Matches › 2020/21

Hamilton Academical 3–0 Motherwell

Saturday 2 January 2021, 15:00 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 22 · Half-time 1–0

Hamilton Academical Hodson 10', Callachan 49', Smith 65'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hamilton Academical	Motherwell
Goals	3	0
xG	0.87	0.86
Expected Points	1.34	1.29

Hamilton Academical 32%Draw 37%Motherwell 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 3–0, 1%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Hamilton AcademicalMotherwell

0.87 0.00xG0.86 −0.24

1.39 +0.49xG on target0.89 +0.01

8 −0.2Shots10 −1.4

4 +1.4Shots on target6 +3.0

2 +1.2Big chances1 −0.3

8 −4Touches in the opposition box23 +2

37% −2Possession63% +16

279 −18Passes465 +111

50% −10Pass accuracy74% +4

28% −4Field tilt72% +34

22 −7Final-third entries44 +12

6 −0.2Box entries13 +2.7

12.7 −2Passes per defensive action10.0 −4

3 −0.5Corners2 −3.2

17 0Tackles17 +3

15 +4Interceptions11 0

22 −1Clearances10 −12

6 +2.2Saves1 −1.6

12 −1Fouls12 0

2 +0.4Offsides3 +0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hamilton Academical

Motherwell

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Hamilton AcademicalMotherwell

0.82 7 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.86 10 shots, 0 goals

0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–03–0

Level: 10 min (11%) · Hamilton Academical 0.13, Motherwell 0.12 xG
Hamilton Academical ahead: 80 min (89%) · Hamilton Academical 0.74, Motherwell 0.74 xG

Line-ups

Hamilton Academical substitutes

21' Stanger for Easton
59' Smith for Moyo · goal 65'
82' Munro for Winter
83' Trafford for Callachan

Motherwell substitutes

55' White for Cole
66' Maguire for Hastie

Players

Hamilton Academical

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Gourlay	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Hodson	RWB	90	1		0.10	0.01	0	0.04	3	10
Hamilton	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.05	4	3
Martin	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	5	7
Easton	CB	21			0.03	0.00	0	0.03	2	2
McMann	LWB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.06	5	6
Odoffin	CM	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	3	5
Stirling	CM	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.05	6	6
Callachan	CM	83	1	1	0.19	0.27	1	0.17	2	5
Winter	ST	82		1	0.24	0.07	2	0.06	2	3
Moyo	ST	59		1	0.00	0.14	1	0.07	3	0
Stanger	DF	69			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	7
Smith	FW	31	1		0.30	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Munro	MF	8			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Trafford	MF	7			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Chapman	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	1
O'Donnell	RB	90	0.00	0.73	2	0.70	22	3
Gallagher	CB	90	0.00	0.03	0	0.18	11	8
Mugabi	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	9
Carroll	LB	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.07	6	2
Campbell	CM	90	0.06	0.06	1	0.01	4	4
Grimshaw	CM	90	0.03	0.02	0	−0.05	2	6
Polworth	CM	90	0.04	0.37	2	0.43	11	1
Hastie	RW	66	0.05	0.01	0	−0.02	0	2
Cole	ST	55	0.00	0.04	1	0.05	1	2
Watt	LW	90	0.26	0.11	0	0.06	4	1
White	FW	35	0.41	0.01	1	0.01	1	1
Maguire	DF	24	0.00	0.01	0	0.03	2	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hamilton Academical

Motherwell

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hamilton Academical

From	To	Passes
Hamilton	Hodson	6
Stanger	McMann	6
Martin	Hamilton	5
Hodson	Winter	5
McMann	Winter	5

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
Gallagher	O'Donnell	17
Campbell	O'Donnell	12
Mugabi	Carroll	11
O'Donnell	Gallagher	11
Mugabi	Gallagher	11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hamilton Academical

Against its average of 20 matches

Motherwell

Against its average of 19 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hamilton Academical

Motherwell

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hamilton Academical
Top six	<1%	1%	+1
11th	27%	30%	+3
Bottom	58%	43%	−15
Motherwell
Top six	17%	8%	−9
11th	9%	15%	+6
Bottom	3%	7%	+4
Ross County
11th	43%	32%	−11
Bottom	34%	43%	+9
Livingston
Top six	63%	66%	+3

From the forecast before the match (2 January 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hamilton Academical	Motherwell
Expected goals	1.01	1.73
Win	22%	54%
Expected Points	0.90	1.85
Clean sheet	18%	36%

Hamilton Academical 22%Draw 25%Motherwell 54%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 53%.

