Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

St. Johnstone 1–0 Hibernian

Saturday 6 March 2021, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 31 · Half-time 1–0

St. Johnstone Craig 16'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Goals10
xG0.291.03
Expected Points0.651.99

St. Johnstone 9%Draw 37%Hibernian 54%

Most likely score 0–1, 28%. Final score 1–0, 7%.

Hibernian goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+14%4%7%10%4%1%1%26%28%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTConway on for Melamed, 57'May on for Kane, 72'Tanser on for Wotherspoon, 83'Doidge on for Cadden, 54'Murphy on for Irvine, 73'Hallberg on for Newell, 79'Craig 16'Hibernian 1.03St. Johnstone 0.2900.511.50153045607590HTConway on for Melamed, 57'May on for Kane, 72'Tanser on for Wotherspoon, 83'Doidge on for Cadden, 54'Murphy on for Irvine, 73'Hallberg on for Newell, 79'Craig 16'1.030.29St. JohnstoneHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneHibernian

0.29 −0.98xG1.03 −0.48
0.35 −0.58xG on target0.35 −1.23
6 −7Shots13 +1
2 −1.4Shots on target2 −2.2
0 −1.4Big chances0 −2.0
11 −11Touches in the opposition box22 +1
36% −10Possession64% +14
284 −80Passes500 +108
52% −14Pass accuracy70% −1
33% −20Field tilt67% +20
22 −14Final-third entries42 +2
5 −4.5Box entries7 −3.9
14.4 0Passes per defensive action7.4 −6
0 −4.6Corners9 +3.5
18 +1Tackles12 −2
15 +2Interceptions9 −1
28 +8Clearances11 −9
2 +0.3Saves1 −1.5
10 −3Fouls20 +7
2 0.0Offsides1 −1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Tanser 90', 0.07 xGWotherspoon 43', 0.06 xGWotherspoon 77', 0.06 xGMcCart 32', 0.04 xGBooth 77', 0.03 xGCraig 16', 0.03 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals14%0.04 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals45%0.13 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals41%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

McGinn 90+5', 0.28 xGMcGinn 19', 0.11 xGIrvine 45', 0.10 xGHanlon 55', 0.09 xGNisbet 90+2', 0.08 xGIrvine 47', 0.06 xGNewell 39', 0.05 xGBoyle 53', 0.05 xGHanlon 86', 0.05 xGMurphy 87', 0.05 xGDoidge 66', 0.04 xGDoig 78', 0.04 xGDoig 81', 0.04 xG48%0.49 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.49 xG, 0 goals26%0.27 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals10%0.10 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals16%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneHibernian

0.10 2 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.68 9 shots, 0 goals
0.19 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.36 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
16 min (17%) · St. Johnstone 0.03, Hibernian 0.00 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
79 min (83%) · St. Johnstone 0.25, Hibernian 1.03 xG

Line-ups

15641118262410917ClarkKerrGordonMcCartO'HalloranMcCannCraigBoothWotherspoonKaneMelamedGoalYellow card83'72'57'St. Johnstone 3-4-1-2Callum Davidson165425273613111015MarcianoMcGinnPorteousHanlonDoigCaddenIrvineGogicNewellBoyleNisbetYellow cardYellow card54'73'79'Hibernian 4-4-2Jack Ross

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 57' Conway for Melamed
  • 72' May for Kane
  • 83' Tanser for Wotherspoon

Hibernian substitutes

  • 54' Doidge for Cadden
  • 73' Murphy for Irvine
  • 79' Hallberg for Newell

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0113
KerrCB900.000.0000.02212
GordonCB900.000.0000.0226
McCartCB900.040.0100.0559
O'HalloranRWB900.000.0100.0426
McCannCM900.000.0100.0136
CraigCM9010.030.0510.02310
BoothLWB900.030.0300.0655
Wotherspoon AM830.120.030−0.0311
KaneST720.000.000−0.0106
MelamedST570.000.0200.0820
ConwayFW330.000.000−0.0100
MayFW180.000.0010.0011
TanserMF70.070.0000.0200

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarcianoGK900.000.0000.0000
McGinnRB900.390.0200.10122
Porteous CB900.000.0610.22105
HanlonCB900.140.0310.14510
DoigLB900.080.0200.1166
CaddenRM540.000.0100.0340
IrvineCM730.160.3010.0931
GogicCM900.000.0100.0117
Newell LM790.050.010−0.0112
BoyleST900.050.4240.1410
NisbetST900.080.2720.1622
DoidgeFW360.040.0710.0420
MurphyMF170.050.0620.0120
HallbergMF110.000.0100.0210

