Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Hamilton Academical 0–1 Motherwell

Wednesday 21 April 2021, 18:00 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 35 · Half-time 0–1

Hamilton Academical Hughes sent off 33'

Motherwell O'Hara 37'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Hamilton AcademicalMotherwell
Goals01
xG0.480.57
Expected Points1.191.32

Hamilton Academical 24%Draw 48%Motherwell 28%

Most likely score 0–0, 34%. Final score 0–1, 18%.

Motherwell goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+18%5%19%14%3%3%2%34%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTHughes (Hamilton Academical), red card 33'L. Smith on for Callachan, 68'Mimnaugh on for Easton, 71'Thomas on for Hodson, 79'Maguire on for Long, 64'O'Hara 37'Motherwell 0.57Hamilton Academical 0.4800.250.50.750153045607590HTHughes (Hamilton Academical), red card 33'L. Smith on for Callachan, 68'Mimnaugh on for Easton, 71'Thomas on for Hodson, 79'Maguire on for Long, 64'O'Hara 37'0.570.48Hamilton AcademicalMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Hamilton AcademicalMotherwell

0.48 −0.42xG0.57 −0.58
0.12 −0.73xG on target1.08 +0.09
5 −4.1Shots12 +1.3
1 −1.9Shots on target3 −0.3
1 +0.1Big chances0 −1.3
15 0Touches in the opposition box23 +4
46% +6Possession54% +9
317 +20Passes381 +40
51% −8Pass accuracy60% −7
17% −18Field tilt83% +46
24 −5Final-third entries32 +2
4 −3.2Box entries10 +0.5
17.5 +3Passes per defensive action14.4 0
4 −0.1Corners6 +1.0
17 0Tackles10 −4
8 −4Interceptions14 +3
18 −6Clearances21 −3
2 −1.4Saves1 −1.9
11 −2Fouls16 +4
2 +0.4Offsides4 +2.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hamilton Academical

Odoffin 2', 0.33 xGAnderson 65', 0.06 xGAnderson 17', 0.04 xGMartin 46', 0.04 xGMcMann 22', 0.02 xG69%0.33 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.33 xG, 0 goals19%0.09 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals12%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Lamie 4', 0.12 xGCole 45', 0.06 xGO'Donnell 78', 0.06 xGCole 90+3', 0.06 xGCole 10', 0.04 xGCampbell 68', 0.04 xGCrawford 13', 0.03 xGLong 24', 0.03 xGCole 76', 0.03 xGO'Hara 83', 0.03 xGLong 60', 0.02 xGO'Hara 37', 0.05 xG, goal21%0.12 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.12 xG, 0 goals10%0.06 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 1 goal48%0.28 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals21%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Hamilton AcademicalMotherwell

0.09 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.34 8 shots, 1 goal
0.39 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.24 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
37 min (40%) · Hamilton Academical 0.39, Motherwell 0.28 xG
Motherwell ahead
56 min (60%) · Hamilton Academical 0.09, Motherwell 0.30 xG

Line-ups

22616527215334217GourlayHamiltonMartinEastonHodsonOdoffinHughesMcMannCallachanMunroAndersonYellow cardSent offYellow card71'79'68'Hamilton Academical 3-4-2-1Brian Rice1340314336875449KellyMagloireGallagherLamieO'DonnellCampbellCrawfordO'HaraMcGinleyColeLongGoalYellow card64'Motherwell 3-5-2Graham Alexander

Hamilton Academical substitutes

  • 68' L. Smith for Callachan
  • 71' Mimnaugh for Easton
  • 79' Thomas for Hodson

Motherwell substitutes

  • 64' Maguire for Long

Players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GourlayGK900.000.0000.0320
HamiltonCB900.000.1200.2346
MartinCB900.040.0000.0547
EastonCB710.000.0000.0645
HodsonRWB790.000.2210.1222
Odoffin CM900.330.0100.0459
Hughes CM330.000.001−0.0123
McMannLWB900.020.0920.0537
Callachan AM680.000.000−0.1703
MunroAM900.000.0400.0823
AndersonST900.090.0000.0410
L. SmithFW220.000.0000.0000
MimnaughDF190.000.0000.0000
ThomasFW110.000.0000.0010

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0330
MagloireCB900.000.0000.0357
GallagherCB900.000.0000.0117
LamieCB900.120.0000.0124
O'DonnellRWB900.060.0510.0786
CampbellCM900.040.1510.1286
CrawfordCM900.030.0600.0425
O'HaraCM9010.090.3220.1851
McGinleyLWB900.000.0320.0566
ColeST900.190.061−0.0302
Long ST6410.050.0720.0400
MaguireDF260.000.0310.0201

