Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Motherwell 2–0 Aberdeen

Sunday 15 February 2026, 14:30 · Fir Park · Round 27 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 7,464

Motherwell Just 28', McIntyre 90+3' (og)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellAberdeen
Goals20
xG2.460.62
Expected Points2.560.30

Motherwell 80%Draw 14%Aberdeen 5%

Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Final score 2–0, 15%.

Aberdeen goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+3%2%10%7%2%10%3%9%3%7%5%1%3%2%15%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTCharles-Cook on for Watt and Bjørgolfsson on for Just, 66'Nicholson on for Said and O'Donnell on for Longelo, 81'McGhee on for Maswanhise, 90'Palaversa on for Aremu, 46'Devlin on for Jensen, 62'Lazetic on for Nisbet and Bilalovic on for Keskinen, 71'Kjartansson on for Geiger, 79'Just 28'McIntyre 90+3' (og)Motherwell 2.46Aberdeen 0.6201230153045607590HTCharles-Cook on for Watt and Bjørgolfsson on for Just, 66'Nicholson on for Said and O'Donnell on for Longelo, 81'McGhee on for Maswanhise, 90'Palaversa on for Aremu, 46'Devlin on for Jensen, 62'Lazetic on for Nisbet and Bilalovic on for Keskinen, 71'Kjartansson on for Geiger, 79'Just 28'McIntyre 90+3' (og)2.460.62MotherwellAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellAberdeen

2.46 +0.95xG0.62 −0.67
1.83 +0.21xG on target0.51 −0.67
17 +4Shots10 −2
8 +3.2Shots on target2 −2.0
3 +0.6Big chances2 +0.1
42 +17Touches in the opposition box19 −2
46% −13Possession54% +6
380 −174Passes441 +39
81% −4Pass accuracy85% +6
56% −6Field tilt44% −1
45 −5Final-third entries40 +4
23 +8Box entries12 +1
15.3 +2Passes per defensive action9.6 −5
4 +0.2Corners2 −3.0
11 −4Tackles17 +1
8 +0.4Interceptions19 +12.5
36 +12Clearances27 −3
2 −0.9Saves7 +3.7
15 +3Fouls18 +4
0 −2.3Offsides3 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Said 34', 0.30 xGJust 33', 0.28 xGBjørgolfsson 90+5', 0.25 xGJust 33', 0.16 xGMaswanhise 57', 0.13 xGPriestman 6', 0.12 xGSparrow 45+1', 0.12 xGMaswanhise 55', 0.12 xGPriestman 59', 0.11 xGSaid 27', 0.10 xGMaswanhise 40', 0.06 xGLongelo 17', 0.04 xGJust 50', 0.04 xGMaswanhise 54', 0.04 xGMaswanhise 84', 0.02 xGSlattery 8', 0.01 xGJust 28', 0.55 xG, goal14%0.35 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.35 xG, 0 goals79%1.96 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 1.96 xG, 1 goal3%0.08 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals3%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Olusanya 63', 0.15 xGMorrison 51', 0.14 xGDevlin 72', 0.12 xGOlusanya 60', 0.05 xGCameron 76', 0.05 xGNisbet 17', 0.04 xGKeskinen 60', 0.03 xGOlusanya 81', 0.03 xGKeskinen 56', 0.02 xGGeiger 11', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals66%0.41 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.41 xG, 0 goals5%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals29%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellAberdeen

1.47 11 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.36 7 shots, 0 goals
0.18 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.81 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.26 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
28 min (29%) · Motherwell 0.82, Aberdeen 0.04 xG
Motherwell ahead
68 min (71%) · Motherwell 1.64, Aberdeen 0.57 xG

Line-ups

13716574525209021818WardSparrowMcGinnWelshLongeloPriestmanWattSaidJustSlatteryMaswanhiseGoalYellow card81'66'81'66'90'Motherwell 4-2-3-1Jens Berthel Askou99282326332202588115BråtveitJensenMorrisonMcIntyreFrameAremuOlusanyaCameronGeigerKeskinenNisbetYellow cardOwn goalYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card62'46'79'71'71'Aberdeen 4-1-4-1Peter Leven

Motherwell substitutes

  • 66' Bjørgolfsson for Just
  • 66' Charles-Cook for Watt
  • 81' Nicholson for Said
  • 81' O'Donnell for Longelo
  • 90' McGhee for Maswanhise

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' Palaversa for Aremu · yellow card 90+2'
  • 62' Devlin for Jensen
  • 71' Bilalovic for Keskinen
  • 71' Lazetic for Nisbet
  • 79' Kjartansson for Geiger

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WardGK900.000.0000.0320
SparrowRB900.120.0100.0139
McGinnCB900.000.0110.0549
WelshCB9010.000.2720.10315
LongeloLB810.040.3830.43123
PriestmanDM900.220.030−0.0126
WattDM660.000.0900.0933
SaidRW810.400.0310.0240
JustAM6611.030.3840.3462
Slattery LW900.010.1200.0535
MaswanhiseST900.380.2000.2162
BjørgolfssonFW240.250.0000.0101
Charles-CookFW240.000.020−0.0210
NicholsonDF90.000.0100.0301
O'DonnellDF90.000.0000.0112
McGheeDF00.000.1810.2020

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BråtveitGK900.000.0000.0330
JensenRB620.000.0200.0345
Morrison CB900.140.0100.06313
McIntyre CB900.000.0100.11410
FrameLB900.000.0110.0128
AremuDM460.000.0200.0323
OlusanyaRM900.220.0010.0041
Cameron CM900.050.2620.0972
Geiger CM790.010.1400.1048
Keskinen LM710.050.0310.1275
NisbetST710.040.0700.0020
Palaversa MF440.000.0300.0334
DevlinDF280.120.0000.0104
BilalovicFW190.000.0000.0110
LazeticFW190.000.0000.0001
KjartanssonMF110.000.000−0.0102

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Ward and Slattery: 4 passesSparrow and Watt: 4 passesMcGinn and Slattery: 4 passesPriestman and Slattery: 4 passesJust and Maswanhise: 4 passesWard and Welsh: 5 passesWelsh and McGinn: 5 passesWelsh and Priestman: 5 passesMcGinn and Watt: 5 passesJust and Slattery: 5 passesWard and Watt: 6 passesSparrow and McGinn: 6 passesSparrow and Just: 6 passesLongelo and Maswanhise: 6 passesSaid and Slattery: 6 passesSparrow and Priestman: 7 passesLongelo and Just: 7 passesPriestman and Said: 7 passesWatt and Just: 7 passesWelsh and Longelo: 8 passesLongelo and Watt: 8 passesWatt and Slattery: 8 passesLongelo and Slattery: 9 passesPriestman and Watt: 11 passesSparrow and Said: 12 passesWard and McGinn: 20 passesWard: 27 completed passesSparrow: 19 completed passesWelsh: 20 completed passesMcGinn: 25 completed passesLongelo: 26 completed passesPriestman: 22 completed passesWatt: 28 completed passesSaid: 16 completed passesJust: 17 completed passesSlattery: 26 completed passesMaswanhise: 6 completed passes13757164525209021818WardSparrowWelshMcGinnLongeloPriestmanWattSaidJustSlatteryMaswanhiseStarters until 66' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Aberdeen

