Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Livingston 1–2 St. Johnstone

Saturday 6 February 2021, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 28 · Half-time 0–1

Livingston Pittman 83'

St. Johnstone Tanser 45+2', Rooney 51'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Goals12
xG0.861.78
Non-penalty xG0.860.99
Expected Points0.622.11

Livingston 12%Draw 27%St. Johnstone 62%

Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 1–2, 16%.

St. Johnstone goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+3%6%1%3%7%2%1%6%7%3%12%13%17%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTEmmanuel-Thomas on for Forrest, 46'Kabia on for Lawson, 65'May on for Melamed, 69'O'Halloran on for Kane, 90+2'Pittman 83'Tanser 45+2'Rooney 51'St. Johnstone 1.78Livingston 0.8600.511.520153045607590HTEmmanuel-Thomas on for Forrest, 46'Kabia on for Lawson, 65'May on for Melamed, 69'O'Halloran on for Kane, 90+2'Pittman 83'Tanser 45+2'Rooney 51'1.780.86LivingstonSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

0.86 −0.36xG1.78 +0.55
0.86Non-penalty xG0.99
1.12 +0.05xG on target2.02 +1.15
7 −3Shots15 +3
3 +0.1Shots on target6 +2.9
2 +0.4Big chances2 +0.6
11 −7Touches in the opposition box20 −1
59% +12Possession41% −5
397 +57Passes269 −100
64% +4Pass accuracy55% −11
64% +14Field tilt36% −16
36 +4Final-third entries27 −9
8 −0.3Box entries7 −2.6
10.6 −2Passes per defensive action10.6 −4
1 −4.0Corners7 +2.6
9 −7Tackles15 −1
7 −5Interceptions19 +7
17 −1Clearances25 +6
4 +2.1Saves2 +0.3
17 +3Fouls16 +4
3 +1.1Offsides3 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Robinson 90', 0.24 xGEmmanuel-Thomas 71', 0.07 xGRobinson 89', 0.04 xGPittman 34', 0.03 xGPittman 45', 0.03 xGHolt 67', 0.03 xGPittman 83', 0.42 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals85%0.73 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.73 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals12%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Kerr 2', 0.36 xGGordon 82', 0.08 xGKerr 79', 0.06 xGKane 32', 0.05 xGKane 57', 0.05 xGMay 73', 0.05 xGMcCann 23', 0.04 xGWotherspoon 66', 0.04 xGMay 78', 0.04 xGMelamed 56', 0.03 xGRooney 74', 0.03 xGCraig 80', 0.03 xGTanser 45+2', 0.06 xG, goalRooney 51', 0.06 xG, goal36%0.36 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.36 xG, 0 goals24%0.24 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.24 xG, 1 goal18%0.18 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals18%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 1 goal3%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

0.79 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.33 8 shots, 0 goals
0.07 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.66 6 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
47 min (50%) · Livingston 0.06, St. Johnstone 0.51 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
47 min (50%) · Livingston 0.80, St. Johnstone 1.27 xG

Line-ups

3222529236183381117StryjekDevlinAmbroseTaylor-SinclairLongridgeBartleyHoltLawsonPittmanForrestRobinsonYellow cardGoalYellow card65'46'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale1564192618317109ClarkKerrGordonMcCartRooneyCraigMcCannTanserMelamedWotherspoonKaneYellow cardGoalGoal69'90+2'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Emmanuel-Thomas for Forrest
  • 65' Kabia for Lawson

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 69' May for Melamed · penalty missed 79'
  • 90+2' O'Halloran for Kane

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0100.0750
DevlinRB900.000.0200.0496
AmbroseCB900.000.1110.1965
Taylor-Sinclair CB900.000.0300.1176
LongridgeLB900.000.0200.0965
BartleyDM900.000.0100.0111
HoltDM9010.030.4810.1844
LawsonRW650.000.0400.0831
Pittman AM9010.480.010−0.0324
ForrestLW460.000.0100.0324
RobinsonST900.280.021−0.0110
Emmanuel-ThomasFW440.070.0700.0610
KabiaMF250.000.0710.0921

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0220
Kerr CB900.420.0210.1838
GordonCB900.080.0000.02213
McCartCB900.000.0100.0347
RooneyRWB9010.100.0300.0855
CraigCM9010.030.2230.05613
McCannCM900.040.1830.1421
TanserLWB9010.060.0210.0677
MelamedAM690.030.0010.0100
WotherspoonAM900.040.0320.0662
KaneST900.100.0600.0006
MayFW210.880.0110.0330
O'HalloranMF00.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Stryjek and Devlin: 3 passesStryjek and Lawson: 3 passesLongridge and Lawson: 3 passesHolt and Lawson: 3 passesHolt and Forrest: 3 passesLawson and Robinson: 3 passesPittman and Robinson: 3 passesForrest and Robinson: 3 passesAmbrose and Holt: 4 passesDevlin and Robinson: 5 passesTaylor-Sinclair and Longridge: 5 passesLongridge and Pittman: 5 passesDevlin and Ambrose: 6 passesDevlin and Lawson: 6 passesLongridge and Forrest: 6 passesLongridge and Holt: 8 passesDevlin and Holt: 9 passesStryjek: 6 completed passesDevlin: 19 completed passesAmbrose: 11 completed passesTaylor-Sinclair: 10 completed passesLongridge: 16 completed passesBartley: 3 completed passesHolt: 22 completed passesLawson: 6 completed passesPittman: 10 completed passesForrest: 7 completed passesRobinson: 6 completed passes3222529236183381117StryjekDevlinAmbroseTaylor-SinclairLongridgeBartleyHoltLawsonPittmanForrestRobinsonStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Johnstone

Clark and McCart: 3 passesKerr and Melamed: 3 passesKerr and Kane: 3 passesGordon and McCart: 3 passesRooney and Melamed: 3 passesTanser and Melamed: 3 passesWotherspoon and Kane: 3 passesClark and Tanser: 4 passesMcCart and Craig: 4 passesTanser and Wotherspoon: 4 passesTanser and Kane: 4 passesMcCann and Melamed: 4 passesMcCann and Kane: 4 passesKerr and McCann: 5 passesMcCart and Rooney: 5 passesMcCart and Wotherspoon: 6 passesCraig and Kane: 6 passesWotherspoon and Melamed: 6 passesMcCart and Tanser: 7 passesRooney and Kane: 8 passesKerr and Rooney: 10 passesClark: 10 completed passesKerr: 16 completed passesGordon: 7 completed passesMcCart: 20 completed passesRooney: 15 completed passesTanser: 16 completed passesCraig: 13 completed passesMcCann: 10 completed passesWotherspoon: 14 completed passesMelamed: 5 completed passesKane: 9 completed passes1564193261810179ClarkKerrGordonMcCartRooneyTanserCraigMcCannWotherspoonMelamedKaneStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
HoltLongridge10
HoltDevlin9
Taylor-SinclairLongridge9
LongridgeTaylor-Sinclair8
DevlinHolt8

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
KerrRooney7
WotherspoonMelamed6
McCartRooney5
RooneyKane5
TanserKane5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

3−2.15+0.48−2.79+4.08−0.45−1.65−1.59+1.811+1.72−3.45−0.48+4.18+1.61−3.36+1.530.04+0.24−0.51−2.14+1.62+0.91−0.51−1.62+0.60−0.50−0.72+1.50−1.11−4.01−4.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

St. Johnstone

2−2.25+0.513+0.69+4.26+0.790.09+0.89+2.38−0.412+3.45−1.25−1.37+1.56−0.611+4.69+4.34−0.22−0.87+3.52−3.02−0.73+1.02+0.50−1.75+2.11−0.30−0.31+0.61+0.52+1.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.040.030.020.010.010.010.030.040.060.030.030.040.010.020.030.030.040.010.12−0.010.13−0.010.20LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.020.010.010.040.010.020.020.010.010.010.010.040.020.010.030.020.050.090.040.020.020.010.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackLivingston1.13 → 1.12St. Johnstone1.07 → 1.10Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.04 → 1.07St. Johnstone1.11 → 1.11

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six10%19%+9
11th2%1%−1
Bottom<1%<1%0
St. Mirren
Top six75%69%−6

From the forecast before the match (6 February 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.100.97
Win38%31%
Expected Points1.451.24
Clean sheet38%33%

Livingston 38%Draw 32%St. Johnstone 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

St. Johnstone goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+6%2%6%2%8%7%4%1%3%3%1%13%12%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 February 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawSt. Johnstone win
St. Johnstone
Top six10%5%9%19%
11th2%4%2%1%
Bottom<1%1%<1%<1%
St. Mirren
Top six75%78%76%69%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. W2–02 FebAberdeen (A)xG 0.56–0.36
  2. D0–030 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.98–1.38
  3. W2–027 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 1.10–0.59
  4. D2–220 JanCeltic (H)xG 0.77–1.69
  5. D0–016 JanCeltic (A)xG 1.22–0.42
  6. W3–110 JanRoss County (H)xG 1.74–1.28

