Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Aberdeen 0–1 Hibernian

Wednesday 12 May 2021, 19:45 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 37 · Half-time 0–1

Hibernian Doidge 41'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenHibernian
Goals01
xG1.280.44
Expected Points2.120.59

Aberdeen 61%Draw 29%Hibernian 10%

Most likely score 1–0, 28%. Final score 0–1, 5%.

Hibernian goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+13%5%1%14%3%16%8%2%5%2%28%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTKennedy on for Hayes, 53'McGinn on for Hedges, 81'Hornby on for Hendry, 84'Magennis on for Hallberg, 54'Murphy on for Doig and Stevenson on for Nisbet, 66'Doidge 41'Aberdeen 1.28Hibernian 0.4400.511.50153045607590HTKennedy on for Hayes, 53'McGinn on for Hedges, 81'Hornby on for Hendry, 84'Magennis on for Hallberg, 54'Murphy on for Doig and Stevenson on for Nisbet, 66'Doidge 41'1.280.44AberdeenHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenHibernian

1.28 +0.05xG0.44 −1.07
1.74 +0.60xG on target0.48 −1.08
14 +3Shots8 −4
4 +0.4Shots on target4 −0.2
1 −0.4Big chances0 −1.9
69% +19Possession31% −19
613 +218Passes277 −116
85% +14Pass accuracy65% −5
74% +24Field tilt26% −21
61 +26Final-third entries25 −14
14 +4.4Box entries7 −3.6
8.8 −5Passes per defensive action28.4 +14
5 +0.4Corners1 −4.6
20 +7Tackles15 +1
8 −1.9Interceptions13 +2.6
14 −7Clearances26 +6
3 +0.8Saves4 +1.5
9 −5Fouls9 −4
0 −1.6Offsides0 −2.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Ferguson 12', 0.63 xGHendry 39', 0.08 xGHoban 15', 0.06 xGHedges 39', 0.06 xGConsidine 76', 0.06 xGMcGinn 83', 0.06 xGHendry 4', 0.05 xGKamberi 57', 0.05 xGHendry 11', 0.04 xGFerguson 45', 0.04 xGKamberi 52', 0.04 xGHedges 52', 0.04 xGFerguson 63', 0.04 xGKennedy 90+3', 0.04 xG54%0.69 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.69 xG, 0 goals34%0.44 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.44 xG, 0 goals6%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals5%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Irvine 78', 0.09 xGIrvine 47', 0.08 xGMcGregor 49', 0.06 xGNisbet 16', 0.05 xGDoidge 24', 0.04 xGMcGinn 34', 0.03 xGMurphy 77', 0.03 xGDoidge 41', 0.06 xG, goal18%0.08 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals43%0.19 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals18%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals20%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenHibernian

0.46 9 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.30 5 shots, 1 goal
0.82 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.14 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
41 min (44%) · Aberdeen 0.92, Hibernian 0.18 xG
Hibernian ahead
52 min (56%) · Aberdeen 0.37, Hibernian 0.26 xG

Line-ups

4318342919151122179WoodsMcLennanHobanConsidineMacKenzieFergusonMcGeouchHedgesKamberiHayesHendryYellow cardYellow card81'53'84'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Stephen Glass3362442510201336915MaceyMcGinnMcGregorHanlonDoigBoyleHallbergGogicIrvineDoidgeNisbetYellow cardGoal66'54'66'Hibernian 4-4-2Jack Ross

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 53' Kennedy for Hayes
  • 81' McGinn for Hedges
  • 84' Hornby for Hendry

Hibernian substitutes

  • 54' Magennis for Hallberg
  • 66' Murphy for Doig
  • 66' Stevenson for Nisbet

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WoodsGK900.000.0000.0110
McLennanRB900.000.1420.1784
HobanCB900.060.0310.0878
Considine CB900.060.0100.18153
MacKenzieLB900.000.0100.0547
Ferguson DM900.710.0800.1096
McGeouchDM900.000.0820.1054
HedgesRW810.100.0940.0654
KamberiAM900.090.2510.2782
HayesLW530.000.1220.1224
HendryST840.170.081−0.0311
KennedyFW370.040.0100.0320
McGinnMF90.060.010−0.0200
HornbyFW60.000.0100.0100

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MaceyGK900.000.0000.0220
McGinn RB900.030.0000.0239
McGregorCB900.060.0100.0789
HanlonCB900.000.0010.05512
DoigLB660.000.0000.0015
BoyleRM900.000.1310.2950
HallbergCM540.000.152−0.0112
GogicCM900.000.0100.04310
IrvineLM9010.170.0110.0457
DoidgeST9010.100.010−0.0101
NisbetST660.050.0000.0110
MagennisMF360.000.001−0.0112
MurphyMF240.030.0100.0620
StevensonDF240.000.0100.0310

