Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
HibernianHamilton Academical
2.49 +1.02xG0.40 −0.50
1.70Non-penalty xG0.40
3.30 +1.76xG on target0.40 −0.50
17 +5.4Shots8 −0.5
8 +3.9Shots on target6 +3.2
3 +1.1Big chances0 −1.0
36 +16Touches in the opposition box9 −5
62% +13Possession38% −1
395 +7Passes254 −38
70% −2Pass accuracy54% −5
59% +12Field tilt41% +8
36 −3Final-third entries26 −2
15 +4.5Box entries3 −4.1
7.8 −6Passes per defensive action13.6 −1
8 +2.6Corners3 −0.9
23 +9Tackles15 −3
11 +1Interceptions12 0
15 −6Clearances26 +3
6 +3.5Saves6 +2.5
12 −1Fouls11 −2
2 −0.1Offsides0 −1.6
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hibernian
Hamilton Academical
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
13'70'
0–01–02–0
0'HTFT
Level
13 min (14%) · Hibernian 0.03, Hamilton Academical 0.13 xG
Hibernian ahead
80 min (86%) · Hibernian 2.46, Hamilton Academical 0.27 xG
Line-ups
Hibernian substitutes
64'Nisbet for Murphy
75'Allan for Doidge
84'Gogic for Newell
84'Stevenson for Doig
Hamilton Academical substitutes
23'Moyo for Ogboe
75'Mimnaugh for Anderson
75'Hughes for Trafford
79'Smith for Martin
Players
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Marciano
GK
90
0.00
0.00
1
0.02
2
1
McGinn
CB
90
0.05
0.01
0
0.09
6
3
McGregor
CB
90
0.41
0.10
0
0.13
3
5
Hanlon
CB
90
0.00
0.06
0
0.01
1
13
Cadden
RWB
90
0.15
0.04
1
0.11
6
5
Newell
CM
84
0.03
0.12
1
0.16
3
3
Irvine
CM
90
0.04
0.04
0
0.12
11
5
Doig
LWB
84
1
1
0.53
0.26
2
0.23
9
5
Murphy
AM
64
0.08
0.08
0
0.15
6
2
Boyle
ST
90
1
0.92
0.19
2
0.27
9
0
Doidge
ST
75
0.06
0.11
2
−0.07
1
4
Nisbet
FW
26
0.22
0.01
0
0.07
2
0
Allan
MF
15
0.00
0.18
0
0.19
0
2
Gogic
DF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
2
Stevenson
MF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Hamilton Academical
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Fulton
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
5
2
Hamilton
CB
12
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
2
0
Odoffin
CB
90
0.04
0.00
0
0.04
4
14
Easton
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
11
Hodson
RWB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
2
5
Callachan
CM
90
0.03
0.01
0
0.00
1
5
Martin
CM
79
0.02
0.02
1
0.03
1
2
Trafford
CM
75
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
2
6
McMann
LWB
90
0.09
0.15
1
0.11
9
7
Anderson
ST
75
0.18
0.00
0
0.00
2
0
Ogboe
ST
23
0.04
0.01
1
−0.01
1
0
Moyo
FW
67
0.00
0.09
2
0.02
0
4
Mimnaugh
DF
15
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
1
Hughes
MF
15
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Smith
FW
11
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hibernian
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
McGinn
Cadden
12
Cadden
Irvine
8
Murphy
Cadden
8
Newell
McGregor
7
Doig
Boyle
7
Hamilton Academical
From
To
Passes
Hodson
Callachan
7
Fulton
Moyo
7
Trafford
McMann
6
McMann
Trafford
6
Hodson
Moyo
5
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hibernian
Against its average of 28 matches
Hamilton Academical
Against its average of 28 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Hibernian
Hamilton Academical
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Hamilton Academical
11th
37%
37%
0
Bottom
30%
35%
+5
Ross County
11th
28%
29%
+1
Bottom
52%
48%
−4
Kilmarnock
11th
24%
23%
−1
Bottom
16%
14%
−2
From the forecast before the match (20 February 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hibernian
Hamilton Academical
Expected goals
1.88
0.85
Win
61%
16%
Expected Points
2.06
0.71
Clean sheet
43%
15%
Hibernian 61%Draw 23%Hamilton Academical 16%
Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 49%.
From the forecast as it stood on 20 February 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hibernian win
Draw
Hamilton Academical win
Hamilton Academical
11th
37%
37%
38%
31%
Bottom
30%
35%
25%
14%
Ross County
11th
28%
29%
26%
24%
Bottom
52%
48%
53%
61%
Kilmarnock
11th
24%
23%
24%
27%
Bottom
16%
14%
18%
20%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Hibernian
Hamilton Academical
Position
3rd
11th
Played
28
28
Won, drawn, lost
14–7–7
6–6–16
Points
49 (1.75 per game)
24 (0.86 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.58
0.89
Goals
39–26
28–54
xG per game
1.47–1.15
0.90–2.00
Home: points, xG per game
1.43, 1.31–1.29
0.71, 0.65–1.95
Away: points, xG per game
2.07, 1.63–1.00
1.00, 1.15–2.06
Manager
Jack Ross (28)
Brian Rice (28)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hibernian
Hamilton Academical
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+17%
−15%
−44%
+84%
Counter-attacks
−25%
+32%
−54%
+75%
Set pieces
+7%
−6%
−11%
+25%
Penalties
+45%
+4%
+24%
−17%
Headers
+38%
−24%
−16%
+71%
Left side
+4%
−9%
−41%
+61%
Centre
+11%
−29%
−28%
+93%
Right side
+24%
+20%
−41%
+28%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Hamilton Academical createdHibernian concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−41%+20%Centre−28%−29%Right side−41%−9%Open play−44%−15%Counter-attacks−54%+32%Set pieces−11%−6%Headers−16%−24%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
HibernianHamilton Academical
1.47xG0.90
1.15xG against2.00
49%Possession39%
11.6Shots8.5
11.6Shots against17.0
4.1Shots on target2.8
1.9Big chances1.0
19.9Touches in the opposition box14.2
388Passes292
71%Pass accuracy59%
5.4Corners3.9
46%Field tilt33%
39.0Final-third entries28.0
10.5Box entries7.1
14.1Passes per defensive action14.5
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
40
1.63
1.01
Ahead
33
1.58
1.24
Behind
18
0.89
1.30
Hamilton Academical
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
40
0.84
1.88
Ahead
12
1.06
1.14
Behind
38
0.92
2.40
xG by period
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.26
0.14
4–4
16–30
0.20
0.15
8–2
31–45
0.20
0.23
6–6
46–60
0.17
0.21
6–4
61–75
0.35
0.17
8–2
76–90
0.29
0.24
7–8
Hamilton Academical
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.08
0.31
2–9
16–30
0.13
0.34
4–10
31–45
0.12
0.27
5–7
46–60
0.15
0.34
3–9
61–75
0.26
0.38
9–10
76–90
0.17
0.36
5–9
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts