Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Johnstone 0–1 Hibernian

Sunday 23 August 2020, 16:30 · McDiarmid Park · Round 5 · Half-time 0–0

St. Johnstone Craig sent off 90'

Hibernian Mallan 90' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Goals01
xG0.521.53
Non-penalty xG0.520.74
Expected Points0.482.27

St. Johnstone 8%Draw 24%Hibernian 68%

Most likely score 0–1, 25%. Final score 0–1, 25%.

Hibernian goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+6%6%1%3%15%11%3%3%3%25%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTCraig (St. Johnstone), second yellow card 90'Wotherspoon on for Conway and May on for Hendry, 64'Robertson on for O'Halloran, 87'Wright on for Horgan, 61'Mallan on for Allan, 66'Hallberg on for Newell and Gullan on for Doig, 74'Mallan 90' (pen)Hibernian 1.53St. Johnstone 0.5200.511.520153045607590HTCraig (St. Johnstone), second yellow card 90'Wotherspoon on for Conway and May on for Hendry, 64'Robertson on for O'Halloran, 87'Wright on for Horgan, 61'Mallan on for Allan, 66'Hallberg on for Newell and Gullan on for Doig, 74'Mallan 90' (pen)1.530.52St. JohnstoneHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneHibernian

0.52 −0.20xG1.53 −0.31
0.52Non-penalty xG0.74
0.00 −0.73xG on target1.24 −0.81
10 0Shots10 −2
0 −3.0Shots on target3 −1.0
0 −0.8Big chances2 −0.2
46% +5Possession54% +8
340 0Passes395 +81
66% −2Pass accuracy73% +10
64% +17Field tilt36% −7
38 +3Final-third entries26 −3
11 +4.8Box entries7 −4.8
14.1 −8Passes per defensive action11.4 −4
5 +2.2Corners4 −0.5
11 −5Tackles13 −2
9 −0.8Interceptions11 +2.5
25 +8Clearances26 −2
2 −0.5Saves0 −1.8
16 +5Fouls14 +2
1 −1.2Offsides1 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

McCann 12', 0.08 xGHendry 59', 0.07 xGMcCann 10', 0.06 xGHendry 11', 0.06 xGKerr 50', 0.06 xGTanser 83', 0.06 xGMcNamara 5', 0.04 xGMcNamara 49', 0.04 xGCraig 52', 0.03 xGCraig 73', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals51%0.26 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals16%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals24%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals10%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Horgan 29', 0.26 xGDoidge 33', 0.09 xGBoyle 3', 0.08 xGGogic 90', 0.08 xGDoidge 37', 0.07 xGBoyle 56', 0.07 xGBoyle 2', 0.04 xGBoyle 26', 0.03 xGGogic 41', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals86%0.64 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.64 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals9%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneHibernian

0.19 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.43 5 shots, 0 goals
0.07 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.26 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.32 4 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
90 min (99%) · St. Johnstone 0.52, Hibernian 1.53 xG
Hibernian ahead
1 min (1%) · St. Johnstone 0.00, Hibernian 0.00 xG

Line-ups

12564315182671122ParishKerrGordonMcCartTanserMcNamaraMcCannCraigConwayO'HalloranHendryYellow cardYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow card64'87'64'St. Johnstone 4-1-2-2-1Callum Davidson1654251013117239MarcianoMcGinnPorteousHanlonDoigBoyleGogicNewellHorganAllanDoidgeYellow cardYellow card74'74'61'66'Hibernian 4-4-2Jack Ross

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 64' Wotherspoon for Conway
  • 64' May for Hendry
  • 87' Robertson for O'Halloran

Hibernian substitutes

  • 61' Wright for Horgan
  • 66' Mallan for Allan · goal 90' (pen)
  • 74' Gullan for Doig
  • 74' Hallberg for Newell

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ParishGK900.000.0000.0122
KerrRB900.060.1410.1926
GordonCB900.000.0000.0329
McCartCB900.000.0100.0766
TanserLB900.060.0810.0677
McNamara DM900.080.0500.0662
McCannRM900.140.0100.0334
Craig LM900.050.1920.3273
ConwayAM640.000.072−0.0200
O'HalloranAM870.000.031−0.0313
Hendry ST640.130.0100.0534
WotherspoonMF260.000.010−0.0130
MayFW260.000.0300.0111
RobertsonFW30.000.0000.0000

