Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Livingston 2–0 St. Johnstone

Saturday 26 September 2020, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 9 · Half-time 2–0

Livingston Tiffoney 34', Forrest 35'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Goals20
xG0.541.11
Expected Points0.821.84

Livingston 16%Draw 34%St. Johnstone 50%

Most likely score 0–1, 23%. Final score 2–0, 2%.

St. Johnstone goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+12%4%9%15%7%2%2%3%2%17%23%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTLawson on for Forrest, 69'Lokotsch on for Tiffoney, 71'Brown on for Robinson, 77'Gordon on for McNamara and Hendry on for Craig, 53'Wotherspoon on for Conway, 77'Rooney on for Kerr, 82'Tiffoney 34'Forrest 35'St. Johnstone 1.11Livingston 0.5400.511.50153045607590HTLawson on for Forrest, 69'Lokotsch on for Tiffoney, 71'Brown on for Robinson, 77'Gordon on for McNamara and Hendry on for Craig, 53'Wotherspoon on for Conway, 77'Rooney on for Kerr, 82'Tiffoney 34'Forrest 35'1.110.54LivingstonSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

0.54 −0.81xG1.11 +0.10
0.82 −0.15xG on target0.03 −0.65
8 −3Shots13 +1
2 −0.8Shots on target2 −0.8
0 −1.4Big chances1 −0.2
21Touches in the opposition box28
50% +2Possession50% +4
368 +29Passes353 −20
60% −2Pass accuracy60% −8
59% +9Field tilt41% −13
31 −4Final-third entries26 −11
7 −3.4Box entries10 +0.4
13.4 +1Passes per defensive action16.5 +1
8 +2.9Corners7 +2.1
17 0Tackles14 −3
4 −5.4Interceptions9 −1.1
30 +11Clearances36 +18
1 −1.1Saves0 −2.0
18 +2Fouls11 −1
2 +0.6Offsides1 −0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Forrest 34', 0.13 xGForrest 34', 0.07 xGDevlin 53', 0.06 xGDevlin 63', 0.05 xGRobinson 9', 0.04 xGHolt 5', 0.03 xGTiffoney 34', 0.10 xG, goalForrest 35', 0.05 xG, goal21%0.11 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals57%0.30 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.30 xG, 1 goal15%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 1 goal8%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Hendry 72', 0.42 xGMcCart 29', 0.09 xGMay 24', 0.08 xGMay 18', 0.07 xGKerr 67', 0.07 xGHendry 90+5', 0.07 xGMcCart 90+2', 0.06 xGMay 1', 0.05 xGRooney 86', 0.05 xGConway 21', 0.04 xGHendry 72', 0.04 xGMcCart 72', 0.04 xGMcCart 90+2', 0.04 xG44%0.49 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.49 xG, 0 goals45%0.50 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.50 xG, 0 goals4%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals7%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

0.42 6 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.18 3 shots, 0 goals
0.11 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.94 10 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
34 min (36%) · Livingston 0.38, St. Johnstone 0.33 xG
Livingston ahead
61 min (64%) · Livingston 0.16, St. Johnstone 0.78 xG

Line-ups

122527126181781122McCrorieDevlinAmbroseGuthrieSerranoBartleyHoltRobinsonPittmanForrestTiffoneyYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal77'69'71'Livingston 4-2-3-1Gary Holt1155432671881114ClarkMcNamaraKerrMcCartTanserCraigConwayMcCannDavidsonO'HalloranMay53'82'53'77'St. Johnstone 4-1-4-1Callum Davidson

Livingston substitutes

  • 69' Lawson for Forrest
  • 71' Lokotsch for Tiffoney
  • 77' Brown for Robinson

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 53' Gordon for McNamara
  • 53' Hendry for Craig
  • 77' Wotherspoon for Conway
  • 82' Rooney for Kerr

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrorieGK900.000.0000.0540
DevlinRB900.110.0600.09107
AmbroseCB900.000.0100.0327
GuthrieCB900.000.0100.0427
SerranoLB900.000.0100.08813
Bartley DM900.000.0200.0143
Holt DM900.030.0200.0643
RobinsonRW770.040.1210.0420
PittmanAM900.000.010−0.0105
ForrestLW6910.250.102−0.0700
TiffoneyST71110.100.1320.0923
LawsonMF210.000.0000.0112
LokotschFW190.000.000−0.0103
BrownDF130.000.0000.0001

