39 xG, goalChermiti 74', 0.13 xG, goalRaskin 52', 0.02 xG, goal64%2.53 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 2.53 xG, 4 goals25%1.00 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 1.00 xG, 1 goal9%0.35 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.35 xG, 1 goal1%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

FalkirkRangers

0.88 5 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.72 9 shots, 3 goals
0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.45 5 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.77 6 shots, 2 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
11 min (12%) · Falkirk 0.66, Rangers 0.13 xG
Falkirk ahead
43 min (47%) · Falkirk 0.13, Rangers 1.95 xG
Rangers ahead
38 min (41%) · Falkirk 0.91, Rangers 1.85 xG

Line-ups

192652882111142916BainAdamsDonaldsonHendersonLissahSpencerTaitBroggioYeatsMillerStewartYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoalGoal82'70'71'81'Falkirk 4-2-3-1John McGlynn1224373043422311479ButlandTavernierDjigaFernandezMeghomaRaskinChukwuaniGassamaAasgaardMooreChermitiYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoalGoalGoal71'85'85'77'46'Rangers 4-2-3-1Danny Röhl

Falkirk substitutes

  • 70' Parkinson for Broggio
  • 71' Wilson for Yeats
  • 81' Cartwright for Miller
  • 82' Ross for Tait

Rangers substitutes

  • 46' Miovski for Moore · goal 58', goal 88'
  • 71' Aarons for Meghoma · yellow card 72'
  • 77' Barron for Aasgaard
  • 85' Diomande for Gassama
  • 85' Antman for Chukwuani · 1 assist

Players

Falkirk

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BainGK900.000.0000.0440
AdamsRB900.050.0310.0659
Donaldson CB900.000.0000.05412
Henderson CB900.000.0100.02210
LissahLB900.000.0300.0355
SpencerDM900.000.0510.0358
Tait DM820.000.0600.15115
BroggioRW7010.640.0310.0923
YeatsAM7110.070.060−0.0150
MillerLW81110.910.2120.2644
StewartST900.030.0200.0521
ParkinsonFW200.000.000−0.0100
WilsonFW190.000.0000.0000
CartwrightMF90.000.000−0.0101
RossFW80.000.0100.0111

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0211
Tavernier RB900.050.322−0.0106
DjigaCB900.010.0100.0636
FernandezCB900.000.0100.0459
Meghoma LB710.030.0100.0323
Raskin DM90110.210.5620.5195
ChukwuaniDM8510.390.0410.0934
GassamaRW8510.190.2030.2162
AasgaardAM7710.060.182−0.0402
MooreLW460.050.0310.0610
ChermitiST9021.380.1020.1052
MiovskiFW4421.560.002−0.0102
Aarons DF190.000.0000.0000
BarronMF130.000.000−0.0100
DiomandeMF50.000.0000.0221
AntmanFW510.000.5410.1710

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Falkirk

Bain and Adams: 4 passesHenderson and Donaldson: 4 passesHenderson and Tait: 4 passesHenderson and Spencer: 4 passesDonaldson and Yeats: 5 passesBain and Henderson: 6 passesTait and Miller: 6 passesSpencer and Yeats: 6 passesAdams and Tait: 7 passesAdams and Spencer: 7 passesAdams and Broggio: 7 passesLissah and Tait: 7 passesLissah and Miller: 7 passesYeats and Miller: 7 passesAdams and Donaldson: 9 passesDonaldson and Spencer: 9 passesLissah and Spencer: 9 passesBain and Donaldson: 10 passesDonaldson and Tait: 10 passesLissah and Yeats: 10 passesTait and Spencer: 10 passesTait and Broggio: 10 passesHenderson and Lissah: 11 passesTait and Yeats: 16 passesBain: 20 completed passesAdams: 23 completed passesHenderson: 19 completed passesDonaldson: 24 completed passesLissah: 29 completed passesTait: 33 completed passesSpencer: 28 completed passesBroggio: 10 completed passesYeats: 26 completed passesMiller: 13 completed passesStewart: 4 completed passes192562821811142916BainAdamsHendersonDonaldsonLissahTaitSpencerBroggioYeatsMillerStewartStarters until 70' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Rangers

Tavernier and Raskin: 4 passesTavernier and Aasgaard: 4 passesChukwuani and Moore: 4 passesTavernier and Fernandez: 5 passesFernandez and Moore: 5 passesMeghoma and Raskin: 5 passesRaskin and Chukwuani: 5 passesGassama and Aasgaard: 5 passesAasgaard and Chermiti: 5 passesRaskin and Aasgaard: 6 passesDjiga and Meghoma: 7 passesDjiga and Raskin: 7 passesMeghoma and Moore: 7 passesMeghoma and Chukwuani: 8 passesDjiga and Chukwuani: 9 passesRaskin and Gassama: 9 passesButland and Djiga: 10 passesTavernier and Gassama: 10 passesButland and Fernandez: 13 passesDjiga and Fernandez: 14 passesTavernier and Djiga: 15 passesButland: 21 completed passesTavernier: 22 completed passesDjiga: 36 completed passesFernandez: 28 completed passesMeghoma: 17 completed passesRaskin: 24 completed passesChukwuani: 20 completed passesGassama: 11 completed passesAasgaard: 9 completed passesMoore: 11 completed passesChermiti: 11 completed passes1224373043422311479ButlandTavernierDjigaFernandezMeghomaRaskinChukwuaniGassamaAasgaardMooreChermitiStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Falkirk

FromToPasses
DonaldsonBain13
AdamsDonaldson11
YeatsTait10
HendersonLissah10
LissahYeats9

Rangers

FromToPasses
TavernierDjiga10
ButlandFernandez9
DjigaFernandez8
DjigaTavernier8
FernandezDjiga7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Falkirk

7−0.69+2.312−2.82−3.012+3.04−2.84−2.55−2.15−2.910+3.36+1.33−0.28+3.55−1.23−1.16+1.92−0.22−0.95+0.82−1.74+1.93+1.61−1.26+3.74+2.80−0.30−0.70−0.24+3.23−4.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Rangers

8+4.33−2.24−2.17+2.19+3.38+1.411+6.26−0.84−3.94−1.04−0.83−1.610+4.38+3.21−3.26+2.32−1.54+0.47+2.10−3.11−0.42+0.43+1.34+1.80−0.53+2.32+1.21+0.61+0.25−7.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Falkirk

0.020.010.050.010.030.010.020.030.010.080.060.030.01−0.010.050.030.050.040.030.04−0.010.18LessMore

Rangers

0.020.010.010.010.020.010.030.010.080.020.010.010.030.030.030.030.010.150.080.040.15−0.050.070.200.23LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackFalkirk1.31 → 1.30Rangers1.89 → 1.98Defence (lower is better)Falkirk1.22 → 1.31Rangers0.97 → 0.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title43%56%+13
Celtic
Title33%26%−7
Hearts
Title24%18%−6

From the forecast before the match (12 April 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

FalkirkRangers
Expected goals1.141.51
Win28%45%
Expected Points1.111.62
Clean sheet22%32%

Falkirk 28%Draw 27%Rangers 45%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Rangers goalsFalkirk goals0123456+0123456+8%8%4%2%7%5%2%5%7%5%3%1%2%3%2%1%10%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 12 April 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowFalkirk winDrawRangers win
Rangers
Title43%27%38%56%
Celtic
Title33%42%36%26%
Hearts
Title24%31%26%18%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Falkirk

  1. W3–24 AprMotherwell (A)xG 2.06–1.46
  2. L1–221 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.43–0.90
  3. D1–114 MarAberdeen (A)xG 0.76–1.54
  4. W5–128 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 3.14–0.39
  5. L0–121 FebHearts (A)xG 0.74–1.10
  6. L2–314 FebDundee United (H)xG 0.94–1.09

Rangers

  1. W4–24 AprDundee United (H)xG 3.96–1.81
  2. W4–121 MarAberdeen (H)xG 1.61–0.68
  3. W1–015 MarSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.08–0.19
  4. D2–21 MarCeltic (H)xG 1.44–3.82
  5. D2–222 FebLivingston (A)xG 3.74–0.30
  6. W4–215 FebHearts (H)xG 2.51–0.40

