Saturday 30 July 2022, 15:00 · Tynecastle Park · Round 1 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 18,202
Hearts Forrest 59', McKay 77'
Ross County White 79'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Hearts
Ross County
Goals
2
1
xG
1.78
1.54
Expected Points
1.54
1.17
Hearts 41%Draw 29%Ross County 29%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Final score 2–1, 13%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
HeartsRoss County
1.78xG1.54
1.16xG on target1.12
15Shots12
4Shots on target3
2Big chances2
23Touches in the opposition box18
60%Possession40%
520Passes336
76%Pass accuracy68%
59%Field tilt41%
41Final-third entries29
13Box entries12
15.9Passes per defensive action14.2
4Corners2
17Tackles13
7Interceptions17
12Clearances15
2Saves1
6Fouls15
0Offsides3
Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hearts
Ross County
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
59'77'79'
0–01–02–1
0'HTFT
Level
61 min (65%) · Hearts 1.61, Ross County 1.19 xG
Hearts ahead
33 min (35%) · Hearts 0.18, Ross County 0.35 xG
Line-ups
Hearts substitutes
28'Grant for Atkinson · yellow card 80'
71'Boyce for Shankland
78'Halliday for McKay
78'Devlin for Forrest
Ross County substitutes
63'Olaigbe for Edwards
64'Dhanda for Sims
76'White for Samuel · goal 79'
81'Johnson for Randall
Players
Hearts
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Gordon
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
5
1
Sibbick
CB
90
0.00
0.10
0
0.09
3
8
Halkett
CB
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.08
6
6
Rowles
CB
90
0.29
0.01
0
0.07
4
4
Atkinson
RWB
28
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
3
1
Haring
CM
90
0.03
0.04
0
0.02
3
4
M. Smith
CM
90
0.53
0.05
2
0.08
6
0
Cochrane
LWB
90
2
0.00
0.28
4
0.35
6
7
Forrest
RW
78
1
0.54
0.03
1
0.09
2
2
Shankland
ST
71
0.02
0.02
0
0.01
1
3
McKay
LW
78
1
0.18
0.05
1
0.16
10
1
Grant
MF
62
0.20
0.24
1
0.09
8
1
Boyce
FW
19
0.00
0.00
0
−0.02
0
0
Halliday
MF
12
0.00
0.01
1
0.02
1
0
Devlin
MF
12
0.00
0.01
1
0.02
0
0
Ross County
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Laidlaw
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
2
0
Randall
RB
81
0.04
0.01
0
0.02
6
5
Baldwin
CB
90
1
0.05
0.12
1
0.12
4
13
Iacovitti
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
3
8
Purrington
LB
90
0.12
0.07
2
0.13
4
7
Callachan
DM
90
0.06
0.03
0
0.03
2
4
Tillson
DM
90
0.00
0.01
0
−0.01
0
3
Sims
RW
64
0.79
0.02
1
0.00
1
3
Samuel
AM
76
0.07
0.07
2
0.05
4
1
Edwards
LW
63
0.04
0.09
2
0.11
5
2
Hiwula-Mayifuila
ST
90
0.11
0.03
0
0.03
1
1
Olaigbe
FW
27
0.00
0.08
1
0.06
2
1
Dhanda
MF
26
0.00
0.02
1
0.04
2
1
White
FW
14
1
0.26
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Johnson
DF
9
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hearts
Ross County
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hearts
From
To
Passes
Cochrane
Rowles
16
Rowles
Halkett
16
Rowles
Cochrane
14
Halkett
Sibbick
11
Rowles
Haring
11
Ross County
From
To
Passes
Baldwin
Iacovitti
14
Iacovitti
Purrington
13
Purrington
Edwards
10
Randall
Baldwin
9
Callachan
Randall
8
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hearts
Ross County
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.
Threat
Hearts
Ross County
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Hearts
Top six
73%
79%
+6
11th
2%
1%
−1
Bottom
1%
1%
0
Ross County
Top six
13%
11%
−2
11th
19%
21%
+2
Bottom
24%
27%
+3
Kilmarnock
Top six
37%
37%
0
11th
11%
11%
0
Bottom
12%
11%
−1
Motherwell
Top six
27%
27%
0
11th
12%
12%
0
Bottom
10%
10%
0
From the forecast before the match (30 July 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hearts
Ross County
Expected goals
1.82
0.82
Win
60%
16%
Expected Points
2.05
0.72
Clean sheet
44%
16%
Hearts 60%Draw 24%Ross County 16%
Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 48%.
From the forecast as it stood on 30 July 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hearts win
Draw
Ross County win
Hearts
Top six
73%
79%
68%
60%
11th
2%
1%
3%
4%
Bottom
1%
1%
2%
2%
Ross County
Top six
13%
11%
14%
21%
11th
19%
21%
17%
15%
Bottom
24%
27%
22%
16%
Kilmarnock
Top six
37%
37%
38%
38%
11th
11%
11%
10%
11%
Bottom
12%
11%
14%
15%
Motherwell
Top six
27%
27%
28%
28%
11th
12%
12%
13%
15%
Bottom
10%
10%
10%
11%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hearts
Ross County
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+16%
+17%
−27%
+28%
Counter-attacks
+88%
+13%
−68%
+34%
Set pieces
−16%
+9%
−24%
+30%
Penalties
+50%
−62%
+69%
+50%
Headers
−17%
−8%
−53%
+44%
Left side
+38%
+11%
−21%
+47%
Centre
−16%
+14%
−31%
+26%
Right side
+38%
+22%
−28%
+15%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Matchups
Hearts attacking
Hearts createdRoss County concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+38%+15%Centre−16%+26%Right side+38%+47%Open play+16%+28%Counter-attacks+88%+34%Set pieces−16%+30%Headers−17%+44%
Ross County attacking
Ross County createdHearts concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−21%+22%Centre−31%+14%Right side−28%+11%Open play−27%+17%Counter-attacks−68%+13%Set pieces−24%+9%Headers−53%−8%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Digressive Celts