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0551
McNamaraRB530.000.0000.0222
KerrCB820.070.1610.12116
McCartCB900.230.0000.0668
TanserLB900.000.1120.16913
CraigDM530.000.0300.0004
ConwayRM770.040.3430.2350
McCannCM900.000.0710.0334
DavidsonCM900.000.0610.0905
O'HalloranLM900.000.0510.1082
MayST900.200.000−0.0101
GordonDF370.000.0100.0422
HendryFW370.520.0100.0012
WotherspoonMF130.000.0510.0111
RooneyMF80.050.0200.0221

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

McCrorie and Bartley: 4 passesSerrano and Tiffoney: 4 passesDevlin and Forrest: 5 passesSerrano and Pittman: 5 passesHolt and Tiffoney: 5 passesDevlin and Bartley: 6 passesMcCrorie and Guthrie: 7 passesDevlin and Tiffoney: 7 passesBartley and Robinson: 7 passesDevlin and Holt: 9 passesDevlin and Robinson: 9 passesSerrano and Holt: 9 passesAmbrose and Guthrie: 10 passesDevlin and Pittman: 11 passesSerrano and Forrest: 12 passesMcCrorie and Ambrose: 15 passesDevlin and Ambrose: 18 passesMcCrorie: 19 completed passesDevlin: 36 completed passesAmbrose: 31 completed passesGuthrie: 15 completed passesSerrano: 22 completed passesBartley: 18 completed passesHolt: 22 completed passesRobinson: 13 completed passesPittman: 16 completed passesForrest: 10 completed passesTiffoney: 8 completed passes122527126181781122McCrorieDevlinAmbroseGuthrieSerranoBartleyHoltRobinsonPittmanForrestTiffoneyStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Johnstone

Clark and Kerr: 3 passesClark and McCart: 3 passesTanser and May: 3 passesDavidson and McCann: 3 passesDavidson and O'Halloran: 3 passesKerr and McCart: 4 passesTanser and Davidson: 4 passesMcNamara and Kerr: 5 passesMcNamara and Conway: 6 passesTanser and McCann: 6 passesCraig and McCann: 6 passesTanser and O'Halloran: 8 passesConway and McCann: 8 passesMcCann and O'Halloran: 10 passesMcNamara and McCann: 11 passesClark: 9 completed passesMcNamara: 15 completed passesKerr: 9 completed passesMcCart: 7 completed passesTanser: 15 completed passesCraig: 8 completed passesConway: 10 completed passesDavidson: 8 completed passesMcCann: 26 completed passesO'Halloran: 9 completed passesMay: 5 completed passes1155432678181114ClarkMcNamaraKerrMcCartTanserCraigConwayDavidsonMcCannO'HalloranMayStarters until 53' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
DevlinAmbrose12
AmbroseMcCrorie10
AmbroseDevlin9
SerranoForrest8
McCrorieAmbrose7

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
McCannO'Halloran9
McCartTanser7
TanserMcCann6
McCannMcNamara6
ClarkMcCart6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

12+7.12−3.416+3.66+1.82−3.17−0.67−0.24−3.210+1.513+5.03−2.550.02−1.94−0.85−1.05+1.93−1.01−2.52−1.62−2.82−0.93+0.43+1.92+0.91−2.01−0.81+0.11+0.22+1.810.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

St. Johnstone

5+0.13−0.118+6.915+10.69+4.110−0.66−0.64−0.916+8.117+9.62−4.44−0.64−2.83−2.47+0.62−2.51−3.21−0.81−2.510+6.23+0.51−0.60−1.80−1.93+0.22+0.500.00−0.41+0.50−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.030.010.020.010.010.030.010.010.020.010.010.030.030.04−0.050.010.02−0.050.050.070.07LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.020.020.020.010.030.010.020.040.020.040.010.010.040.050.010.080.120.020.10−0.02−0.010.24LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.10AttackLivingston1.02 → 1.00St. Johnstone0.83 → 0.81Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.21 → 1.18St. Johnstone1.06 → 1.04

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six31%43%+12
11th11%7%−4
Bottom7%4%−3
St. Johnstone
Top six27%18%−9
11th11%14%+3
Bottom8%10%+2

From the forecast before the match (26 September 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.060.93
Win37%31%
Expected Points1.441.24
Clean sheet39%35%

Livingston 37%Draw 32%St. Johnstone 31%

Most likely score 0–0, 14%. Both sides score 40%.