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

McLennan and McGeouch: 4 passesHayes and Hendry: 4 passesMcLennan and Ferguson: 5 passesFerguson and Hedges: 5 passesMacKenzie and Hayes: 6 passesMcGeouch and Kamberi: 6 passesHedges and Kamberi: 6 passesWoods and Hoban: 7 passesWoods and Considine: 7 passesHoban and Ferguson: 7 passesConsidine and Kamberi: 7 passesKamberi and Hayes: 7 passesMcLennan and Hedges: 8 passesFerguson and Kamberi: 9 passesConsidine and Ferguson: 11 passesMacKenzie and McGeouch: 11 passesMacKenzie and Kamberi: 11 passesHoban and Considine: 12 passesMacKenzie and Ferguson: 12 passesMcGeouch and Ferguson: 12 passesHoban and McGeouch: 16 passesConsidine and McGeouch: 16 passesMcLennan and Hoban: 18 passesConsidine and MacKenzie: 19 passesWoods: 15 completed passesMcLennan: 26 completed passesHoban: 34 completed passesConsidine: 43 completed passesMacKenzie: 35 completed passesMcGeouch: 37 completed passesFerguson: 35 completed passesHedges: 12 completed passesKamberi: 23 completed passesHayes: 13 completed passesHendry: 7 completed passes4318342915191122179WoodsMcLennanHobanConsidineMacKenzieMcGeouchFergusonHedgesKamberiHayesHendryStarters until 53' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Hibernian

Macey and McGregor: 3 passesMacey and Doig: 3 passesMcGinn and Boyle: 3 passesMcGregor and Hallberg: 3 passesMcGregor and Doidge: 3 passesDoig and Gogic: 3 passesDoig and Doidge: 3 passesDoig and Nisbet: 3 passesGogic and Nisbet: 3 passesIrvine and Doidge: 3 passesMcGinn and McGregor: 4 passesMcGinn and Gogic: 4 passesMcGregor and Irvine: 4 passesGogic and Irvine: 4 passesHallberg and Irvine: 4 passesHallberg and Doidge: 4 passesMacey and Hanlon: 5 passesHanlon and Gogic: 5 passesHanlon and Irvine: 5 passesBoyle and Irvine: 5 passesHanlon and Doig: 7 passesDoig and Irvine: 7 passesHanlon and McGregor: 13 passesMcGinn and Hallberg: 16 passesMacey: 10 completed passesMcGinn: 19 completed passesHanlon: 21 completed passesMcGregor: 17 completed passesDoig: 13 completed passesBoyle: 2 completed passesGogic: 15 completed passesHallberg: 18 completed passesIrvine: 16 completed passesDoidge: 6 completed passesNisbet: 3 completed passes3364242510132036915MaceyMcGinnHanlonMcGregorDoigBoyleGogicHallbergIrvineDoidgeNisbetStarters until 54' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
ConsidineMacKenzie20
McGeouchConsidine19
MacKenzieKamberi17
ConsidineMcGeouch17
McGeouchFerguson15

Hibernian

FromToPasses
McGinnHallberg9
HallbergMcGinn7
McGregorHanlon7
HanlonMcGregor6
GogicIrvine5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

6+1.02−4.21−5.46+0.912+5.416+9.42−4.94−3.97−0.53−2.36+1.25+1.06−0.19+1.97+3.76+2.81−1.62−2.35+0.52−0.12+0.43+2.03+1.10−2.80−0.80−0.40−0.80−0.41+0.53−8.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 36 matches

Hibernian

7+2.210+4.519+6.74−2.73−3.214+7.110+2.511+3.08+0.74−3.95−1.22−4.03−1.59+2.98+2.22−2.13−0.34+2.03+0.26+1.82+0.12+0.71+0.10−1.33+1.24+3.20−0.50−1.20−0.41+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 36 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.030.020.010.020.030.060.010.040.040.080.030.050.060.090.120.100.010.030.020.07−0.020.030.19LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.050.030.010.030.030.010.010.08−0.010.040.020.010.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackAberdeen1.08 → 1.09Hibernian1.29 → 1.29Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen0.99 → 0.99Hibernian1.00 → 1.02

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenHibernian
Expected goals1.021.06
Win33%35%
Expected Points1.311.38
Clean sheet35%36%

Aberdeen 33%Draw 31%Hibernian 35%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

Hibernian goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+7%2%7%3%6%7%4%1%2%2%1%13%13%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 12 May 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W2–11 MayLivingston (A)xG 1.78–1.35
  2. D1–121 AprCeltic (H)xG 1.52–2.87
  3. W1–010 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.26–1.39
  4. L0–120 MarDundee United (A)xG 0.47–0.46
  5. D0–06 MarHamilton Academical (H)xG 1.97–0.51
  6. L0–127 FebCeltic (A)xG 1.15–1.33

