Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Hamilton Academical 0–1 Dundee United

Saturday 10 April 2021, 15:00 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 34 · Half-time 0–1

Dundee United McNulty 6'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United
Goals01
xG2.761.32
Expected Points2.270.55

Hamilton Academical 70%Draw 18%Dundee United 12%

Most likely score 2–1, 10%. Final score 0–1, 1%.

Dundee United goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+1%3%6%4%1%6%3%6%7%3%4%7%5%2%2%3%2%1%10%8%10%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTSmith on for Easton, 79'Clark on for Sporle and Pawlett on for Harkes, 57'Hoti on for Fuchs, 71'Appere on for Shankland, 84'McNulty 6'Hamilton Academical 2.76Dundee United 1.3201230153045607590HTSmith on for Easton, 79'Clark on for Sporle and Pawlett on for Harkes, 57'Hoti on for Fuchs, 71'Appere on for Shankland, 84'McNulty 6'2.761.32Hamilton AcademicalDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United

2.76 +1.92xG1.32 +0.41
1.22 +0.38xG on target0.52 −0.40
27 +18.5Shots13 +3.5
6 +3.2Shots on target4 +1.1
3 +2.1Big chances2 +0.9
33 +19Touches in the opposition box29 +14
48% +8Possession52% +6
399 +105Passes463 +100
69% +10Pass accuracy69% +4
48% +14Field tilt52% +14
49 +21Final-third entries43 +12
16 +9.0Box entries22 +13.3
18.4 +4Passes per defensive action12.7 −2
10 +6.0Corners3 −1.1
11 −6Tackles19 +5
11 −1Interceptions10 −2
23 −1Clearances25 0
3 −0.5Saves6 +2.1
7 −6Fouls9 −4
3 +1.4Offsides0 −1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hamilton Academical

Callachan 35', 0.66 xGCallachan 45+2', 0.36 xGMunro 48', 0.36 xGHughes 52', 0.15 xGAnderson 63', 0.15 xGHughes 5', 0.09 xGCallachan 48', 0.09 xGCallachan 55', 0.08 xGMunro 48', 0.07 xGMunro 33', 0.06 xGCallachan 39', 0.06 xGMunro 40', 0.06 xGMunro 41', 0.06 xGHamilton 45+1', 0.06 xGMcMann 5', 0.04 xGOdoffin 28', 0.04 xGHughes 33', 0.04 xGHughes 37', 0.04 xGOdoffin 38', 0.04 xGAnderson 48', 0.04 xGOdoffin 61', 0.04 xGHodson 3', 0.03 xGOdoffin 3', 0.03 xGMcMann 29', 0.03 xGCallachan 45+1', 0.03 xGMunro 60', 0.03 xGMunro 89', 0.03 xG45%1.25 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 1.25 xG, 0 goals28%0.77 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.77 xG, 0 goals10%0.29 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals16%0.43 xGEdge of the box: 11 shots, 0.43 xG, 0 goals1%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Shankland 15', 0.44 xGSporle 43', 0.09 xGClark 90+2', 0.08 xGShankland 67', 0.07 xGClark 90', 0.07 xGSporle 5', 0.05 xGButcher 85', 0.05 xGAppere 88', 0.05 xGMcNulty 8', 0.04 xGMcNulty 24', 0.04 xGHarkes 10', 0.03 xGShankland 22', 0.03 xGMcNulty 6', 0.28 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals76%1.00 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.00 xG, 1 goal11%0.14 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals11%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United

2.09 21 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.10 10 shots, 1 goal
0.06 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.17 2 shots, 0 goals
0.60 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.05 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
6 min (6%) · Hamilton Academical 0.19, Dundee United 0.33 xG
Dundee United ahead
88 min (94%) · Hamilton Academical 2.57, Dundee United 0.99 xG