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–13 FebRangers (A)xG 0.27–1.33
  2. W3–230 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 2.14–1.17
  3. D0–027 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.36–1.10
  4. W1–016 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.06–0.30
  5. D2–212 JanDundee United (A)xG 2.25–0.82
  6. D1–12 JanRoss County (A)xG 1.57–0.81

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Position5th8th
Played2627
Won, drawn, lost11–⁠6–⁠96–⁠9–⁠12
Points39 (1.50 per game)27 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.451.50
Goals34–⁠2925–⁠36
xG per game1.22–⁠1.061.23–⁠0.97
Home: points, xG per game1.38, 1.10–⁠1.281.00, 1.10–⁠0.80
Away: points, xG per game1.62, 1.34–⁠0.841.00, 1.35–⁠1.13
ManagerDavid Martindale (11)Callum Davidson (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackLivingston1.13, 5thSt. Johnstone1.07, 7thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.04, 5thSt. Johnstone1.11, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebLivingston attack: 1.13St. Johnstone attack: 1.071.131.07St. JohnstoneLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebLivingston defence: 1.04St. Johnstone defence: 1.111.111.04

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−4%−26%−5%−21%
Counter-attacks−100%−32%+65%−82%
Set pieces+18%+4%+2%−19%
Penalties−33%−11%−36%−36%
Headers+10%+5%+2%−24%
Left side−10%−37%+13%−18%
Centre+12%−10%−12%−21%
Right side−15%−11%+9%−32%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−10%−32%Centre+12%−21%Right side−15%−18%Open play−4%−21%Counter-attacks−100%−82%Set pieces+18%−19%Headers+10%−24%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdLivingston concededLeft side+13%−11%Centre−12%−10%Right side+9%−37%Open play−5%−26%Counter-attacks+65%−32%Set pieces+2%+4%Headers+2%+5%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

1.22xG1.23
1.06xG against0.97
47%Possession46%
10.3Shots12.3
9.2Shots against9.9
2.9Shots on target3.1
1.6Big chances1.4
17.9Touches in the opposition box21.1
340Passes368
60%Pass accuracy66%
5.0Corners4.4
49%Field tilt53%
32.3Final-third entries36.3
8.3Box entries9.6
12.7Passes per defensive action14.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level491.070.97
Ahead181.220.95
Behind231.521.33

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level571.111.02
Ahead101.451.12
Behind221.430.77

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.087–2
16–300.250.233–11
31–450.110.242–6
46–600.220.219–8
61–750.210.135–0
76–900.260.168–2

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.132–4
16–300.150.133–4
31–450.180.226–11
46–600.200.194–6
61–750.290.105–2
76–900.270.205–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTStryjek 15McCrorie 11Devlin 23Ambrose 1Robinson 1Ambrose 10Fitzwater 7Guthrie 24Brown 8Taylor-Sinclair 3Serrano 14Brown 5Ambrose 2Bartley 20Pittman 3Serrano 1Holt 13Sibbald 9Lawson 3Mullin 8Robinson 6Fitzwater 4Pittman 17Bartley 3Holt 1Forrest 14Sibbald 6Robinson 2Emmanuel-Thomas 6Robinson 3Tiffoney 34-2-3-1 in 13 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (13), 3-4-2-1 (6), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 19Parish 8Kerr 19Rooney 7Craig 2Gordon 26McCart 26McNamara 20Rooney 4Kerr 1McCann 19Bryson 6McNamara 2Davidson 13Craig 7Wotherspoon 4Tanser 20Booth 6Bryson 1Conway 14Melamed 3McCann 2Wotherspoon 16O'Halloran 10May 4May 10Kane 7Hendry 73-4-2-1 in 16 of 27 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (16), 3-4-3 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
12 December 2020St. Johnstone1–2LivingstonxG 1.05–0.98
26 September 2020Livingston2–0St. JohnstonexG 0.54–1.11

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 2, St. Johnstone won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 4–1 and xG 0.76–1.08 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest161,412410.200.23
Emmanuel-Thomas7698200.300.03
Mullin10839230.100.19
Robinson141,319410.190.08

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May141,375530.430.15
Kane9865410.440.13
Conway161,321320.240.22
Wotherspoon201,802340.130.23

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.