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarcianoGK900.000.0000.0321
McGinnRB900.000.0100.0574
PorteousCB900.000.0100.04310
Hanlon CB900.000.0100.06611
DoigLB740.000.0000.0228
BoyleRM900.220.1310.1340
GogicCM900.110.0100.0456
NewellCM740.000.101−0.0124
HorganLM610.260.0000.0221
Allan ST660.000.2720.1051
DoidgeST900.160.0720.0811
WrightDF290.000.0200.0533
MallanMF2410.790.1610.0711
GullanFW160.000.000−0.0101
HallbergMF160.000.0700.0931

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Kerr and Craig: 4 passesKerr and Hendry: 4 passesGordon and McCart: 4 passesGordon and Craig: 4 passesMcCart and McNamara: 4 passesTanser and O'Halloran: 4 passesTanser and Hendry: 4 passesMcNamara and O'Halloran: 4 passesMcCart and Craig: 5 passesConway and McCann: 5 passesO'Halloran and Hendry: 5 passesMcCart and Conway: 6 passesCraig and McNamara: 6 passesCraig and Conway: 7 passesMcNamara and Hendry: 7 passesMcNamara and McCann: 8 passesKerr and McCann: 9 passesMcCart and Tanser: 12 passesTanser and Conway: 12 passesKerr and McNamara: 14 passesParish: 4 completed passesKerr: 25 completed passesGordon: 9 completed passesMcCart: 18 completed passesTanser: 22 completed passesCraig: 18 completed passesMcNamara: 21 completed passesConway: 19 completed passesMcCann: 14 completed passesO'Halloran: 11 completed passesHendry: 9 completed passes12564326157181122ParishKerrGordonMcCartTanserCraigMcNamaraConwayMcCannO'HalloranHendryStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Hibernian

Marciano and Porteous: 4 passesMcGinn and Hanlon: 4 passesPorteous and Gogic: 4 passesPorteous and Doidge: 4 passesHanlon and Allan: 4 passesGogic and Allan: 4 passesHanlon and Horgan: 5 passesGogic and Newell: 5 passesMarciano and Hanlon: 6 passesMcGinn and Boyle: 6 passesGogic and Horgan: 6 passesNewell and Allan: 6 passesMcGinn and Newell: 7 passesDoig and Horgan: 7 passesDoig and Newell: 8 passesBoyle and Allan: 8 passesPorteous and Newell: 9 passesHanlon and Newell: 9 passesMcGinn and Gogic: 10 passesHanlon and Gogic: 10 passesMcGinn and Porteous: 14 passesPorteous and Hanlon: 15 passesHanlon and Doig: 16 passesMcGinn and Allan: 27 passesMarciano: 17 completed passesMcGinn: 40 completed passesPorteous: 30 completed passesHanlon: 36 completed passesDoig: 20 completed passesBoyle: 5 completed passesGogic: 26 completed passesNewell: 31 completed passesHorgan: 10 completed passesAllan: 24 completed passesDoidge: 4 completed passes1654251013117239MarcianoMcGinnPorteousHanlonDoigBoyleGogicNewellHorganAllanDoidgeStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
McNamaraKerr9
KerrMcNamara9
ConwayTanser8
TanserMcCart8
KerrMcCann6

Hibernian

FromToPasses
McGinnAllan18
PorteousHanlon12
PorteousMcGinn11
DoigHanlon9
HanlonPorteous9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

4−1.25+2.516+3.54−2.29+4.56−5.02−4.85−2.05−3.55+0.51−1.86−2.05−1.84−2.29+5.240.00−2.52−1.24+1.51−2.23+1.81−1.04+2.54+1.24+2.800.00−0.20−0.22+1.01−6.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Hibernian

3−5.05+2.216−2.56−2.26−3.211+6.55−2.86−0.25−1.216+9.23−3.54+0.21−4.53−5.83−0.230.020.01−0.51−3.23−0.510.00−1.20−0.21+0.22+0.80−1.51+0.83+2.00−0.50−1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.050.040.040.040.040.030.070.06−0.04−0.010.040.180.16LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.010.010.040.010.020.020.010.010.020.020.02−0.010.020.040.030.020.010.090.090.06−0.010.20LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.00.51.01.52.0League average 0.95AttackSt. Johnstone0.76 → 0.74Hibernian1.00 → 0.99Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.11 → 1.10Hibernian0.89 → 0.86

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six31%24%−7
11th11%13%+2
Bottom9%11%+2
Hibernian
Title<1%1%+1
Top six89%94%+5
11th<1%<1%0

From the forecast before the match (23 August 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Expected goals0.781.21
Win23%45%
Expected Points1.011.68
Clean sheet30%46%

St. Johnstone 23%Draw 31%Hibernian 45%

Most likely score 0–1, 16%. Both sides score 39%.

Hibernian goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+10%4%1%10%8%3%4%5%3%1%1%1%14%16%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 23 August 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawHibernian win
St. Johnstone
Top six31%43%32%24%
11th11%7%10%13%
Bottom9%5%7%11%
Hibernian
Title<1%<1%<1%1%
Top six89%81%88%94%
11th<1%1%1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–120 AugAberdeen (H)xG 0.42–0.29
  2. W2–115 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 1.65–0.86
  3. L0–312 AugRangers (A)xG 0.44–1.73
  4. D1–11 AugDundee United (A)xG 0.38–1.84

Hibernian

  1. D0–015 AugMotherwell (H)xG 1.45–0.89
  2. W1–011 AugDundee United (A)xG 0.90–0.83
  3. W4–18 AugLivingston (A)xG 3.83–1.42
  4. W2–11 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 1.18–0.70

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Position8th2nd
Played44
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠1–⁠23–⁠1–⁠0
Points4 (1.00 per game)10 (2.50 per game)
Expected Points per game0.991.93
Goals3–⁠67–⁠2
xG per game0.72–⁠1.181.84–⁠0.96
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 0.42–⁠0.292.00, 1.31–⁠0.79
Away: points, xG per game1.33, 0.82–⁠1.483.00, 2.37–⁠1.12
ManagerCallum Davidson (4)Jack Ross (4)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.00.51.01.52.0League average 0.95AttackSt. Johnstone0.76, 10thHibernian1.00, 3rdDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.11, 7thHibernian0.89, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.01 Aug22 AugSt. Johnstone attack: 0.76Hibernian attack: 1.001.000.76HibernianSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.01 Aug22 AugSt. Johnstone defence: 1.11Hibernian defence: 0.891.110.89

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−17%−12%+29%−31%
Counter-attacks−33%−21%−38%−67%
Set pieces−43%−6%+30%+2%
Penalties−67%+30%+30%+30%
Headers−35%−3%+39%−1%
Left side−15%+3%+9%−22%
Centre−24%−11%+44%−41%
Right side−36%−25%+11%+13%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft side−15%+13%Centre−24%−41%Right side−36%−22%Open play−17%−31%Counter-attacks−33%−67%Set pieces−43%+2%Headers−35%−1%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+9%−25%Centre+44%−11%Right side+11%+3%Open play+29%−12%Counter-attacks−38%−21%Set pieces+30%−6%Headers+39%−3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneHibernian

0.72xG1.84
1.18xG against0.96
41%Possession46%
10.2Shots12.2
12.0Shots against12.8
3.0Shots on target4.0
0.8Big chances2.2
340Passes314
67%Pass accuracy63%
2.8Corners4.5
47%Field tilt43%
35.3Final-third entries29.0
6.2Box entries11.8
21.7Passes per defensive action15.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level520.601.12
Ahead0––
Behind380.891.25

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.730.77
Ahead441.951.17
Behind0––

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.260–1
16–300.030.070–1
31–450.000.110–1
46–600.120.411–1
61–750.140.150–1
76–900.370.182–1

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.290.121–0
16–300.210.111–0
31–450.550.103–1
46–600.070.300–1
61–750.420.061–0
76–900.300.281–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTParish 4Kerr 4Craig 1Gordon 4McCart 3McNamara 3Rooney 1McCann 3McNamara 1Craig 3Conway 1Tanser 2Booth 2O'Halloran 2McCann 1Conway 1Wotherspoon 3Hendry 1Hendry 3O'Halloran 13-4-2-1 in 2 of 4 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (2), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTMarciano 4McGinn 4Porteous 4Hanlon 4Doig 3Allan 1Boyle 3Wright 1Gogic 4Newell 4Horgan 3Doig 1Doidge 3Boyle 1Nisbet 44-4-2 in 3 of 4 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (3), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.