From the forecast as it stood on 2 January 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hamilton Academical win	Draw	Motherwell win
Hamilton Academical
Top six	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%
11th	27%	30%	29%	25%
Bottom	58%	43%	56%	66%
Motherwell
Top six	17%	8%	13%	23%
11th	9%	15%	10%	6%
Bottom	3%	7%	3%	1%
Ross County
11th	43%	32%	41%	48%
Bottom	34%	43%	35%	29%
Livingston
Top six	63%	66%	64%	61%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hamilton Academical

Motherwell

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hamilton Academical	Motherwell
Position	12th	10th
Played	20	19
Won, drawn, lost	4–⁠3–⁠13	4–⁠5–⁠10
Points	15 (0.75 per game)	17 (0.89 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.76	1.05
Goals	18–⁠45	17–⁠28
xG per game	0.87–⁠2.33	1.10–⁠1.62
Home: points, xG per game	0.50, 0.58–⁠2.36	0.73, 1.04–⁠1.65
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.16–⁠2.30	1.12, 1.19–⁠1.59
Manager	Brian Rice (20)	Keith Lasley (0)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hamilton Academical		Motherwell
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−58%	+106%	−18%	+14%
Counter-attacks	−88%	+203%	−76%	+89%
Set pieces	average	+44%	−1%	+25%
Penalties	+30%	−22%	−18%	+65%
Headers	−19%	+98%	−9%	+31%
Left side	−32%	+96%	−19%	+4%
Centre	−37%	+114%	−18%	+33%
Right side	−59%	+46%	−7%	+12%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdMotherwell concededLeft side−32%+12%Centre−37%+33%Right side−59%+4%Open play−58%+14%Counter-attacks−88%+89%Set piecesaverage+25%Headers−19%+31%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side−19%+46%Centre−18%+114%Right side−7%+96%Open play−18%+106%Counter-attacks−76%+203%Set pieces−1%+44%Headers−9%+98%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Hamilton AcademicalMotherwell

0.87xG1.10

2.33xG against1.62

39%Possession46%

8.2Shots11.4

18.1Shots against12.7

2.6Shots on target3.0

0.8Big chances1.3

12.2Touches in the opposition box21.5

297Passes354

60%Pass accuracy70%

3.5Corners5.2

32%Field tilt38%

28.8Final-third entries32.2

6.2Box entries10.3

15.0Passes per defensive action14.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hamilton Academical

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	39	0.79	2.28
Ahead	5	0.74	1.14
Behind	45	0.94	2.52

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	38	0.98	1.70
Ahead	26	1.19	1.61
Behind	25	1.19	1.51

xG by period

Hamilton Academical

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.07	0.39	0–8
16–30	0.10	0.42	2–10
31–45	0.09	0.28	4–6
46–60	0.14	0.36	2–7
61–75	0.28	0.46	6–8
76–90	0.19	0.43	4–6

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.20	0.32	6–4
16–30	0.19	0.18	3–3
31–45	0.15	0.24	3–4
46–60	0.21	0.23	1–3
61–75	0.26	0.28	3–4
76–90	0.08	0.38	1–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hamilton Academical

Formations: 4-4-2 (9), 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Motherwell

Formations: 4-3-3 (8), 5-3-2 (4), 3-5-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
22 August 2020	Motherwell	0–1	Hamilton Academical	xG 0.73–2.22

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Hamilton Academical won 1, Motherwell won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 1–0 and xG 2.22–0.73 per game.

Key players

Hamilton Academical

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Callachan	15	1,332	5	1	0.36	0.05
Templeton	7	516	1	2	0.15	0.23
Mimnaugh	5	478	0	1	0.01	0.23
Ogboe	9	866	2	1	0.19	0.03

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Lang	12	1,038	3	1	0.36	0.03
Watt	14	1,220	3	1	0.26	0.06
Polworth	13	1,140	0	3	0.09	0.20
Long	8	693	1	1	0.14	0.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.