Sunday 18 May 2025, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 38 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 4,170
Ross County Hale 29'
Motherwell Ebiye 83'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Ross County
Motherwell
Goals
1
1
xG
1.09
2.00
Expected Points
0.76
2.01
Ross County 17%Draw 23%Motherwell 59%
Most likely score 1–2, 12%. Final score 1–1, 11%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Ross CountyMotherwell
1.09 +0.05xG2.00 +0.87
0.92 −0.03xG on target1.28 +0.09
15 +5Shots21 +11
4 +0.7Shots on target6 +2.7
0 −1.3Big chances4 +2.1
20 +4Touches in the opposition box41 +22
36% −4Possession64% +22
245 −42Passes423 +99
68% +5Pass accuracy79% +9
37% −1Field tilt63% +28
31 +2Final-third entries39 +12
11 +3.7Box entries18 +10.1
14.8 −1Passes per defensive action10.7 −8
5 +0.2Corners6 +1.7
18 0Tackles20 +4
13 +3.0Interceptions4 −4.0
45 +6Clearances27 −7
4 +0.9Saves3 −0.6
8 −3Fouls10 −1
2 +0.8Offsides1 −0.7
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Ross County
Motherwell
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
29'83'
0–01–01–1
0'HTFT
Level
42 min (44%) · Ross County 0.74, Motherwell 0.95 xG
Ross County ahead
54 min (56%) · Ross County 0.34, Motherwell 1.05 xG
Line-ups
Ross County substitutes
63'Smith for Efete
63'Harmon for Kenneh
75'White for Samuel
75'Phillips for Hale
82'Tomkinson for Ashworth
Motherwell substitutes
46'Thompson for Wilson
46'Sparrow for Dickson · 1 assist
56'Andrews for Zdravkovski
71'Ebiye for Armstrong · goal 83'
82'Maswanhise for Halliday
Players
Ross County
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Amissah
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
1
2
Wright
CB
90
1
0.38
0.24
2
0.24
4
10
Nightingale
CB
90
0.11
0.01
0
0.04
4
13
Campbell
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.03
4
11
Efete
RWB
63
0.08
0.23
2
0.30
6
0
Randall
CM
90
0.00
0.04
1
0.08
6
7
Kenneh
CM
63
0.02
0.00
0
0.00
1
8
Ashworth
LWB
82
0.00
0.50
3
0.01
1
12
Nisbet
AM
90
0.00
0.04
1
0.01
5
8
Samuel
ST
75
0.02
0.02
0
−0.05
1
0
Hale
ST
75
1
0.24
0.01
1
−0.08
3
0
Smith
DF
27
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Harmon
DF
27
0.09
0.00
0
0.00
0
4
White
FW
15
0.14
0.00
0
−0.03
0
3
Phillips
FW
15
0.00
0.02
1
0.02
1
1
Tomkinson
DF
8
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
2
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Balcombe
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Koutroumbis
RB
90
0.03
0.02
2
0.07
8
8
O'Donnell
CB
90
0.00
0.11
1
0.23
10
9
Seddon
CB
90
0.07
0.09
1
0.20
7
17
Wilson
LB
46
0.00
0.36
1
0.18
2
2
Zdravkovski
DM
56
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
2
Halliday
DM
82
0.04
0.09
1
0.07
6
0
Slattery
RW
90
0.15
0.06
0
0.05
8
2
Miller
AM
90
0.18
0.01
0
0.02
2
4
Dickson
LW
46
0.00
0.11
0
0.05
1
3
Armstrong
ST
71
0.33
0.08
2
−0.12
0
3
Thompson
DF
44
0.00
0.42
3
0.27
5
3
Sparrow
DF
44
1
0.10
0.53
3
0.32
6
1
Andrews
MF
34
0.11
0.02
0
0.03
1
0
Ebiye
MF
19
1
0.89
0.03
3
0.00
2
0
Maswanhise
FW
8
0.10
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Ross County
Motherwell
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Ross County
From
To
Passes
Wright
Efete
9
Nisbet
Wright
6
Wright
Nisbet
6
Campbell
Amissah
5
Efete
Nisbet
5
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
Koutroumbis
O'Donnell
12
O'Donnell
Seddon
10
O'Donnell
Koutroumbis
10
Balcombe
O'Donnell
9
O'Donnell
Slattery
9
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Ross County
Against its average of 37 matches
Motherwell
Against its average of 37 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Ross County
Motherwell
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Ross County
11th
82%
>99%
+18
Dundee FC
11th
18%
–
−18
From the forecast before the match (18 May 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Ross County
Motherwell
Expected goals
1.27
1.29
Win
36%
37%
Expected Points
1.35
1.37
Clean sheet
27%
28%
Ross County 36%Draw 28%Motherwell 37%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.
From the forecast as it stood on 18 May 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Ross County win
Draw
Motherwell win
Ross County
11th
82%
49%
>99%
>99%
Dundee FC
11th
18%
51%
–
–
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Ross County
Motherwell
Position
11th
8th
Played
37
37
Won, drawn, lost
9–9–19
14–6–17
Points
36 (0.97 per game)
48 (1.30 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.08
1.14
Goals
36–64
45–62
xG per game
1.04–1.66
1.13–1.51
Home: points, xG per game
1.11, 1.33–1.31
1.61, 1.22–1.48
Away: points, xG per game
0.84, 0.76–1.98
1.00, 1.05–1.53
Manager
Don Cowie (52)
Michael Wimmer (11)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Ross County
Motherwell
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−49%
+35%
−25%
+11%
Counter-attacks
−24%
−2%
−21%
−26%
Set pieces
−9%
−10%
+4%
+11%
Penalties
+74%
−3%
−61%
−3%
Headers
−45%
+6%
+30%
+7%
Left side
−23%
+1%
−43%
+23%
Centre
−38%
+22%
−8%
−1%
Right side
−42%
+32%
−10%
+9%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Ross County attacking
Ross County createdMotherwell concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−23%+9%Centre−38%−1%Right side−42%+23%Open play−49%+11%Counter-attacks−24%−26%Set pieces−9%+11%Headers−45%+7%
Motherwell attacking
Motherwell createdRoss County concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−43%+32%Centre−8%+22%Right side−10%+1%Open play−25%+35%Counter-attacks−21%−2%Set pieces+4%−10%Headers+30%+6%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
Ross CountyMotherwell
1.04xG1.13
1.66xG against1.51
40%Possession42%
10.1Shots10.1
15.2Shots against14.2
3.3Shots on target3.3
1.3Big chances1.9
16.2Touches in the opposition box18.6
287Passes324
64%Pass accuracy70%
4.8Corners4.3
37%Field tilt36%
29.5Final-third entries27.2
7.3Box entries7.9
15.6Passes per defensive action18.5
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Ross County
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
45
1.03
1.50
Ahead
16
0.97
1.32
Behind
29
1.08
2.10
Motherwell
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
39
1.26
1.44
Ahead
22
1.09
1.58
Behind
29
1.00
1.53
xG by period
Ross County
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.12
0.16
2–4
16–30
0.17
0.21
6–7
31–45
0.22
0.33
6–18
46–60
0.15
0.27
8–9
61–75
0.13
0.26
3–7
76–90
0.25
0.43
11–19
Motherwell
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.13
0.22
6–8
16–30
0.22
0.22
10–10
31–45
0.14
0.29
10–9
46–60
0.17
0.31
4–13
61–75
0.15
0.15
3–9
76–90
0.32
0.32
12–13
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.