Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
HibernianSt. Johnstone
1.56 +0.06xG1.02 −0.22
1.97 +0.45xG on target0.65 −0.24
11 −1Shots12 −1
4 +0.2Shots on target3 0.0
3 +1.2Big chances1 −0.4
16 −6Touches in the opposition box19 −5
65% +18Possession35% −12
581 +211Passes311 −69
78% +8Pass accuracy60% −7
65% +25Field tilt35% −21
72 +36Final-third entries27 −11
11 0Box entries11 +1
11.7 −4Passes per defensive action29.2 +14
4 −1.2Corners4 −0.8
12 −3Tackles15 −1
17 +8.3Interceptions21 +9.9
18 −4Clearances26 +6
1 −2.0Saves2 +0.6
10 −3Fouls8 −4
0 −2.1Offsides0 −2.1
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hibernian
St. Johnstone
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
35'36'76'83'
0–01–11–22–2
0'HTFT
Level
82 min (91%) · Hibernian 1.24, St. Johnstone 0.84 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
8 min (9%) · Hibernian 0.32, St. Johnstone 0.17 xG
Line-ups
Hibernian substitutes
21'McGregor for Hanlon · yellow card 70'
56'Doidge for Gogic
83'Gullan for Nisbet
St. Johnstone substitutes
61'Wotherspoon for Melamed · goal 76'
87'Kane for May
Players
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Marciano
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
0
P. McGinn
RB
90
2
0.31
0.03
1
0.12
17
4
Porteous
CB
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.19
16
15
Hanlon
CB
21
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
1
Mackie
LB
90
0.00
0.25
2
0.24
11
7
Boyle
RM
90
0.03
0.14
2
0.23
7
2
Mallan
CM
90
0.09
0.06
1
0.13
8
2
Gogic
CM
56
0.00
0.02
0
0.01
3
3
Newell
CM
90
0.16
0.22
1
0.10
9
6
Murphy
LM
90
0.49
0.52
1
0.26
15
0
Nisbet
ST
83
1
0.47
0.29
1
0.04
3
1
McGregor
DF
69
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
8
Doidge
FW
34
0.00
0.02
0
−0.05
1
1
Gullan
FW
7
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Clark
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Rooney
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
4
11
Gordon
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
8
McCart
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.07
7
11
McNamara
RWB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
3
10
Craig
CM
90
0.03
0.01
0
0.03
2
6
McCann
CM
90
1
1
0.44
0.03
1
0.04
2
6
Tanser
LWB
90
0.07
0.04
1
0.15
7
3
Melamed
AM
61
0.08
0.02
1
0.02
3
1
O'Halloran
AM
90
0.05
0.01
0
0.07
5
2
May
ST
87
1
0.17
0.02
1
0.02
2
2
Wotherspoon
MF
29
1
0.17
0.12
1
0.23
6
2
Kane
FW
3
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hibernian
St. Johnstone
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
P. McGinn
Mallan
21
Porteous
Mackie
17
Mallan
P. McGinn
15
Mackie
Murphy
14
Porteous
Mallan
13
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Tanser
McCart
8
Craig
McCart
8
O'Halloran
McCann
7
McCart
Craig
7
Craig
Tanser
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hibernian
Against its average of 14 matches
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 14 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Hibernian
St. Johnstone
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Hibernian
Top six
98%
98%
0
St. Johnstone
Top six
45%
45%
0
11th
3%
3%
0
Bottom
<1%
<1%
0
Kilmarnock
Top six
50%
50%
0
Motherwell
Top six
50%
51%
+1
11th
3%
3%
0
From the forecast before the match (24 November 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hibernian
St. Johnstone
Expected goals
1.21
0.93
Win
42%
28%
Expected Points
1.56
1.13
Clean sheet
39%
30%
Hibernian 42%Draw 30%St. Johnstone 28%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 43%.
From the forecast as it stood on 24 November 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hibernian win
Draw
St. Johnstone win
Hibernian
Top six
98%
99%
98%
96%
St. Johnstone
Top six
45%
37%
45%
57%
11th
3%
4%
3%
1%
Bottom
<1%
1%
<1%
<1%
Kilmarnock
Top six
50%
52%
50%
47%
Motherwell
Top six
50%
52%
51%
48%
11th
3%
3%
3%
3%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Hibernian
St. Johnstone
Position
4th
8th
Played
14
14
Won, drawn, lost
7–4–3
4–3–7
Points
25 (1.79 per game)
15 (1.07 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.50
1.61
Goals
19–14
11–17
xG per game
1.50–1.32
1.24–0.80
Home: points, xG per game
1.50, 1.37–1.67
1.00, 1.12–0.66
Away: points, xG per game
2.00, 1.60–1.05
1.17, 1.40–0.99
Manager
Jack Ross (14)
Callum Davidson (14)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hibernian
St. Johnstone
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+14%
−14%
−7%
−43%
Counter-attacks
−74%
−88%
+151%
−81%
Set pieces
+7%
+2%
+2%
−33%
Penalties
+25%
+56%
−69%
−38%
Headers
+42%
−16%
+32%
−20%
Left side
+12%
+3%
+24%
−34%
Centre
+18%
−42%
−7%
−39%
Right side
−10%
+26%
−8%
−52%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+24%+26%Centre−7%−42%Right side−8%+3%Open play−7%−14%Counter-attacks+151%−88%Set pieces+2%+2%Headers+32%−16%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
HibernianSt. Johnstone
1.50xG1.24
1.32xG against0.80
47%Possession47%
12.3Shots12.7
13.5Shots against9.3
3.8Shots on target3.0
1.8Big chances1.4
22.3Touches in the opposition box24.2
370Passes380
70%Pass accuracy68%
5.2Corners4.8
40%Field tilt56%
36.2Final-third entries38.3
11.3Box entries10.3
15.2Passes per defensive action15.0
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
41
1.80
1.15
Ahead
32
1.52
1.59
Behind
17
0.71
1.22
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
55
1.09
0.84
Ahead
9
2.41
0.79
Behind
26
1.16
0.74
xG by period
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.27
0.18
2–3
16–30
0.20
0.10
5–0
31–45
0.25
0.33
4–4
46–60
0.15
0.26
3–2
61–75
0.33
0.17
3–1
76–90
0.30
0.28
2–4
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.17
0.11
2–2
16–30
0.07
0.09
0–2
31–45
0.25
0.12
2–6
46–60
0.16
0.17
1–1
61–75
0.30
0.08
3–1
76–90
0.30
0.24
3–5
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts