Matches › 2021/22

Hearts 2–0 Motherwell

Saturday 2 October 2021, 15:00 · Tynecastle Park · Round 8 · Half-time 2–0 · Attendance 17,028

Hearts Boyce 5' (pen), Kingsley 22'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hearts	Motherwell
Goals	2	0
xG	2.16	1.12
Non-penalty xG	0.58	1.12
Expected Points	2.20	0.58

Hearts 66%Draw 22%Motherwell 12%

Most likely score 2–1, 18%. Final score 2–0, 13%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsMotherwell

2.16 +0.71xG1.12 +0.02

0.58Non-penalty xG1.12

2.89 +1.38xG on target1.01 −0.52

10 −2.4Shots20 +11.3

5 +1.0Shots on target7 +3.1

2 +0.4Big chances1 −1.0

18 −6Touches in the opposition box15

54% 0Possession46% +7

457 +26Passes379 +99

77% 0Pass accuracy71% +6

60% +6Field tilt40% +10

48 +2Final-third entries36 +9

13 +0.4Box entries13 +6.0

13.6 +1Passes per defensive action14.0 0

7 +1.7Corners8 +4.7

13 −3Tackles11 −2

11 +1.9Interceptions12 +1.1

15 −4Clearances17 −11

7 +3.1Saves3 −1.0

14 +4Fouls16 +1

1 −1.7Offsides3 +1.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hearts

Motherwell

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsMotherwell

0.44 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.65 11 shots, 0 goals

0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.12 1 shot, 1 goalSet pieces0.47 9 shots, 0 goals

1.58 2 shots, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

1–02–0

Level: 5 min (5%) · Hearts 0.79, Motherwell 0.00 xG
Hearts ahead: 90 min (95%) · Hearts 1.37, Motherwell 1.12 xG

Line-ups

Hearts substitutes

56' Halliday for Halkett
69' Mackay-Steven for Woodburn
81' Haring for McKay

Motherwell substitutes

75' Amaluzor for Grimshaw
82' Shields for van Veen

Players

Hearts

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Gordon	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	0
Moore	CB	90		0.08	0.01	0	0.08	7	5
Halkett	CB	56		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	3
Kingsley	CB	90	1	0.12	0.01	0	0.07	8	8
Smith	RWB	90		0.00	0.08	1	0.20	15	2
Baningime	CM	90		0.10	0.02	0	0.05	3	6
Devlin	CM	90		0.13	0.03	1	−0.07	2	8
Cochrane	LWB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.05	6	3
McKay	RW	81		0.00	0.06	1	0.05	7	2
Boyce	ST	90	1	1.60	0.08	1	0.07	2	1
Woodburn	LW	69		0.02	0.03	0	0.05	3	0
Halliday	MF	34		0.09	0.00	1	0.00	1	4
Mackay-Steven	FW	21		0.02	0.00	0	−0.01	1	2
Haring	MF	9		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Kelly	GK	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.06	4	0
O'Donnell	RB	90	0.06	0.27	3	0.41	12	7
Mugabi	CB	90	0.04	0.00	0	0.02	1	5
Ojala	CB	90	0.18	0.01	0	0.04	3	9
McGinley	LB	90	0.04	0.07	0	0.18	2	7
Grimshaw	CM	75	0.02	0.01	1	0.00	3	3
Slattery	CM	90	0.01	0.05	1	0.07	7	5
O'Hara	CM	90	0.05	0.47	4	0.69	5	1
Woolery	RW	90	0.36	0.03	0	0.04	4	0
Watt	ST	90	0.34	0.01	0	0.00	0	2
van Veen	LW	82	0.01	0.01	1	−0.02	2	2
Amaluzor	FW	15	0.01	0.00	1	0.00	1	1
Shields	FW	8	0.00	0.00	0	–	–	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Motherwell

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

From	To	Passes
Smith	McKay	15
Moore	Smith	14
Devlin	Smith	11
Cochrane	Kingsley	10
Moore	Devlin	9

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
Ojala	Kelly	11
Slattery	O'Donnell	11
Slattery	O'Hara	11
McGinley	Slattery	11
Slattery	McGinley	8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

Against its average of 7 matches

Motherwell

Against its average of 7 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

Motherwell

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hearts
Title	4%	5%	+1
Top six	94%	96%	+2
Motherwell
Top six	47%	42%	−5
11th	4%	5%	+1
Bottom	1%	2%	+1

From the forecast before the match (2 October 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hearts	Motherwell
Expected goals	1.71	0.80
Win	59%	17%
Expected Points	2.00	0.75
Clean sheet	45%	18%

Hearts 59%Draw 25%Motherwell 17%

Most likely score 1–0, 13%. Both sides score 46%.

From the forecast as it stood on 2 October 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hearts win	Draw	Motherwell win
Hearts
Title	4%	5%	3%	2%
Top six	94%	96%	93%	89%
Motherwell
Top six	47%	42%	50%	61%
11th	4%	5%	3%	2%
Bottom	1%	2%	1%	1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hearts

Motherwell

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hearts	Motherwell
Position	3rd	4th
Played	7	7
Won, drawn, lost	4–⁠3–⁠0	4–⁠2–⁠1
Points	15 (2.14 per game)	14 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.80	1.10
Goals	12–⁠5	11–⁠7
xG per game	1.45–⁠0.83	1.10–⁠1.54
Home: points, xG per game	2.00, 1.56–⁠0.81	2.25, 0.87–⁠1.59
Away: points, xG per game	2.33, 1.31–⁠0.86	1.67, 1.41–⁠1.47
Manager	Robbie Neilson (7)	Graham Alexander (25)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hearts		Motherwell
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−8%	−18%	−27%	+39%
Counter-attacks	−67%	−21%	+63%	−38%
Set pieces	+28%	−52%	+52%	average
Penalties	+177%	−100%	−100%	−8%
Headers	−31%	−51%	+47%	−5%
Left side	+32%	−25%	+22%	+62%
Centre	−12%	−49%	+9%	+10%
Right side	−11%	+21%	−50%	+21%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdMotherwell concededLeft side+32%+21%Centre−12%+10%Right side−11%+62%Open play−8%+39%Counter-attacks−67%−38%Set pieces+28%averageHeaders−31%−5%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdHearts concededLeft side+22%+21%Centre+9%−49%Right side−50%−25%Open play−27%−18%Counter-attacks+63%−21%Set pieces+52%−52%Headers+47%−51%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsMotherwell

1.45xG1.10

0.83xG against1.54

54%Possession39%

12.4Shots8.7

9.9Shots against16.7

4.0Shots on target3.9

1.6Big chances2.0

431Passes280

76%Pass accuracy65%

5.3Corners3.3

55%Field tilt30%

46.3Final-third entries26.8

12.6Box entries7.0

12.8Passes per defensive action13.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	52	1.81	0.79
Ahead	35	0.97	0.93
Behind	3	1.07	0.26

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	41	1.40	1.36
Ahead	30	0.40	1.81
Behind	19	1.55	1.50

xG by period

Hearts

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.17	0.09	2–1
16–30	0.21	0.04	2–0
31–45	0.47	0.22	2–1
46–60	0.29	0.10	1–1
61–75	0.20	0.07	3–1
76–90	0.11	0.32	2–1

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.18	0.22	2–1
16–30	0.14	0.22	2–1
31–45	0.07	0.16	1–3
46–60	0.28	0.34	2–1
61–75	0.16	0.36	1–1
76–90	0.27	0.24	3–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

Formations: 3-4-3 (4), 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Motherwell

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Hearts

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Boyce	7	602	5	1	0.58	0.06
Smith	6	516	1	1	0.05	0.10
Cochrane	6	540	1	0	0.05	0.07
Souttar	6	540	1	0	0.05	0.03

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Watt	6	547	4	0	0.37	0.04
Woolery	7	558	1	1	0.30	0.08
van Veen	5	454	2	1	0.30	0.07
O'Hara	5	450	0	0	0.01	0.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.