St. Johnstone goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+6%2%6%2%8%7%3%1%3%3%1%14%12%14%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 September 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Livingston
Top six31%43%28%20%
11th11%7%11%15%
Bottom7%4%7%10%
St. Johnstone
Top six27%18%27%40%
11th11%14%11%7%
Bottom8%10%8%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L2–319 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.35–1.58
  2. L1–212 SepHamilton Academical (H)xG 2.43–0.78
  3. W1–029 AugRoss County (H)xG 1.31–0.38
  4. L1–223 AugAberdeen (A)xG 1.62–2.15
  5. D0–016 AugRangers (H)xG 0.07–1.11
  6. D2–212 AugMotherwell (A)xG 2.03–0.50

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–119 SepRoss County (H)xG 0.85–0.23
  2. L0–112 SepMotherwell (A)xG 1.02–0.26
  3. W1–029 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.84–0.29
  4. L0–123 AugHibernian (H)xG 0.52–1.53
  5. L0–120 AugAberdeen (H)xG 0.42–0.29
  6. W2–115 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 1.65–0.86

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Position12th9th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠2–⁠52–⁠1–⁠5
Points5 (0.62 per game)7 (0.88 per game)
Expected Points per game1.351.40
Goals8–⁠144–⁠9
xG per game1.35–⁠1.421.01–⁠0.88
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.31–⁠1.530.75, 1.16–⁠0.58
Away: points, xG per game0.25, 1.39–⁠1.321.00, 0.87–⁠1.17
ManagerGary Holt (8)Callum Davidson (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.10AttackLivingston1.02, 5thSt. Johnstone0.83, 11thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.21, 7thSt. Johnstone1.06, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepLivingston attack: 1.02St. Johnstone attack: 0.831.020.83St. JohnstoneLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepLivingston defence: 1.21St. Johnstone defence: 1.061.211.06

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−5%−8%−11%−45%
Counter-attacks−100%−72%−40%−56%
Set pieces−23%+31%−23%−37%
Penalties+130%+53%−100%+53%
Headers−17%+31%+21%−31%
Left side−33%−20%+6%−33%
Centre+21%+26%−25%−44%
Right side−54%−19%−23%−50%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−33%−50%Centre+21%−44%Right side−54%−33%Open play−5%−45%Counter-attacks−100%−56%Set pieces−23%−37%Headers−17%−31%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdLivingston concededLeft side+6%−19%Centre−25%+26%Right side−23%−20%Open play−11%−8%Counter-attacks−40%−72%Set pieces−23%+31%Headers+21%+31%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

1.35xG1.01
1.42xG against0.88
48%Possession46%
10.8Shots11.9
11.9Shots against9.2
2.8Shots on target2.8
1.4Big chances1.2
339Passes373
62%Pass accuracy68%
5.1Corners4.9
50%Field tilt54%
34.9Final-third entries37.2
10.4Box entries9.6
12.2Passes per defensive action15.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.031.27
Ahead111.760.62
Behind341.641.86

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level521.090.92
Ahead20.651.60
Behind360.920.78

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.250.102–1
16–300.260.281–4
31–450.140.290–3
46–600.180.271–4
61–750.280.213–0
76–900.240.271–2

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.150–2
16–300.030.070–1
31–450.210.090–2
46–600.180.221–1
61–750.200.111–1
76–900.250.242–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTMcCrorie 7Stryjek 1Fitzwater 5Pittman 2Bartley 1Guthrie 8Ambrose 3Brown 2Taylor-Sinclair 2Devlin 7Robinson 1Bartley 7Pittman 1Sibbald 5Forrest 2Holt 1Serrano 3Ambrose 2McMillan 2Pittman 4Robinson 3Holt 2Forrest 4Sibbald 2Tiffoney 1Dykes 3Lokotsch 2Holt 13-4-2-1 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTParish 8Kerr 7Craig 1McCann 1Gordon 8McCart 7McNamara 6Kerr 1Rooney 1McCann 5McNamara 2Craig 4Wotherspoon 3Conway 2Tanser 6Booth 2Wotherspoon 3Conway 3McCann 2O'Halloran 5Hendry 1May 1Hendry 7O'Halloran 13-4-2-1 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest6534100.200.26
Pittman8720100.300.05
Devlin7586000.040.21
Robinson5473000.090.09

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hendry8559000.280.03
Wotherspoon6542100.140.08
Tanser6550000.110.11
McNamara8703000.050.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.