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

FalkirkRangers
Position6th3rd
Played3232
Won, drawn, lost13–⁠7–⁠1218–⁠12–⁠2
Points46 (1.44 per game)66 (2.06 per game)
Expected Points per game1.451.81
Goals42–⁠4260–⁠28
xG per game1.33–⁠1.231.91–⁠1.16
Home: points, xG per game1.44, 1.58–⁠1.022.24, 2.04–⁠1.12
Away: points, xG per game1.44, 1.08–⁠1.441.87, 1.77–⁠1.21
ManagerJohn McGlynn (32)Danny Röhl (24)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackFalkirk1.31, 6thRangers1.89, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Falkirk1.22, 6thRangers0.97, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprFalkirk attack: 1.31Rangers attack: 1.891.891.31RangersFalkirkDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprFalkirk defence: 1.22Rangers defence: 0.971.220.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

FalkirkRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+3%−15%+32%−34%
Counter-attacks+5%−1%+43%+5%
Set pieces−14%−21%+41%+7%
Penalties−59%+3%+23%−18%
Headers−24%+4%+44%−9%
Left side−46%−12%+71%−13%
Centreaverage−19%+30%−22%
Right side+37%−8%+13%−17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Falkirk attacking

Falkirk createdRangers concededLeft side−46%−17%Centreaverage−22%Right side+37%−13%Open play+3%−34%Counter-attacks+5%+5%Set pieces−14%+7%Headers−24%−9%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdFalkirk concededLeft side+71%−8%Centre+30%−19%Right side+13%−12%Open play+32%−15%Counter-attacks+43%−1%Set pieces+41%−21%Headers+44%+4%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

FalkirkRangers

1.33xG1.91
1.23xG against1.16
51%Possession59%
12.2Shots16.7
12.1Shots against10.6
4.0Shots on target6.2
2.1Big chances3.3
20.5Touches in the opposition box30.5
403Passes482
77%Pass accuracy83%
4.8Corners6.9
48%Field tilt66%
36.7Final-third entries50.1
10.7Box entries16.5
12.9Passes per defensive action11.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Falkirk

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.271.37
Ahead231.650.86
Behind231.111.36

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level382.030.92
Ahead411.501.38
Behind122.991.17

xG by period

Falkirk

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.146–1
16–300.270.237–8
31–450.250.285–14
46–600.230.1510–5
61–750.210.208–7
76–900.200.236–7

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.250.0910–2
16–300.290.177–5
31–450.380.129–5
46–600.300.1810–4
61–750.320.206–6
76–900.380.3918–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Falkirk

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBain 32Adams 20Lissah 10Yeats 1Allan 16Neilson 9Lissah 4Henderson 30McCann 21Lissah 8Hart 2Spencer 30Stewart 1Tait 22Cartwright 9Yeats 2Wilson 16Miller 5Broggio 4Miller 10Tait 5Yeats 5Miller 15Williams 6Ross 4Stewart 12MacIver 9Graham 74-2-3-1 in 31 of 32 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (31), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 32Tavernier 22Sterling 6Aarons 3Souttar 22Djiga 16Sterling 2Fernandez 19Cornelius 5Meghoma 21Rommens 5Miovski 2Raskin 25Barron 11Rothwell 4Diomande 12Chukwuani 9Aasgaard 3Gassama 12Antman 6Olsen 5Aasgaard 10Diomande 4Raskin 3Moore 16Gassama 10Meghoma 2Chermiti 12Miovski 11Naderi 34-2-3-1 in 20 of 32 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (20), 4-3-3 (4), 4-2-2-2 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 November 2025Rangers0–0FalkirkxG 2.24–0.12
5 October 2025Falkirk1–1RangersxG 1.43–1.09

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Falkirk won 0, Rangers won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 1–1 and xG 0.77–1.67 per game.

Key players

Falkirk

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stewart131,069820.510.09
MacIver9661310.410.12
Graham7776400.460.07
Miller302,419580.250.23

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Chermiti141,432930.570.08
Tavernier222,079840.280.28
Rommens5457110.170.33
Miovski131,165510.340.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.