Line-ups

22616527342153217GourlayHamiltonMartinEastonHodsonCallachanOdoffinHughesMcMannMunroAndersonYellow card79'Hamilton Academical 3-5-1-1Brian Rice12126176618233249SiegristL. SmithEdwardsReynoldsRobsonFuchsButcherHarkesSporleShanklandMcNultyYellow cardGoalYellow card71'57'57'84'Dundee United 4-4-2Micky Mellon

Hamilton Academical substitutes

  • 79' Smith for Easton

Dundee United substitutes

  • 57' Clark for Sporle
  • 57' Pawlett for Harkes
  • 71' Hoti for Fuchs
  • 84' Appere for Shankland

Players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GourlayGK900.000.0000.0330
HamiltonCB900.060.0400.15114
Martin CB900.000.0100.0338
EastonCB790.000.0100.0665
HodsonRWB900.030.3830.33166
CallachanCM901.280.0320.0874
OdoffinCM900.150.0800.0739
HughesCM900.320.1110.1476
McMannLWB900.070.3460.15144
MunroAM900.670.2930.2643
AndersonST900.190.4340.1440
SmithFW110.000.0000.0000

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0680
L. SmithRB900.000.1100.1383
EdwardsCB900.000.0100.04712
ReynoldsCB900.000.0000.04611
Robson LB900.000.0100.07712
FuchsRM7110.000.0730.21104
ButcherCM900.050.1010.0888
HarkesCM570.030.0210.0220
SporleLM570.150.0200.0124
ShanklandST840.540.0820.1141
McNulty ST9010.350.3920.1442
ClarkMF330.140.0500.0560
PawlettMF330.000.1110.0322
HotiMF190.000.0110.0313
AppereFW60.050.0810.0410

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hamilton Academical

Martin and McMann: 5 passesGourlay and Martin: 6 passesGourlay and Hamilton: 6 passesHamilton and Odoffin: 6 passesMcMann and Odoffin: 6 passesMcMann and Hughes: 6 passesMcMann and Anderson: 6 passesHamilton and Hughes: 7 passesHamilton and Anderson: 7 passesHodson and Munro: 7 passesMcMann and Callachan: 7 passesOdoffin and Anderson: 7 passesCallachan and Anderson: 7 passesMunro and Anderson: 7 passesMartin and Hamilton: 8 passesEaston and Hughes: 9 passesHodson and Odoffin: 9 passesCallachan and Munro: 9 passesHodson and Anderson: 10 passesHughes and Munro: 12 passesEaston and McMann: 13 passesMcMann and Munro: 14 passesHodson and Callachan: 15 passesHamilton and Hodson: 17 passesGourlay: 14 completed passesMartin: 26 completed passesHamilton: 32 completed passesEaston: 25 completed passesHodson: 39 completed passesMcMann: 33 completed passesOdoffin: 24 completed passesHughes: 24 completed passesCallachan: 21 completed passesMunro: 19 completed passesAnderson: 20 completed passes22166527321534217GourlayMartinHamiltonEastonHodsonMcMannOdoffinHughesCallachanMunroAndersonStarters until 79' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Dundee United

Siegrist and Butcher: 4 passesL. Smith and Edwards: 4 passesL. Smith and Butcher: 4 passesL. Smith and Harkes: 4 passesEdwards and Butcher: 4 passesReynolds and Robson: 4 passesButcher and Sporle: 4 passesButcher and McNulty: 4 passesFuchs and Harkes: 4 passesSiegrist and Edwards: 5 passesL. Smith and Sporle: 5 passesL. Smith and McNulty: 5 passesRobson and Harkes: 5 passesButcher and Harkes: 5 passesReynolds and Harkes: 6 passesHarkes and McNulty: 6 passesSporle and Shankland: 6 passesFuchs and Sporle: 7 passesFuchs and McNulty: 8 passesHarkes and Sporle: 8 passesButcher and Fuchs: 9 passesMcNulty and Shankland: 9 passesSporle and McNulty: 10 passesRobson and Sporle: 14 passesL. Smith and Fuchs: 15 passesSiegrist: 11 completed passesL. Smith: 20 completed passesEdwards: 14 completed passesReynolds: 13 completed passesRobson: 17 completed passesButcher: 22 completed passesFuchs: 23 completed passesHarkes: 22 completed passesSporle: 26 completed passesMcNulty: 18 completed passesShankland: 11 completed passes12126171866233924SiegristL. SmithEdwardsReynoldsRobsonButcherFuchsHarkesSporleMcNultyShanklandStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hamilton Academical

FromToPasses
McMannMunro15
HamiltonHodson12
HodsonAnderson9
EastonMcMann9
HodsonCallachan9

Dundee United

FromToPasses
FuchsL. Smith9
L. SmithMcNulty8
L. SmithFuchs8
SporleRobson8
ShanklandMcNulty8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hamilton Academical

7+0.217+0.25−2.27−0.512+4.410+2.812+4.72−2.76+0.86+2.16+0.93−4.26+1.34+0.42−0.96+2.89+4.73+0.13+1.30−1.40−1.46+3.70−0.81+0.71+0.50−0.21+0.10−4.41−4.93−5.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Dundee United

9+4.16−0.516−1.310+2.58+0.49+2.35−2.47−0.217+9.111+1.69+3.63−2.24−0.410+4.55−0.44−0.23−0.62−0.77+4.24+0.12−0.33+1.72+1.12+0.21−1.00−0.60−0.20−0.50−0.50−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hamilton Academical

0.010.010.020.010.010.020.030.050.010.040.040.040.090.050.050.020.050.080.13−0.030.020.060.050.11−0.010.230.24LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.030.020.010.010.010.020.010.010.060.070.050.020.020.090.010.050.040.070.070.100.09−0.060.150.13LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackHamilton Acad…0.86 → 0.88Dundee United0.92 → 0.92Defence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.56 → 1.55Dundee United1.29 → 1.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hamilton Academical
11th28%24%−4
Bottom55%67%+12
Ross County
11th36%40%+4
Bottom28%21%−7
Kilmarnock
11th34%35%+1
Bottom17%12%−5

From the forecast before the match (10 April 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United
Expected goals1.061.25
Win31%40%
Expected Points1.211.49
Clean sheet29%35%

Hamilton Academical 31%Draw 29%Dundee United 40%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

Dundee United goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+8%3%1%10%8%3%1%6%7%4%2%2%2%2%11%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 10 April 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHamilton Academical winDrawDundee United win
Hamilton Academical
11th28%35%28%24%
Bottom55%36%60%67%
Ross County
11th36%31%37%40%
Bottom28%39%25%21%
Kilmarnock
11th34%32%33%35%
Bottom17%25%15%12%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hamilton Academical

  1. D1–120 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.79–1.81
  2. L1–213 MarLivingston (A)xG 0.19–1.26
  3. D0–06 MarAberdeen (A)xG 0.51–1.97
  4. D1–13 MarSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.66–1.04
  5. L0–220 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.40–2.49
  6. D1–117 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.52–0.74

Dundee United

  1. W1–020 MarAberdeen (H)xG 0.46–0.47
  2. D0–07 MarCeltic (H)xG 0.51–1.77
  3. D1–127 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 1.02–1.25
  4. L1–421 FebRangers (A)xG 1.04–3.26
  5. W3–013 FebLivingston (H)xG 1.93–0.93
  6. W2–06 FebRoss County (A)xG 1.65–0.74

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United
Position12th8th
Played3333
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠9–⁠189–⁠12–⁠12
Points27 (0.82 per game)39 (1.18 per game)
Expected Points per game0.830.97
Goals31–⁠6029–⁠43
xG per game0.84–⁠1.960.91–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game0.75, 0.66–⁠1.881.35, 0.90–⁠1.52
Away: points, xG per game0.88, 1.01–⁠2.031.00, 0.93–⁠1.52
ManagerBrian Rice (33)Micky Mellon (33)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackHamilton Acad…0.86, 12thDundee United0.92, 11thDefence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.56, 11thDundee United1.29, 9th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarHamilton Academical attack: 0.86Dundee United attack: 0.920.920.86Dundee UnitedHamilton AcademicalDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarHamilton Academical defence: 1.56Dundee United defence: 1.291.561.29

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−46%+78%−21%+28%
Counter-attacks−58%+84%+66%+79%
Set pieces−14%+18%−41%+17%
Penalties+7%+7%−64%−28%
Headers−19%+57%−56%+21%
Left side−43%+53%+14%+40%
Centre−33%+82%−44%+9%
Right side−41%+34%−21%+44%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdDundee United concededLeft side−43%+44%Centre−33%+9%Right side−41%+40%Open play−46%+28%Counter-attacks−58%+79%Set pieces−14%+17%Headers−19%+21%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side+14%+34%Centre−44%+82%Right side−21%+53%Open play−21%+78%Counter-attacks+66%+84%Set pieces−41%+18%Headers−56%+57%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Hamilton AcademicalDundee United

0.84xG0.91
1.96xG against1.52
40%Possession46%
8.5Shots9.5
16.7Shots against15.7
2.8Shots on target2.9
0.9Big chances1.1
13.8Touches in the opposition box14.6
294Passes363
59%Pass accuracy65%
4.0Corners4.1
34%Field tilt38%
28.1Final-third entries31.1
7.0Box entries8.7
14.1Passes per defensive action15.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hamilton Academical

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level400.791.93
Ahead121.001.12
Behind380.852.24

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.811.26
Ahead181.081.27
Behind231.002.25

xG by period

Hamilton Academical

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.282–10
16–300.120.355–11
31–450.120.326–9
46–600.140.323–9
61–750.230.359–11
76–900.160.346–10

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.144–3
16–300.190.195–9
31–450.120.314–9
46–600.150.235–4
61–750.070.382–9
76–900.240.289–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hamilton Academical

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTFulton 28Gourlay 5Hamilton 14Stirling 9L. Smith 3A. Martin 19Odoffin 12Stanger 1Easton 20Want 11McMann 1Hodson 27Odoffin 2Hamilton 2Odoffin 14Callachan 11Collar 2S. Martin 16Trafford 9Stirling 6McMann 29Munro 3Easton 1Callachan 13Odoffin 4Templeton 4Moyo 20Anderson 8Thomas 2Ogboe 15Winter 9Smith 73-4-1-2 in 9 of 33 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (9), 4-4-2 (9), 3-5-2 (6), 3-4-2-1 (4), 4-3-1-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSiegrist 31Mehmet 2L. Smith 16Neilson 6Bolton 4Edwards 19Connolly 16Butcher 1Reynolds 29Robson 1Robson 21Butcher 3Powers 3Bolton 9L. Smith 7Chalmers 3Butcher 15Clark 7Powers 2Harkes 20Pawlett 10Fuchs 9Robson 8Sporle 8Bolton 4Clark 13McNulty 12Chalmers 1Shankland 25Appere 6Butcher 54-4-2 in 10 of 33 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (10), 3-5-2 (10), 4-1-4-1 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
16 January 2021Hamilton Academical0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.67–0.63
21 November 2020Dundee United2–1Hamilton AcademicalxG 0.73–1.44
26 September 2020Hamilton Academical1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.22–1.81

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Hamilton Academical won 0, Dundee United won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 2–3 and xG 1.11–1.06 per game.

Key players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Templeton7516120.150.23
Callachan282,492830.270.10
Ogboe151,287310.230.03
Anderson8671210.200.04

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark231,904810.270.13
Shankland262,386730.280.11
Sporle121,037420.190.13
Pawlett141,253110.120.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.