Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

St. Mirren 3–2 Aberdeen

Sunday 26 September 2021, 12:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 7 · Half-time 1–2 · Attendance 4,513

St. Mirren Ronan 14', 58', Main 61'

Aberdeen Brown 18', Ramirez 34' · Jenks sent off 51'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenAberdeen
Goals32
xG1.501.11
Expected Points1.651.06

St. Mirren 45%Draw 29%Aberdeen 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 3–2, 3%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+6%7%4%1%10%8%2%8%7%2%4%5%3%1%1%16%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTJenks (Aberdeen), second yellow card 51'Main on for Erhahon, 56'McAllister on for Millar, 72'Flynn on for Fraser, 74'Dennis on for Brophy, 83'Samuels on for Hedges and Emmanuel-Thomas on for Ramirez, 72'Ronan 14'Ronan 58'Main 61'Brown 18'Ramirez 34'St. Mirren 1.50Aberdeen 1.1100.511.520153045607590HTJenks (Aberdeen), second yellow card 51'Main on for Erhahon, 56'McAllister on for Millar, 72'Flynn on for Fraser, 74'Dennis on for Brophy, 83'Samuels on for Hedges and Emmanuel-Thomas on for Ramirez, 72'Ronan 14'Ronan 58'Main 61'Brown 18'Ramirez 34'1.501.11St. MirrenAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenAberdeen

1.50 +0.49xG1.11 −0.01
1.02 −0.04xG on target1.03 +0.19
13 +2Shots13 0
4 +1.2Shots on target3 −1.2
1 −0.2Big chances2 +1.0
52% +7Possession48% −17
331 +20Passes312 −208
74% +7Pass accuracy70% −12
67% +26Field tilt33% −30
32 +5Final-third entries23 −24
9 −0.8Box entries7 −1.5
13.4 0Passes per defensive action13.9 +2
8 +3.2Corners3 −2.7
13 −2Tackles9 −2
12 +3.5Interceptions10 +0.3
9 −8Clearances22 +6
1 −2.3Saves1 −0.3
9 −3Fouls22 +9
2 −2.0Offsides1 −0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Brophy 78', 0.43 xGMain 85', 0.16 xGShaughnessy 75', 0.13 xGMain 87', 0.12 xGBrophy 52', 0.08 xGMain 85', 0.08 xGMcCarthy 80', 0.03 xGPower 40', 0.02 xGRonan 60', 0.02 xGMcCarthy 75', 0.01 xGMain 61', 0.16 xG, goalRonan 58', 0.15 xG, goalRonan 14', 0.11 xG, goal45%0.67 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.67 xG, 0 goals51%0.76 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.76 xG, 3 goals2%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Ramirez 18', 0.11 xGHayes 7', 0.09 xGRamirez 29', 0.09 xGJenks 20', 0.08 xGJenks 38', 0.07 xGFerguson 36', 0.05 xGFerguson 79', 0.04 xGJenks 37', 0.03 xGRamsay 38', 0.03 xGRamsay 63', 0.03 xGFerguson 49', 0.01 xGBrown 18', 0.42 xG, goalRamirez 34', 0.06 xG, goal4%0.05 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals82%0.92 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.92 xG, 2 goals5%0.06 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals8%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenAberdeen

0.85 4 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.41 8 shots, 0 goals
0.65 9 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.70 5 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
33 min (36%) · St. Mirren 0.29, Aberdeen 0.33 xG
St. Mirren ahead
35 min (38%) · St. Mirren 0.96, Aberdeen 0.59 xG
Aberdeen ahead
24 min (26%) · St. Mirren 0.25, Aberdeen 0.19 xG

Line-ups

122544443166379AlnwickFraserMcCarthyShaughnessyMillarRonanErhahonPowerTanserMcGrathBrophyYellow cardGoalGoal74'72'56'83'St. Mirren 3-1-4-2Jim Goodwin12227238191120179LewisRamsayBatesMcCrorieMacKenzieBrownFergusonHedgesJenksHayesRamirezYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow cardGoal72'72'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Stephen Glass

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 56' Main for Erhahon · goal 61'
  • 72' McAllister for Millar
  • 74' Flynn for Fraser
  • 83' Dennis for Brophy

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 72' Samuels for Hedges
  • 72' Emmanuel-Thomas for Ramirez

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AlnwickGK900.000.0000.0660
Fraser CB7410.000.3810.2035
McCarthyCB900.050.0110.0467
ShaughnessyCB900.130.0300.0947
MillarDM720.000.0100.0341
RonanRWB9020.280.2510.2950
ErhahonCM5610.000.0310.0813
PowerCM900.020.1910.0845
TanserLWB900.000.2630.1943
McGrathST9010.000.3730.0463
BrophyST830.510.010−0.0113
MainFW3410.530.0100.0100
McAllisterMF180.000.0200.0330
FlynnMF160.000.0000.0000
DennisFW70.000.0000.0000

