Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenHamilton Academical
1.97 +0.77xG0.51 −0.37
0.58 −0.56xG on target0.22 −0.66
15 +3.7Shots10 +1.4
3 −0.5Shots on target2 −0.9
2 +0.6Big chances0 −0.9
26 +6Touches in the opposition box13 −1
59% +8Possession41% +2
389 −10Passes283 −8
66% −5Pass accuracy56% −4
73% +22Field tilt27% −7
42 +6Final-third entries28 0
13 +3.5Box entries5 −1.9
13.7 0Passes per defensive action11.2 −3
4 −0.5Corners4 0.0
18 +5Tackles19 +2
12 +2Interceptions17 +5
14 −6Clearances23 −1
2 −0.1Saves3 −0.6
9 −5Fouls10 −3
1 −0.6Offsides4 +2.5
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
Hamilton Academical
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
0–0
0'HTFT
Level
99 min (100%) · Aberdeen 1.97, Hamilton Academical 0.51 xG
Line-ups
Aberdeen substitutes
66'McLennan for Hendry
80'Kennedy for Taylor
88'Ruth for McGinn
Hamilton Academical substitutes
41'Smith for Thomas
69'Munro for Easton
90+1'Hughes for Moyo
Players
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Lewis
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
0
Hoban
CB
90
0.00
0.09
1
0.03
6
6
Taylor
CB
80
0.07
0.00
0
0.02
3
9
Considine
CB
90
0.00
0.04
0
0.12
12
14
McCrorie
RWB
90
0.03
0.01
1
0.08
7
3
McGeouch
CM
90
0.03
0.03
1
0.10
12
4
McGinn
CM
88
0.57
0.91
3
0.39
3
0
Hayes
LWB
90
0.00
0.19
3
0.19
12
6
Ferguson
AM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
8
4
Hendry
ST
66
0.92
0.01
0
−0.02
0
0
Kamberi
ST
90
0.24
0.11
2
0.13
5
1
McLennan
MF
24
0.11
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Kennedy
MF
10
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
3
2
Ruth
FW
2
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Hamilton Academical
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Fulton
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Hamilton
CB
90
0.02
0.00
0
0.02
2
7
A. Martin
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
11
Easton
CB
69
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
9
Hodson
RWB
90
0.11
0.01
0
0.07
6
5
S. Martin
CM
90
0.12
0.05
1
0.06
8
2
Odoffin
CM
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.01
5
13
Callachan
CM
90
0.06
0.02
1
0.07
7
2
McMann
LWB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.06
8
7
Thomas
ST
41
0.00
0.05
1
0.00
1
0
Moyo
ST
90
0.19
0.30
1
0.10
2
3
Smith
FW
49
0.00
0.00
3
0.00
0
1
Munro
MF
21
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Hughes
MF
0
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Hamilton Academical
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Considine
Kamberi
16
Ferguson
Kamberi
10
Considine
McGeouch
9
McGeouch
Hayes
7
McGeouch
Considine
7
Hamilton Academical
From
To
Passes
Hodson
Callachan
8
Callachan
Hodson
6
McMann
Callachan
5
S. Martin
McMann
4
McMann
Moyo
4
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 31 matches
Hamilton Academical
Against its average of 30 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
Hamilton Academical
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Hamilton Academical
11th
33%
35%
+2
Bottom
43%
39%
−4
Ross County
11th
31%
31%
0
Bottom
32%
32%
0
Kilmarnock
11th
31%
29%
−2
Bottom
25%
27%
+2
From the forecast before the match (6 March 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
Hamilton Academical
Expected goals
1.49
0.77
Win
54%
19%
Expected Points
1.89
0.84
Clean sheet
46%
22%
Aberdeen 54%Draw 27%Hamilton Academical 19%
Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Both sides score 42%.
From the forecast as it stood on 6 March 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
Hamilton Academical win
Hamilton Academical
11th
33%
31%
35%
34%
Bottom
43%
50%
39%
25%
Ross County
11th
31%
32%
31%
27%
Bottom
32%
28%
32%
41%
Kilmarnock
11th
31%
32%
29%
31%
Bottom
25%
21%
27%
31%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
Hamilton Academical
Position
4th
12th
Played
31
30
Won, drawn, lost
13–9–9
6–7–17
Points
48 (1.55 per game)
25 (0.83 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.48
0.87
Goals
32–30
29–57
xG per game
1.20–1.00
0.88–1.99
Home: points, xG per game
1.88, 1.26–1.04
0.73, 0.65–1.89
Away: points, xG per game
1.20, 1.14–0.96
0.93, 1.10–2.08
Manager
Derek McInnes (31)
Brian Rice (30)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
Hamilton Academical
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−16%
−22%
−45%
+80%
Counter-attacks
+20%
−28%
−55%
+71%
Set pieces
+2%
−39%
−13%
+23%
Penalties
+32%
+32%
+17%
−3%
Headers
average
−47%
−17%
+67%
Left side
−1%
−12%
−44%
+57%
Centre
−11%
−43%
−30%
+84%
Right side
−16%
−16%
−40%
+34%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Hamilton Academical createdAberdeen concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−44%−16%Centre−30%−43%Right side−40%−12%Open play−45%−22%Counter-attacks−55%−28%Set pieces−13%−39%Headers−17%−47%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenHamilton Academical
1.20xG0.88
1.00xG against1.99
50%Possession39%
11.3Shots8.6
9.7Shots against17.0
3.5Shots on target2.9
1.4Big chances0.9
20.2Touches in the opposition box14.0
399Passes291
71%Pass accuracy59%
4.5Corners4.0
51%Field tilt34%
35.5Final-third entries28.1
9.5Box entries6.9
14.0Passes per defensive action14.4
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
43
1.28
0.92
Ahead
24
1.30
1.12
Behind
23
0.95
1.03
Hamilton Academical
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
39
0.84
1.84
Ahead
13
1.00
1.12
Behind
38
0.88
2.43
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.28
0.12
5–7
16–30
0.12
0.22
5–6
31–45
0.21
0.17
7–4
46–60
0.18
0.14
6–6
61–75
0.16
0.14
3–3
76–90
0.25
0.22
6–4
Hamilton Academical
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.08
0.30
2–10
16–30
0.12
0.33
4–10
31–45
0.12
0.29
6–7
46–60
0.15
0.33
3–9
61–75
0.24
0.37
9–11
76–90
0.16
0.36
5–10
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts