Saturday 22 August 2020, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 5 · Half-time 0–0
Hamilton Academical Odoffin 86'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Motherwell
Hamilton Academical
Goals
0
1
xG
0.73
2.22
Expected Points
0.33
2.52
Motherwell 6%Draw 15%Hamilton Academical 79%
Most likely score 0–2, 19%. Final score 0–1, 9%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
MotherwellHamilton Academical
0.73 −0.39xG2.22 +1.64
0.92 +0.22xG on target1.70 +1.11
17 +2.2Shots8 −1.3
4 +1.5Shots on target2 −1.3
0 −1.0Big chances3 +3.0
68% +12Possession32% −6
489 +94Passes235 −19
81% +8Pass accuracy57% +1
73% +23Field tilt27% −4
48 +8Final-third entries17 −10
17 +6.0Box entries5 −3.7
8.3 −4Passes per defensive action17.9 +3
13 +5.8Corners5 −1.3
15 +2Tackles22 0
7 −2.0Interceptions12 +3.7
19 −3Clearances36 +17
1 −1.5Saves4 −2.7
17 +3.8Fouls12 +2.7
1 −1.5Offsides0 −2.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Motherwell
Hamilton Academical
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
86'
0–0
0'HTFT
Level
86 min (96%) · Motherwell 0.73, Hamilton Academical 2.22 xG
Hamilton Academical ahead
4 min (4%) · Motherwell 0.00, Hamilton Academical 0.00 xG
Line-ups
Motherwell substitutes
54'Hylton for Lang
60'Long for White
81'Hastie for Seedorf
81'Watt for Campbell
Hamilton Academical substitutes
35'L. Smith for Johnson
54'Trafford for Templeton
67'Winter for Ogboe
67'C. Smith for Moyo
67'Mimnaugh for Martin · 1 assist
Players
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Carson
GK
90
0.00
0.00
1
0.07
4
1
O'Donnell
RB
90
0.00
0.05
0
0.13
8
4
Gallagher
CB
90
0.00
0.14
2
0.32
8
9
Mugabi
CB
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.07
0
6
Lamie
LB
90
0.00
0.09
3
0.17
11
9
Campbell
CM
81
0.03
0.05
3
0.04
2
1
O'Hara
CM
90
0.08
0.02
1
0.06
4
4
Turnbull
CM
90
0.29
0.77
3
0.27
10
2
Seedorf
RW
81
0.04
0.02
0
0.07
4
2
White
ST
60
0.12
0.00
0
−0.01
0
1
Lang
LW
54
0.07
0.04
2
0.04
4
2
Hylton
FW
36
0.11
0.06
0
−0.24
4
1
Long
FW
30
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Hastie
FW
9
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Watt
FW
9
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Hamilton Academical
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Fulton
GK
90
0.00
0.04
0
0.14
6
3
Hodson
RB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
8
Odoffin
CB
90
1
1.36
0.00
0
0.02
3
9
Want
CB
90
0.07
0.00
0
0.01
1
15
McMann
LB
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.05
7
11
Johnson
RM
35
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
2
Callachan
CM
90
0.64
0.01
0
0.02
3
10
Martin
CM
67
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
5
3
Moyo
LM
67
0.00
0.01
1
0.00
0
5
Ogboe
ST
67
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Templeton
ST
54
0.03
0.01
0
0.03
1
0
L. Smith
FW
55
0.05
0.08
2
0.06
3
3
Trafford
MF
36
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
3
2
Winter
FW
23
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
0
0
C. Smith
FW
23
0.08
0.00
0
0.04
0
3
Mimnaugh
MF
23
1
0.00
0.37
3
0.00
0
3
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Motherwell
Hamilton Academical
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
Gallagher
Mugabi
21
Mugabi
Gallagher
20
Carson
Gallagher
16
Mugabi
Lamie
16
Lamie
Turnbull
16
Hamilton Academical
From
To
Passes
Fulton
Want
8
Want
McMann
6
McMann
Fulton
4
Fulton
Odoffin
4
Fulton
Moyo
4
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Motherwell
Against its average of 4 matches
Hamilton Academical
Against its average of 3 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Motherwell
Hamilton Academical
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Motherwell
Top six
34%
20%
−14
11th
9%
13%
+4
Bottom
5%
10%
+5
Hamilton Academical
Top six
3%
7%
+4
11th
19%
19%
0
Bottom
56%
42%
−14
Ross County
Top six
42%
43%
+1
Bottom
3%
4%
+1
Kilmarnock
Top six
24%
25%
+1
11th
15%
13%
−2
Bottom
9%
12%
+3
From the forecast before the match (22 August 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Motherwell
Hamilton Academical
Expected goals
1.57
0.76
Win
56%
17%
Expected Points
1.95
0.79
Clean sheet
47%
21%
Motherwell 56%Draw 26%Hamilton Academical 17%
Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Both sides score 43%.
From the forecast as it stood on 22 August 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Motherwell win
Draw
Hamilton Academical win
Motherwell
Top six
34%
40%
28%
20%
11th
9%
7%
11%
13%
Bottom
5%
3%
6%
10%
Hamilton Academical
Top six
3%
2%
3%
7%
11th
19%
19%
19%
19%
Bottom
56%
62%
52%
42%
Ross County
Top six
42%
41%
45%
43%
Bottom
3%
3%
3%
4%
Kilmarnock
Top six
24%
23%
25%
25%
11th
15%
16%
15%
13%
Bottom
9%
8%
10%
12%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Motherwell
Hamilton Academical
Position
10th
12th
Played
4
3
Won, drawn, lost
0–2–2
0–0–3
Points
2 (0.50 per game)
0 (0.00 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.14
0.35
Goals
2–4
1–7
xG per game
1.12–1.43
0.58–2.66
Home: points, xG per game
0.50, 0.81–1.46
0.00, 0.64–1.73
Away: points, xG per game
0.50, 1.43–1.39
0.00, 0.47–4.51
Manager
Steve Robinson (4)
Brian Rice (3)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Motherwell
Hamilton Academical
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−10%
−7%
−27%
+89%
Counter-attacks
−67%
+27%
−50%
+160%
Set pieces
−3%
+6%
−11%
+33%
Penalties
+21%
+108%
−50%
−50%
Headers
+52%
+25%
−4%
−27%
Left side
+29%
−6%
+10%
+113%
Centre
−35%
−10%
−28%
+83%
Right side
+2%
+18%
−40%
+6%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Hamilton Academical createdMotherwell concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+10%+18%Centre−28%−10%Right side−40%−6%Open play−27%−7%Counter-attacks−50%+27%Set pieces−11%+6%Headers−4%+25%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
MotherwellHamilton Academical
1.12xG0.58
1.43xG against2.66
56%Possession38%
14.8Shots9.3
11.8Shots against18.0
2.5Shots on target3.3
1.0Big chances0.0
395Passes254
73%Pass accuracy56%
7.2Corners6.3
50%Field tilt31%
40.3Final-third entries26.7
11.0Box entries8.7
12.3Passes per defensive action15.1
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Motherwell
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
55
0.76
1.54
Ahead
9
0.80
3.87
Behind
26
1.99
0.33
Hamilton Academical
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
38
0.63
2.83
Ahead
0
–
–
Behind
52
0.55
2.53
xG by period
Motherwell
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.11
0.49
1–1
16–30
0.17
0.25
0–1
31–45
0.10
0.18
1–0
46–60
0.21
0.14
0–1
61–75
0.42
0.24
0–1
76–90
0.11
0.14
0–0
Hamilton Academical
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.15
0.31
0–0
16–30
0.07
0.70
0–2
31–45
0.05
0.37
1–1
46–60
0.15
0.48
0–2
61–75
0.11
0.45
0–0
76–90
0.05
0.35
0–2
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
Motherwell
Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)
Hamilton Academical
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.