Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Hamilton Academical 1–1 St. Johnstone

Wednesday 3 March 2021, 18:00 · Fountain of Youth Stadium · Round 30 · Half-time 1–0

Hamilton Academical Callachan 36'

St. Johnstone Melamed 87'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Hamilton AcademicalSt. Johnstone
Goals11
xG0.661.04
Expected Points0.991.65

Hamilton Academical 21%Draw 36%St. Johnstone 43%

Most likely score 0–1, 19%. Final score 1–1, 15%.

St. Johnstone goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+10%3%11%7%2%4%4%2%18%19%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTHughes on for S. Martin, 82'Stirling on for Trafford, 85'Brown on for Rooney, 50'Middleton on for May and O'Halloran on for Bryson, 66'Callachan 36'Melamed 87'St. Johnstone 1.04Hamilton Academical 0.6600.511.50153045607590HTHughes on for S. Martin, 82'Stirling on for Trafford, 85'Brown on for Rooney, 50'Middleton on for May and O'Halloran on for Bryson, 66'Callachan 36'Melamed 87'1.040.66Hamilton AcademicalSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Hamilton AcademicalSt. Johnstone

0.66 −0.23xG1.04 −0.24
0.68 −0.20xG on target0.82 −0.12
12 +3.5Shots17 +4.5
3 +0.1Shots on target5 +1.7
0 −1.0Big chances1 −0.4
16 +2Touches in the opposition box27 +6
41% +2Possession59% +14
285 −6Passes406 +44
58% −1Pass accuracy69% +4
42% +9Field tilt58% +5
32 +4Final-third entries46 +10
5 −2.0Box entries12 +2.5
11.6 −3Passes per defensive action10.6 −4
8 +4.2Corners8 +3.5
12 −6Tackles13 −4
14 +2Interceptions8 −5
34 +11Clearances26 +7
4 +0.4Saves2 +0.3
16 +3Fouls13 0
0 −1.6Offsides1 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hamilton Academical

McMann 44', 0.13 xGEaston 28', 0.07 xGOdoffin 29', 0.06 xGMoyo 46', 0.06 xGA. Martin 2', 0.05 xGCallachan 63', 0.05 xGOdoffin 90+4', 0.05 xGTrafford 54', 0.04 xGMoyo 59', 0.04 xGOdoffin 33', 0.03 xGCallachan 56', 0.03 xGCallachan 36', 0.03 xG, goal20%0.13 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.13 xG, 0 goals52%0.34 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals8%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals21%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Melamed 10', 0.10 xGMelamed 90+2', 0.07 xGTanser 14', 0.06 xGMelamed 34', 0.06 xGTanser 14', 0.05 xGMelamed 48', 0.05 xGTanser 12', 0.04 xGMelamed 18', 0.04 xGKerr 21', 0.04 xGGordon 89', 0.04 xGBryson 43', 0.03 xGCraig 45', 0.03 xGBryson 65', 0.03 xGCraig 83', 0.03 xGWotherspoon 85', 0.03 xGCraig 48', 0.02 xGMelamed 87', 0.31 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals62%0.65 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.65 xG, 1 goal19%0.20 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals18%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Hamilton AcademicalSt. Johnstone

0.28 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.86 12 shots, 1 goal
0.37 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.17 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
43 min (46%) · Hamilton Academical 0.30, St. Johnstone 0.50 xG
Hamilton Academical ahead
51 min (54%) · Hamilton Academical 0.36, St. Johnstone 0.54 xG

Line-ups

23216527348143207FultonOdoffinA. MartinEastonHodsonCallachanS. MartinTraffordMcMannMoyoAndersonGoalYellow cardYellow card82'85'Hamilton Academical 3-5-2Brian Rice15641913263101714ClarkKerrGordonMcCartRooneyBrysonCraigTanserWotherspoonMelamedMayYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal50'66'66'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson

Hamilton Academical substitutes

  • 82' Hughes for S. Martin
  • 85' Stirling for Trafford

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 50' Brown for Rooney
  • 66' O'Halloran for Bryson
  • 66' Middleton for May

Players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
FultonGK900.000.0000.0222
OdoffinCB900.150.0000.02217
A. MartinCB900.050.0000.0218
EastonCB900.070.1000.1258
HodsonRWB900.000.3010.2062
Callachan CM9010.110.0310.0451
S. MartinCM820.000.0510.0236
TraffordCM850.040.1710.0927
McMannLWB900.130.1730.1089
MoyoST900.110.1120.0122
Anderson ST9010.000.0210.0010
HughesMF80.000.000−0.0101
StirlingDF50.000.0000.0110

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0232
KerrCB900.040.0100.1099
GordonCB9010.040.0710.1694
McCart CB900.000.0200.13912
RooneyRWB500.000.0500.0830
BrysonCM660.070.0200.0323
Craig CM900.080.1530.1496
TanserLWB900.150.2110.18103
Wotherspoon AM900.030.1210.1576
MelamedAM9010.630.031−0.0210
MayST660.000.0520.0411
BrownDF400.000.0500.0612
O'HalloranMF240.000.0010.0000
MiddletonFW240.000.0810.0502

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hamilton Academical

A. Martin and S. Martin: 3 passesA. Martin and Callachan: 3 passesOdoffin and Hodson: 3 passesEaston and Trafford: 3 passesEaston and S. Martin: 3 passesTrafford and Moyo: 3 passesS. Martin and Callachan: 3 passesMoyo and Anderson: 3 passesOdoffin and McMann: 4 passesHodson and Anderson: 4 passesMcMann and Anderson: 4 passesCallachan and Moyo: 4 passesEaston and Moyo: 5 passesHodson and Trafford: 5 passesMcMann and Trafford: 5 passesMcMann and S. Martin: 5 passesS. Martin and Anderson: 5 passesA. Martin and Odoffin: 6 passesEaston and McMann: 6 passesHodson and Moyo: 6 passesTrafford and Callachan: 7 passesCallachan and Anderson: 8 passesMcMann and Callachan: 9 passesMcMann and Moyo: 9 passesHodson and Callachan: 13 passesFulton: 6 completed passesA. Martin: 13 completed passesOdoffin: 7 completed passesEaston: 15 completed passesHodson: 20 completed passesMcMann: 21 completed passesTrafford: 14 completed passesS. Martin: 14 completed passesCallachan: 22 completed passesMoyo: 12 completed passesAnderson: 13 completed passes23162527314834207FultonA. MartinOdoffinEastonHodsonMcMannTraffordS. MartinCallachanMoyoAndersonStarters until 82' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Johnstone

Clark and Gordon: 3 passesGordon and Tanser: 3 passesMcCart and May: 3 passesRooney and Melamed: 3 passesTanser and Bryson: 3 passesCraig and Bryson: 3 passesWotherspoon and May: 3 passesKerr and Melamed: 4 passesGordon and Bryson: 4 passesTanser and May: 4 passesKerr and Craig: 5 passesMcCart and Wotherspoon: 5 passesRooney and Bryson: 5 passesCraig and Wotherspoon: 5 passesCraig and May: 5 passesMcCart and Tanser: 6 passesTanser and Melamed: 6 passesBryson and Melamed: 6 passesKerr and Gordon: 7 passesMcCart and Craig: 7 passesGordon and McCart: 8 passesKerr and Rooney: 10 passesKerr and Bryson: 10 passesTanser and Craig: 10 passesTanser and Wotherspoon: 10 passesClark: 7 completed passesKerr: 22 completed passesGordon: 18 completed passesMcCart: 21 completed passesRooney: 11 completed passesTanser: 21 completed passesCraig: 22 completed passesBryson: 20 completed passesWotherspoon: 14 completed passesMelamed: 10 completed passesMay: 8 completed passes15641932613101714ClarkKerrGordonMcCartRooneyTanserCraigBrysonWotherspoonMelamedMayStarters until 50' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hamilton Academical

FromToPasses
HodsonCallachan10
CallachanHodson7
MoyoMcMann7
EastonMoyo6
McMannCallachan6

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
McCartTanser12
CraigTanser10
CraigMcCart9
TanserWotherspoon9
KerrRooney8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hamilton Academical

8+3.69+2.120+2.910+2.99+3.58+0.517+9.94−3.36−2.68+1.20−5.03−1.83−0.81−4.27+0.13−1.75+1.55+2.22−1.25+0.60−3.03+1.40−1.62+0.76+3.80−0.80−0.30−0.50−0.32+1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

St. Johnstone

4−0.415+2.74−0.88+2.713+4.112+3.86−1.09+0.99+0.48+1.55−1.43−2.57+0.53−2.03−1.330.02−1.74+1.01−1.10−1.63+1.42−1.01−0.30−0.32+1.50−0.51+0.31−3.63−3.41−4.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hamilton Academical

0.010.010.040.010.030.020.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.030.040.04−0.010.030.010.05−0.020.10−0.010.17LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.020.010.010.040.040.030.040.050.110.040.020.030.020.030.030.040.05−0.030.110.050.060.160.14LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackHamilton Acad…0.91 → 0.89St. Johnstone1.12 → 1.09Defence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.59 → 1.56St. Johnstone1.06 → 1.05

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hamilton Academical
11th30%32%+2
Bottom45%44%−1
St. Johnstone
Top six17%7%−10
11th<1%<1%0
St. Mirren
Top six82%92%+10
Kilmarnock
11th31%32%+1
Bottom24%25%+1

From the forecast before the match (3 March 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Hamilton AcademicalSt. Johnstone
Expected goals0.861.61
Win19%55%
Expected Points0.841.90
Clean sheet20%42%

Hamilton Academical 19%Draw 26%St. Johnstone 55%

Most likely score 0–1, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

St. Johnstone goalsHamilton Academical goals0123456+0123456+9%6%2%7%5%2%3%5%4%2%1%1%13%11%12%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 3 March 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHamilton Academical winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Hamilton Academical
11th30%32%32%29%
Bottom45%26%44%53%
St. Johnstone
Top six17%3%7%28%
11th<1%1%<1%<1%
St. Mirren
Top six82%96%92%73%
Kilmarnock
11th31%29%32%32%
Bottom24%33%25%20%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hamilton Academical

  1. L0–220 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.40–2.49
  2. D1–117 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.52–0.74
  3. W4–113 FebMotherwell (A)xG 2.03–1.32
  4. D1–17 FebRangers (H)xG 1.37–0.74
  5. L1–23 FebRoss County (H)xG 0.49–1.44
  6. L0–227 JanCeltic (A)xG 0.58–2.23

St. Johnstone

  1. W3–020 FebMotherwell (A)xG 3.04–0.03
  2. L1–214 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.30–1.44
  3. W2–16 FebLivingston (A)xG 1.78–0.86
  4. L0–13 FebRangers (A)xG 0.27–1.33
  5. W3–230 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 2.14–1.17
  6. D0–027 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.36–1.10

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Hamilton AcademicalSt. Johnstone
Position12th8th
Played2930
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠6–⁠178–⁠9–⁠13
Points24 (0.83 per game)33 (1.10 per game)
Expected Points per game0.871.53
Goals28–⁠5631–⁠39
xG per game0.89–⁠2.021.28–⁠0.95
Home: points, xG per game0.71, 0.65–⁠1.950.93, 1.04–⁠0.84
Away: points, xG per game0.93, 1.10–⁠2.081.25, 1.48–⁠1.04
ManagerBrian Rice (29)Callum Davidson (30)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackHamilton Acad…0.91, 11thSt. Johnstone1.12, 4thDefence (lower is better)Hamilton Acad…1.59, 12thSt. Johnstone1.06, 5th

This season

Attack0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebHamilton Academical attack: 0.91St. Johnstone attack: 1.121.120.91St. JohnstoneHamilton AcademicalDefence (lower is better)0.00.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebHamilton Academical defence: 1.59St. Johnstone defence: 1.061.591.06

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Hamilton AcademicalSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−44%+83%−9%−20%
Counter-attacks−53%+77%+51%−79%
Set pieces−14%+26%+20%−23%
Penalties+20%average−4%−42%
Headers−20%+71%+18%−20%
Left side−43%+61%+14%−18%
Centre−30%+90%−9%−18%
Right side−40%+30%+8%−37%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hamilton Academical attacking

Hamilton Academical createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−43%−37%Centre−30%−18%Right side−40%−18%Open play−44%−20%Counter-attacks−53%−79%Set pieces−14%−23%Headers−20%−20%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHamilton Academical concededLeft side+14%+30%Centre−9%+90%Right side+8%+61%Open play−9%+83%Counter-attacks+51%+77%Set pieces+20%+26%Headers+18%+71%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Hamilton AcademicalSt. Johnstone

0.89xG1.28
2.02xG against0.95
39%Possession45%
8.5Shots12.5
17.0Shots against9.5
2.9Shots on target3.3
1.0Big chances1.4
13.9Touches in the opposition box21.4
291Passes362
59%Pass accuracy66%
3.8Corners4.5
33%Field tilt52%
27.9Final-third entries35.9
7.0Box entries9.5
14.5Passes per defensive action14.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hamilton Academical

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level390.841.86
Ahead121.061.14
Behind400.882.43

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level551.081.00
Ahead131.921.07
Behind211.380.73

xG by period

Hamilton Academical

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.302–10
16–300.120.344–10
31–450.120.295–7
46–600.150.343–9
61–750.250.399–11
76–900.160.365–9

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.122–4
16–300.140.124–4
31–450.210.218–11
46–600.220.197–7
61–750.280.115–3
76–900.280.215–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hamilton Academical

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTFulton 24Gourlay 5Hodson 20Hamilton 4Odoffin 2A. Martin 15Odoffin 11Stirling 3Easton 14Want 10McMann 1McMann 22Odoffin 2Munro 2Hamilton 7Callachan 6Hodson 4Odoffin 12Callachan 9Collar 2Martin 13Trafford 8Stirling 6Callachan 8McMann 5Templeton 4Moyo 18Anderson 5Templeton 2Ogboe 15Winter 8Stirling 34-4-2 in 9 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (9), 3-4-1-2 (8), 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-5-2 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 22Parish 8Kerr 22Rooney 7Craig 2Gordon 29McCart 29McNamara 20Rooney 7Kerr 1McCann 22Bryson 7McNamara 2Davidson 13Craig 9Wotherspoon 4Tanser 21Booth 8Bryson 1Conway 15Melamed 5McCann 2Wotherspoon 19O'Halloran 10May 4Kane 10May 10Hendry 73-4-2-1 in 19 of 30 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (19), 3-4-3 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-1-2-2-1 (1), 4-1-2-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 December 2020St. Johnstone0–0Hamilton AcademicalxG 2.22–0.84
17 October 2020Hamilton Academical3–5St. JohnstonexG 0.73–3.81

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Hamilton Academical won 0, St. Johnstone won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–5 and xG 0.78–3.02 per game.

Key players

Hamilton Academical

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Callachan242,132730.300.11
Templeton7516120.150.23
Ogboe151,287310.230.03
Mimnaugh5529010.020.21

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Melamed6489420.560.22
May141,430530.470.16
Kane121,101410.390.12
Conway171,391320.230.21

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.