Matches › 2020/21

Livingston 0–1 St. Mirren

Saturday 21 November 2020, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 15 · Half-time 0–0

St. Mirren Doyle-Hayes 56'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Livingston	St. Mirren
Goals	0	1
xG	0.46	0.39
Expected Points	1.32	1.14

Livingston 26%Draw 54%St. Mirren 20%

Most likely score 0–0, 44%. Final score 0–1, 16%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonSt. Mirren

0.46 −0.87xG0.39 −0.60

0.35 −0.73xG on target0.72 +0.03

5 −6Shots7 −4

2 −0.7Shots on target3 +0.4

1 −0.5Big chances0 −0.9

9 −12Touches in the opposition box9 −7

56% +7Possession44% +2

415 +65Passes323 −1

58% −4Pass accuracy49% −15

56% +4Field tilt44% +6

41 +6Final-third entries28 −2

5 −4.7Box entries4 −2.5

11.2 −1Passes per defensive action15.7 +1

1 −4.5Corners5 +0.6

34 +18Tackles9 −5

10 −2Interceptions12 +1

15 −5Clearances22 0

2 −0.1Saves2 −2.2

13 −2Fouls8 −5

1 −0.7Offsides3 +1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Livingston

St. Mirren

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonSt. Mirren

0.36 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.09 2 shots, 0 goals

0.10 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.30 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–1

Level: 56 min (62%) · Livingston 0.46, St. Mirren 0.36 xG
St. Mirren ahead: 34 min (38%) · Livingston 0.00, St. Mirren 0.03 xG

Line-ups

Livingston substitutes

64' Serrano for Sibbald
74' Mullin for Lawson
74' Poplatnik for Pittman

St. Mirren substitutes

79' McAllister for Connolly
82' Erwin for Obika
90' MacPherson for McGrath

Players

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Stryjek	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.08	8	2
Devlin	RB	90	0.00	0.04	0	0.10	3	6
Guthrie	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.05	11	3
Brown	CB	90	0.06	0.00	0	0.04	3	13
Lawson	LB	74	0.00	0.06	0	0.10	4	5
Bartley	DM	90	0.00	0.01	1	0.03	2	3
Holt	DM	90	0.00	0.06	1	0.07	6	13
Sibbald	RW	64	0.00	0.11	1	0.10	4	1
Pittman	AM	74	0.00	0.01	0	0.00	0	3
Forrest	LW	90	0.08	0.17	1	0.03	2	4
Emmanuel-Thomas	ST	90	0.33	0.02	0	0.02	2	5
Serrano	FW	26	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	2
Mullin	MF	16	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Poplatnik	FW	16	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Alnwick	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.06	7	0
Fraser	RB	90		0.00	0.03	1	0.10	4	6
McCarthy	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	7
Foley	CB	90		0.07	0.02	0	0.08	7	8
Tait	LB	90		0.17	0.01	0	0.02	2	4
Connolly	RM	79		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	3
McGrath	CM	90		0.06	0.18	2	−0.01	3	1
Doyle-Hayes	CM	90	1	0.04	0.00	0	0.00	1	8
Erhahon	CM	90		0.03	0.01	0	0.04	3	4
Mason	LM	90		0.03	0.06	0	0.09	2	1
Obika	ST	82		0.00	0.00	0	−0.03	0	2
McAllister	FW	11		0.00	0.03	0	−0.04	2	0
Erwin	FW	8		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
MacPherson	MF	0		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

St. Mirren

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

From	To	Passes
Guthrie	Holt	9
Holt	Guthrie	9
Guthrie	Brown	8
Guthrie	Emmanuel-Thomas	7
Brown	Devlin	7

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
McGrath	Fraser	8
Fraser	McGrath	7
Tait	Mason	6
Fraser	Connolly	6
Alnwick	Fraser	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

Against its average of 14 matches

St. Mirren

Against its average of 11 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

St. Mirren

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Livingston
Top six	25%	15%	−10
11th	8%	13%	+5
Bottom	2%	4%	+2
St. Mirren
Top six	6%	11%	+5
11th	27%	20%	−7
Bottom	16%	10%	−6
St. Johnstone
Top six	45%	48%	+3