Bråtveit and Jensen: 3 passesJensen and Cameron: 3 passesJensen and Nisbet: 3 passesMorrison and Geiger: 3 passesMcIntyre and Geiger: 3 passesFrame and Aremu: 3 passesAremu and Keskinen: 3 passesAremu and Geiger: 4 passesKeskinen and Nisbet: 4 passesGeiger and Cameron: 4 passesMorrison and Aremu: 6 passesMcIntyre and Cameron: 6 passesKeskinen and Cameron: 6 passesGeiger and Nisbet: 6 passesJensen and Aremu: 8 passesFrame and Keskinen: 8 passesAremu and Cameron: 8 passesBråtveit and McIntyre: 9 passesMcIntyre and Frame: 9 passesMcIntyre and Aremu: 9 passesBråtveit and Morrison: 10 passesJensen and Morrison: 13 passesFrame and Cameron: 13 passesJensen and Geiger: 14 passesMorrison and McIntyre: 15 passesBråtveit: 16 completed passesJensen: 23 completed passesMorrison: 25 completed passesMcIntyre: 27 completed passesFrame: 20 completed passesAremu: 25 completed passesKeskinen: 13 completed passesGeiger: 18 completed passesCameron: 23 completed passesOlusanya: 3 completed passesNisbet: 9 completed passes99282326332818252015BråtveitJensenMorrisonMcIntyreFrameAremuKeskinenGeigerCameronOlusanyaNisbetStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
WardMcGinn15
McGinnWard10
SaidSparrow9
WelshLongelo9
SlatteryPriestman8

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MorrisonMcIntyre18
BråtveitMorrison13
FrameCameron12
McIntyreMorrison11
JensenGeiger10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

7+3.417+10.812−0.98+1.81−3.28+2.06−1.47−0.26−1.67+0.63−3.08+3.52−1.83−1.35−0.13−1.25+0.63+0.63+0.27+3.35+1.90−1.91−0.11−0.620.00−1.01+0.42+1.21+0.70−0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Aberdeen

1−3.75−2.517+2.380.06+1.51−6.29+1.460.018+8.310+2.75−0.23−0.65+0.94−1.410+3.10−3.03−0.46+3.62−1.54−0.70−2.42+1.04+3.12+0.34+1.42+1.71+0.90−0.41+0.50−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.020.020.020.020.030.020.020.050.100.100.060.020.070.170.130.01−0.030.200.230.22LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.010.010.04−0.010.010.010.040.030.030.060.010.05−0.010.070.090.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.32AttackMotherwell1.38 → 1.42Aberdeen1.16 → 1.14Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.14 → 1.11Aberdeen1.47 → 1.50

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six3%2%−1
11th1%2%+1
Falkirk
Top six94%96%+2

From the forecast before the match (15 February 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellAberdeen
Expected goals1.810.89
Win59%18%
Expected Points2.000.77
Clean sheet41%16%

Motherwell 59%Draw 24%Aberdeen 18%

Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

Aberdeen goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+7%5%3%5%1%4%1%7%6%3%3%3%1%1%1%12%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 15 February 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawAberdeen win
Aberdeen
Top six3%2%4%8%
11th1%2%1%<1%
Falkirk
Top six94%96%94%89%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. D1–111 FebRangers (H)xG 1.57–1.65
  2. W2–031 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.62–0.22
  3. W4–024 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 2.72–0.46
  4. D1–110 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.03–1.31
  5. W2–03 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.88–0.30
  6. W2–030 DecCeltic (H)xG 1.40–0.59

Aberdeen

  1. L0–331 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 1.01–2.55
  2. W6–224 JanLivingston (H)xG 3.08–2.01
  3. L0–211 JanRangers (H)xG 0.32–1.94
  4. L0–26 JanRangers (A)xG 1.05–1.81
  5. L0–13 JanFalkirk (A)xG 0.57–1.53
  6. L0–230 DecHibernian (A)xG 0.57–1.64

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellAberdeen
Position4th7th
Played2524
Won, drawn, lost11–⁠11–⁠38–⁠4–⁠12
Points44 (1.76 per game)28 (1.17 per game)
Expected Points per game1.651.22
Goals38–⁠1826–⁠33
xG per game1.51–⁠1.141.29–⁠1.57
Home: points, xG per game2.15, 1.69–⁠0.761.33, 1.54–⁠1.42
Away: points, xG per game1.33, 1.31–⁠1.561.00, 1.05–⁠1.72
ManagerJens Berthel Askou (25)Peter Leven (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.32AttackMotherwell1.38, 5thAberdeen1.16, 7thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.14, 5thAberdeen1.47, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMotherwell attack: 1.38Aberdeen attack: 1.161.381.16AberdeenMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMotherwell defence: 1.14Aberdeen defence: 1.471.471.14

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+20%−14%−9%−9%
Counter-attacks−1%−9%+7%+37%
Set pieces−40%−27%−2%+55%
Penalties+66%−45%−42%−13%
Headers−14%−33%−33%+34%
Left side+14%−23%+24%+10%
Centre−27%−10%−12%+16%
Right side+49%−23%−19%+10%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdAberdeen concededLeft side+14%+10%Centre−27%+16%Right side+49%+10%Open play+20%−9%Counter-attacks−1%+37%Set pieces−40%+55%Headers−14%+34%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdMotherwell concededLeft side+24%−23%Centre−12%−10%Right side−19%−23%Open play−9%−14%Counter-attacks+7%−9%Set pieces−2%−27%Headers−33%−33%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellAberdeen

1.51xG1.29
1.14xG against1.57
59%Possession48%
13.0Shots12.2
10.6Shots against15.0
4.8Shots on target4.0
2.4Big chances1.9
25.4Touches in the opposition box21.2
554Passes402
85%Pass accuracy78%
3.8Corners5.0
61%Field tilt45%
49.9Final-third entries36.4
15.1Box entries10.8
12.9Passes per defensive action14.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level511.151.17
Ahead281.851.12
Behind112.281.11

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.211.44
Ahead151.051.35
Behind291.551.89

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.112–2
16–300.250.199–3
31–450.240.196–0
46–600.320.158–3
61–750.280.254–6
76–900.330.269–4

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.211–4
16–300.150.205–5
31–450.310.264–5
46–600.170.331–6
61–750.220.266–5
76–900.320.309–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTWard 25Koutroumbis 10O'Donnell 9Sparrow 4McGinn 21Gordon 8O'Donnell 5Welsh 15Longelo 19Koutroumbis 5Charles-Cook 1Fadinger 23Priestman 6Just 3Watt 17Maswanhise 13Said 5Just 3Just 10Slattery 6Watt 3Slattery 8Said 7Charles-Cook 5Stamatelopoulos 9Maswanhise 8Hendry 74-2-3-1 in 16 of 25 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (16), 4-1-3-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 24Devlin 11Jensen 8Lobban 5Milne 20Devlin 2Dorrington 2Knoester 23Gyamfi 7Shinnie 4Jensen 4Armstrong 9Aouchiche 7Nilsen 4Shinnie 11Polvara 7Palaversa 3Devlin 6Milanovic 5Keskinen 3Aouchiche 7Armstrong 4Polvara 3Karlsson 13Keskinen 6Armstrong 3Nisbet 12Lazetic 8Yengi 34-2-3-1 in 9 of 24 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (9), 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-4-3 (4), 4-1-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
9 November 2025Aberdeen1–1MotherwellxG 0.80–0.68
27 September 2025Motherwell2–0AberdeenxG 2.03–1.00
29 March 2025Aberdeen4–1MotherwellxG 1.58–1.21
5 January 2025Motherwell2–0AberdeenxG 1.36–0.89
14 September 2024Aberdeen2–1MotherwellxG 1.85–1.67
27 April 2024Aberdeen1–0MotherwellxG 2.32–0.41

18 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 6, Aberdeen won 8, and 4 were drawn. Goals 25–26 and xG 1.30–1.46 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stamatelopoulos9868620.890.08
Maswanhise221,7461320.400.08
Just191,636460.230.22
Slattery151,393240.180.26

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Karlsson161,292500.340.12
Nisbet131,093310.330.12
Armstrong181,544140.170.21
Aouchiche161,280300.230.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.