Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Aberdeen 0–0 St. Mirren

Saturday 13 February 2021, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 29 · Half-time 0–0

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenSt. Mirren
Goals00
xG0.510.66
Expected Points1.101.45

Aberdeen 22%Draw 45%St. Mirren 33%

Most likely score 0–0, 29%. Final score 0–0, 29%.

St. Mirren goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+6%14%15%3%3%3%29%23%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTHendry on for Hornby and McLennan on for McGinn, 77'Ross on for Kennedy, 85'MacPherson on for Doyle-Hayes, 46'Obika on for Erwin, 59'McAllister on for Connolly, 76'St. Mirren 0.66Aberdeen 0.5100.250.50.750153045607590HTHendry on for Hornby and McLennan on for McGinn, 77'Ross on for Kennedy, 85'MacPherson on for Doyle-Hayes, 46'Obika on for Erwin, 59'McAllister on for Connolly, 76'0.660.51AberdeenSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenSt. Mirren

0.51 −0.75xG0.66 −0.45
0.28 −0.93xG on target0.62 −0.30
9 −3Shots7 −5
3 −0.6Shots on target2 −1.4
0 −1.5Big chances1 −0.2
22 +2Touches in the opposition box11 −7
54% +2Possession46% 0
405 −4Passes348 −8
58% −14Pass accuracy54% −13
68% +15Field tilt32% −11
31 −6Final-third entries19 −14
9 −0.9Box entries5 −3.2
13.7 0Passes per defensive action12.6 −1
1 −3.6Corners4 −0.8
14 +2Tackles15 +1
4 −6Interceptions7 −5
25 +6Clearances24 +4
2 0.0Saves3 −0.3
14 0Fouls13 +1
1 −0.6Offsides2 +0.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Ferguson 86', 0.16 xGMcCrorie 36', 0.08 xGMcCrorie 36', 0.07 xGHornby 54', 0.05 xGKamberi 2', 0.04 xGKamberi 58', 0.04 xGKennedy 11', 0.03 xGKamberi 29', 0.03 xGKennedy 78', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals61%0.31 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals25%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals14%0.07 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Flynn 8', 0.38 xGMcCarthy 43', 0.06 xGObika 77', 0.06 xGDurmus 67', 0.05 xGMcAllister 84', 0.05 xGConnolly 42', 0.04 xGFlynn 22', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals67%0.44 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.44 xG, 0 goals6%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals20%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals8%0.05 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenSt. Mirren

0.46 8 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.44 2 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.05 1 shot, 0 goals
0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.17 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
90 min (100%) · Aberdeen 0.51, St. Mirren 0.66 xG

Line-ups

134174019243310227LewisHobanConsidineHayesMcCrorieFergusonCampbellKennedyMcGinnKamberiHornbyYellow card85'77'77'Aberdeen 3-4-2-1Derek McInnes1225428725112123AlnwickFraserMcCarthyShaughnessyTaitFlynnDoyle-HayesErhahonDurmusConnollyErwin46'76'59'St. Mirren 4-4-2Jim Goodwin

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 77' McLennan for McGinn
  • 77' Hendry for Hornby
  • 85' Ross for Kennedy

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 46' MacPherson for Doyle-Hayes
  • 59' Obika for Erwin
  • 76' McAllister for Connolly · yellow card 81'

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0341
HobanCB900.000.0000.0229
ConsidineCB900.000.0000.0349
HayesCB900.000.0200.0995
McCrorieRWB900.150.0300.0762
FergusonCM900.160.0420.0026
Campbell CM900.000.1300.1477
KennedyLWB850.060.0310.0650
McGinnAM770.000.0400.0410
KamberiAM900.100.041−0.0220
HornbyST770.050.152−0.0614
McLennanMF130.000.0000.0130
HendryFW130.000.011−0.0101
RossFW50.000.1800.0200

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AlnwickGK900.000.0000.0110
FraserRB900.000.0420.0664
McCarthyCB900.060.0100.04410
ShaughnessyCB900.000.0000.0347
TaitLB900.000.0300.0875
FlynnRM900.410.0600.0236
Doyle-HayesCM460.000.0000.0225
ErhahonCM900.000.0100.0224
DurmusLM900.050.1920.2087
ConnollyST760.040.0300.0611
ErwinST590.000.0000.0000
MacPhersonMF440.000.2200.0331
ObikaFW310.060.0000.0000
McAllister FW140.050.0000.0210

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Considine and Ferguson: 4 passesMcCrorie and Campbell: 4 passesCampbell and McGinn: 4 passesKennedy and McGinn: 4 passesHoban and Ferguson: 5 passesMcCrorie and Kennedy: 5 passesFerguson and Campbell: 5 passesFerguson and Kennedy: 5 passesFerguson and McGinn: 5 passesCampbell and Kamberi: 5 passesKamberi and Hornby: 5 passesHayes and Hornby: 6 passesHoban and McCrorie: 6 passesFerguson and Kamberi: 6 passesCampbell and Kennedy: 6 passesKennedy and Hornby: 6 passesMcGinn and Kamberi: 6 passesMcCrorie and Ferguson: 7 passesLewis and Hoban: 8 passesHayes and Campbell: 8 passesMcCrorie and Kamberi: 8 passesKennedy and Kamberi: 8 passesLewis and Considine: 9 passesMcCrorie and Hornby: 9 passesHayes and Kamberi: 10 passesHayes and Kennedy: 15 passesLewis: 13 completed passesHayes: 31 completed passesHoban: 21 completed passesConsidine: 18 completed passesMcCrorie: 24 completed passesFerguson: 27 completed passesCampbell: 23 completed passesKennedy: 21 completed passesMcGinn: 9 completed passesKamberi: 22 completed passesHornby: 14 completed passes117344019243310227LewisHayesHobanConsidineMcCrorieFergusonCampbellKennedyMcGinnKamberiHornbyStarters until 77' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Mirren

Alnwick and Shaughnessy: 3 passesFraser and McCarthy: 3 passesShaughnessy and Doyle-Hayes: 3 passesFlynn and Doyle-Hayes: 3 passesDoyle-Hayes and Erhahon: 3 passesDoyle-Hayes and Connolly: 3 passesDoyle-Hayes and Erwin: 3 passesErhahon and Connolly: 3 passesErhahon and Erwin: 3 passesFraser and Doyle-Hayes: 4 passesShaughnessy and Durmus: 4 passesFlynn and Connolly: 4 passesErhahon and Durmus: 4 passesFraser and Connolly: 5 passesMcCarthy and Connolly: 5 passesTait and Doyle-Hayes: 5 passesFraser and Flynn: 6 passesTait and Durmus: 6 passesFraser and Erwin: 7 passesAlnwick: 4 completed passesFraser: 17 completed passesShaughnessy: 14 completed passesMcCarthy: 12 completed passesTait: 8 completed passesFlynn: 7 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 14 completed passesErhahon: 11 completed passesDurmus: 8 completed passesConnolly: 9 completed passesErwin: 3 completed passes1224528725112123AlnwickFraserShaughnessyMcCarthyTaitFlynnDoyle-HayesErhahonDurmusConnollyErwinStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
HayesKennedy9
HayesKamberi9
CampbellHayes8
HobanLewis7
HayesHornby6

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FraserErwin6
TaitDurmus6
FraserConnolly6
ErhahonDurmus5
McCarthyConnolly5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

2−2.74−1.812+0.76−0.57+2.214+7.55−1.28+1.76−1.79+1.810+4.87+2.04−0.111+5.212+5.24+0.53−0.55+2.63−1.55+0.22+0.41−0.63+2.21−1.02−1.10−0.81+0.61+0.21+0.51+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

St. Mirren

12+7.24−1.822+8.55−1.43−1.910+2.57−1.48+0.38−0.210+2.86+0.94−2.51−3.68+2.813+7.25+0.411+7.71−2.13−0.47+2.70−2.12+0.30−1.11−1.00−2.44+3.00−0.21+0.11+0.61+0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.020.010.010.020.030.040.030.050.020.020.020.04−0.050.01−0.05−0.010.070.060.08LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.010.020.010.010.010.020.030.020.010.020.010.020.020.030.03−0.020.01−0.010.060.080.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackAberdeen1.12 → 1.09St. Mirren1.05 → 1.03Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.05 → 1.03St. Mirren1.21 → 1.19

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six75%76%+1
St. Johnstone
Top six15%15%0
Motherwell
Top six8%8%0

From the forecast before the match (13 February 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.190.96
Win40%29%
Expected Points1.521.18
Clean sheet38%31%

Aberdeen 40%Draw 31%St. Mirren 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

St. Mirren goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+5%2%6%2%8%8%4%1%3%3%2%1%12%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 13 February 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawSt. Mirren win
St. Mirren
Top six75%64%76%90%
St. Johnstone
Top six15%21%15%6%
Motherwell
Top six8%12%8%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L0–26 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.54–2.26
  2. L0–22 FebLivingston (H)xG 0.36–0.56
  3. D0–030 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.38–0.98
  4. D0–027 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.10–0.36
  5. W2–023 JanMotherwell (H)xG 3.10–0.47
  6. L1–416 JanRoss County (A)xG 2.28–0.95

St. Mirren

  1. L0–410 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.57–2.57
  2. W2–06 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.56–0.49
  3. L1–22 FebHibernian (H)xG 0.65–1.60
  4. W2–130 JanCeltic (A)xG 1.03–1.61
  5. W5–127 JanDundee United (A)xG 3.25–1.23
  6. L0–116 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.30–1.06

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenSt. Mirren
Position4th6th
Played2726
Won, drawn, lost12–⁠8–⁠79–⁠5–⁠12
Points44 (1.63 per game)32 (1.23 per game)
Expected Points per game1.531.25
Goals31–⁠2826–⁠32
xG per game1.26–⁠1.011.11–⁠1.27
Home: points, xG per game1.86, 1.32–⁠1.081.00, 1.17–⁠1.19
Away: points, xG per game1.38, 1.19–⁠0.931.46, 1.04–⁠1.35
ManagerDerek McInnes (27)Jim Goodwin (26)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackAberdeen1.12, 5thSt. Mirren1.05, 8thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.05, 4thSt. Mirren1.21, 7th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebAberdeen attack: 1.12St. Mirren attack: 1.051.121.05St. MirrenAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebAberdeen defence: 1.05St. Mirren defence: 1.211.211.05

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−12%−26%−20%+12%
Counter-attacks+33%−30%−10%−100%
Set pieces−1%−37%+1%−10%
Penalties+49%+49%−11%−11%
Headers−5%−42%−21%+11%
Left side−3%−17%−6%−1%
Centre−7%−45%−12%−15%
Right side−11%−15%−22%+34%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−3%+34%Centre−7%−15%Right side−11%−1%Open play−12%+12%Counter-attacks+33%−100%Set pieces−1%−10%Headers−5%+11%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdAberdeen concededLeft side−6%−15%Centre−12%−45%Right side−22%−17%Open play−20%−26%Counter-attacks−10%−30%Set pieces+1%−37%Headers−21%−42%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenSt. Mirren

1.26xG1.11
1.01xG against1.27
52%Possession46%
11.6Shots11.8
9.7Shots against12.8
3.6Shots on target3.4
1.5Big chances1.2
20.2Touches in the opposition box18.4
409Passes356
72%Pass accuracy67%
4.6Corners4.8
53%Field tilt42%
36.5Final-third entries33.3
9.9Box entries8.2
13.6Passes per defensive action13.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.290.95
Ahead251.351.12
Behind211.080.99

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.081.19
Ahead201.411.23
Behind310.941.40

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.290.125–5
16–300.130.214–6
31–450.230.167–4
46–600.190.166–6
61–750.150.153–3
76–900.270.226–4

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.163–2
16–300.160.244–9
31–450.250.176–6
46–600.100.252–5
61–750.140.233–6
76–900.310.238–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTLewis 27Hoban 23McCrorie 3Hayes 2Taylor 25McKenna 4Considine 24Kennedy 7Hedges 7McLennan 4Ferguson 20Kennedy 2Wright 1McCrorie 15Ojo 5Campbell 4Hayes 16Kennedy 5Leigh 5Hedges 12Ferguson 3McCrorie 2Wright 12Kennedy 4Watkins 4Main 7Cosgrove 6Watkins 43-4-2-1 in 8 of 27 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-4-1-2 (8), 3-4-3 (5), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTAlnwick 22Zlamal 3Lyness 1Fraser 21Connolly 2Tait 2McCarthy 25Shaughnessy 23Foley 3Tait 1Tait 18Durmus 3Obika 2McAllister 8Connolly 7McGrath 3McGrath 19MacPhers… 7MacPhersonSheron 6Doyle-Ha… 12Doyle-HayesObika 1Fraser 1Erhahon 18Foley 7Connolly 1Durmus 8Mason 5Obika 3Obika 10Erwin 8Dennis 34-5-1 in 8 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (8), 4-1-4-1 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 December 2020St. Mirren1–1AberdeenxG 2.58–0.39
2 October 2020Aberdeen2–1St. MirrenxG 0.92–0.48

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 1, St. Mirren won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–2 and xG 0.66–1.53 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Main8709200.390.09
Watkins9732210.330.07
Wright141,132210.220.16
Cosgrove9853300.330.04

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Obika161,511500.350.05
McGrath262,110510.230.15
Morias7664000.250.09
Erwin9925200.260.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.