Matches › 2020/21

Motherwell 2–0 Kilmarnock

Saturday 1 May 2021, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 36 · Half-time 0–0

Motherwell Cole 47', O'Donnell 85'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Motherwell	Kilmarnock
Goals	2	0
xG	1.00	0.93
Expected Points	1.41	1.24

Motherwell 36%Draw 35%Kilmarnock 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 2–0, 8%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellKilmarnock

1.00 −0.13xG0.93 −0.12

1.13 +0.14xG on target0.51 −0.48

11 0Shots18 +8

2 −1.3Shots on target4 +0.8

2 +0.7Big chances0 −1.0

49% +4Possession51% +4

398 +56Passes398 +34

75% +8Pass accuracy70% +2

35% −3Field tilt65% +15

38 +8Final-third entries37 0

11 +1.5Box entries11 +0.9

15.5 +1Passes per defensive action14.0 0

4 −1.0Corners6 +0.9

13 −1Tackles22 +9

14 +3Interceptions9 −2

24 0Clearances10 −6

4 +1.1Saves0 −2.4

14 +2Fouls10 −2

4 +2.0Offsides3 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellKilmarnock

0.90 8 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.68 13 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.07 1 shot, 0 goals

0.10 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.18 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–0

Level: 47 min (51%) · Motherwell 0.54, Kilmarnock 0.32 xG
Motherwell ahead: 46 min (49%) · Motherwell 0.46, Kilmarnock 0.61 xG

Line-ups

Motherwell substitutes

65' Watt for Hastie
72' Mugabi for Lawless
80' Maguire for Long

Kilmarnock substitutes

60' Tshibola for Power
60' Burke for McKenzie
60' Oakley for Kiltie

Players

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Kelly	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	4	2
O'Donnell	RB	90	1		0.34	0.08	2	0.19	9	7
Gallagher	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.05	5	10
Lamie	CB	90			0.07	0.00	0	0.09	4	12
McGinley	LB	90			0.00	0.18	1	0.25	10	6
Campbell	CM	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.02	3	6
Lawless	CM	72			0.06	0.01	1	0.00	2	1
Foley	CM	90			0.03	0.03	0	0.10	12	6
Hastie	RW	65			0.38	0.02	2	0.04	2	1
Cole	ST	90	1	1	0.06	0.23	1	0.07	4	2
Long	LW	80			0.03	0.02	0	0.04	5	1
Watt	FW	25			0.00	0.01	1	0.01	0	0
Mugabi	DF	18			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Maguire	MF	10			0.03	0.00	0	0.01	1	0

Kilmarnock

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Rogers	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	0
Millen	RB	90	0.00	0.07	2	0.27	9	3
Broadfoot	CB	90	0.07	0.02	0	0.09	7	7
Rossi	CB	90	0.12	0.00	0	0.02	1	7
Haunstrup	LB	90	0.00	0.26	2	0.29	4	5
McKenzie	RM	60	0.04	0.04	2	0.07	3	4
Power	CM	60	0.03	0.02	1	0.00	4	3
Dicker	CM	90	0.00	0.04	1	0.06	4	4
Pinnock	LM	90	0.07	0.22	2	0.28	8	8
Kiltie	ST	60	0.11	0.11	3	0.03	2	0
Lafferty	ST	90	0.31	0.00	1	0.02	0	1
Tshibola	MF	30	0.00	0.02	1	0.03	3	2
Burke	MF	30	0.03	0.03	0	0.05	6	0
Oakley	FW	30	0.15	0.01	0	−0.01	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
Foley	Long	10
Campbell	O'Donnell	9
Gallagher	Campbell	8
Foley	McGinley	8
McGinley	Cole	8

Kilmarnock

From	To	Passes
Haunstrup	Dicker	12
Haunstrup	Pinnock	11
Millen	Burke	8
Dicker	Millen	7
Millen	Power	7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

Against its average of 35 matches

Kilmarnock

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Kilmarnock
11th	19%	31%	+12
Bottom	2%	4%	+2
Ross County
11th	60%	50%	−10
Hamilton Academical
11th	21%	19%	−2
Bottom	75%	74%	−1

From the forecast before the match (1 May 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Motherwell	Kilmarnock
Expected goals	1.25	1.13
Win	38%	32%
Expected Points	1.45	1.26
Clean sheet	32%	29%

Motherwell 38%Draw 29%Kilmarnock 32%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 49%.

From the forecast as it stood on 1 May 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Motherwell win	Draw	Kilmarnock win
Kilmarnock
11th	19%	31%	18%	6%
Bottom	2%	4%	1%	<1%
Ross County
11th	60%	50%	61%	71%
Hamilton Academical
11th	21%	19%	21%	22%
Bottom	75%	74%	76%	77%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Motherwell	Kilmarnock
Position	9th	10th
Played	35	35
Won, drawn, lost	11–⁠8–⁠16	9–⁠5–⁠21
Points	41 (1.17 per game)	32 (0.91 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.12	1.19
Goals	34–⁠51	38–⁠49
xG per game	1.13–⁠1.56	1.05–⁠1.31
Home: points, xG per game	1.06, 1.15–⁠1.63	1.22, 1.26–⁠1.31
Away: points, xG per game	1.28, 1.11–⁠1.50	0.59, 0.83–⁠1.32
Manager	Graham Alexander (15)	Tommy Wright (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Motherwell		Kilmarnock
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−12%	+6%	−25%	+1%
Counter-attacks	−74%	+139%	−90%	−29%
Set pieces	+3%	+30%	−1%	+22%
Penalties	−18%	+64%	+15%	−18%
Headers	−10%	+38%	−10%	+2%
Left side	−19%	+5%	−17%	+10%
Centre	−7%	+24%	−28%	+2%
Right side	−8%	+22%	−13%	+9%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdKilmarnock concededLeft side−19%+9%Centre−7%+2%Right side−8%+10%Open play−12%+1%Counter-attacks−74%−29%Set pieces+3%+22%Headers−10%+2%

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdMotherwell concededLeft side−17%+22%Centre−28%+24%Right side−13%+5%Open play−25%+6%Counter-attacks−90%+139%Set pieces−1%+30%Headers−10%+38%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellKilmarnock

1.13xG1.05

1.56xG against1.31

46%Possession46%

10.7Shots10.5

13.6Shots against13.1

3.3Shots on target3.2

1.3Big chances1.0

18.7Touches in the opposition box19.7

342Passes364

67%Pass accuracy68%

5.0Corners5.1

38%Field tilt50%

29.9Final-third entries36.7

9.5Box entries10.1

14.4Passes per defensive action14.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	37	1.31	1.45
Ahead	26	0.98	1.54
Behind	27	1.03	1.74

Kilmarnock

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	42	0.97	1.10
Ahead	20	1.14	1.69
Behind	28	1.12	1.36

xG by period

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.18	0.28	7–10
16–30	0.26	0.17	8–5
31–45	0.14	0.24	5–6
46–60	0.17	0.27	4–9
61–75	0.26	0.24	9–7
76–90	0.11	0.36	1–14

Kilmarnock

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.10	0.15	6–6
16–30	0.13	0.20	6–9
31–45	0.23	0.17	9–5
46–60	0.20	0.20	7–10
61–75	0.21	0.25	5–8
76–90	0.18	0.33	5–11

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

Formations: 4-3-3 (23), 3-5-2 (4), 5-3-2 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Kilmarnock

Formations: 4-4-2 (11), 4-3-3 (11), 4-4-1-1 (5), 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-5-1 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
20 March 2021	Kilmarnock	4–1	Motherwell	xG 1.86–1.33
10 February 2021	Kilmarnock	0–1	Motherwell	xG 1.00–0.95
30 December 2020	Motherwell	0–2	Kilmarnock	xG 0.40–1.78

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 1, Kilmarnock won 2, and 0 were drawn. Goals 2–6 and xG 0.89–1.55 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Cole	21	1,755	9	3	0.52	0.04
Lang	12	1,038	3	1	0.36	0.03
Roberts	5	454	1	1	0.18	0.21
Watt	28	2,308	3	5	0.23	0.12

Kilmarnock

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Lafferty	5	476	6	2	0.60	0.06
Whitehall	5	465	2	0	0.40	0.04
Burke	26	2,301	9	3	0.22	0.21
Brophy	8	637	2	0	0.32	0.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.