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Clark and McCart: 3 passesMcCart and Melamed: 3 passesCraig and McCann: 3 passesBooth and Kane: 3 passesWotherspoon and Melamed: 3 passesWotherspoon and Kane: 3 passesKerr and Craig: 4 passesMcCann and Booth: 4 passesMcCann and Melamed: 4 passesGordon and Craig: 5 passesMcCart and Booth: 5 passesCraig and Booth: 6 passesMcCart and Craig: 7 passesO'Halloran and McCann: 7 passesCraig and Wotherspoon: 8 passesKerr and McCann: 9 passesBooth and Wotherspoon: 13 passesClark: 4 completed passesKerr: 13 completed passesGordon: 6 completed passesMcCart: 13 completed passesO'Halloran: 7 completed passesCraig: 20 completed passesMcCann: 14 completed passesBooth: 16 completed passesWotherspoon: 17 completed passesMelamed: 4 completed passesKane: 3 completed passes15641126182410179ClarkKerrGordonMcCartO'HalloranCraigMcCannBoothWotherspoonMelamedKaneStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

McGinn and Hanlon: 4 passesMcGinn and Newell: 4 passesCadden and Newell: 4 passesCadden and Boyle: 4 passesIrvine and Boyle: 4 passesMarciano and Hanlon: 5 passesMcGinn and Nisbet: 5 passesHanlon and Irvine: 5 passesDoig and Gogic: 6 passesDoig and Newell: 6 passesDoig and Nisbet: 6 passesPorteous and Gogic: 7 passesPorteous and Newell: 7 passesMcGinn and Cadden: 8 passesIrvine and Nisbet: 9 passesMarciano and Porteous: 10 passesCadden and Irvine: 11 passesMcGinn and Irvine: 13 passesHanlon and Doig: 13 passesHanlon and Newell: 13 passesMcGinn and Gogic: 14 passesPorteous and Hanlon: 24 passesMcGinn and Porteous: 28 passesMarciano: 13 completed passesMcGinn: 41 completed passesPorteous: 46 completed passesHanlon: 34 completed passesDoig: 21 completed passesCadden: 14 completed passesIrvine: 20 completed passesGogic: 18 completed passesNewell: 21 completed passesBoyle: 7 completed passesNisbet: 11 completed passes165425273613111015MarcianoMcGinnPorteousHanlonDoigCaddenIrvineGogicNewellBoyleNisbetStarters until 54' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
O'HalloranMcCann7
WotherspoonBooth7
BoothWotherspoon6
CraigWotherspoon6
KerrMcCann6

Hibernian

FromToPasses
PorteousMcGinn24
HanlonPorteous19
PorteousHanlon15
McGinnPorteous14
MarcianoPorteous14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

8+3.610+5.520+7.64−0.85−0.410+1.010+1.76−1.011+2.816+7.47+0.57+0.71−4.46−0.315+8.47+2.14−0.230.02−1.72−2.95+2.00−2.02+0.55+3.42−1.00−1.31+0.70−0.50−0.50−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Hibernian

4−1.06+0.67+0.511+4.86−1.15−2.33−5.15−2.313+5.011+4.84−1.87+2.53−3.413+7.24+0.14+0.71−0.92−0.95+0.61−0.94+2.810.03+1.77+5.20−0.80−0.52+0.81+0.60−0.77−6.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.040.020.020.010.020.020.020.03−0.010.04−0.01−0.010.030.01−0.07−0.010.09LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.030.040.010.020.020.040.030.030.010.070.040.020.010.100.070.070.020.060.020.030.01−0.050.120.25LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackSt. Johnstone1.09 → 1.07Hibernian1.29 → 1.27Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.05 → 1.04Hibernian0.99 → 0.98

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six7%24%+17
St. Mirren
Top six92%76%−16

From the forecast before the match (6 March 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Expected goals0.981.22
Win29%41%
Expected Points1.171.53
Clean sheet29%37%

St. Johnstone 29%Draw 30%Hibernian 41%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 45%.

Hibernian goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%3%1%8%3%1%5%7%4%2%2%2%1%12%13%10%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 March 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawHibernian win
St. Johnstone
Top six7%24%––
St. Mirren
Top six92%76%99%99%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–13 MarHamilton Academical (A)xG 1.04–0.66
  2. W3–020 FebMotherwell (A)xG 3.04–0.03
  3. L1–214 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.30–1.44
  4. W2–16 FebLivingston (A)xG 1.78–0.86
  5. L0–13 FebRangers (A)xG 0.27–1.33
  6. W3–230 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 2.14–1.17

Hibernian

  1. L0–227 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.70–1.00
  2. W2–020 FebHamilton Academical (H)xG 2.49–0.40
  3. W2–06 FebAberdeen (H)xG 2.26–0.54
  4. W2–12 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.60–0.65
  5. W2–030 JanDundee United (A)xG 1.34–0.51
  6. L0–127 JanRangers (H)xG 0.80–1.72

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Position8th3rd
Played3130
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠10–⁠1315–⁠7–⁠8
Points34 (1.10 per game)52 (1.73 per game)
Expected Points per game1.531.63
Goals32–⁠4041–⁠28
xG per game1.27–⁠0.941.51–⁠1.12
Home: points, xG per game0.93, 1.04–⁠0.841.44, 1.41–⁠1.22
Away: points, xG per game1.24, 1.45–⁠1.022.07, 1.63–⁠1.00
ManagerCallum Davidson (31)Jack Ross (30)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackSt. Johnstone1.09, 4thHibernian1.29, 3rdDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.05, 5thHibernian0.99, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarSt. Johnstone attack: 1.09Hibernian attack: 1.291.291.09HibernianSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarSt. Johnstone defence: 1.05Hibernian defence: 0.991.050.99

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−9%−21%+21%−16%
Counter-attacks+46%−80%−26%+29%
Set pieces+17%−22%+6%−11%
Penalties−6%−43%+56%−3%
Headers+15%−17%+37%−28%
Left side+19%−19%+6%−9%
Centre−12%−19%+12%−32%
Right side+6%−38%+28%+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft side+19%+19%Centre−12%−32%Right side+6%−9%Open play−9%−16%Counter-attacks+46%+29%Set pieces+17%−11%Headers+15%−28%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+6%−38%Centre+12%−19%Right side+28%−19%Open play+21%−21%Counter-attacks−26%−80%Set pieces+6%−22%Headers+37%−17%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneHibernian

1.27xG1.51
0.94xG against1.12
46%Possession50%
12.7Shots11.9
9.6Shots against11.5
3.4Shots on target4.2
1.4Big chances2.0
21.7Touches in the opposition box21.4
364Passes392
66%Pass accuracy71%
4.6Corners5.5
52%Field tilt47%
36.3Final-third entries39.5
9.5Box entries10.9
14.1Passes per defensive action13.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level551.081.00
Ahead131.921.07
Behind221.350.73

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.591.04
Ahead331.681.17
Behind181.041.20

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.112–4
16–300.140.124–4
31–450.210.218–12
46–600.210.197–7
61–750.270.105–3
76–900.280.206–10

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.135–4
16–300.190.178–3
31–450.220.226–6
46–600.180.216–5
61–750.360.169–2
76–900.310.237–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 23Parish 8Kerr 23Rooney 7Craig 2Gordon 30McCart 30McNamara 20Rooney 8Kerr 1McCann 22Bryson 8McNamara 2Davidson 13Craig 10Wotherspoon 4Tanser 22Booth 8Bryson 1Conway 15Melamed 6Craig 2Wotherspoon 20O'Halloran 10May 4May 11Kane 10Hendry 73-4-2-1 in 20 of 31 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (20), 3-4-3 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTMarciano 26Macey 2Barnes 2McGinn 24Cadden 4Boyle 1Porteous 25McGregor 6McGinn 1Hanlon 28Doig 15Stevenson 9Gogic 3Boyle 19McGinn 5Newell 2Gogic 15Hallberg 9Mallan 3Newell 22Irvine 6Nisbet 1Murphy 12Doig 4Horgan 4Nisbet 22Boyle 7Wright 1Doidge 23Gogic 3Murphy 14-4-2 in 13 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (13), 3-4-1-2 (5), 3-5-2 (4), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
24 November 2020Hibernian2–2St. JohnstonexG 1.56–1.02
23 August 2020St. Johnstone0–1HibernianxG 0.52–1.53

2 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 0, Hibernian won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 2–3 and xG 0.77–1.54 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Melamed7579520.570.19
May151,496530.450.16
Kane121,101410.390.12
Conway171,391320.230.21

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Mallan4507100.230.33
Nisbet232,1031120.470.08
Boyle282,5221050.370.13
Doidge232,148520.400.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.