Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee United 1–0 Dundee FC

Sunday 19 September 2021, 12:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 6 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 12,806

Dundee United Harkes 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedDundee FC
Goals10
xG0.720.84
Expected Points1.191.42

Dundee United 27%Draw 39%Dundee FC 34%

Most likely score 0–0, 21%. Final score 1–0, 14%.

Dundee FC goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+7%2%14%6%1%5%5%2%1%1%21%18%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTLevitt on for Butcher, 46'Appere on for Niskanen, 59'Freeman on for Smith, 66'Clark on for McNulty, 81'Fontaine on for Sweeney, 36'Jakubiak on for Anderson, 61'Cummings on for McGowan, 75'Sheridan on for Kerr, 86'Harkes 81'Dundee FC 0.84Dundee United 0.7200.250.50.7510153045607590HTLevitt on for Butcher, 46'Appere on for Niskanen, 59'Freeman on for Smith, 66'Clark on for McNulty, 81'Fontaine on for Sweeney, 36'Jakubiak on for Anderson, 61'Cummings on for McGowan, 75'Sheridan on for Kerr, 86'Harkes 81'0.840.72Dundee UnitedDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedDundee FC

0.72 −0.06xG0.84 −0.03
1.30 +0.29xG on target0.13 −0.88
16 +8.0Shots10 −2.2
6 +2.4Shots on target3 −1.4
0 −1.4Big chances1 0.0
17 +4Touches in the opposition box23
58% +17Possession42% −4
392 +63Passes277 −45
74% +9Pass accuracy61% −5
59% +20Field tilt41% −5
46 +17Final-third entries19 −11
10 +3.8Box entries11 +2.0
9.7 −4Passes per defensive action12.2 −1
4 −0.2Corners3 −2.6
13 −1Tackles9 −6
7 −4.0Interceptions16 +8.2
21 0Clearances19 −1
2 +0.6Saves5 +0.6
20 +5Fouls14 +1
0 −2.4Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Harkes 51', 0.13 xGSmith 36', 0.10 xGMcNulty 68', 0.07 xGHarkes 45+2', 0.05 xGMulgrew 45+1', 0.04 xGPawlett 4', 0.03 xGPawlett 5', 0.03 xGMcNulty 16', 0.03 xGPawlett 34', 0.03 xGHarkes 42', 0.03 xGMcNulty 62', 0.03 xGFreeman 73', 0.03 xGFuchs 47', 0.02 xGEdwards 14', 0.01 xGLevitt 62', 0.01 xGHarkes 81', 0.08 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals33%0.24 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals15%0.11 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals44%0.32 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.32 xG, 1 goal7%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Byrne 71', 0.19 xGGriffiths 71', 0.17 xGGriffiths 14', 0.11 xGSweeney 15', 0.09 xGGriffiths 8', 0.08 xGMarshall 90+1', 0.08 xGGriffiths 90', 0.04 xGKerr 1', 0.03 xGMarshall 90+1', 0.03 xGMcMullan 45', 0.02 xG20%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.17 xG, 0 goals69%0.58 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.58 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals6%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals5%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedDundee FC

0.57 13 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.60 6 shots, 0 goals
0.14 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.24 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
83 min (88%) · Dundee United 0.72, Dundee FC 0.69 xG
Dundee United ahead
11 min (12%) · Dundee United 0.00, Dundee FC 0.15 xG

Line-ups

12812433723186689SiegristSmithEdwardsMulgrewMcMannNiskanenHarkesButcherFuchsPawlettMcNultyYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow card66'59'46'81'Dundee United 4-5-1Tam Courts1214536824182910LegzdinsKerrAshcroftSweeneyMarshallMcGheeByrneAndersonMcMullanGriffithsMcGowanYellow cardYellow card86'36'61'75'Dundee FC 4-3-3James McPake

Dundee United substitutes

  • 46' Levitt for Butcher
  • 59' Appere for Niskanen
  • 66' Freeman for Smith
  • 81' Clark for McNulty

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 36' Fontaine for Sweeney
  • 61' Jakubiak for Anderson
  • 75' Cummings for McGowan
  • 86' Sheridan for Kerr

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0110
Smith RB660.100.0010.0124
EdwardsCB900.010.0200.1269
MulgrewCB900.040.0200.1177
McMann LB900.000.1420.10132
NiskanenRM590.000.0100.0220
HarkesCM9010.290.0420.0237
Butcher CM460.000.0400.0974
FuchsCM900.020.0320.0452
Pawlett LM900.080.6430.0846
McNultyST810.130.0200.0200
LevittMF440.010.0210.0881
AppereFW310.000.0210.0530
FreemanDF240.030.0000.0421
ClarkFW90.000.0000.0010

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LegzdinsGK900.000.0000.0001
KerrRB860.030.0100.0317
Ashcroft CB900.000.0000.0228
SweeneyCB360.090.0000.0444
MarshallLB900.110.1620.3096
McGheeCM900.000.021−0.0816
Byrne CM900.190.0200.1136
AndersonCM610.000.0000.0222
McMullanRW900.020.3410.2161
GriffithsST900.400.0300.0411
McGowanLW750.000.0810.0441
FontaineDF540.000.0100.0317
JakubiakFW290.000.0000.0110
CummingsFW150.000.0010.0010
SheridanFW40.000.0000.0510

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Siegrist and McMann: 3 passesSmith and Edwards: 3 passesMulgrew and McMann: 3 passesMulgrew and Harkes: 3 passesMulgrew and Butcher: 3 passesMulgrew and Pawlett: 3 passesNiskanen and Harkes: 3 passesHarkes and Pawlett: 3 passesSiegrist and Mulgrew: 4 passesSmith and Harkes: 4 passesEdwards and Mulgrew: 4 passesEdwards and Harkes: 4 passesEdwards and Butcher: 4 passesFuchs and Pawlett: 4 passesHarkes and Butcher: 4 passesButcher and McNulty: 4 passesPawlett and McNulty: 4 passesSmith and Niskanen: 5 passesSmith and Butcher: 5 passesMcMann and McNulty: 5 passesFuchs and Harkes: 5 passesMcMann and Fuchs: 6 passesMcMann and Pawlett: 7 passesSiegrist: 7 completed passesSmith: 11 completed passesEdwards: 12 completed passesMulgrew: 15 completed passesMcMann: 17 completed passesNiskanen: 4 completed passesFuchs: 11 completed passesHarkes: 13 completed passesButcher: 12 completed passesPawlett: 11 completed passesMcNulty: 6 completed passes12812433766231889SiegristSmithEdwardsMulgrewMcMannNiskanenFuchsHarkesButcherPawlettMcNultyStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee FC

Kerr and Ashcroft: 3 passesMarshall and Griffiths: 3 passesMarshall and McGowan: 3 passesKerr and Byrne: 4 passesMarshall and Byrne: 4 passesSweeney and Byrne: 5 passesSweeney and McGowan: 5 passesByrne and McGowan: 5 passesLegzdins: 5 completed passesKerr: 6 completed passesSweeney: 10 completed passesAshcroft: 5 completed passesMarshall: 9 completed passesMcGhee: 1 completed passesAnderson: 4 completed passesByrne: 11 completed passesMcMullan: 5 completed passesGriffiths: 2 completed passesMcGowan: 8 completed passes1251436248182910LegzdinsKerrSweeneyAshcroftMarshallMcGheeAndersonByrneMcMullanGriffithsMcGowanStarters until 36' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
McMannFuchs10
McMannPawlett9
LevittPawlett8
MulgrewLevitt8
LevittEdwards8

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
MarshallMcGowan7
MarshallGriffiths6
ByrneMcGowan5
McGowanByrne5
McGowanMarshall5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

1−3.27+2.418+0.410+2.24−1.83−1.05−1.08+0.44−3.66+0.85+0.44+0.64−3.06−0.84−0.62−2.26+2.03−0.83−0.64+1.81−0.80−1.62+1.01−2.22+1.60−0.42+1.61+0.410.06−4.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Dundee FC

7+1.46+0.414−1.68+2.011+4.67+2.25−1.29+2.611+4.63−3.24−2.22−0.24−0.88+1.42−2.47+4.030.03+0.42−1.21−1.62+0.21−1.21−0.21−0.82+1.41+0.60−0.60−0.40−1.00−4.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.020.010.020.040.020.020.030.060.030.030.030.020.050.020.030.030.02−0.010.01−0.01−0.010.110.090.10LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.010.010.010.010.040.020.020.030.040.020.01−0.030.110.05−0.070.060.150.140.12LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackDundee United0.87 → 0.85Dundee FC0.87 → 0.84Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.29 → 1.27Dundee FC1.56 → 1.50

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six21%27%+6
11th12%9%−3
Bottom7%4%−3
Dundee FC
Top six5%3%−2
11th20%20%0
Bottom42%50%+8
Ross County
Top six5%4%−1
11th25%27%+2
Bottom26%24%−2
Livingston
Top six11%11%0
11th17%18%+1
Bottom11%10%−1

From the forecast before the match (19 September 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedDundee FC
Expected goals1.340.91
Win46%25%
Expected Points1.671.04
Clean sheet40%26%

Dundee United 46%Draw 29%Dundee FC 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 45%.

Dundee FC goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%6%2%9%9%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 19 September 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawDundee FC win
Dundee United
Top six21%27%18%13%
11th12%9%13%16%
Bottom7%4%8%12%
Dundee FC
Top six5%3%5%10%
11th20%20%20%19%
Bottom42%50%40%30%
Ross County
Top six5%4%5%5%
11th25%27%23%22%
Bottom26%24%28%29%
Livingston
Top six11%11%12%12%
11th17%18%17%17%
Bottom11%10%11%13%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. D0–011 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.20–0.72
  2. L0–228 AugHearts (H)xG 0.40–2.25
  3. W1–022 AugSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.36–0.85
  4. W1–07 AugRangers (H)xG 0.53–0.82
  5. L0–21 AugAberdeen (A)xG 0.43–0.67
  6. D0–016 MaySt. Mirren (A)xG 1.22–0.62

Dundee FC

  1. D0–011 SepLivingston (H)xG 1.08–0.44
  2. L0–128 AugMotherwell (A)xG 1.15–0.23
  3. D2–222 AugHibernian (H)xG 0.76–2.47
  4. L0–68 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.24–5.51
  5. D2–231 JulSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.11–1.81

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedDundee FC
Position7th10th
Played55
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠20–⁠3–⁠2
Points7 (1.40 per game)3 (0.60 per game)
Expected Points per game1.151.02
Goals2–⁠44–⁠11
xG per game0.78–⁠1.060.87–⁠2.09
Home: points, xG per game1.50, 0.47–⁠1.531.00, 0.98–⁠1.57
Away: points, xG per game1.33, 1.00–⁠0.750.00, 0.69–⁠2.87
ManagerTam Courts (5)James McPake (5)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.16AttackDundee United0.87, 12thDundee FC0.87, 11thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.29, 9thDundee FC1.56, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepDundee United attack: 0.87Dundee FC attack: 0.870.870.87Dundee FCDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepDundee United defence: 1.29Dundee FC defence: 1.561.561.29

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−39%−32%−18%+48%
Counter-attacks+135%−54%−3%+46%
Set pieces−37%+54%−30%−7%
Penalties−92%+23%−83%+247%
Headers−46%+2%−6%−2%
Left side−29%+27%−34%−19%
Centre−19%−15%−32%+57%
Right side−57%−50%+21%+38%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdDundee FC concededLeft side−29%+38%Centre−19%+57%Right side−57%−19%Open play−39%+48%Counter-attacks+135%+46%Set pieces−37%−7%Headers−46%−2%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdDundee United concededLeft side−34%−50%Centre−32%−15%Right side+21%+27%Open play−18%−32%Counter-attacks−3%−54%Set pieces−30%+54%Headers−6%+2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedDundee FC

0.78xG0.87
1.06xG against2.09
41%Possession46%
8.0Shots12.2
12.4Shots against15.2
3.6Shots on target4.4
1.4Big chances1.0
329Passes322
65%Pass accuracy66%
4.2Corners5.6
38%Field tilt46%
28.8Final-third entries29.8
6.2Box entries9.0
14.0Passes per defensive action13.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level571.021.33
Ahead110.020.88
Behind220.560.45

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.811.58
Ahead60.063.12
Behind391.052.53

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.060.160–0
16–300.110.120–1
31–450.180.410–1
46–600.160.111–1
61–750.220.061–0
76–900.040.200–1

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.131–1
16–300.050.540–2
31–450.090.271–2
46–600.240.381–3
61–750.080.330–1
76–900.180.431–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTCarson 3Siegrist 2Smith 5Edwards 4Mulgrew 5Reynolds 1Robson 4McMann 1Edwards 1Pawlett 1Fuchs 1Fuchs 3Levitt 2Butcher 1Harkes 3Clark 1Pawlett 2Spörle 2Butcher 1McNulty 3Shankland 1Clark 3Pawlett 1Butcher 14-4-2 in 2 of 5 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWLegzdins 5Elliot 3Kerr 2Ashcroft 5Sweeney 2Fontaine 2McGhee 1Marshall 3McGhee 1Anderson 1Anderson 3McGhee 3Byrne 4Robertson 1Adam 4McMullan 4McCowan 1Cummings 2Griffiths 1Sheridan 1McCowan 2McGowan 2Jakubiak 14-3-3 in 3 of 5 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (3), 4-5-1 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shankland312,788830.310.11
Clark282,318820.230.11
Chalmers10887020.200.09
Spörle171,496420.180.11

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGhee5450000.030.09
Legzdins5450000.000.10
Ashcroft5450000.030.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.