From the forecast before the match (21 November 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Livingston	St. Mirren
Expected goals	1.31	0.90
Win	46%	25%
Expected Points	1.66	1.04
Clean sheet	41%	27%

Livingston 46%Draw 30%St. Mirren 25%

Most likely score 1–0, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

From the forecast as it stood on 21 November 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Livingston win	Draw	St. Mirren win
Livingston
Top six	25%	33%	21%	15%
11th	8%	4%	8%	13%
Bottom	2%	1%	2%	4%
St. Mirren
Top six	6%	3%	6%	11%
11th	27%	30%	28%	20%
Bottom	16%	20%	16%	10%
St. Johnstone
Top six	45%	43%	46%	48%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

St. Mirren

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Livingston	St. Mirren
Position	10th	11th
Played	14	11
Won, drawn, lost	3–⁠3–⁠8	2–⁠2–⁠7
Points	12 (0.86 per game)	8 (0.73 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.34	1.13
Goals	14–⁠23	6–⁠15
xG per game	1.33–⁠1.30	0.99–⁠1.45
Home: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.14–⁠1.55	0.83, 1.10–⁠1.15
Away: points, xG per game	0.71, 1.51–⁠1.05	0.60, 0.86–⁠1.81
Manager	Gary Holt (14)	Jim Goodwin (11)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Livingston		St. Mirren
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	average	−17%	−32%	+30%
Counter-attacks	−100%	−64%	−13%	−100%
Set pieces	+1%	+29%	+17%	−6%
Penalties	+3%	+3%	−100%	−56%
Headers	average	+21%	−41%	+38%
Left side	−27%	−38%	−31%	average
Centre	+23%	+15%	+8%	−9%
Right side	−25%	−6%	−47%	+74%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−27%+74%Centre+23%−9%Right side−25%averageOpen playaverage+30%Counter-attacks−100%−100%Set pieces+1%−6%Headersaverage+38%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdLivingston concededLeft side−31%−6%Centre+8%+15%Right side−47%−38%Open play−32%−17%Counter-attacks−13%−64%Set pieces+17%+29%Headers−41%+21%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonSt. Mirren

1.33xG0.99

1.30xG against1.45

49%Possession42%

10.6Shots10.6

10.4Shots against14.9

2.7Shots on target2.6

1.5Big chances0.9

20.8Touches in the opposition box16.0

350Passes324

62%Pass accuracy63%

5.5Corners4.4

52%Field tilt38%

35.3Final-third entries30.0

9.7Box entries6.5

12.1Passes per defensive action14.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	40	1.11	1.25
Ahead	11	1.09	1.27
Behind	39	1.62	1.36

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	40	1.09	1.35
Ahead	20	1.02	1.37
Behind	30	0.84	1.63

xG by period

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.19	0.12	3–2
16–30	0.27	0.30	1–9
31–45	0.16	0.30	2–5
46–60	0.21	0.19	3–5
61–75	0.25	0.20	3–0
76–90	0.24	0.19	2–2

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.15	0.18	2–1
16–30	0.23	0.20	2–4
31–45	0.20	0.25	0–2
46–60	0.11	0.36	1–2
61–75	0.07	0.28	1–5
76–90	0.23	0.18	0–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

St. Mirren

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
1 August 2020	St. Mirren	1–0	Livingston	xG 1.04–0.55

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, St. Mirren won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 0–1 and xG 0.55–1.04 per game.

Key players

Livingston

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Forrest	10	908	3	0	0.22	0.26
Pittman	14	1,260	2	1	0.22	0.06
Devlin	13	1,126	1	0	0.12	0.13
Robinson	9	798	0	0	0.12	0.09

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Obika	8	756	2	0	0.32	0.09
Morias	6	548	0	0	0.28	0.04
Tait	9	780	1	1	0.09	0.14
MacPherson	6	625	0	1	0.08	0.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.