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hamilton Academical

Easton and McMann: 3 passesEaston and Callachan: 4 passesGourlay and Martin: 5 passesHamilton and Hodson: 6 passesMartin and Easton: 10 passesGourlay: 8 completed passesMartin: 16 completed passesHamilton: 9 completed passesEaston: 13 completed passesHodson: 5 completed passesMcMann: 2 completed passesOdoffin: 6 completed passesHughes: 4 completed passesCallachan: 5 completed passesMunro: 2 completed passesAnderson: 4 completed passes22166527321534217GourlayMartinHamiltonEastonHodsonMcMannOdoffinHughesCallachanMunroAndersonStarters until 33' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Motherwell

Lamie and O'Hara: 3 passesO'Donnell and O'Hara: 3 passesO'Donnell and Long: 3 passesMcGinley and Long: 3 passesCampbell and Long: 3 passesO'Hara and Cole: 3 passesMagloire and Gallagher: 4 passesMagloire and O'Donnell: 4 passesGallagher and McGinley: 4 passesMcGinley and Crawford: 4 passesMcGinley and Cole: 4 passesCampbell and Cole: 4 passesMcGinley and O'Hara: 5 passesO'Donnell and Crawford: 7 passesO'Donnell and Campbell: 7 passesO'Hara and Long: 7 passesO'Donnell and Cole: 9 passesKelly: 5 completed passesMagloire: 6 completed passesGallagher: 11 completed passesLamie: 6 completed passesO'Donnell: 18 completed passesMcGinley: 12 completed passesCrawford: 11 completed passesCampbell: 11 completed passesO'Hara: 10 completed passesLong: 10 completed passesCole: 10 completed passes1340314335867944KellyMagloireGallagherLamieO'DonnellMcGinleyCrawfordCampbellO'HaraLongColeStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hamilton Academical

FromToPasses
MartinGourlay8
HamiltonHodson7
OdoffinHamilton6
MartinEaston6
HodsonHamilton6

Motherwell

FromToPasses
CampbellO'Donnell14
O'DonnellCole12
O'DonnellCampbell10
LongO'Hara7
CampbellO'Hara7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hamilton Academical

8+3.71−5.811−5.816+8.88+2.38+0.55−2.72−5.34−4.210+2.62−2.62−3.22−1.92−3.13−4.02−2.71−2.62−0.91−2.37+2.51−1.90−1.71−0.43+1.74+1.62+1.20−0.30−0.50−0.21+0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Motherwell

2−2.26−2.69+2.68+0.48+1.86−1.88+0.36+0.67+2.04+0.47+1.64−0.73−0.53−0.42−0.46+3.25+1.62−0.31−1.11+0.10−1.34+2.12+1.20−0.50−0.90−0.43+2.11−5.711−5.51−5.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hamilton Academical

0.010.020.040.030.020.020.010.010.060.040.020.010.010.02−0.020.030.070.07−0.160.19LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.020.040.020.010.020.010.020.030.030.010.050.040.06−0.030.100.02−0.05−0.020.020.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackHamilton Acad…0.89 → 0.86Motherwell1.06 → 1.03Defence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.56 → 1.52Motherwell1.40 → 1.36

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hamilton Academical
11th22%15%−7
Bottom66%79%+13
Ross County
11th41%44%+3
Bottom19%12%−7
Kilmarnock
11th38%41%+3
Bottom15%9%−6

From the forecast before the match (21 April 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Hamilton AcademicalMotherwell
Expected goals1.191.40
Win31%41%
Expected Points1.211.51
Clean sheet25%30%

Hamilton Academical 31%Draw 28%Motherwell 41%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Motherwell goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+8%7%3%1%8%9%4%1%5%7%5%2%2%3%2%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 21 April 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHamilton Academical winDrawMotherwell win
Hamilton Academical
11th22%30%20%15%
Bottom66%46%70%79%
Ross County
11th41%36%41%44%
Bottom19%29%17%12%
Kilmarnock
11th38%33%38%41%
Bottom15%24%13%9%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hamilton Academical

  1. L0–110 AprDundee United (H)xG 2.76–1.32
  2. D1–120 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.79–1.81
  3. L1–213 MarLivingston (A)xG 0.19–1.26
  4. D0–06 MarAberdeen (A)xG 0.51–1.97
  5. D1–13 MarSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.66–1.04
  6. L0–220 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.40–2.49

Motherwell

  1. W1–010 AprSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.95–1.45
  2. L1–420 MarKilmarnock (A)xG 1.33–1.86
  3. W3–16 MarLivingston (H)xG 1.80–1.14
  4. W2–027 FebHibernian (A)xG 1.00–1.70
  5. D0–024 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.39–0.30
  6. L0–320 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.03–3.04

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Hamilton AcademicalMotherwell
Position12th9th
Played3434
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠9–⁠1910–⁠8–⁠16
Points27 (0.79 per game)38 (1.12 per game)
Expected Points per game0.871.12
Goals31–⁠6133–⁠51
xG per game0.90–⁠1.941.15–⁠1.60
Home: points, xG per game0.71, 0.79–⁠1.851.06, 1.15–⁠1.63
Away: points, xG per game0.88, 1.01–⁠2.031.18, 1.14–⁠1.56
ManagerBrian Rice (34)Graham Alexander (14)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackHamilton Acad…0.89, 12thMotherwell1.06, 5thDefence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.56, 11thMotherwell1.40, 10th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprHamilton Academical attack: 0.89Motherwell attack: 1.061.060.89MotherwellHamilton AcademicalDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprHamilton Academical defence: 1.56Motherwell defence: 1.401.561.40

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Hamilton AcademicalMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−40%+75%−11%+9%
Counter-attacks−55%+92%−74%+140%
Set pieces−11%+15%+5%+32%
Penalties+6%+6%−12%+76%
Headers−10%+52%−9%+42%
Left side−42%+48%−19%+3%
Centre−28%+80%−4%+29%
Right side−33%+32%−9%+25%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdMotherwell concededLeft side−42%+25%Centre−28%+29%Right side−33%+3%Open play−40%+9%Counter-attacks−55%+140%Set pieces−11%+32%Headers−10%+42%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side−19%+32%Centre−4%+80%Right side−9%+48%Open play−11%+75%Counter-attacks−74%+92%Set pieces+5%+15%Headers−9%+52%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Hamilton AcademicalMotherwell

0.90xG1.15
1.94xG against1.60
40%Possession45%
9.1Shots10.7
16.6Shots against13.9
2.9Shots on target3.3
0.9Big chances1.3
14.5Touches in the opposition box18.5
297Passes341
59%Pass accuracy67%
4.1Corners5.0
35%Field tilt37%
28.8Final-third entries30.0
7.2Box entries9.5
14.2Passes per defensive action14.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hamilton Academical

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level390.801.95
Ahead111.001.12
Behind400.972.17

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.331.46
Ahead251.001.62
Behind281.031.74

xG by period

Hamilton Academical

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.292–11
16–300.120.345–11
31–450.160.326–9
46–600.160.323–9
61–750.230.349–11
76–900.160.346–10

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.287–10
16–300.260.178–5
31–450.150.254–6
46–600.180.274–9
61–750.270.259–7
76–900.110.381–14

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hamilton Academical

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTFulton 28Gourlay 6Hamilton 15Stirling 9L. Smith 3Martin 20Odoffin 12Stanger 1Easton 21Want 11McMann 1Hodson 28Odoffin 2Hamilton 2Odoffin 14Callachan 12Collar 2S. Martin 16Trafford 9Stirling 6McMann 30Munro 3Easton 1Callachan 13Odoffin 4Templeton 4Moyo 20Anderson 9Thomas 2Ogboe 15Winter 9Smith 73-4-1-2 in 9 of 34 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (9), 4-4-2 (9), 3-5-2 (6), 3-4-2-1 (4), 4-3-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWKelly 14Carson 12Chapman 4O'Donnell 29Grimshaw 2Gallagher 1Gallagher 23Mugabi 18Magloire 5Lamie 18Carroll 14McGinley 8Grimshaw 8Campbell 31Long 1Seedorf 1Crawford 17O'Hara 14Grimshaw 1Polworth 18Maguire 14Turnbull 2Long 6Seedorf 5Roberts 4Watt 13Cole 11Long 7Watt 15Lang 7Cole 64-3-3 in 23 of 34 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (23), 5-3-2 (4), 3-5-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
13 February 2021Motherwell1–4Hamilton AcademicalxG 1.32–2.03
2 January 2021Hamilton Academical3–0MotherwellxG 0.87–0.86
22 August 2020Motherwell0–1Hamilton AcademicalxG 0.73–2.22

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Hamilton Academical won 3, Motherwell won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 8–1 and xG 1.71–0.97 per game.

Key players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Callachan292,582830.310.10
Templeton7516120.150.23
Anderson9761210.200.08
Ogboe151,287310.230.03

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Cole201,665930.540.04
Lang121,038310.360.03
Roberts5454110.180.21
Watt282,308350.230.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.