Matches › 2021/22

Dundee FC 2–2 Hibernian

Sunday 22 August 2021, 12:00 · Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park · Round 3 · Half-time 1–1 · Attendance 5,295

Dundee FC Cummings 11', McGowan 83'

Hibernian Boyle 39' (pen), Porteous 59'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Dundee FC	Hibernian
Goals	2	2
xG	0.76	2.47
Non-penalty xG	0.76	1.68
Expected Points	0.31	2.54

Dundee FC 5%Draw 15%Hibernian 80%

Most likely score 0–2, 14%. Final score 2–2, 5%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCHibernian

0.76 +0.08xG2.47 +0.22

0.76Non-penalty xG1.68

2.22 +1.47xG on target3.84 +1.40

11 +4.0Shots15 −1.0

8 +6.0Shots on target7 +1.5

2 +1.5Big chances3 0.0

45% +8Possession55% −3

333 +81Passes411 −30

68% +8Pass accuracy74% −6

49% +26Field tilt51% −15

33 +16Final-third entries37 −4

6 +0.5Box entries16 +1.5

12.1 −3Passes per defensive action12.5 −3

4 −1.5Corners6 −1.5

14 0Tackles10 −5

11 +3.5Interceptions11 +2.5

19 −2Clearances24 +10

5 −0.5Saves6 +4.5

13 +0.5Fouls16 +7.0

0 −2.5Offsides1 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Dundee FC

Hibernian

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCHibernian

0.70 8 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.05 10 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.39 1 shot, 0 goals

0.06 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.25 3 shots, 1 goal

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–01–11–22–2

Level: 41 min (44%) · Dundee FC 0.42, Hibernian 0.95 xG
Dundee FC ahead: 28 min (30%) · Dundee FC 0.02, Hibernian 0.97 xG
Hibernian ahead: 24 min (26%) · Dundee FC 0.32, Hibernian 0.55 xG

Line-ups

Dundee FC substitutes

70' McGowan for Adam · goal 83', yellow card 83'
77' McDaid for Anderson
84' Sweeney for Fontaine

Hibernian substitutes

49' Stevenson for McGinn
82' Wright for Murphy
84' Gullan for Scott

Players

Dundee FC

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Legzdins	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Elliot	RB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.04	4	7
Ashcroft	CB	90			0.05	0.07	0	0.12	3	8
Fontaine	CB	84			0.00	0.00	1	0.04	1	8
McGhee	LB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	4	4
Byrne	CM	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.05	2	5
Anderson	CM	77			0.00	0.06	0	0.08	2	0
Adam	CM	70		1	0.03	0.15	3	0.16	4	3
McMullan	RW	90		1	0.02	0.47	4	0.42	16	2
Cummings	ST	90	1		0.32	0.03	0	−0.05	0	1
McCowan	LW	90			0.02	0.01	1	0.02	2	4
McGowan	MF	20	1		0.33	0.00	0	−0.02	0	1
McDaid	FW	13			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Sweeney	DF	6			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Macey	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	4	1
McGinn	RB	49			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	3	3
Porteous	CB	90	1		0.24	0.02	0	0.14	13	7
McGregor	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.06	4	10
Doig	LB	90			0.05	0.11	1	0.30	7	4
Doyle-Hayes	DM	90			0.00	0.02	1	0.05	3	6
Gogic	DM	90			0.43	0.01	0	−0.02	0	2
Boyle	RW	90	1		1.01	0.25	2	0.20	9	1
Magennis	AM	90		1	0.00	0.28	3	−0.02	0	4
Murphy	LW	82			0.40	0.16	2	0.27	11	2
Scott	ST	84			0.33	0.00	0	0.07	2	1
Stevenson	DF	41			0.00	0.01	1	0.04	6	3
Wright	DF	8			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	2	1
Gullan	FW	6			0.00	0.01	0	−0.04	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

Hibernian

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

From	To	Passes
Elliot	McMullan	8
McMullan	Cummings	8
McGhee	McCowan	7
McGhee	Adam	7
Cummings	McMullan	6

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
McGregor	Porteous	14
Porteous	Doyle-Hayes	14
McGinn	Porteous	14
Doyle-Hayes	Porteous	11
Porteous	McGregor	11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

Against its average of 2 matches

Hibernian

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

Hibernian

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Dundee FC
Top six	5%	6%	+1
11th	17%	17%	0
Bottom	54%	50%	−4
Hibernian
Title	2%	1%	−1
Top six	94%	93%	−1
Ross County
11th	27%	27%	0
Bottom	22%	24%	+2
Dundee United
11th	15%	16%	+1
Bottom	7%	8%	+1

From the forecast before the match (22 August 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Dundee FC	Hibernian
Expected goals	0.86	1.97
Win	15%	63%
Expected Points	0.68	2.10
Clean sheet	14%	42%

Dundee FC 15%Draw 22%Hibernian 63%

Most likely score 0–2, 11%. Both sides score 50%.

From the forecast as it stood on 22 August 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Dundee FC win	Draw	Hibernian win
Dundee FC
Top six	5%	9%	6%	3%
11th	17%	18%	17%	16%
Bottom	54%	39%	50%	59%
Hibernian
Title	2%	1%	1%	2%
Top six	94%	89%	93%	96%
Ross County
11th	27%	23%	27%	28%
Bottom	22%	29%	24%	20%
Dundee United
11th	15%	16%	16%	14%
Bottom	7%	9%	8%	6%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

Hibernian

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Dundee FC	Hibernian
Position	10th	2nd
Played	2	2
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠1–⁠1	2–⁠0–⁠0
Points	1 (0.50 per game)	6 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.40	2.30
Goals	2–⁠8	6–⁠2
xG per game	0.68–⁠3.66	2.25–⁠0.97
Home: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.11–⁠1.81	3.00, 1.62–⁠0.48
Away: points, xG per game	0.00, 0.24–⁠5.51	3.00, 2.88–⁠1.47
Manager	James McPake (2)	Jack Ross (40)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Dundee FC		Hibernian
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−20%	+57%	+28%	−30%
Counter-attacks	+15%	−12%	−19%	+183%
Set pieces	−4%	+3%	+13%	+2%
Penalties	−33%	+200%	+122%	−37%
Headers	−15%	+14%	+21%	average
Left side	−23%	+9%	+14%	−29%
Centre	−20%	+65%	+32%	−31%
Right side	+7%	+23%	+7%	+27%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHibernian concededLeft side−23%+27%Centre−20%−31%Right side+7%−29%Open play−20%−30%Counter-attacks+15%+183%Set pieces−4%+2%Headers−15%average

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee FC concededLeft side+14%+23%Centre+32%+65%Right side+7%+9%Open play+28%+57%Counter-attacks−19%−12%Set pieces+13%+3%Headers+21%+14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCHibernian

0.68xG2.25

3.66xG against0.97

36%Possession58%

7.0Shots16.0

22.5Shots against8.5

2.0Shots on target5.5

0.5Big chances3.0

252Passes442

60%Pass accuracy80%

5.5Corners7.5

23%Field tilt66%

17.5Final-third entries41.5

5.5Box entries14.5

15.5Passes per defensive action15.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	32	0.32	3.56
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	58	0.87	3.72

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	30	2.48	2.19
Ahead	44	1.40	0.46
Behind	16	4.13	0.14

xG by period

Dundee FC

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.17	0.34	0–1
16–30	0.02	1.17	0–2
31–45	0.06	0.11	1–0
46–60	0.40	0.78	1–2
61–75	0.02	0.56	0–1
76–90	0.00	0.71	0–2

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.18	0.32	0–1
16–30	0.64	0.10	3–1
31–45	0.20	0.08	1–0
46–60	0.58	0.05	1–0
61–75	0.59	0.33	1–0
76–90	0.06	0.10	0–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

Formations: 4-5-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

Hibernian

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Nisbet	29	2,657	14	2	0.48	0.08
Boyle	37	3,313	14	6	0.39	0.16
Doidge	30	2,829	9	2	0.38	0.06
Murphy	16	1,367	1	1	0.12	0.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.