Wednesday 21 April 2021, 18:00 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 35 · Half-time 0–1
Hamilton Academical Hughes sent off 33'
Motherwell O'Hara 37'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Hamilton Academical
Motherwell
Goals
0
1
xG
0.48
0.57
Expected Points
1.19
1.32
Hamilton Academical 24%Draw 48%Motherwell 28%
Most likely score 0–0, 34%. Final score 0–1, 18%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Hamilton AcademicalMotherwell
0.48 −0.42xG0.57 −0.58
0.12 −0.73xG on target1.08 +0.09
5 −4.1Shots12 +1.3
1 −1.9Shots on target3 −0.3
1 +0.1Big chances0 −1.3
15 0Touches in the opposition box23 +4
46% +6Possession54% +9
317 +20Passes381 +40
51% −8Pass accuracy60% −7
17% −18Field tilt83% +46
24 −5Final-third entries32 +2
4 −3.2Box entries10 +0.5
17.5 +3Passes per defensive action14.4 0
4 −0.1Corners6 +1.0
17 0Tackles10 −4
8 −4Interceptions14 +3
18 −6Clearances21 −3
2 −1.4Saves1 −1.9
11 −2Fouls16 +4
2 +0.4Offsides4 +2.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hamilton Academical
Motherwell
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
37'
0–00–1
0'HTFT
Level
37 min (40%) · Hamilton Academical 0.39, Motherwell 0.28 xG
Motherwell ahead
56 min (60%) · Hamilton Academical 0.09, Motherwell 0.30 xG
Line-ups
Hamilton Academical substitutes
68'L. Smith for Callachan
71'Mimnaugh for Easton
79'Thomas for Hodson
Motherwell substitutes
64'Maguire for Long
Players
Hamilton Academical
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Gourlay
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
2
0
Hamilton
CB
90
0.00
0.12
0
0.23
4
6
Martin
CB
90
0.04
0.00
0
0.05
4
7
Easton
CB
71
0.00
0.00
0
0.06
4
5
Hodson
RWB
79
0.00
0.22
1
0.12
2
2
Odoffin
CM
90
0.33
0.01
0
0.04
5
9
Hughes
CM
33
0.00
0.00
1
−0.01
2
3
McMann
LWB
90
0.02
0.09
2
0.05
3
7
Callachan
AM
68
0.00
0.00
0
−0.17
0
3
Munro
AM
90
0.00
0.04
0
0.08
2
3
Anderson
ST
90
0.09
0.00
0
0.04
1
0
L. Smith
FW
22
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Mimnaugh
DF
19
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Thomas
FW
11
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
0
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Kelly
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
0
Magloire
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
5
7
Gallagher
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
7
Lamie
CB
90
0.12
0.00
0
0.01
2
4
O'Donnell
RWB
90
0.06
0.05
1
0.07
8
6
Campbell
CM
90
0.04
0.15
1
0.12
8
6
Crawford
CM
90
0.03
0.06
0
0.04
2
5
O'Hara
CM
90
1
0.09
0.32
2
0.18
5
1
McGinley
LWB
90
0.00
0.03
2
0.05
6
6
Cole
ST
90
0.19
0.06
1
−0.03
0
2
Long
ST
64
1
0.05
0.07
2
0.04
0
0
Maguire
DF
26
0.00
0.03
1
0.02
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hamilton Academical
Motherwell
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hamilton Academical
From
To
Passes
Martin
Gourlay
8
Hamilton
Hodson
7
Odoffin
Hamilton
6
Martin
Easton
6
Hodson
Hamilton
6
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
Campbell
O'Donnell
14
O'Donnell
Cole
12
O'Donnell
Campbell
10
Long
O'Hara
7
Campbell
O'Hara
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hamilton Academical
Against its average of 34 matches
Motherwell
Against its average of 34 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Hamilton Academical
Motherwell
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Hamilton Academical
11th
22%
15%
−7
Bottom
66%
79%
+13
Ross County
11th
41%
44%
+3
Bottom
19%
12%
−7
Kilmarnock
11th
38%
41%
+3
Bottom
15%
9%
−6
From the forecast before the match (21 April 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hamilton Academical
Motherwell
Expected goals
1.19
1.40
Win
31%
41%
Expected Points
1.21
1.51
Clean sheet
25%
30%
Hamilton Academical 31%Draw 28%Motherwell 41%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.
From the forecast as it stood on 21 April 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hamilton Academical win
Draw
Motherwell win
Hamilton Academical
11th
22%
30%
20%
15%
Bottom
66%
46%
70%
79%
Ross County
11th
41%
36%
41%
44%
Bottom
19%
29%
17%
12%
Kilmarnock
11th
38%
33%
38%
41%
Bottom
15%
24%
13%
9%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Hamilton Academical
Motherwell
Position
12th
9th
Played
34
34
Won, drawn, lost
6–9–19
10–8–16
Points
27 (0.79 per game)
38 (1.12 per game)
Expected Points per game
0.87
1.12
Goals
31–61
33–51
xG per game
0.90–1.94
1.15–1.60
Home: points, xG per game
0.71, 0.79–1.85
1.06, 1.15–1.63
Away: points, xG per game
0.88, 1.01–2.03
1.18, 1.14–1.56
Manager
Brian Rice (34)
Graham Alexander (14)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hamilton Academical
Motherwell
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−40%
+75%
−11%
+9%
Counter-attacks
−55%
+92%
−74%
+140%
Set pieces
−11%
+15%
+5%
+32%
Penalties
+6%
+6%
−12%
+76%
Headers
−10%
+52%
−9%
+42%
Left side
−42%
+48%
−19%
+3%
Centre
−28%
+80%
−4%
+29%
Right side
−33%
+32%
−9%
+25%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Hamilton Academical attacking
Hamilton Academical createdMotherwell concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−42%+25%Centre−28%+29%Right side−33%+3%Open play−40%+9%Counter-attacks−55%+140%Set pieces−11%+32%Headers−10%+42%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
Hamilton AcademicalMotherwell
0.90xG1.15
1.94xG against1.60
40%Possession45%
9.1Shots10.7
16.6Shots against13.9
2.9Shots on target3.3
0.9Big chances1.3
14.5Touches in the opposition box18.5
297Passes341
59%Pass accuracy67%
4.1Corners5.0
35%Field tilt37%
28.8Final-third entries30.0
7.2Box entries9.5
14.2Passes per defensive action14.4
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Hamilton Academical
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
39
0.80
1.95
Ahead
11
1.00
1.12
Behind
40
0.97
2.17
Motherwell
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
37
1.33
1.46
Ahead
25
1.00
1.62
Behind
28
1.03
1.74
xG by period
Hamilton Academical
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.08
0.29
2–11
16–30
0.12
0.34
5–11
31–45
0.16
0.32
6–9
46–60
0.16
0.32
3–9
61–75
0.23
0.34
9–11
76–90
0.16
0.34
6–10
Motherwell
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.18
0.28
7–10
16–30
0.26
0.17
8–5
31–45
0.15
0.25
4–6
46–60
0.18
0.27
4–9
61–75
0.27
0.25
9–7
76–90
0.11
0.38
1–14
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.