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0331
Ramsay RB9010.060.2040.0415
BatesCB900.000.0200.0749
McCrorieCB900.000.0000.0685
MacKenzieLB900.000.0510.1846
Brown DM9010.420.0000.02310
Ferguson DM900.100.0200.06101
HedgesRW720.000.0100.0232
Jenks AM510.180.021−0.2003
Hayes LW900.090.0820.2281
RamirezST72110.260.012−0.1220
SamuelsFW180.000.000−0.0100
Emmanuel-ThomasMF180.000.0100.0210

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Alnwick and Shaughnessy: 3 passesAlnwick and Fraser: 3 passesShaughnessy and Power: 3 passesShaughnessy and Tanser: 3 passesFraser and Erhahon: 3 passesFraser and Millar: 3 passesMillar and Brophy: 3 passesPower and Brophy: 3 passesShaughnessy and McCarthy: 4 passesShaughnessy and Erhahon: 4 passesErhahon and Power: 4 passesErhahon and Tanser: 4 passesMillar and Power: 4 passesPower and Ronan: 4 passesPower and McGrath: 4 passesRonan and Tanser: 4 passesShaughnessy and Ronan: 5 passesFraser and Power: 5 passesMcCarthy and Erhahon: 6 passesMcCarthy and Power: 6 passesErhahon and Ronan: 6 passesFraser and McGrath: 7 passesAlnwick and Millar: 8 passesMcCarthy and Fraser: 9 passesAlnwick and McCarthy: 10 passesMillar and McGrath: 11 passesAlnwick: 16 completed passesShaughnessy: 15 completed passesMcCarthy: 22 completed passesFraser: 21 completed passesErhahon: 17 completed passesMillar: 15 completed passesPower: 18 completed passesRonan: 9 completed passesTanser: 7 completed passesMcGrath: 15 completed passesBrophy: 5 completed passes145221644643379AlnwickShaughnessyMcCarthyFraserErhahonMillarPowerRonanTanserMcGrathBrophyStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Ramsay and Ramirez: 4 passesBates and Hedges: 4 passesMcCrorie and Brown: 4 passesFerguson and Ramirez: 4 passesHedges and Hayes: 4 passesBates and McCrorie: 5 passesMcCrorie and Hayes: 5 passesBrown and Hedges: 5 passesBrown and Hayes: 5 passesHedges and Ramirez: 5 passesRamsay and Ferguson: 6 passesBates and Ferguson: 6 passesMcCrorie and MacKenzie: 6 passesMcCrorie and Ferguson: 6 passesMacKenzie and Hedges: 6 passesLewis and Bates: 7 passesLewis and McCrorie: 7 passesMacKenzie and Ferguson: 7 passesMacKenzie and Hayes: 7 passesMacKenzie and Ramirez: 7 passesFerguson and Brown: 8 passesMacKenzie and Brown: 9 passesFerguson and Hedges: 9 passesLewis: 14 completed passesRamsay: 13 completed passesBates: 18 completed passesMcCrorie: 20 completed passesMacKenzie: 27 completed passesFerguson: 27 completed passesBrown: 22 completed passesHedges: 16 completed passesJenks: 6 completed passesHayes: 11 completed passesRamirez: 10 completed passes12227231981120179LewisRamsayBatesMcCrorieMacKenzieFergusonBrownHedgesJenksHayesRamirezStarters until 51' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
AlnwickMillar8
MillarMcGrath8
McCarthyAlnwick7
McCarthyFraser7
FraserMcCarthy7

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
FergusonHedges8
BatesFerguson8
McCrorieBates7
BrownFerguson7
MacKenzieRamirez6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

5+2.01−4.72−4.07−0.85−1.76−1.02−5.27+1.27+1.23−2.240.05+1.06−0.75+0.86+3.23+0.85+1.33−0.33+1.00−2.81−0.71−0.71−0.52+1.20−0.20−1.300.01+0.31−6.87−6.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Aberdeen

7+2.26−0.217+7.25−0.26+1.74−2.55+1.28+3.34−1.810+1.77+2.29+5.53−0.82−4.05+0.32−0.51−3.21−0.84+1.76−0.33+0.50−0.71−0.32+0.82−1.00−0.300.00−0.800.00−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.030.010.010.010.030.010.010.030.030.040.010.010.060.100.03−0.010.070.060.09−0.020.140.190.17LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.040.020.010.020.020.020.020.030.010.030.040.020.010.01−0.020.02−0.310.190.20LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackSt. Mirren0.95 → 0.98Aberdeen1.07 → 1.08Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.28 → 1.29Aberdeen0.98 → 1.01

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six12%18%+6
11th15%11%−4
Bottom10%6%−4
Aberdeen
Top six67%59%−8
11th1%2%+1
Dundee FC
Top six4%4%0
11th23%24%+1
Bottom39%41%+2

From the forecast before the match (26 September 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenAberdeen
Expected goals0.941.11
Win30%39%
Expected Points1.211.47
Clean sheet33%39%

St. Mirren 30%Draw 32%Aberdeen 39%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 41%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%3%7%3%6%6%3%1%2%2%1%14%14%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 September 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawAberdeen win
St. Mirren
Top six12%18%11%7%
11th15%11%16%18%
Bottom10%6%9%13%
Aberdeen
Top six67%59%63%76%
11th1%2%1%1%
Dundee FC
Top six4%4%4%4%
11th23%24%23%23%
Bottom39%41%40%37%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. D2–218 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.82–2.10
  2. D0–011 SepDundee United (H)xG 0.72–1.20
  3. D0–029 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.72–0.81
  4. L0–621 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.23–4.93
  5. L1–27 AugHearts (H)xG 0.73–0.47
  6. D2–231 JulDundee FC (A)xG 1.81–1.11

Aberdeen

  1. L0–118 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.55–0.31
  2. L0–211 SepMotherwell (A)xG 1.56–0.92
  3. D1–129 AugRoss County (H)xG 2.94–1.15
  4. D1–122 AugHearts (A)xG 0.54–1.17
  5. W2–18 AugLivingston (A)xG 0.44–1.30
  6. W2–01 AugDundee United (H)xG 0.67–0.43

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenAberdeen
Position9th7th
Played66
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠4–⁠22–⁠2–⁠2
Points4 (0.67 per game)8 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game1.171.42
Goals5–⁠126–⁠6
xG per game1.01–⁠1.771.12–⁠0.88
Home: points, xG per game0.67, 1.06–⁠0.831.33, 1.39–⁠0.63
Away: points, xG per game0.67, 0.95–⁠2.711.33, 0.85–⁠1.13
ManagerJim Goodwin (44)Stephen Glass (11)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackSt. Mirren0.95, 8thAberdeen1.07, 5thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.28, 9thAberdeen0.98, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepSt. Mirren attack: 0.95Aberdeen attack: 1.071.070.95AberdeenSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepSt. Mirren defence: 1.28Aberdeen defence: 0.981.280.98

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−45%+64%−1%−33%
Counter-attacks+93%+176%−33%−10%
Set pieces+20%−30%+7%−38%
Penalties+8%+8%−100%+8%
Headers+21%−30%+48%−4%
Left side−31%+43%−32%−35%
Centre−4%+51%average−44%
Right side−52%+38%+30%−11%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdAberdeen concededLeft side−31%−11%Centre−4%−44%Right side−52%−35%Open play−45%−33%Counter-attacks+93%−10%Set pieces+20%−38%Headers+21%−4%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−32%+38%Centreaverage+51%Right side+30%+43%Open play−1%+64%Counter-attacks−33%+176%Set pieces+7%−30%Headers+48%−30%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenAberdeen

1.01xG1.12
1.77xG against0.88
45%Possession65%
10.7Shots13.0
16.7Shots against7.8
2.8Shots on target4.2
1.2Big chances1.0
17.5Touches in the opposition box13.5
311Passes520
67%Pass accuracy82%
4.8Corners5.7
42%Field tilt63%
27.3Final-third entries47.0
9.8Box entries8.5
13.1Passes per defensive action11.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level511.231.20
Ahead100.592.28
Behind290.762.59

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level540.771.01
Ahead100.490.74
Behind252.120.65

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.050.181–0
16–300.150.240–4
31–450.200.371–2
46–600.210.241–2
61–750.150.570–3
76–900.240.172–1

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.100–0
16–300.200.101–1
31–450.100.240–2
46–600.200.252–2
61–750.200.121–0
76–900.270.062–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBDMRWBCMCMLWBSTSTAlnwick 6Fraser 6Shaughnessy 6McCarthy 3Dunne 3Millar 2McGrath 1Erhahon 1Ronan 2McGrath 1Tait 1McGrath 3Reid 2McCarthy 1Power 4Erhahon 2Tanser 6Main 5McGrath 1Brophy 5Kiltie 13-1-4-2 in 3 of 6 starts

Formations: 3-1-4-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTLewis 6Ramsay 5Gurr 1Gallagher 4Bates 1McCrorie 5Considine 2MacKenzie 4Campbell 1Hayes 1Ojo 5Hedges 1Brown 5Jenks 1Ferguson 3Longstaff 2McGinn 1Samuels 2Hayes 2Watkins 1Ramirez 5Emmanuel-Thomas 3Ferguson 2Jenks 14-4-2 in 2 of 6 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
13 February 2021Aberdeen0–0St. MirrenxG 0.51–0.66
5 December 2020St. Mirren1–1AberdeenxG 2.58–0.39
2 October 2020Aberdeen2–1St. MirrenxG 0.92–0.48

3 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 0, Aberdeen won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 2–3 and xG 1.24–0.61 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGrath6540100.200.20
Tanser6540020.100.24
Shaughnessy6540200.220.03
Fraser6540000.010.08

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ramirez5461200.300.02
Brown5496000.110.03
McCrorie5450000.090.01
Lewis6540000.000.00

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.