Hibernian

  1. L0–11 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.08–0.73
  2. W2–121 AprLivingston (H)xG 2.31–1.77
  3. L1–211 AprRangers (A)xG 1.09–0.58
  4. D1–120 MarLivingston (A)xG 0.68–1.09
  5. W2–113 MarRoss County (A)xG 2.75–1.36
  6. L0–16 MarSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.03–0.29

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenHibernian
Position4th3rd
Played3636
Won, drawn, lost15–⁠11–⁠1017–⁠8–⁠11
Points56 (1.56 per game)59 (1.64 per game)
Expected Points per game1.481.65
Goals36–⁠3347–⁠35
xG per game1.23–⁠1.051.51–⁠1.09
Home: points, xG per game1.78, 1.31–⁠1.121.44, 1.44–⁠1.22
Away: points, xG per game1.33, 1.14–⁠0.981.83, 1.57–⁠0.96
ManagerStephen Glass (3)Jack Ross (36)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackAberdeen1.08, 5thHibernian1.29, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen0.99, 4thHibernian1.00, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayAberdeen attack: 1.08Hibernian attack: 1.291.291.08HibernianAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayAberdeen defence: 0.99Hibernian defence: 1.001.000.99

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−11%−20%+20%−17%
Counter-attacks+23%−33%−28%+17%
Set pieces+3%−24%+2%−15%
Penalties+14%+14%+62%−3%
Headers+3%−42%+28%−36%
Left side+4%−1%+13%−13%
Centre−5%−40%+10%−29%
Right side−16%−9%+20%+8%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHibernian concededLeft side+4%+8%Centre−5%−29%Right side−16%−13%Open play−11%−17%Counter-attacks+23%+17%Set pieces+3%−15%Headers+3%−36%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdAberdeen concededLeft side+13%−9%Centre+10%−40%Right side+20%−1%Open play+20%−20%Counter-attacks−28%−33%Set pieces+2%−24%Headers+28%−42%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenHibernian

1.23xG1.51
1.05xG against1.09
50%Possession50%
11.2Shots11.8
10.3Shots against11.1
3.6Shots on target4.2
1.4Big chances1.9
20.1Touches in the opposition box21.1
395Passes393
71%Pass accuracy70%
4.6Corners5.6
50%Field tilt48%
34.5Final-third entries39.0
9.6Box entries10.6
14.2Passes per defensive action13.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.370.89
Ahead251.231.37
Behind210.920.99

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.531.06
Ahead311.691.22
Behind221.210.97

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.250.125–7
16–300.170.216–6
31–450.190.197–4
46–600.220.158–6
61–750.170.134–4
76–900.230.246–6

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.126–4
16–300.200.189–7
31–450.230.197–6
46–600.220.218–6
61–750.320.179–3
76–900.310.238–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLewis 34Woods 2Hoban 31Hayes 4McCrorie 3Taylor 30McKenna 4Considine 33Kennedy 8McLennan 7Hedges 7Ferguson 24Kennedy 2Wright 1McCrorie 19Campbell 11McGeouch 5Hayes 20Kennedy 6Leigh 5Hedges 10Wright 9Ferguson 8Cosgrove 9Watkins 7Hornby 5Main 8Kamberi 7McGinn 63-4-1-2 in 9 of 36 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (9), 3-4-2-1 (9), 3-4-3 (5), 4-4-1-1 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTMarciano 32Macey 2Barnes 2McGinn 29Cadden 5Boyle 1Porteous 31McGregor 6McGinn 2Hanlon 33Doig 18Stevenson 10Gogic 3Boyle 20McGinn 5Wright 3Gogic 20Hallberg 9Mallan 3Newell 27Irvine 8Nisbet 1Murphy 12Doig 6Horgan 4Nisbet 26Boyle 10Wright 1Doidge 28Gogic 3Irvine 14-4-2 in 16 of 36 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (16), 3-4-1-2 (5), 3-5-2 (4), 3-1-4-2 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 February 2021Hibernian2–0AberdeenxG 2.26–0.54
6 November 2020Aberdeen2–0HibernianxG 0.88–0.67
30 August 2020Hibernian0–1AberdeenxG 0.46–1.73

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 2, Hibernian won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 3–2 and xG 1.05–1.13 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGinn121,007010.170.36
Main8709200.390.09
Watkins9732210.330.07
Wright141,132210.220.16

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet272,5011420.500.08
Mallan4507100.230.33
Boyle343,0621260.390.16
Doidge282,594620.360.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.